I will analyze in detail about $USUAL /USDT:

1. Current status analysis:

- Current price: 1.0823 USDT (-3.35%)

- Adjusted from peak 1.6521, down about 34%

- EMA (7,25,99) is currently showing a short-term downtrend

- RSI(6) = 56.65 in the neutral zone

- MACD is giving weak signals

- Volume is decreasing, indicating selling pressure is weakening

- OBV is moving sideways, with no clear accumulation signs yet

2. Cash flow analysis:

- Long/Short ratio is quite balanced

- Large position cash flow in the last 5 days is negative (-46.34M)

- 24h cash flow shows strong selling pressure

- Buy/Sell orders have discrepancies, with total Sell value (239.69M) > Buy (225.96M)

3. Possible scenarios:

Scenario 1 - Positive (25% probability):

- Price recovers to the range of 1.20-1.30

- Condition: Strong volume increase along with resistance breakout

- Target: 1.20 -> 1.30 -> 1.40

- Stop loss: 1.00

Scenario 2 - Neutral (50% probability):

- Price fluctuates sideways in the range of 1.00-1.15

- Accumulates and balances out

- Support zone: 1.00-1.02

- Resistance zone: 1.12-1.15

Scenario 3 - Negative (25% probability):

- Price continues to adjust to the range of 0.90-0.95

- Test the old bottom 0.94

- Stop loss: 0.85

4. Recommendations:

Short term:

- Be cautious with new buy positions

- Can trade within a range with small positions

- Set tight stop loss to protect capital

- Wait for clear breakout signals from volume and price

Medium term:

- Monitor changes in cash flow and trading volume

- Wait for clear accumulation signals

- Manage risk with a minimum R:R ratio of 1:2

Note:

- The token is in a correction phase after a strong pump

- Investors need to be especially cautious with strong fluctuations

- Prioritize capital preservation and only participate with a small proportion