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非农就业人数大幅降温
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美国10月季调后非农就业人口仅增1.2万人,为2020年12月以来的最小增幅,反映出就业市场的显着放缓。该数据远低于预期,随着就业增长降温,通胀和利率走向是否会随之调整?是否会如专家预测11月降息25个基点?
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奇哥交易日记
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航哥趋势论
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Current price 69520/2502 direct drop, support 69000/2470, target 70800/2560#BTC #ETH
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This wave of non-farm data is quite interesting. In the past, it was usually a one-second big move, but this time the positive data is steadily rising, and then suddenly drops. Interesting #非农就业人数大幅降温
This wave of non-farm data is quite interesting. In the past, it was usually a one-second big move, but this time the positive data is steadily rising, and then suddenly drops. Interesting #非农就业人数大幅降温
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Bearish
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This is the truth behind this wave of BTC's rise and fall: On October 30, BlackRock bought another 12,000 bitcoins, worth nearly 900 million. This is arbitrage funds, buying in the spot market and opening shorts in the futures market with a premium; Once arbitrage funds of this scale and level enter the market, it means that the market is at the end stage, so what everyone actually sees is that when ETF funds flow in in large amounts, it is the top, and when ETF funds flow out in large amounts, it is the bottom. #11月市场预测 #灰度XRP信托基金开放 #非农就业人数大幅降温 #美国大选后行情预测 #你问我答
This is the truth behind this wave of BTC's rise and fall:
On October 30, BlackRock bought another 12,000 bitcoins, worth nearly 900 million. This is arbitrage funds, buying in the spot market and opening shorts in the futures market with a premium;
Once arbitrage funds of this scale and level enter the market, it means that the market is at the end stage, so what everyone actually sees is that when ETF funds flow in in large amounts, it is the top, and when ETF funds flow out in large amounts, it is the bottom. #11月市场预测 #灰度XRP信托基金开放 #非农就业人数大幅降温 #美国大选后行情预测 #你问我答
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Since last night, after the non-farm payroll data was released, Bitcoin surged significantly to around 71600, then suddenly dropped, once again testing the support near 68800. Over the weekend, it is highly likely to oscillate widely within the range of 68800 to 71600. Ethereum also followed Bitcoin's trend, but was weaker, peaking at 2580 before retracing to 2480. The major turning point and direction will still wait for the results of the U.S. elections next Tuesday, as risk capital may only then enter the market in large quantities to push prices further up. Yesterday, BlackRock was still in a buying mode. As small investors, we just need to follow the main players. Capital inflow doesn't necessarily mean prices will rise, and subsequent capital outflows may not lead to a short-term drop either. However, when capital flows out, that is the time to sell at a high! Therefore, BlackRock's movements are worth paying close attention to; we are currently perhaps just in the stage of the main players building positions, with bigger changes still ahead. #你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? ##MtGox transfer BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温
Since last night, after the non-farm payroll data was released, Bitcoin surged significantly to around 71600, then suddenly dropped, once again testing the support near 68800. Over the weekend, it is highly likely to oscillate widely within the range of 68800 to 71600. Ethereum also followed Bitcoin's trend, but was weaker, peaking at 2580 before retracing to 2480.

The major turning point and direction will still wait for the results of the U.S. elections next Tuesday, as risk capital may only then enter the market in large quantities to push prices further up. Yesterday, BlackRock was still in a buying mode. As small investors, we just need to follow the main players. Capital inflow doesn't necessarily mean prices will rise, and subsequent capital outflows may not lead to a short-term drop either. However, when capital flows out, that is the time to sell at a high! Therefore, BlackRock's movements are worth paying close attention to; we are currently perhaps just in the stage of the main players building positions, with bigger changes still ahead.

