At this moment, you are staring at the red and green K-lines, secretly regretting why you didn't buy the bottom just now. You open the group chat that is suddenly full of laughter and say a few perfunctory words, pretending that you have also made money. You have completely forgotten the dark fear that you felt that the currency circle was going to return to zero more than two hours ago, and BTC was still not plugged in.
When you can't help it, anxiously and mindlessly click the familiar button again, the familiar plot comes again...
Any similarities are purely coincidental#圣诞行情预测 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #USUAL走势分析 #PCE通胀降温

At present, it is a rebound after an oversold decline. It is a messy way of stewing meat without stabilizing. Usually, the main force's method is that those who are panicking may have already cut their losses, and then rebound a little. Those who got on the train in the middle will be killed again. After several such operations, they will be completely cut off and give up resistance.
For those who are already on the train, it is recommended that there is no cost-effectiveness in cutting losses, so just lie down and pretend to be dead.
Such a big decline also means that the cleaning will start again. The bloody chips of all coins have been washed out. It's just a choice. Regardless of whether it is an oversold rebound or a longer period of time, it can only be said that these leaders are given priority, and I'm talking about the possibility of the main force of the market, don't be confused in the middle, especially in the big drop, you are anxious to get your money back, your mentality is unbalanced, stay calm, wait for recovery, don't use leverage, I hope you are still alive
I can only say that there are very few people who are completely empty, even if they are empty, they will enter in the middle, no one is a winner, always keep awe of the market...
Who doesn't cross the river by feeling the stones?#圣诞行情预测 #比特币战略储备 #加密市场回调 #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察

The price chose to directly break the cyan line and has now reached the vicinity of the blue average support band;
If the US stock market continues to fall during the trading session tonight, the target will be around 90,000 of the blue average support line;
I subjectively do not think that the short trend will directly turn here (break the blue line), so the closer to 90,000, the higher the profit and loss ratio of long positions, after all, it is convenient to stop loss!
But if the blue line falls below, 🐮💀! #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析

The sky of the cryptocurrency world has fallen! Hold on!
According to the speed and angle of BTC's decline, it is highly likely that it will fall to the Fibonacci rising channel 0.382 position, which is around 91K.
As for whether it will fall to a lower price, such as a pin to the 0.236 position, which is around 87.5k, I predict that the probability is relatively small. BTC is likely to stop falling near 91K, and accumulate momentum for the subsequent higher price of 125,000-135,000. #比特币战略储备 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #加密市场回调 #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL走势分析

Before the price of Bitcoin peaked at 108,000 on December 17, the market sentiment was still thriving and positive, and many projects were rushing to complete their annual plans before the market sentiment was good and before Christmas and New Year's Day.

Who knew that Master Bao's hawkish remarks at this time would break the market's good expectations. Although we already knew that the Fed would cut interest rates by 25 points and Japan could not raise interest rates, the speech after the meeting was unpredictable, but we can analyze the motivation from the consistent performance of this master of balancing. From his standpoint, he could not surrender and show goodwill to Trump right away. Even if he had already thought about making peace, he must first jump around to show his muscles and demonstrate his united front value.

Similarly, the government shutdown caused by Congress's budget blockage is also an opportunity for Trump to be a good person. First, these government personnel are "exiled" and then recalled according to Musk's efficiency committee evaluation. Back and forth, the black pot is taken by the old man, and the good man Trump takes the blame. This not only wins people's hearts, but also does not affect Trump's inauguration. The redundant personnel are removed at the right time, which can be said to kill three birds with one stone. So when Trump takes office smoothly, Master Bao can turn his face faster than turning a book at any time, and it is completely possible to quickly and continuously reduce it to 3%.

