📈 Macroeconomic and ETH Market Analysis 🧠💥
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Overview:
Yesterday's PMI data was mixed, but the Nasdaq rose strongly, boosting the crypto market! 📊 US retail sales data will be released tonight, expected to be bearish, so we need to pay attention to the actual data's impact! 💸 The ChatGPT update brings potential opportunities in the AI sector, worth noting! 🤖 MicroStrategy may be included in the S&P 500 by June 2025, which is expected to attract more capital inflow, benefiting the market! 🚀 The Fear and Greed Index has soared to 79, with market sentiment running high, but risk awareness should not be ignored! ⚠️
2️⃣ ETH Technical Analysis:
The ETH daily chart shows a long upper shadow at the previous high, indicating a need to be cautious of short-term peak retracement risks. 📉 However, during the bullish rebound, it is still possible to consider low long positions in the short term! 🔑 Short-term strategy: Refer to the EMA moving average and KD oversold resonance buy points! 📈
Trading Strategy:
Long entry point: 3950-3900 range, average price 3925, stop loss 3840, targets: 4025—4125—4200 (short-term + contracts).
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #技术分析参考 #宏观数据 #比特币冲向11万？ #交易策略

$PEOPLE
📊 PEOPLE/USDT 24-hour market analysis | August 12, 2024
🎢 Price trend:
Current price: about 0.0555 USDT
In 24 hours, it showed a V-shaped trend of falling first and then rising, falling from the high point of 0.0624 USDT to 0.0526 USDT and then rebounding
🔍 Key price:
Support level: 0.0526-0.0530 USDT
Resistance level: 0.0575-0.0580 USDT
💡 Trading suggestions:
• Long: Breaking through 0.0560 USDT may be a rising signal, and the stop loss is set below 0.0545 USDT
• Short: Falling below 0.0540 USDT may continue to decline, and the stop loss is set above 0.0555 USDT
📊 Trading volume analysis:
From the heat map, it can be seen that the trading volume in the 0.0540-0.0560 USDT range is large, which is an important trading area
⚠️ Risk warning:
• As a social token, the price of PEOPLE is greatly affected by community activities and project progress
• It is currently in a rebound stage, but we still need to be vigilant about the risk of callback
• Pay attention to the latest announcements and community dynamics of the project
• The cryptocurrency market fluctuates violently, and it is recommended to strictly control positions and risks
💡 Market insights:
• PEOPLE's recent sharp fluctuations may be related to overall market sentiment and project-specific factors
• Short-term support seems to be formed near 0.0530 USDT, and attention should be paid to whether it can stand firm and continue to rise
• As a social token, PEOPLE's price trend may reflect the market's attitude towards Web3 social applications
#PEOPLE #社交代币 #加密货币 #技术分析参考
Disclaimer: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is high risk, so please be cautious when investing.
$PEOPLE

Monitor smart wallets...

Observe more, think more, and do less!

As long as you do it, you will hit the target!

#技术分析参考

Why Technical Analysis is Unreliable

Technical analysis is a useful tool for traders, but we must consider its limitations. Technical analysis is basically based on assumptions about past market statistics and data without considering other external factors. Therefore, traders should not rely 100% on technical analysis, but use it together with other analysis methods.

Some of its limitations include:

1. It is based on assumptions about past market trends obtained from past market price and volume data;

2. It is a lagging tool and is affected by the interpretation of different traders;

3. Technical analysis does not provide the full details of the market, i.e. taking economic and global events into account,

Therefore traders should consider all these factors before using technical analysis to make investment decisions. #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #技术分析参考

【DOGE】Everyone is saying that it has gone up. Look at my layout ideas. I have made a floating profit of 30%+.
It’s not enough to just talk about it. It’s more practical to send you some DOGE red envelopes🧧!