#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? ##MtGox transfer BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温
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Bullish
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学良的交易日记
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Bullish
Yesterday's short position took profit
Leading students to achieve
Bitcoin 641 points Ethereum 40 points
Captured 64,000 oil
#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #非农就业人数大幅降温 #灰度XRP信托基金开放 #11月市场预测 $BTC
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12,000! Non-farm payrolls surprise, market increases bets on Fed rate cuts This week, a series of data from the U.S. showed continuous economic growth and moderate inflation decline, but the job market experienced a surprise drop due to the impact of hurricanes and strikes, leading the market to increase expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in November. Data showed that the initial value of U.S. GDP for the third quarter indicated a quarter-on-quarter annualized growth rate of 2.8%, with consumer spending, which accounts for the largest share of economic activity, growing by 3.7%, the largest increase since the beginning of 2023; ADP data indicated that the U.S. private sector added 233,000 jobs in October, the highest in over a year, exceeding all economists' expectations; as the hurricane effects faded, initial jobless claims fell to a five-month low last week; however, the core PCE inflation that the Fed values rose by 0.3% month-on-month, marking the largest increase in five months, and personal spending also accelerated, strengthening the Fed's reasons to slow down the pace of rate cuts. The non-farm payroll report on Friday was a huge surprise! The U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 12,000 jobs in October, far below the expected 113,000, with the unemployment rate at 4.1%, and average hourly earnings month-on-month and year-on-year recorded at 0.4% and 4%, respectively. The non-farm employment numbers for August and September were collectively revised down by 112,000. This is the weakest employment report for the Biden administration to date, but it also reflects the severe impact of hurricanes and the Boeing strike. Following the release of the data, interest rate futures indicated an increased likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in November, with the chances of further cuts in December and 2025 also increasing. #你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? #MtGox转移BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温
12,000! Non-farm payrolls surprise, market increases bets on Fed rate cuts
This week, a series of data from the U.S. showed continuous economic growth and moderate inflation decline, but the job market experienced a surprise drop due to the impact of hurricanes and strikes, leading the market to increase expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in November.
Data showed that the initial value of U.S. GDP for the third quarter indicated a quarter-on-quarter annualized growth rate of 2.8%, with consumer spending, which accounts for the largest share of economic activity, growing by 3.7%, the largest increase since the beginning of 2023; ADP data indicated that the U.S. private sector added 233,000 jobs in October, the highest in over a year, exceeding all economists' expectations; as the hurricane effects faded, initial jobless claims fell to a five-month low last week; however, the core PCE inflation that the Fed values rose by 0.3% month-on-month, marking the largest increase in five months, and personal spending also accelerated, strengthening the Fed's reasons to slow down the pace of rate cuts.
The non-farm payroll report on Friday was a huge surprise! The U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 12,000 jobs in October, far below the expected 113,000, with the unemployment rate at 4.1%, and average hourly earnings month-on-month and year-on-year recorded at 0.4% and 4%, respectively. The non-farm employment numbers for August and September were collectively revised down by 112,000. This is the weakest employment report for the Biden administration to date, but it also reflects the severe impact of hurricanes and the Boeing strike. Following the release of the data, interest rate futures indicated an increased likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in November, with the chances of further cuts in December and 2025 also increasing. #你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? #MtGox转移BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温
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November 2nd Afternoon Thoughts As the U.S. election day approaches, Bitcoin has surged this week, directly breaking through $70,000. This rise in Bitcoin is widely regarded as being driven by the election results, with ongoing changes in the Middle East situation also having an impact. Meanwhile, data shows that so far this month, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has seen a net inflow of approximately $3.1 billion. With about a week left until the U.S. election, investor optimism in cryptocurrencies continues to rise. In the previous months, Bitcoin's price was confined within the range of $55,000 to $70,000. However, considering the new highs in the U.S. stock market this month, the upcoming election on November 5th, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on November 7th, Xue Liang expects Bitcoin's price to further break through. However, this market has high operational risks, and everyone should act within their means, avoiding blind following, and must ensure proper risk control. Today's operations undoubtedly continue to maintain yesterday's bullish outlook. Currently, the price is still at a high level on the daily chart, and the strength in the larger cycle remains. On the daily chart, the K-line has gradually stood above the short-term moving average, and the price has begun to break free from the previous resistance zone, showing a trend of continued upward movement. In the 4-hour chart, the short-term moving average is gradually turning upward, with the price having almost no pullback space near the previous resistance zone. Throughout the day, continue to monitor for any opportunities for a second surge. Pay attention to the adjustment and recovery of the smaller cycle movements. In terms of operations, the support below is at 69,600; as long as it stabilizes above this level, any pullback is an opportunity to go long again, with resistance levels of 72,000 and 73,800 to watch for above. Bitcoin: 68,900-69,400 buy. Target 70,000-70,500 Ethereum: 2,440-2,480 buy. Target 2,540-2,580 #你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? #MtGox转移BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温 $BTC
