$BTC

I will analyze the BTC/USDT chart and provide my insights:

1. Current technical analysis:

- Current price: ~96,123 USDT (-1.03%)

- EMA (7,25,99) is showing a short-term sideways trend

- RSI(6) = 34.78 is in the oversold zone, a technical recovery may occur

- MACD is signaling a positive divergence with the price

- Volume is at an average level, no signs of explosion

- OBV is in a downward trend, indicating selling pressure remains

2. Possible scenarios:

Scenario 1 - Positive (35% probability):

- Price tests the resistance area 99,500-100,000

- Condition: Volume increases significantly, RSI breaks out of the oversold zone

- Target: 99,500 -> 100,000 -> 102,000

Scenario 2 - Neutral (45% probability):

- Price fluctuates sideways in the range of 94,000-98,000

- Accumulate liquidity before a clear trend emerges

- Support area: 94,000-95,000

- Resistance area: 97,000-98,000

Scenario 3 - Negative (20% probability):

- Price breaks the support at 94,000

- Tests the old low of 92,200

- Stop loss: 91,500

3. Recommendations:

Short-term:

- Wait for signals of technical recovery from the oversold zone

- May open a small position in the range of 94,000-95,000 with a tight stop loss

- Take partial profits at resistance areas

Medium-term:

- Monitor volume and OBV to confirm the trend

- The safe position is to stay out of the market, waiting for a clear breakout signal

- Manage risk with a minimum R:R ratio of 1:2

Note: This analysis is based on technical data. Investors should also monitor macro factors and market news to make appropriate decisions.