LIVE脱水web3
@Square-Creator-4600e9740
加密市场没有慈善家，知行合一，独立思考。
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The king of the sky has become "dead", retail investors are fighting back, studios are wiped out, is the airdrop track going to change? (NO)
#BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ZKsync空投争议 #LayerZero #撸毛攻略
With the issuance of zksync and Layerzero’s tokens, all the “king-level” projects in this round of “bull market” have completed their airdrops.
Amid controversies such as "PUA community, insider trading, and unfair distribution", after zksync and Layerzero were listed on the exchange, their market conditions became more sluggish than the other.
Especially L0, the stinky penguin's dishonest manipulation and playing of the community finally brought down the mood, and zro fell directly from 5u to below 3u at the opening of Binance.
Recently, He Yi, the actual helmsman of Binance, made a statement that seemed to announce the end of the "money-pulling" industry.
With the issuance of zksync and Layerzero’s tokens, all the “king-level” projects in this round of “bull market” have completed their airdrops.
Amid controversies such as "PUA community, insider trading, and unfair distribution", after zksync and Layerzero were listed on the exchange, their market conditions became more sluggish than the other.
Especially L0, the stinky penguin's dishonest manipulation and playing of the community finally brought down the mood, and zro fell directly from 5u to below 3u at the opening of Binance.
Recently, He Yi, the actual helmsman of Binance, made a statement that seemed to announce the end of the "money-pulling" industry.
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From the last few trading days of last year to now, I have been warning about the risks of the market. There are several reasons: #BTC!💰 #solana #ETH/USDT
1. The market often does not move in the direction with the greatest consensus. The adoption of ETF is the general expectation of the market. However, the fact of buying in anticipation of selling is also an objective law of the financial market. The current adjustment is in line with the law, but not in line with emotions;
2. The selling pressure from FTX creditors and Grayscale Fund has always been a problem that cannot be solved by the current market. Thinking about the problem from the perspective of capital, if these selling pressures are obvious, then every time they sell, do I? Want to take over? Is this a lowest cost strategy?
3. Since no one is willing to take it, why don't I wait? The market has the power to back it up anyway, and there is no shortage of me.
In this kind of mentality, the market situation of cutting flesh with a dull knife is formed.
1. The market often does not move in the direction with the greatest consensus. The adoption of ETF is the general expectation of the market. However, the fact of buying in anticipation of selling is also an objective law of the financial market. The current adjustment is in line with the law, but not in line with emotions;
2. The selling pressure from FTX creditors and Grayscale Fund has always been a problem that cannot be solved by the current market. Thinking about the problem from the perspective of capital, if these selling pressures are obvious, then every time they sell, do I? Want to take over? Is this a lowest cost strategy?
3. Since no one is willing to take it, why don't I wait? The market has the power to back it up anyway, and there is no shortage of me.
In this kind of mentality, the market situation of cutting flesh with a dull knife is formed.
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Pay attention to the short-term risks of #BTC!💰 . There are two ugly places on the technical graphics: 1. There is a MACD divergence in BTC at the daily level, indicating that the adjustment has begun; 2. The 4-hour chart shows that BTC seems to fall below the recent range; 3. After the release of Bitcoin ETFs, these ETF products have not risen. In the past two days, U.S. mining stocks and exchanges have not risen, which is negatively correlated with the recent strong rebound of Nasdaq. Please be aware of the risks. I love telling the truth~
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#SOL/USDT📉 Continuing from my last long article, sol’s current stage adjustment trend has been formed, and short-selling opportunities at the daily level have emerged. In the previous article, I judged that the short-term short-selling opportunity has arrived, so now that the trend is coming out, it means that the opportunity to add positions has arrived. The first target for adjustment is between 70-78. If you have a position, take it. Others who have surged in the early stage have the opportunity to make up for their losses. Pay attention to #ORDI. #tia
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8 times in half a year?! Crypto revolution or capital trap? SOL market outlook
#sol #ORDI.
Note: This article is an outline of the video content, so it is relatively brief. The video was published in the afternoon, so the chart display is somewhat lagging behind, but the point of view is consistent.
Factors for the rise of sol in this round:
Capital Foundation’s new application meme currency
Conclusion: The market is overheated and a correction is expected,
SOL’s token distribution structure:
The currently available data is that the community accounts for 38.9%, the team accounts for 12.8%, and the foundation accounts for 10.5%. Based on this calculation, the proportion in the hands of investors is approximately 30.7% (strategic round 1.6%, genesis round 12.9%, Seed round 16.2%).