November 2nd Afternoon Thoughts
As the U.S. election day approaches, Bitcoin has surged this week, directly breaking through $70,000. This rise in Bitcoin is widely regarded as being driven by the election results, with ongoing changes in the Middle East situation also having an impact. Meanwhile, data shows that so far this month, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has seen a net inflow of approximately $3.1 billion. With about a week left until the U.S. election, investor optimism in cryptocurrencies continues to rise. In the previous months, Bitcoin's price was confined within the range of $55,000 to $70,000. However, considering the new highs in the U.S. stock market this month, the upcoming election on November 5th, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on November 7th, Xue Liang expects Bitcoin's price to further break through. However, this market has high operational risks, and everyone should act within their means, avoiding blind following, and must ensure proper risk control. Today's operations undoubtedly continue to maintain yesterday's bullish outlook. Currently, the price is still at a high level on the daily chart, and the strength in the larger cycle remains. On the daily chart, the K-line has gradually stood above the short-term moving average, and the price has begun to break free from the previous resistance zone, showing a trend of continued upward movement. In the 4-hour chart, the short-term moving average is gradually turning upward, with the price having almost no pullback space near the previous resistance zone. Throughout the day, continue to monitor for any opportunities for a second surge. Pay attention to the adjustment and recovery of the smaller cycle movements. In terms of operations, the support below is at 69,600; as long as it stabilizes above this level, any pullback is an opportunity to go long again, with resistance levels of 72,000 and 73,800 to watch for above.
Bitcoin: 68,900-69,400 buy. Target 70,000-70,500
Ethereum: 2,440-2,480 buy. Target 2,540-2,580
#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? #MtGox转移BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温 $BTC
学良的交易日记
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Bullish
Thoughts in the early morning of November 2
The daily line of the big cake shows a big negative decline in the previous K entity. The opening of the day continues to test downward. It gets support around 68,800 and rebounds slightly to enter adjustment, directly losing half of the gains of this rise. The Bollinger Bands begin to shrink. The market breaks through the middle track of the short-term moving average and becomes a key position in the short term. If it can be held, the bulls can still usher in a counterattack. The MACD fast and slow lines turn downward, the volume column shrinks, the KDJ crosses downward, and the VR indicator consolidates around the 120 value. In the 4-hour view, the market breaks through the lower track and tests the 60-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands are slightly open. The short-term moving average turns downward. The MACD fast and slow lines cross downward and extend the volume column. The KDJ shows signs of turning. The VR indicator consolidates around the 200 value. The RSI enters the oversold area. Overall, this wave of decline directly broke through the 70,000 mark. The current short-term support is the daily middle track area, which is around 68,000. If this area breaks, then the support for continued decline is around 66,000. Tonight, the non-agricultural data will be released, plus the monthly line closes, so the market volatility will be large after all, and risk control must be done well. In the short term, the daily middle track area is used as a short-term support reference. If it breaks, refer to the second support.
Pie: 69100-69600 more. Target 71100-71600
Ether: 2450-2490 more. Target 2550-2590
#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #非农就业人数大幅降温 #灰度XRP信托基金开放 #BNB季度销毁 $BTC
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学良的交易日记
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Bullish
November 2nd Afternoon Thoughts
As the U.S. election day approaches, Bitcoin has surged this week, directly breaking through $70,000. This rise in Bitcoin is widely regarded as being driven by the election results, with ongoing changes in the Middle East situation also having an impact. Meanwhile, data shows that so far this month, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has seen a net inflow of approximately $3.1 billion. With about a week left until the U.S. election, investor optimism in cryptocurrencies continues to rise. In the previous months, Bitcoin's price was confined within the range of $55,000 to $70,000. However, considering the new highs in the U.S. stock market this month, the upcoming election on November 5th, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on November 7th, Xue Liang expects Bitcoin's price to further break through. However, this market has high operational risks, and everyone should act within their means, avoiding blind following, and must ensure proper risk control. Today's operations undoubtedly continue to maintain yesterday's bullish outlook. Currently, the price is still at a high level on the daily chart, and the strength in the larger cycle remains. On the daily chart, the K-line has gradually stood above the short-term moving average, and the price has begun to break free from the previous resistance zone, showing a trend of continued upward movement. In the 4-hour chart, the short-term moving average is gradually turning upward, with the price having almost no pullback space near the previous resistance zone. Throughout the day, continue to monitor for any opportunities for a second surge. Pay attention to the adjustment and recovery of the smaller cycle movements. In terms of operations, the support below is at 69,600; as long as it stabilizes above this level, any pullback is an opportunity to go long again, with resistance levels of 72,000 and 73,800 to watch for above.
Bitcoin: 68,900-69,400 buy. Target 70,000-70,500
Ethereum: 2,440-2,480 buy. Target 2,540-2,580
#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? #MtGox转移BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温 $BTC
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谭森财富日记
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Morning thoughts on November 1st:

The large coin rebounded slightly to 72700 yesterday before falling all the way down, hitting a low of around 69700 at midnight and then rebounding. The current price is hovering around the 70400 area. Today, the daytime is expected to fluctuate between 71000 and 70000, with not much volatility during the day. Tonight, we need to pay close attention to the release of non-farm data. Currently, the K-line pattern on the market remains in a high-position fluctuation. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD's DIF and DEA values are gradually decreasing, and the MACD histogram has turned from positive to negative, indicating short-term pullback pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has retreated from the overbought zone to the neutral area, currently around 49, indicating weakening momentum. In trend indicators, EMA7 is above the current price, EMA30 is close to the current price, and EMA120 is far below the current price, suggesting that the long-term trend is still upward, but there may be short-term adjustments, waiting for a rebound in coin prices to set up short positions.

Large coin: Short at 71000-70800, target 69800-68800
Second coin: Short at 2560-2540, target 2450

#BinanceBlockchainWeek #美国大选后行情预测 #市场关注美国非农数据 #TIA超大额解锁 #你问我答 $ETH $BTC
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There are two important events next week that need to be paid special attention to. First, the results of the US election will be announced on November 5. Looking back, when Trump was unexpectedly elected president, the futures market was like a turbulent ocean, setting off a storm from skyrocketing to plummeting. The bulls and bears launched a fierce battle, and the battle was so intense that it was like a war without gunpowder, and large-scale position liquidations followed. That scene was like a major earthquake in the financial world, which shook the hearts of countless investors. Second, the Federal Reserve will hold an interest rate meeting from November 6 to 7. If the meeting announces a rate cut, the stock market may be like a shot of adrenaline, and is expected to usher in another round of vigorous rise. It will be a prosperous scene, and investors may be filled with joy and expectations. However, if the Federal Reserve decides to keep the current interest rate unchanged, the stock market may continue to move slowly along the current trajectory without any waves. According to the recently released non-farm payrolls data, the market generally predicts that the possibility of this rate cut is 25 basis points. But this is just a speculation, and how the future will develop is still full of uncertainty. When we consider the two key factors of the election results and the interest rate meeting, the financial market may usher in an unprecedented large fluctuation. This fluctuation may be like the ocean in a storm, full of unknowns and challenges. Investors need to be vigilant at all times and pay close attention to every subtle change in the market in order to make wise decisions in this financial storm. Whether it is the uncertainty of the election results or the impact of the decision-making of the interest rate meeting, it will have a profound impact on the financial market. Where will the future financial market go? Let us wait and see. #你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? #MtGox转移BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温 $BTC $ETH
There are two important events next week that need to be paid special attention to.

First, the results of the US election will be announced on November 5. Looking back, when Trump was unexpectedly elected president, the futures market was like a turbulent ocean, setting off a storm from skyrocketing to plummeting. The bulls and bears launched a fierce battle, and the battle was so intense that it was like a war without gunpowder, and large-scale position liquidations followed. That scene was like a major earthquake in the financial world, which shook the hearts of countless investors.

Second, the Federal Reserve will hold an interest rate meeting from November 6 to 7. If the meeting announces a rate cut, the stock market may be like a shot of adrenaline, and is expected to usher in another round of vigorous rise. It will be a prosperous scene, and investors may be filled with joy and expectations. However, if the Federal Reserve decides to keep the current interest rate unchanged, the stock market may continue to move slowly along the current trajectory without any waves. According to the recently released non-farm payrolls data, the market generally predicts that the possibility of this rate cut is 25 basis points. But this is just a speculation, and how the future will develop is still full of uncertainty.

When we consider the two key factors of the election results and the interest rate meeting, the financial market may usher in an unprecedented large fluctuation. This fluctuation may be like the ocean in a storm, full of unknowns and challenges. Investors need to be vigilant at all times and pay close attention to every subtle change in the market in order to make wise decisions in this financial storm. Whether it is the uncertainty of the election results or the impact of the decision-making of the interest rate meeting, it will have a profound impact on the financial market. Where will the future financial market go? Let us wait and see.