🎀 Binance Nuts exclusive referral code (MQ01QU2G)
🌈If you don’t have any ideas yet. Follow Nuts! Daily analysis videos + 2 public live broadcasts per week, you mention the varieties and I tell you the ideas! The whole process is open!
🌈If you want to learn technical analysis, welcome to my community. There are purely public layout ideas to test the goods first!
🌈Don’t underestimate the rebate of these handling fees. No matter whether you are a big or small household, a newcomer or a veteran, even if you only have a few U per week, 20 U a month, and 200 U+ a year, what can’t you do with this money! Not to mention if you have a high trading frequency and a large amount, two or three thousand U a month, less than 1Wu a month, and 10WU pure left over in a year! Wouldn't it be nice to get an Audi A8 for free?
#doge⚡ #红包 #技术分析参考 $DOGE

Who still has the map I drew back then, combining indicator analysis and historical trajectories, perfectly fitting, with a stable overall trend.

Last night's square live broadcast, I connected with some contract fans, suggested that a few small losing long positions should be cut, and advised them to go short after the US market opened at 9:30 PM. Additionally, there are quite a few high-position long positions, and these people generally share a common phenomenon: they are following market sentiment without a refined analytical approach and a mature, definitive operating system. So I didn't have much good advice at the time; it was either cut losses and go short or hedge and lock positions.

Moreover, there were some short positions that were very low and heavily positioned fans, and I reassured them. Overall, the vast majority of retail investors in the crypto space currently lack technical skills and operating systems; they are all half-baked and relying on intuition.

Due to the recent live broadcast in the square, the result was that the post was restricted, so I probably won't be live in the square anymore. I hope everyone can slow down, improve their technical skills, and adjust their mindset. The market has opportunities every day, and the future is promising.

Finally, I’d like to promote my self-created contract trading method "Short Probe Method". No bragging, it currently crushes all contract techniques and skills in the market. If anyone is interested, feel free to consult. Recently, I also used the "Short Probe Method" to call out several trades based on real-time market conditions with a 100% win rate. I also briefly explained the core analytical techniques of the "Short Probe Method"; those with a technical background should have some deep insights, while those without technical skills may feel like they're reading a foreign language.

#合约挑战 #技术分析参考

$BTC In the morning, BTC rose by more than 59,000 points. I published an analysis and prediction of BTC's market today. Focus on high altitude and choose the best entry point in combination with 15 analysis indicators. You can't miss this big drop.

$BTC After the ppi data was released last night, it rebounded to around 68600, and then began to retrace downwards. The lowest point came to around 66250. There was no major fluctuation in the early morning, and it was still repairing around the sideways shock. As far as the current trend is concerned, it is still bearish. From the hourly level, the K-line has been running around the middle and lower rails of the Bollinger Bands. Therefore, in terms of operation, we can continue to maintain a high altitude. We can look at the short position. Continuation, the previous rebound is basically not strong.
The daily line formed a long-short yin and yang conversion as expected, forming a bearish engulfment of the daily line 3420. After the first-line double-pin bottom, the price may not necessarily stop falling. The gap of 3300-3500 will eventually be repaired in the future. The overall daily high of Ethereum is 3600. Repression has taken hold.
In the short-term four hours, the price reversed after touching the 3420 line, and the fast and slow lines continued to run at the bottom. The four-hour suppression focus was around 3490-3520. A breakthrough may successfully form a W double bottom pattern, and eventually the price will continue to repair to the 3600 line.
On the hour, the bol began to narrow, and the 3440-3536 range may usher in a price opening, so the current 3470 line is not a very good place to bury the current price. #技术分析参考 #币安合约锦标赛

$TON price just hit $8, a new all-time high. It is currently trading at US$7.969 per coin, up 8.37% during the day.

📊 SUI/USDT quick analysis

📉 Price trend: obvious downward trend

Current price range: $0.881 - $0.901

🔍 Key price levels:
• Support: $0.881 (strong), $0.861 (second strongest)
• Resistance: $0.921, $0.942, $0.962

💡 Trading strategy:
• Short-term: consider going long near the $0.881 support level
Stop loss: $0.861, target: $0.921
• Mid-term: A rebound may start after breaking through $0.942
Pay attention to the $0.962 resistance level

⚠️ Risk warning:
• The overall trend is bearish, and the rebound may be limited
• If the $0.881 support is broken, it may fall further

👀 Focus:
• $0.901 - $0.921 range trading
• Volume changes, especially around support
#sui链 #加密货币之王 #技术分析参考
$SUI

#技术分析参考 🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁

$BTC The market has now moved towards a downward trend, and the overall situation is fluctuating and falling. Each strong support point has a certain room for callback. After breaking through 57500, the market got a support in Rizhao MA10 and EMA12, which is also the highest point of the previous surge (66500). This point was broken last night and this morning as a result. The market callback, so tonight is going to break through, and the future market is expected to be 64500. This point is another support. And there is room for callback.