Conclusion: The early decline was huge, the banker changes were sufficient, and the current chips are concentrated, which is convenient for market making.
Note: This article is an outline of the video content, so it is relatively brief. The video was published in the afternoon, so the chart display is somewhat lagging behind, but the point of view is consistent.
Factors for the rise of sol in this round:
Capital Foundation’s new application meme currency
Conclusion: The market is overheated and a correction is expected,
SOL’s token distribution structure:
The currently available data is that the community accounts for 38.9%, the team accounts for 12.8%, and the foundation accounts for 10.5%. Based on this calculation, the proportion in the hands of investors is approximately 30.7% (strategic round 1.6%, genesis round 12.9%, Seed round 16.2%).
Conclusion: The early decline was huge, the banker changes were sufficient, and the current chips are concentrated, which is convenient for market making.
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The biggest problem for retail investors is that it is difficult to integrate knowledge and action, that is, they cannot use a relatively stable framework to study and judge the market in different time periods, such as:
#solana The rally was very good some time ago, so the market has found various reasons for the rise, such as ecological prosperity, thorough cleaning of chips, separation from FTX, high acceptance of European and American capital, etc.
Retail investors listened and thought, yes, yes, buy, buy, buy.
But they seem to have forgotten that #sol is still an extremely centralized high-performance chain, and the downtime during the stepn boom is still vivid in our minds. Why doesn’t everyone remember it? Is it true that retail investors only have three seconds of memory?
The same is true for the recently popular #ORDI . This coin, which relies on the #BTC🔥🔥 ecology and has a strong experimental nature, actually has many problems. The second layer of Bitcoin, fair launch, truly crypto-native NFT... these are more just words.
If you don’t believe it, ask around you how many ordinary retail investors really relied on #ordinals to take off.
#solana The rally was very good some time ago, so the market has found various reasons for the rise, such as ecological prosperity, thorough cleaning of chips, separation from FTX, high acceptance of European and American capital, etc.
Retail investors listened and thought, yes, yes, buy, buy, buy.
But they seem to have forgotten that #sol is still an extremely centralized high-performance chain, and the downtime during the stepn boom is still vivid in our minds. Why doesn’t everyone remember it? Is it true that retail investors only have three seconds of memory?
The same is true for the recently popular #ORDI . This coin, which relies on the #BTC🔥🔥 ecology and has a strong experimental nature, actually has many problems. The second layer of Bitcoin, fair launch, truly crypto-native NFT... these are more just words.
If you don’t believe it, ask around you how many ordinary retail investors really relied on #ordinals to take off.
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A few points about ordinals and other inscription markets:
1. A few words from core contributors in the Bitcoin community made the inscription market tremble, which shows that the consensus on this track itself is still relatively weak;
2. Luke dashjr’s original intention was to regard the inscription as a technical loophole. The client he was responsible for developing would fix this loophole. However, in fact, the right to use it rests with the node user, and the user can still make a natural choice.
3. The wealth myth of Inscription Track is partly due to the poor liquidity of this market.
4. Each currency in the entire blockchain ecosystem should have its own positioning. V God created ETH because he was dissatisfied with the scalability of Bitcoin. This led to the subsequent explosion of the Ethereum ecosystem, and the subsequent ICO, defi, nft, L2 ecology and a series of stories, but please note that these narratives have not shaken Bitcoin's status as "digital gold", think about why.
5. Now that Bitcoin has become digital gold, why does it still seek a larger and more complete ecological niche? is it necessary?
6. At present, any application in the currency circle is moving closer to the direction of dimensionality reduction, which is to make it more acceptable to ordinary users and make web2 more compatible. From this perspective, the inscription market is obviously doing the opposite. Some people say that the boom in the inscription market has brought fresh blood to Bitcoin. Come on, what it has brought is just gambling dogs in the currency circle. How many are web2 users? In this sense, ordinarys are even inferior to stepn.
Finally, ordinary users cannot control the development of the ecosystem. As a trader, what I see is outrageous prices and extremely divided market sentiments. This is the necessary condition for high price fluctuations. In such an environment, rallies can Short selling is a very cost-effective strategy
#BTC🔥🔥 #ORDI
1. A few words from core contributors in the Bitcoin community made the inscription market tremble, which shows that the consensus on this track itself is still relatively weak;
2. Luke dashjr’s original intention was to regard the inscription as a technical loophole. The client he was responsible for developing would fix this loophole. However, in fact, the right to use it rests with the node user, and the user can still make a natural choice.