#你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? #MtGox转移BTC #非农就业人数大幅降温 $BTC $ETH
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Investing in yourself is the wisest choice. In this world, the 80/20 rule is almost everywhere. 20% of people live in villas, while 80% live in ordinary houses; 20% hold mid-to-senior leadership positions, while 80% are ordinary employees; 20% drive luxury cars, while 80% drive regular vehicles... In any industry, we should be committed to self-investment, striving to become part of the top 20% in our field. Of course, within this 20%, some may have advantages due to being born into wealthy or powerful families, which are things we cannot change, so there's no need to focus too much on that. One of the most important things in life is to engage in work you love and do it to the best of your ability, becoming part of that 20% in the 80/20 rule. This way, you can gain recognition and rewards from others in your industry. If you are currently experiencing losses and don't know what to do, you can follow me, click on my profile, and find me anytime. #你问我答 #11月市场预测 #非农就业人数大幅降温 $BTC $BNB $USDC
Investing in yourself is the wisest choice.
In this world, the 80/20 rule is almost everywhere. 20% of people live in villas, while 80% live in ordinary houses; 20% hold mid-to-senior leadership positions, while 80% are ordinary employees; 20% drive luxury cars, while 80% drive regular vehicles...
In any industry, we should be committed to self-investment, striving to become part of the top 20% in our field. Of course, within this 20%, some may have advantages due to being born into wealthy or powerful families, which are things we cannot change, so there's no need to focus too much on that.
One of the most important things in life is to engage in work you love and do it to the best of your ability, becoming part of that 20% in the 80/20 rule. This way, you can gain recognition and rewards from others in your industry.

If you are currently experiencing losses and don't know what to do, you can follow me, click on my profile, and find me anytime.
#你问我答 #11月市场预测 #非农就业人数大幅降温 $BTC $BNB $USDC
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CZ's return, the cryptocurrency market is about to reach new highs, 2024 welcomes a recovery, and 2025 will see a concentrated explosion. As the cryptocurrency market strides into a bull market, CZ finally reappears before us. He openly discussed many issues, such as not returning to Binance and continuing his retirement life as an investor. He was not bullied in prison; after all, for someone of his stature, it would be ridiculous if he were. His overall state is very good, and more importantly, he stated that 2024 is the year of recovery for the cryptocurrency market, and 2025 will bring bolder narratives and opportunities. During CZ's time in prison, the cryptocurrency market experienced a long period of adjustment, and everyone suffered greatly; it seemed that the market was leaderless. CZ's return at least makes investors feel much more assured. Although it may not directly bring us anything, it indeed provides a sense of security, and the timing of his return is very opportune. Therefore, everyone should hold onto their quality assets, as the market will inevitably see many short sellers with the adjustment. Various conspiracy theories are emerging, and everyone should stay true to their hearts and not be influenced by them. The current mining cost for miners is approximately $86,000, which is not the direct cost; this includes all operational management, taxes, talent recruitment, and other expenses. Even facing such high costs, they are still increasing their investments. Currently, the total network computing power of Bitcoin has again reached a new high, indicating that miners are very optimistic about Bitcoin and believe that investing in it can bring substantial returns to investors. #非农就业人数大幅降温 #美国大选后行情预测
CZ's return, the cryptocurrency market is about to reach new highs, 2024 welcomes a recovery, and 2025 will see a concentrated explosion.

As the cryptocurrency market strides into a bull market, CZ finally reappears before us.

He openly discussed many issues, such as not returning to Binance and continuing his retirement life as an investor.

He was not bullied in prison; after all, for someone of his stature, it would be ridiculous if he were.

His overall state is very good, and more importantly, he stated that 2024 is the year of recovery for the cryptocurrency market, and 2025 will bring bolder narratives and opportunities.

During CZ's time in prison, the cryptocurrency market experienced a long period of adjustment, and everyone suffered greatly; it seemed that the market was leaderless.

CZ's return at least makes investors feel much more assured.

Although it may not directly bring us anything, it indeed provides a sense of security, and the timing of his return is very opportune.
Therefore, everyone should hold onto their quality assets, as the market will inevitably see many short sellers with the adjustment.

Various conspiracy theories are emerging, and everyone should stay true to their hearts and not be influenced by them.
The current mining cost for miners is approximately $86,000, which is not the direct cost; this includes all operational management, taxes, talent recruitment, and other expenses.

Even facing such high costs, they are still increasing their investments. Currently, the total network computing power of Bitcoin has again reached a new high, indicating that miners are very optimistic about Bitcoin and believe that investing in it can bring substantial returns to investors.
#非农就业人数大幅降温 #美国大选后行情预测