The entire market trend is currently fluctuating and falling, so I personally recommend the band for contract operation. After a wave of decline, if you are afraid of being trapped by buying the bottom and going long to grab the callback, then wait for the callback high to continue to go short. In this way, you can earn 1000 more points. If you have a good short-term technology, you can eat more shorts back and forth. In a band of decline and callback, you can make more longs of 2000 points.

The future trend of the market is temporarily expected to be 62500, and the current support is 66500 and 64500.

As I said, when there is a market, it is always the people with technology and operating system who eat the most meat in the contract.

"Short Exploration Method" is a set of contract tactics refined from my personal summary of many years of practical experience. It is a combination of technical analysis and operation skills. If you play the contract well, if you often get stuck, stopped, and liquidated. Then "Short Exploration Method" is what you should learn.

#合约战神 #技术分析参考 #行情分析📈 #BTC走势预测

(The correlation between contract trading and gambling)
When you advise a person who has made a small profit and is bragging to his friends about it, he will definitely be dismissive.
"I am different from those gamblers who have lost everything. I am not the kind of fool who will leave if I win; I have self-control and will never gamble my life."
What he said is exactly the same as what I said before.
Before the time comes, the self you know may not be the future self, nor may it be the real self.
In other words, people will show different temperaments in different environments. Everyone is multifaceted. D gambling is the most direct and simplest manifestation of people's desire for money. It quickly releases desire and changes human nature. And deep in human nature, desire has many companions.
When making money, pride and arrogance will come together, and the self-expansion will want to step on the world;
When losing money, anger, fear and inferiority will come together, and you will be furious.
There are very few people who can control themselves in the face of winning or losing, unless they lose interest. Gambling is like trading. If you can't keep your mind, you will be deeply trapped and unable to extricate yourself.
Be calm! Keep a normal mind, and never be frivolous and arrogant at any time! Be like a small blade without emotion to slowly cut down the big tree of the banker, and have the heart of taking only one scoop of water from three thousand rivers.
Whether the contract is long or short, Baccarat is betting on the banker and the player
In order to prevent gamblers from using the cable pursuit method (called the Fibonacci sequence betting method in mathematics) of doubling bets, is it the same as the trading indicator? The reason why it is chosen by 90% of gamblers is that the "smart" technicians of the gambling company have used software to make graphics of the winning and losing results of each previous game, not on the electronic screen. This is the so-called "road list". Is it similar to the candlestick chart that you think has a pattern?
Most people often think that they have mastered these mathematical laws. These road lists produce various graphics, which become the basis for gamblers to judge whether the next game will open "banker" or "player".
In fact, to put it bluntly, the probability of each game is 50%, which has nothing to do with the previous graphics.
But everyone who enters the game hopes that the next graphics will be within their expectations, so that they can achieve consecutive wins. #TON #交易理论 #技术分析参考 #合约别碰 #k线形态

11526192939【ETH Weekly Market Analysis】12/9
Weekly:
KDJ high position reversal, trend is bearish
MACD golden cross bullish increasing bullish
Three consecutive days of bullishness with no shortening
Resistance at 4080

Analysis and Conclusion: The weekly chart indicates a potential drop from KDJ, but MACD and volume indicators are bullish, suggesting a high probability that KDJ will still have a high folding. Considering the recent characteristics of ETH, the bullish probability is greater.