3. The wealth myth of Inscription Track is partly due to the poor liquidity of this market.
4. Each currency in the entire blockchain ecosystem should have its own positioning. V God created ETH because he was dissatisfied with the scalability of Bitcoin. This led to the subsequent explosion of the Ethereum ecosystem, and the subsequent ICO, defi, nft, L2 ecology and a series of stories, but please note that these narratives have not shaken Bitcoin's status as "digital gold", think about why.
5. Now that Bitcoin has become digital gold, why does it still seek a larger and more complete ecological niche? is it necessary?
6. At present, any application in the currency circle is moving closer to the direction of dimensionality reduction, which is to make it more acceptable to ordinary users and make web2 more compatible. From this perspective, the inscription market is obviously doing the opposite. Some people say that the boom in the inscription market has brought fresh blood to Bitcoin. Come on, what it has brought is just gambling dogs in the currency circle. How many are web2 users? In this sense, ordinarys are even inferior to stepn.
Finally, ordinary users cannot control the development of the ecosystem. As a trader, what I see is outrageous prices and extremely divided market sentiments. This is the necessary condition for high price fluctuations. In such an environment, rallies can Short selling is a very cost-effective strategy
#BTC🔥🔥 #ORDI
LIVESee original
#ORDI entered the market twice in the short term and both made profits. The challenges faced by ordinals have been analyzed in the previous long article, so I won’t go into details here. As traders we need to know:
1. We are here to make money in this market, not to practice religion;
2. The early increase of ordi is too large and the deviation is too high. Whether it is turning or within the trend, there will be a callback action. This is the law of the market.
3. Short selling is just because of the opportunity for price speculation, and may have nothing to do with the innovation of the project itself or BTC.
4. Based on this, I think Ordinal’s short selling is very cost-effective at this time.
Personal opinions are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.
1. We are here to make money in this market, not to practice religion;
2. The early increase of ordi is too large and the deviation is too high. Whether it is turning or within the trend, there will be a callback action. This is the law of the market.
3. Short selling is just because of the opportunity for price speculation, and may have nothing to do with the innovation of the project itself or BTC.
4. Based on this, I think Ordinal’s short selling is very cost-effective at this time.
Personal opinions are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.
See original
BTC is stretched wildly, ordinarys are backstabbed by developers, will it be wiped out or forked and reborn?
Part of the reason for Bitcoin's recent rise is the activity of the entire Bitcoin ecosystem, including Inscription Circuit, and part of it is the expectation that traditional capital will issue new Bitcoin assets.
Therefore, even if the Inscription ecosystem really stalls, it will not affect Bitcoin’s recent strength.
The question is, is it really possible for the inscription to flame out?
My answer is no:
The market value of the ordinals ecology exceeds 1 billion; the miners will support the ordinals ecology; retail investors, exchanges and other institutions will also hope that the inscriptions ecology exists;
Although the actual future use cases of inscriptions are still in doubt. But this ecosystem has obviously been established. Fundamentalists in the Bitcoin community hope that Bitcoin will carry the function of storing value, just like gold. The problem is that even gold, while assuming the function of storing value, will still have practical application scenarios, such as being used in industry and Raw materials for the electronics industry; making jewelry and other luxury goods for consumption in the c-end market, etc.
Therefore, even if the Inscription ecosystem really stalls, it will not affect Bitcoin’s recent strength.
The question is, is it really possible for the inscription to flame out?
My answer is no:
The market value of the ordinals ecology exceeds 1 billion; the miners will support the ordinals ecology; retail investors, exchanges and other institutions will also hope that the inscriptions ecology exists;
Although the actual future use cases of inscriptions are still in doubt. But this ecosystem has obviously been established. Fundamentalists in the Bitcoin community hope that Bitcoin will carry the function of storing value, just like gold. The problem is that even gold, while assuming the function of storing value, will still have practical application scenarios, such as being used in industry and Raw materials for the electronics industry; making jewelry and other luxury goods for consumption in the c-end market, etc.
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Good news keeps coming! Big Pie and Second Pie are about to soar to the sky. Keep up with the pace and retire directly!
market Overview
Traditional financial markets:
The Dow rose more than 1% to hit a new high in nearly two years. The Nasdaq fell for two consecutive days. Tesla's new car was released and it fell 3%. U.S. stocks rebounded sharply in November, with the three major U.S. stock indexes recording their largest monthly gains in at least a year.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 10 basis points intraday from its two-month low, but November still had its best monthly performance since 2008. The U.S. dollar index continued to move away from three-month lows, and still recorded its largest monthly drop in a year in November.
After the OPEC+ production reduction meeting, crude oil turned negative during the session, once falling by more than 3% and falling for two consecutive months. Gold has stopped rising for four consecutive months, leaving its highs for more than half a year and rising for two consecutive months.
