Bitcoin Follow-up Market Analysis:
1) It has currently fallen to around 0.236, with weak bullish momentum and strong bearish momentum, indicating that the market is still dominated by bears;
2) If there is no strong counterattack from the bulls after one or two days of fluctuation, and the current weak momentum persists, it is highly likely that there will be further declines;
3) In the worst-case scenario, the price will drop to near the 0-axis, around 88K; in an optimistic scenario, it will stop falling and rise near 91K;
4) Wide-ranging volatile market, enduring is tough. #市场调整策略 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #晒交易赢奖励 #DeFAI热点 #币安Alpha上新

The market has been in hell mode for the past two years, it’s really tough. Last night, over a hundred thousand people were liquidated. Now, they don’t even treat retail investors as human beings, just playing with them like monkeys 🤮🤮. The scams are the most outrageous, breaking the opening price. There’s no regulation in this market, and the manipulators do whatever they want. There’s nothing we can do about it, it’s so disgusting. A few days ago, Bitcoin was rising, but the volume has always been insufficient. I’ve been emphasizing that a rise without volume will definitely come down, but I didn’t expect it to drop this sharply and deeply before the 20th.

I looked at the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and found nothing new; there is not much difference from what Powell said in the December meeting. The focus remains on slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, so the two adjustments are currently the Federal Reserve's benchmark, and any adjustments beyond that will largely depend on market conditions.
Moreover, from the meeting minutes, the Federal Reserve is quite optimistic about the current U.S. economy and labor market, seeing no potential problems in the economy and believing that the U.S. labor market still needs to cool down, so a recession is not on the horizon in the short term.
The unemployment rate data on Friday remains a significant short-term gamble. #市场调整策略 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #晒交易赢奖励 #DeFAI热点 #币安Alpha上新

From the ETF data, we can indeed see that some users are in a state of panic, which is the case for ETH. If we look at BTC, there is an even larger scale of selling, as most investors in ETH still maintain a wait-and-see attitude. From a macro perspective, if it is as mentioned in yesterday's assignment, where the decline in sentiment is due to labor shortages, then Friday is very likely to be priced in or it may rebound. After all, in reality, the non-farm data is the most important, and it may not necessarily be very bad. The current decline is very likely a reaction to the expectations of the non-farm data. #市场调整策略 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #晒交易赢奖励 #DeFAI热点 #加密市场回调

Everyone is saying that the copycat season is coming~
I don’t think it will happen that soon😂
The main force just cleaned up the market and trapped people and pulled up the market to get rid of the trap
Isn’t this just shooting itself in the foot
There are two prerequisites for the copycat season
1. The main force has absorbed enough chips
2. The big cake resumes its upward trend
Both of the above require time to accumulate
Any rise and fall cannot be completed all at once
The main force has two means to clean up retail investors: panic and time
Of course, I believe that there will still be a market next year#市场调整策略 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #晒交易赢奖励 #DeFAI热点 #DeFAI热点

If you lose money, it’s because you are a loser.
You will be satisfied only if the market keeps rising?
The secondary market is bad.
There are many coins that have skyrocketed in the primary market.
Did everyone make money?
You can make money in the primary market.
You have a large traffic of KOLs, and you can make money by taking liquidity.
The 28th Law becomes 55th in the primary market?
Or the 10th Law?
More than half of the people have made money?
If you lose money, it’s because you are a loser.
No one forced you to buy the bottom in December.
No one forced you to buy the bottom a few days ago.
No one stopped you from selling the top before the big drop in December.
Isn’t the 50-200% market of the copycat in 11-12 enough?
Now you are trapped and you wail.
You curse this and that, saying that the exchange is not good.
You say that V God sold ETH.
What’s wrong? You are trapped because of others?
I am annoyed when I see these KOLs. I admit that I have poor skills.
I can make money again after reviewing the market. Blaming others can’t solve any problems.
I can only blame myself. I am a loser.
I don’t know how to reflect and improve myself. #市场调整策略 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #晒交易赢奖励 #DeFAI热点 #加密市场回调

