$XRP

1. Current Situation Analysis:

- Current price: 2.011 USDT (-2.72%)

- Adjusted from the peak of 2.7281, a decrease of about 26%

- EMA (7,25,99) indicates a short-term downtrend

- RSI(6) = 43.24 is in the lower neutral zone

- MACD is moving sideways, no clear signal yet

- Trading volume is gradually decreasing

- OBV is in a downtrend, indicating selling pressure still exists

2. Cash Flow Analysis:

- Total Buy/Sell trading volume is quite balanced (351.73M vs 358.81M)

- Cash flow into large positions over the last 5 days is negative (-128.96M)

- Trading volume is gradually decreasing, reflecting investor caution

3. Possible Scenarios:

Scenario 1 - Positive (30% probability):

- Price recovers to the range of 2.30-2.40

- Conditions: Strong volume increase, break resistance

- Target: 2.30 -> 2.40 -> 2.50

- Stop loss: 1.90

Scenario 2 - Neutral (45% probability):

- Price fluctuates sideways in the range of 1.95-2.20

- Accumulate and rebalance

- Support zone: 1.95-2.00

- Resistance zone: 2.15-2.20

Scenario 3 - Negative (25% probability):

- Price continues to adjust to the range of 1.80-1.90

- Test the old bottom at 1.9601

- Stop loss: 1.75

4. Recommendations:

Short-term:

- Be cautious with new buy positions

- Can trade within a range with small positions

- Wait for a clear breakout signal from volume and price

- Set tight stop loss to protect capital

Medium-term:

- Monitor changes in cash flow and volume

- Wait for strong accumulation signals

- Manage risk with a minimum R:R ratio of 1:2

Note:

- XRP is in a correction phase after a strong increase

- Be cautious with fluctuations and news related to the SEC lawsuit

- Should participate with a small proportion and prioritize capital preservation