Daily:
KDJ high position dead cross, bearish
MACD has multiple dead crosses above zero without forming a golden cross
Volume rental over multiple days is overall bearish, but the market is indeed fluctuating upwards
K-line trend is in an upward fluctuation, with support at 3770

Analysis and Conclusion: Generally, a high position dead cross in KDJ results in a minor drop, and the MACD shape along with the K-line trend suggests a high probability of continued upward fluctuation. Moreover, the obvious bearish volume indicates that the market is still likely to fluctuate upwards.

4-Hour:
KDJ dead cross touching bottom
MACD dead cross above zero
Volume bearish increasing
Market trend fluctuating upwards

Analysis and Conclusion: Currently, the four-hour chart is still in a downward trend. Based on the market trend, it has reached the end of the correction phase. The support at around 3860, combined with the EMA dual regulation on the hourly chart, supports the recent significant correction. The KDJ has touched the bottom multiple times, and the MACD fast line DIF has dropped deep below zero, while bearish trading volume bars are decreasing. Overall, the market seems to have reached the end of the correction.

Weekly Market Summary: Aside from the impact of BTC's significant drop, ETH will ultimately rise quickly, forming its original upward fluctuation trajectory. This week, ETH's trend is bullish.

For spot trading, consider entering around 3860. As always, time is the printing machine; ETH is looking towards 4500.
For contracts, I personally suggest going short on ETH only if BTC crashes; otherwise, try to buy at the bottom as much as possible.

If we say that November's bull is BTC, the current bull is ETH, along with some quality altcoins.

Look at the picture and guess the trend

$LINK
Guess what will happen next, a classic technical chart #技术分析参考 #技术分析 #技术交流 #技术趋势

In Bitcoin intraday trading, there are some commonly used technical indicators that can help traders better analyze market trends and make decisions - Issue 1:

Introduction to Common Technical Indicators in Bitcoin Intraday Trading

Moving Average (MA) is a tool used to smooth out price fluctuations. The Simple Moving Average (SMA) adds up the prices over a certain period and divides by the number of that period. For example, the 5-day Simple Moving Average is the sum of the closing prices over the past 5 days divided by 5. It can help determine the direction of price trends; when the price is above the SMA, it is generally considered an upward trend; conversely, it indicates a downward trend. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) gives more weight to recent prices, reacts more quickly to price changes, and can promptly reflect short-term price variations.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the speed and magnitude of price changes to determine market overbought and oversold conditions. The RSI ranges from 0 to 100, and it is generally considered that a value above 70 indicates an overbought area, where the price may pull back; a value below 30 indicates an oversold area, where the price may rebound. In Bitcoin intraday trading, the RSI can help determine the timing for buying and selling.
$BTC $ETH
#技术分析参考 #教学 #技术指标

#btc
#技术分析参考
Bitcoin plunged from 71,000 to 66,000 in the early morning, and 73,800 became the historical high before halving!

[10.27 UNI Market Analysis] UNI's trend is similar to ETH!

For detailed interpretation, please see 10.27ETH行情分析 #罗兮说交易 #行情分析📈 #技术分析参考 #UNI

Trading pattern sharing (must learn for contract players)
Trading principles: 123 rule
Currency: BNB Cycle: 4H
This is a BNB short order I made recently. BNB has a perfect 123 rule in the 4H cycle. Of course, my entry point is relatively early and on the left side. Let me review it for you
123 rule: (red arrow from left to right) (taking short selling as an example)
1. Break through the upward trend line
2. No longer set new highs
3. Break through the previous low
You can see that in the K-line chart, I have marked an upward trend (purple line). At the same time, the price has a big negative line entity breakthrough when it is close to the trend line, and then rebounds, but the rebound does not break through the previous high, so it falls again until it breaks through the previous rebound low (also called the neckline). At this time, the 123 rule is established.
Entry: You can enter the market directly at the position where the neckline is broken, and stop loss at the previous high. Or enter the market after breaking the neckline and stepping back on the neckline. Both are OK, stop loss is at the previous high, take profit can be 1:1, 1:1.5, and take profit in batches
When I did it myself, I entered the market directly when the previous high was not broken, and the profit and loss ratio was 2:1, which belongs to the left plan.
I hope you can learn more about this classic pattern, which will help improve your trading level and market sense.
#BTC #bnb每日打卡 #技术分析参考