Traditional financial markets:
The Dow rose more than 1% to hit a new high in nearly two years. The Nasdaq fell for two consecutive days. Tesla's new car was released and it fell 3%. U.S. stocks rebounded sharply in November, with the three major U.S. stock indexes recording their largest monthly gains in at least a year.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 10 basis points intraday from its two-month low, but November still had its best monthly performance since 2008. The U.S. dollar index continued to move away from three-month lows, and still recorded its largest monthly drop in a year in November.
After the OPEC+ production reduction meeting, crude oil turned negative during the session, once falling by more than 3% and falling for two consecutive months. Gold has stopped rising for four consecutive months, leaving its highs for more than half a year and rising for two consecutive months.
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Bitcoin once again challenges its previous high, weak stocks plunge severely, and short-selling strategies are once again full of profits! (Dehydrated Daily 11:30)
market Overview
US stocks
U.S. GDP in the third quarter was revised up to the fastest rate in nearly two years. The Federal Reserve's Beige Book confirmed that the economy and prices are slowing down simultaneously. Several Fed officials' speeches deepened the market's expectations for a soft landing of the economy and an interest rate cut in the first half of next year. The Nasdaq rose 1% during the session. But eventually the S&P Nasdaq turned lower.
U.S. stock indexes are hovering at around four-month highs and are set to experience their biggest gains in a year in November.
U.S. short-term bond yields have plunged again, with the two-year U.S. bond yield falling by more than 10 basis points for two consecutive days, and the 10-year yield falling below 4.3% for the first time since September. The dollar turned higher, off its lowest level in three-and-a-half months, but was on track for its biggest monthly drop in a year.
US stocks
U.S. GDP in the third quarter was revised up to the fastest rate in nearly two years. The Federal Reserve's Beige Book confirmed that the economy and prices are slowing down simultaneously. Several Fed officials' speeches deepened the market's expectations for a soft landing of the economy and an interest rate cut in the first half of next year. The Nasdaq rose 1% during the session. But eventually the S&P Nasdaq turned lower.
U.S. stock indexes are hovering at around four-month highs and are set to experience their biggest gains in a year in November.
U.S. short-term bond yields have plunged again, with the two-year U.S. bond yield falling by more than 10 basis points for two consecutive days, and the 10-year yield falling below 4.3% for the first time since September. The dollar turned higher, off its lowest level in three-and-a-half months, but was on track for its biggest monthly drop in a year.
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Did Dehydrated's predictions come true the day before yesterday? A breakthrough is just one step away, and BTC is about to start a new surge? (Dehydrated Daily 1129)
market Overview
traditional financial market
Federal Reserve officials generally spoke dovishly, reinforcing market expectations that the Fed has completed raising interest rates. The three major U.S. stock indexes rebounded collectively, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average setting a new high in nearly four months. The three major stock indexes headed towards their largest monthly gains in a year.
Short-term U.S. bond yields plunged during the session, with the two-year U.S. bond yield falling by more than 10 basis points, hitting a new low in more than three months, and the 10-year U.S. bond yield hitting a two-month low. The U.S. dollar index hit three-month lows for consecutive days.
(Positive US stocks/cryptocurrencies)
Crude oil rose by more than 2%, ending four consecutive losses. It closed higher for the first time since the postponement of the OPEC+ meeting, and Brent oil regained the $80 mark. Gold rose more than 1%, hitting a new high in more than half a year.
traditional financial market
Federal Reserve officials generally spoke dovishly, reinforcing market expectations that the Fed has completed raising interest rates. The three major U.S. stock indexes rebounded collectively, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average setting a new high in nearly four months. The three major stock indexes headed towards their largest monthly gains in a year.
Short-term U.S. bond yields plunged during the session, with the two-year U.S. bond yield falling by more than 10 basis points, hitting a new low in more than three months, and the 10-year U.S. bond yield hitting a two-month low. The U.S. dollar index hit three-month lows for consecutive days.
(Positive US stocks/cryptocurrencies)
Crude oil rose by more than 2%, ending four consecutive losses. It closed higher for the first time since the postponement of the OPEC+ meeting, and Brent oil regained the $80 mark. Gold rose more than 1%, hitting a new high in more than half a year.