Is a turning point coming tonight!?
The whole Wall Street is paying attention to two data points tonight. The first is the ADP employment data at 9:15. Everyone, take a look at the chart.
If the actual result is below 13.9, it's positive; if it's above, it's negative.
Then at 9:30, there will be the number of first-time applicants for unemployment benefits. A result above 21.5 is positive, while below is negative.
The current logic is that the job market is hot, and inflation is rising, so a decrease in employment numbers is beneficial for suppressing inflation and for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.
I believe the market has already priced in most of the negative news, so even if the data exceeds expectations tonight, it may not drop much more. However, if it turns out to be positive, a big rebound could come!~#市场调整策略 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #币安Alpha上新 #DeFAI热点 #加密市场回调

In fact, the entire financial market is a large-scale game of plundering liquidity. Whether it is US stocks, BTC, or on-chain local dogs, do you think that the US stock market's year-round highs are not plundering liquidity? In fact, the US stock market has plundered the liquidity of each of us through the inflation of the US dollar.

No matter how good the liquidity on the chain is, at the end of the final cycle, perhaps less than 2% of people can win, and the money they earn is the money of the remaining 98%. Just like the squid game, the male protagonist's final 45.6 billion bonus pool is made up of corpses, and I believe this is already the game with the highest "win rate". The win rate of this round of secondary and contracts must be lower, because the chain has plundered the liquidity of the secondary in this cycle.

Just like the squid game, everyone is sometimes teammates and sometimes enemies in this on-chain game, but there is no doubt that if you are alone, you will not survive to the end.

#加密市场回调 #DeFAI热点 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #市场调整策略

Before the Spring Festival, falling is the norm and rising is an accident!
Just like last January, the price of individual coins fell terribly! There is no volume in the rebound, which is the most realistic problem at present. Funds are waiting and watching. When the market is not good now, everyone should go out and relax. Friends who are not confident can look at the market in January 2024, which is also falling. The main rising wave market will follow. At present, it is a pit digging market. Short-term friends must wait for the bottom divergence to enter the market to buy the bottom, or wait for the long lower shadow line to enter the market, and always keep an eye on the best opportunity before the New Year! The opportunity is behind, wait until the big pit is dug, and then start working

#加密市场回调 #DeFAI热点 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备 #市场调整策略 #本轮牛市周期预期

Why did it fall last night? Will it fall next?

The market is a buying and selling sentiment. Whether it is a market maker, a large institution, or an individual investor, etc., they receive various different information from the market every day, especially from the United States. At present, there is still time before the transfer of power in the election, and there is no speculation. So what can affect market sentiment is macro information.

It is currently a rate cut cycle. For now, any information that is unfavorable to more than 2 rate cuts will cause market panic and cause selling to exceed buying. Then $BTC will fall slightly, and the altcoin will be even uglier when there is no liquidity. As for on-chain, although on-chain may not be so much with $BTC, the essence of on-chain popularity requires good emotions. Without sustained good emotions, it is not very optimistic.

Of course, you can also say that before this new big trend is formed, there are speculations that make very short-term profits, because there are all kinds of investment preferences in this market, this is certain. Anyway, it is a volatile market, but the volatility is large. There is nothing wrong with this.

At present, it has fallen back to the situation before and after Christmas. So the logic I mentioned earlier, what information will stimulate the market sentiment in the future, whether buying is greater than selling or selling is greater than buying, which will trigger the demand for BTC, and the rise and fall of BTC will affect the rise and fall of the cottage. This is the logic of spot and contract.
So friends asked whether it will fall again. Next week, there will be non-agricultural data, unemployment rate, etc. If it is conducive to continued multiple interest rate cuts, then it will rise. If it is not conducive to continued multiple interest rate cuts, then it will fall. We can expect the amount of data, but we cannot predict the market sentiment. We can only do our best to make trading strategies and maximize the interests of personal positions. This is the most difficult and the most anti-human.

But then again. In the face of power transfer and policy, the macro level must be ranked behind. The 1.20 power transfer can still remain optimistic, but in this short period of time, it is inevitable to be tiring. That's it.