#币安Alpha项目公布 #比特币市场波动观察 #USUAL持续飙升 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC #比特币战略储备

I've been thinking recently
It's hard to make money in the secondary market
Can it be a pattern?
Combined with the fact that I can easily make money playing meme,
and the recent experience of making money with new coins usually tells me
If it's hard for me to make money
It must be my problem, money is blown by the wind
It's my investment idea problem
Don't have too many illusions about vc coins, at this stage

#USUAL持续飙升 #比特币市场波动观察 #加密市场回调 #比特币战略储备

BTC is also going to fall to harvest the hot money in the market. It is to make those short-term holders who took over at high positions hand over their chips. But BTC harvesting is not like cottage industry. Cottage industry will directly drop 90 degrees below the line after it is pulled up, and even take it away in one wave.
But BTC does not harvest leeks in this way. Remember the wave from the end of last year to the beginning of this year, that is, from April to August, it was grinding back and forth. After April, it kept rushing to 72,000 without breaking through. Then it really started to fall in August. Forcing short-term holders to hand over their chips. So this time since the end of October and November, this wave of main rising waves is far from over, and there will be good news from January to March next year. So it is bearish if it falls. If you want to directly smash it for you, it is unlikely that the chips on the chain will go bad to the beginning of 8 or even lower, unless there is an economic black swan, but it is close to the transfer of power. The probability of occurrence is very low.

Now it is a high-level shock waiting for a new direction. The new direction is Q1 next year. To put it bluntly, it is easy to understand that the "dog dealer" will not end the distribution of chips so quickly. It will be pulled back again, and then the chips will be distributed.
So based on the price of 95,700, the further decline will be limited.

Finally, let's talk about the altcoin, which is also of concern to my friends. I have said since the 18th that you can slowly buy the bottom. If you want to buy a deeper bottom, then look at the situation of BTC at 95,700 and the extent of the altcoin's decline. I have also reminded you before that whether to split the position or do it all at once depends on personal habits. As for what to buy the bottom, I have also provided ideas before. Or if you are afraid and want to wait for it to stabilize later before entering, it is also possible, after all, no one can buy at the lowest point. If you want to be stable, you can also buy the top 30 coins. It depends on your personal investment preference.

The above is short-term. It is for the next few months. Speaking of the long term, in fact, although BTC is 100,000 US dollars. As long as the United States does not mess around. The trend of BTC and ETH may be found in gold. Especially now that the issuance of legal currency is more crazy than when gold passed the spot ETF in 2004. As shown in the picture.

#USUAL持续飙升 #加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测 #市场调整後的机会？

zen
zen is one of the rare certain big opportunities, zen has one of the lowest market values among all grayscale holdings, grayscale bought 250,000 in two days, at this rate, it could buy out the circulation in half a year. Grayscale is sending money with famous brands, a certain big opportunity to make money, and the market hasn't reacted yet.

#USUAL持续飙升 #加密市场回调 #比特币战略储备 #市场调整後的机会？ #币安Alpha项目公布

Today many people messaged me, worried about their high position orders being stuck during the decline, and then concerned about missing the opportunity during the afternoon rebound. Here, I would like to share my viewpoint. For those who asked, I've patiently provided suggestions, and if there are any mistakes, please don’t hold a grudge. 🤪

This pullback is at the daily chart level and won't be resolved quickly. The afternoon rebound is just a temporary oversold bounce, and the next high probability is to break the low point from this morning. Those who are trading on smaller timeframes can make small trades back and forth.

How to proceed specifically:
First, do not chase highs.
Second, choose the assets you are optimistic about; if you want assistance, you can check my homepage.
Third, place orders in a pyramid-style in batches.

Yesterday, BTC broke below the middle track in the evening and chose to accelerate the pullback directly to accurately test the lower edge of the oscillation channel, which is the cyan line position;

Similar to the previous wave that came down from 104000, this is also a relatively standard oscillation pullback, as it did not break below the lower edge of the oscillation channel, the cyan line;

The difference is that the price did not confirm a break below the middle track previously (each time it dipped below the middle track at the 4-hour close, there were consecutive bullish candles that stood back above the middle track, or it simply made a long wick);

This time, however, the pullback looks more structural (with a clear wave structure), so I believe this may indicate that the previous oscillating upward trend is likely to completely shift to a range oscillation or downward oscillation trend;

In the short term, after a small-scale 5-wave pullback, and gaining support at the cyan line, there should be a rebound attempt to retest the middle track, which is around 100500;

But I subjectively believe that the middle track may not be so easily reclaimed, and the next movement will likely oscillate downwards between the middle track and the cyan line, which favors the bears, the probability will be higher;