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Bitcoin is in a dilemma, the concept of greater fool is receding, has the market of beating the downtrodden dog arrived? (Dehydrated Daily 1128)
traditional financial market
The three major U.S. stock indexes adjusted, but the decline was small. Black Friday data was eye-catching, and Amazon hit a 19-month high; Microsoft rebounded, hitting a record high; the chip stock index fell back, but Nvidia stopped three consecutive losses;
Crude oil has fallen for four consecutive days since OPEC+ postponed its meeting, with Brent closing below $80 for the first time in more than a week. Gold has stood above the $2,000 mark for days, hitting a six-month high.
Target analysis
traditional target
#BTC
Short-term range oscillation; there is a long opportunity in the form of a double bottom at the 15-minute level. If it breaks through the neckline near 37157, you can go long, and short-term stop loss is near 36700;
The three major U.S. stock indexes adjusted, but the decline was small. Black Friday data was eye-catching, and Amazon hit a 19-month high; Microsoft rebounded, hitting a record high; the chip stock index fell back, but Nvidia stopped three consecutive losses;
Crude oil has fallen for four consecutive days since OPEC+ postponed its meeting, with Brent closing below $80 for the first time in more than a week. Gold has stood above the $2,000 mark for days, hitting a six-month high.
Target analysis
traditional target
#BTC
Short-term range oscillation; there is a long opportunity in the form of a double bottom at the 15-minute level. If it breaks through the neckline near 37157, you can go long, and short-term stop loss is near 36700;
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The Christmas holiday is coming, volatility has dropped sharply, is there still a chance in the market? (1127 Daily)
Market description
-As December approaches, North America and Europe are about to start their traditional Christmas holidays, and financial markets will fall into a rhythm of low volatility.
-blast TVL exceeded US$500 million, showing the market’s strong interest in L2’s new narrative. However, Blast’s recent marketing remarks have been slapped in the face by Paradigm, the employer (but I prefer that they are trying to flatter the market with a strategy of flattering the market);
- The popularity of friend.tech continues to shrink, and the founder’s Twitter account cannot be displayed. Follow-up friend.tech imitations in the market will be cautious to participate;
traditional financial markets
The three major U.S. stock indexes have risen for four consecutive weeks, with the Nasdaq and S&P recording their longest consecutive weekly gains in five months. Nvidia fell 2%, dragging down the Nasdaq.
-As December approaches, North America and Europe are about to start their traditional Christmas holidays, and financial markets will fall into a rhythm of low volatility.
-blast TVL exceeded US$500 million, showing the market’s strong interest in L2’s new narrative. However, Blast’s recent marketing remarks have been slapped in the face by Paradigm, the employer (but I prefer that they are trying to flatter the market with a strategy of flattering the market);
- The popularity of friend.tech continues to shrink, and the founder’s Twitter account cannot be displayed. Follow-up friend.tech imitations in the market will be cautious to participate;
traditional financial markets
The three major U.S. stock indexes have risen for four consecutive weeks, with the Nasdaq and S&P recording their longest consecutive weekly gains in five months. Nvidia fell 2%, dragging down the Nasdaq.
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Many friends called Germany's loss to Japan an upset. As an old fan who watches and plays football, the result of this game was expected. If you have the opportunity, you can watch NHK's documentary "14 Seconds in Rostov" and see the Japanese team's reflection after losing to Belgium at the last moment. In addition, after so many years of keeping a low profile, you will know that it is only a matter of time before it defeats the strong European teams. Most of the players of the Japanese team currently play in top European leagues, with the Bundesliga being the most popular. The game against Germany must be arranged down to every minute detail. As a traditional strong team, Germany will not target the Japanese team accordingly. Looking at the Japanese team's calm handling of the high-pressure situation in the backcourt, short passes under high pressure are almost subconscious actions. Anyone who has played some football will know how difficult this is. Back to trading, look past the appearance and see the essence clearly to win!
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What lessons can crypto traders take away from Argentina’s upset loss to Saudi Arabia? 1. Look at the essence through the phenomenon: Argentina’s real strength is far less than what it looks like on paper, with weak forwards and lack of control in the midfield. Messi’s condition has declined due to age; 2. Get rid of inertial thinking: Qatar and Iran’s losses and "The gap between Asia and Europe and the United States is widening" is not necessarily connected. If you are guided by this kind of inertial thinking, you will easily make mistakes; 3. Be wary of most opinions: Argentina was generally optimistic before the game, and even the mainstream view believed that it would win by a big score. Thinking conversely , the public is the most easily confused.
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I have been busy with projects recently and have paid less attention to the market. But everyone should note that if I post less, it means that the market itself does not have a big opportunity. However, while working on the project, I still participated in Binance’s World Cup event. Today’s match day predictions are shared with everyone for fun. After all, I am also an old fan from the A-A era~😁 I wish everyone a happy watching the game!