#加密市场回调 #DeFAI热点 #BNB纳入不丹GMC加密战略储备

This round of fraudulent cannon stretching and smashing down is all for cleaning the contract market. At present, the big cake cannot fall below 96500. If it falls below, it will be washed deeper. Reviewing the past time nodes and the form fraudulent cannon, then it is harmless to the spot position. Don't worry about Bitcoin only falling a few points. It's normal. For the altcoin, it is naturally uncomfortable. There is no way. If you are a spot with mainstream value, you can lie flat temporarily, or do a good job of maximum retracement risk control. If it is a small meme altcoin, then don't consider replenishing your position to lower the average price, because there are still many data to be announced this week, and various positive and negative factors are repeated. It is easy to hurt you by mistake during the pulling process. The best way is to lie flat and wait for the end of the wash phase. At this stage, the spot enters the market in batches, and the contract waits for the right side to enter the market.

#加密市场回调 #DeFAI热点 #市场调整策略 #微策略持续增持BTC #微策略持续增持BTC

A good way to spot scams is to abstract their features:

Give you a 22000% Staking, you know it is a dividend plate;
Give you a capital and a lowercase, you know it is a split plate,
Give you a speed pass water drop fund, you know it is a mutual aid plate.

The above are all things happening in the world: smart money (to be precise, experienced money) is harvesting dull money (but in fact it may just be a lack of understanding).

This is an objective reality, it does not change because of someone's transmission or not. It does not mean that if you, me, or Teacher Wei Tuo keep silent, the scam will disappear from now on, and the blockchain will move towards greatness and justice from now on

#2025加密趋势预测 #币安Alpha公布第8批项目 #加密市场调整 #BTC上攻11万？

12.26 Style Transformation

1. BTC ETF has experienced net outflows for four consecutive days. What is even more rare is that the main ETF BlackRock IBIT also had a large outflow of 180 million US dollars on December 24. BlackRock has been buying for almost a whole year, and this is the first time it has sold a large amount

2. ETH ETF has been in a state of net inflows in the past four days, especially BlackRock's ETHA is still steadily increasing its holdings. Institutions have already made early arrangements for next year's style transformation#2025加密趋势预测 #币安Alpha公布第6批项目 #“圣诞老人行情”再现 #BinanceLabs投资Usual #比特币市场波动观察

Good morning, brothers. BTC is once again challenging the 100,000 mark, but altcoins have yet to follow, and market funds appear to be slightly insufficient.

Let us look forward to the big market; does BTC have support and can it break through the previous high?

Yesterday, the Russian finance minister stated that Russia is using Bitcoin for international trade, which is a result of legislative changes allowing such use in response to Western sanctions. He believes that cryptocurrency has unique advantages in mitigating sanctions, inflation, and currency volatility risks.

This year, Russia has allowed the use of cryptocurrency in foreign trade and has taken measures to legalize cryptocurrency mining.

Recently, BTC's strong rise may be related to countries like Russia and Iran, which are under U.S. sanctions secretly purchasing BTC. Whether the Chinese government is secretly buying is unknown, but Russia has confirmed it.

As the date of Trump's inauguration approaches, some U.S. states have begun to try ahead of time: incorporating BTC into state fiscal strategic reserves.

In the days when BTC has fallen:

• On December 17, Ohio proposed a bill to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

• Texas proposed a bill in December to establish a Bitcoin reserve.

• In November, Pennsylvania proposed using 10% of the state’s general fund to purchase nearly $1 billion worth of Bitcoin.

By 2025, it is expected that at least one U.S. state will establish a Bitcoin strategic reserve, and cities outside the U.S., such as Vancouver, may also establish Bitcoin reserves.

These are all factors driving BTC's rise; with BTC strong, altcoins can also benefit, and there is still potential in the crypto space.

#比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多将“加速”增持BTC #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？ #比特币市场波动观察 #币安LaunchpoolBIO

The current major cycle of Bitcoin will reach 180,000 US dollars

From the perspective of policy and macro background (to put it simply)

1) BCBS (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision) has approved its global rules for cryptocurrency banks, limiting exposure to crypto assets to no more than 2%, effective January 1, 2025 (should be postponed)

It should be noted that BCBS is the main global standard-setter for banking regulation and rules, which indicates that once the bank rules are formally implemented, central banks around the world are likely to gradually allocate Bitcoin and other crypto assets, which represents a considerable amount of capital

2) In 2025, the U.S. Department of Labor will relax guidance on cryptocurrency in 401(k) plans, prompting billions of dollars to flow into crypto assets

3) Next year will be the “Year of Cryptocurrency IPOs,” with at least 8 crypto unicorn companies going public in the U.S.