The final target is the same as the previous upward oscillation logic; after retesting the middle track and rebounding without breaking the middle track, the price will test towards the average support area near the blue line, currently around 90000;

To summarize, there is a rebound demand in the short term (intraday), with the target at the middle track;

On the swing level (within 7 days), if the price rebound consistently fails to reclaim the middle track, it will likely move along the downward channel formed by the middle track and the cyan line, undergoing oscillation pullbacks;

Until a certain pullback gains momentum, supports at the average support area, and the rebound stands back above the middle track, the pullback will be considered over;

Due to the current closing price being far from the middle track, the trend is considered to have shifted to a bearish oscillation;

Last night, panic selling occurred again, with Mentougou continuously selling 4,000 BTC for two days. Today, another 700 BTC is expected to be sold. Last night, BTC broke below the 98,000 defensive point and directly retraced to 96,855 and 95,755, with the bulls showing no resistance, reverting back to the state from two weeks ago. Currently, BTC's 3-day MACD has a death cross, indicating a need to test the 90,000 support. ETH and SOL are in the adjustment cycles of the 3-day, 5-day, and weekly lines, synchronously experiencing a strong decline alongside the BTC market. However, the real bottom-fishing is approaching quickly.

BTC:

Low buy points below 95,000: 94,400, 93,666, 90,855, 89,855 (3-day Bollinger middle track, strong support)

ETH:

Once it drops below 3,444, there will be a certain need to test the 3,000 threshold.

Low buy points below 3,444: 3,336, 3,222, 3,112, 3,036 (5-day Bollinger middle track, strong support).

SOL:

In the weekly adjustment cycle, it briefly stayed at the 5-day Bollinger middle track of 187, with the most important supports below at 177.85 (weekly middle track) and 157.85 (3-day lower track), falling within the range for bottom-fishing.

#币安Alpha项目公布 #加密市场回调 #加密市场回调 #比特币战略储备

Not long ago, I remember there were 200,000 liquidations, now there are 300,000 liquidations. This is just the number of liquidations; those who set stop-loss orders and took losses are not counted.

Only those who have experienced liquidations know the feeling. When you open your eyes, you habitually check your phone, and then see your positions at 0, your account at 0. You hold onto a glimmer of hope, unable to believe it. You restart the app, check the notification bar, and then feel overwhelmed by a bunch of emails.
#币安Alpha项目公布 #加密市场回调 #比特币战略储备 #市场调整後的机会？ #加密用户突破1800万

BTC may continue to fall and test the bottom, analysis logic:

1) The daily candlestick has broken below the 0.618 strong attraction level;
2) The bearish volume at the four-hour level has consistently outperformed the bullish volume;
3) The bullish volume corresponding to a doji candlestick is showing average performance;
4) The net inflow of funds from ETF institutions is weakening;

Therefore, it is predicted that the probability of BTC continuing to drop to the 0.382 level, around 915K, is relatively high. However, whether it can hold at 975K needs time to observe.
#币安Alpha项目公布 #萨尔瓦多增持BTC ##美联储放鹰

This wave of decline did not have a waterfall, lasting a total of two days; currently, the long positions have been liquidated to the tune of 1.4 billion, approaching the previous waterfall market's single-day liquidation of 1.5 billion;

This is the result of eating the tail of the fish market, but the difficulty lies in the fact that many people do not realize that it is the tail of the fish, and they are still hoping for a large-scale trend to continue without any corrections;

Currently, this wave of decline in Bitcoin should temporarily stop at 95, but the bottom is still uncertain because while the liquidation data is sufficient, the holding data needs to decrease further, and the funding rate also needs to turn negative for a period of time. On the K-line, a horizontal structure needs to form at the bottom, so let's give the market some time. Short-term longs are fine, but if you want to catch a bigger move, be prepared for moving stop losses;
#币安Alpha项目公布 #加密市场回调 #灰度SUI信托基金 #USUAL现货上线币安 #加密用户突破1800万

