25.1.7-7:58 PM (Tuesday)
A review of previous events showed great success! Bitcoin's long positions set over the weekend saw a massive profit of 5000 points last night, and Ethereum gained 129 points, making for a big win. I have repeatedly emphasized that the market has an upward expectation; Bitcoin needs to rise above 10 to maintain traders' enthusiasm. Therefore, Bitcoin's current rise can be said to be a fermentation of emotions, with not much capital inflow. Yesterday, the ETF saw an inflow of $149 million, which is not large compared to before. So all of this is driven by emotions. I also mentioned yesterday that this round of Bitcoin's rise should be viewed as a new trend, and the facts have proven my statement to be validated. I am not afraid of being wrong; even if I am, it at least proves that my strategy is falsifiable and scientific. However, the facts show that my judgment is correct and unique. Today's analysis is as follows!
BTC 4H Intraday Trend Analysis and Strategy
Currently, Bitcoin has started a consolidation after a surge last night. This consolidation has its reasoning; it coincides with the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.382-0.618. The occurrence of consolidation at these two index points likely represents that this position is strong support. The market has not ended, and there is still capital that has not fully entered. This rise is a new beginning. The main force will consume as much as possible, and maintaining a low position long strategy benefits a winning position. If one wants to profit from both long and short positions, then they should also be prepared for potential losses. From the current volume, it is incomparable to previous volumes. This new high is just the beginning; the SKDJ golden cross is still ongoing. Combining it with the Fibonacci retracement and expansion support levels below 0.382 (101456) and 0.5 (100934) serves as our preliminary entry points. The current uptrend has expanded from the 4-hour to the daily trend level. Will it extend to the weekly level?
ETH 4H Intraday Trend Analysis and Strategy
The rise of Ethereum has entered a weak zone, and Bitcoin's rhythm has not kept up. In summary, Bitcoin's rally has once again absorbed a large amount of market funds. We are waiting for Bitcoin to retrace and consolidate before Ethereum can take off. Currently, Ethereum's candlestick pattern is showing a continuous decline. SKDJ has not formed a standard midpoint 50 golden cross, and the volume is slightly increasing without a breakout, rather showing a downward trend and consolidation. Considering the Fibonacci expansion, the support level below (0.382) 3655 serves as our preliminary entry position. Ethereum was relatively strong before this rebound, but later began to be sluggish, which suits our strategy.
Intraday Strategy
BTC
B: 101456-100934
T: 104624-109185
S: 100063
ETH
B: 3655
T: 3748-4022
S: 3625