4) The U.S. will definitely pass stablecoin legislation, at which point stablecoin assets are expected to reach 600 billion US dollars, more than double what it is now!

5) El Salvador has already tasted the sweetness of holding Bitcoin, with the U.S. leading the way, a small spark igniting a larger fire, and more countries will allocate accordingly

After Trump takes office, the wave of cryptocurrency policy will arrive, and the golden four years for the crypto market has already begun. If you are still simply limited to interest rate cuts and hikes, your perspective is too narrow!

The future of Bitcoin has never been this certain!

#萨尔瓦多将“加速”增持BTC #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？ #圣诞行情分析 #币安LaunchpoolBIO #BinanceLabs投资Usual

The best investment targets in personal awareness that I missed this year:

UXLINK, since listing on Han, after a washout, I bought at basically the lowest point but only made 3X, then sold too early, and didn't increase my position enough.
The logic for buying at that time was very simple: extremely low market cap, FDV only a bit over 100 million.
Later, based on newly listed targets on Han, I thought with inertia about CARV ATH, but the returns were just average. In summary, whether Han's listed targets can pump really depends on who is the market maker; otherwise, you can only earn a little and then run. The only advantage is that it drops less, and after new listings, there will be a period of market cap management, which is much better compared to BN.

Currently feeling: The next #TIA probably won't be MOVE, after all, there aren't many chips outside, and with the mainnet not launched, the only thing that can be done is to pump. Everyone is fearful of heights, thinking it’s expensive, so nobody is on board. Now, if we pump, once the mainnet opens and the ecosystem is hyped up, will we sell the goods to everyone? Let's think and observe a bit; if there’s a good opportunity, I will definitely get on board.
#币安Alpha第6批项目上線 #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #BinanceLabs投资Usual #比特币战略储备

Christmas Eve in the US stock market seems to be enchanted, soaring up after the opening, and our Bitcoin is not to be outdone, jumping directly from $94,000 to $99,000, a leap of a full 6 points! The bears have really taken a big tumble this time! Is it that foreign friends are busy stockpiling 'New Year goods' before the New Year, or do they not accept gifts during the New Year and instead have settled on BTC as 'digital gold'? Anyway, this wave of Bitcoin is really pleasant.

How will the market behave during these days of Christmas? Come, come, let's discuss your views! This article is just a personal reflection and is not any investment advice! Everyone can just treat it as a bit of fun to read.

Speaking of Bitcoin, I think it might wobble between $94,000 and $100,000. Although market sentiment is still a bit tense now, the panic has faded quite a bit. If we want to break the current deadlock, there needs to be a real volume of transactions with actual money!

#币安Alpha第6批项目上線 #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #加密市场反弹 #比特币市场波动观察 #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？

In the days following the Federal Reserve meeting, the bears mocked those who were bullish, saying they were buying like dogs. We could only endure and be patient; it was indeed a weak moment, but the overall trend remained unchanged and steadfast. If we can get through this, there will be a comforting feeling of light at the end of the tunnel. Market conditions vary; when the market is good, there’s no need to ridicule the bears. Just focus on your own daily trading, ignore the noisy distractions, and concentrate on making your own money—that's enough. I firmly believe that BTC will not effectively break below 90,000 between December and March, and my view remains unchanged.

#币安Alpha第6批项目上線 #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #BinanceLabs投资Usual #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？ #比特币市场波动观察

My personal opinion on $BTC is the same as that on $ETH. Judging from the obstruction at the current position, I temporarily think it is a "box shock of short-term falling structure".

Why short-term, because the price has not fallen below the area below, which is the key area.

If you want to buy more, I personally think that the upward momentum will be stronger after the market effectively breaks through the 99,300 area.

Find some altcoins with structures to be broken through and put them in the self-selected list first. When the big cake breaks through, look at those altcoins and choose to break through and chase more or rebound after the breakthrough.

#币安Alpha第6批项目上線 #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #BinanceLabs投资Usual #比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析