1. $BTC logically followed the decline of US stocks, steadily returning to the five-digit era. Take a look at the market, don't rush to leverage;
Analyst: The VIX index recorded the second-largest single-day increase in history, indicating that Bitcoin may have reached a local bottom;
2. $ETH is performing much weaker than Bitcoin, lacking the trend of the second-largest cryptocurrency, but it is indeed much better than before, and many people are buying;
3. $SOL has once again fallen below 200, and this time it's unclear where to go, especially with a lot of negative news, large whale transfers to exchanges, and the on-chain market not being sustained, failing to lock in a large amount of SOL; #市场调整後的机会？ #加密市场回调 #灰度SUI信托基金 #币安Alpha项目公布

$ORDI is on fire, and someone is speculating on $SATS, saying to grab the leader
$GOAT is on fire, the East mentions $ACT, and the West is involved with $FARTCOIN
$VIRTUAL is on fire, and there are immediately more AIs
As a result, retail investors are exhausted and in tatters.
PVP games have evolved from conspiracy to scalability. If you want to keep it simple, you can only focus more on those top-tier, most visionary people and projects.

The market value exchange rate of altcoins has finally emerged from the bottom structure, but the crow's mouth has taken effect, and it really just bounced back after hitting 0.75...
Currently, the overall market value exchange rate of the altcoin market has started to bleed, and the brief liquidity overflow could not be sustained; we will have to continue waiting for the altcoin season;
Fortunately, this time, I managed to liquidate some spot during the altcoin U-based exit, otherwise, it would be quite painful right now;
In the future, if altcoins follow the red path, then the real opportunity for bottom fishing will have to wait until a year later...
I still hope this is just a second probe, and that we can achieve a higher low, that would be enough! #USUAL现货上线币安 #加密市场回调 #美联储放鹰

Asset rotation is the most widespread phenomenon in behavioral economics. Since the advent of the stock market as a specialized speculative market, this has become the most conventional and rational model guided by professional players and market makers; The emergence of good news + the parabolic rise of asset prices inevitably leads to some funds immediately selling to realize profits in this situation, looking for other similar companies, guessing who the next target is, and reinvesting the profits into these companies; This is the basic logic of high beta. If the crypto world only had BTC, then the US stock market wouldn't need IWM, and there would be no GME or AMC; Consensus only exists in BTC... blablabla... a series of arguments and analyses. Unfortunately, the market is irrational and filled with speculation and expectations; After a token rises, funds will quickly flow into similar tokens, hoping to capture the next wave of increase. This is the natural behavioral law of the market, existing in both ancient traditional speculative markets and emerging crypto speculative markets; This is common sense; all professional speculative market cycles are controlled and depicted by such simple logic; It is this kind of rule that gives rise to the so-called altcoin season, which is rooted in human nature. No matter how powerful your ETF is, does it change human nature? People still chase highs and sell lows?

After the decline, the market will be much better. The price will most likely change from the original upward shock to a wide range of shocks. The general direction is still not bad, so don't panic too much.
From the daily trend, the price is still on the medium-term bull side. The low point of the intraday correction is just the position of MA30 (lifeline tactics). The internal structure of multiple medium- and long-term supports has not been affected by the correction. The low-long after the second correction and the buying after the sideways are still the main operation mode.
From the 4H trend, the price has partially entered the short side. The potential for direct rise here is average. Considering the upward movement of the large-scale support, you can participate in the low-long after the second retracement, and the breakthrough buying is also applicable.
Short-term support 99940~98858 (watch the market), second support 96547~95568, short-term suppression 103465~104296 (break through and step back to enter) #PENGU开盘 #USUAL现货上线币安 #加密市场回调 #加密市场回调 m

The "Chives" mistakenly believe that trading is a "zero-sum game"
They think the money they earn is the money others lose; and the money they lose must be the same amount that others gain. When they lose money, they are filled with resentment towards those who make money — which is actually self-inflicted resentment……
They completely ignore the biggest force in the trading market: the economic cycle, also known as the alternation between bull and bear markets. In a bull market, the vast majority of people make money, and the losses of a few do not compare to how much money so many people make; in a bear market, the vast majority lose money, and the losses of many are countless times the gains of a few.
Therefore, this is not a "zero-sum game" at all. If you lose money, the correct explanation is: you bought at the wrong time. #PENGU开盘 #USUAL现货上线币安 #加密市场回调 you #美联储放鹰 #币安Alpha项目公布