Binance Square
LIVE
LIVE
小辛不新苦
--890 views
See original
If you read every post of mine carefully every day, you will learn a lot from it. I can confidently tell you that none of them is nonsense. You can look back at the following post now. Does this belong to the trough period of the second and third periods? For example, when I wrote this post, the market was still hot. I suddenly posted it to ask everyone not to fomo and not to sell while the market is rising. Many people must have sneered after reading it. Maybe you couldn't understand why I said I admired those who held on to the third period, because you couldn't feel this feeling at all. Is it an opportunity now? But the cottage industry has generally adjusted by more than 50%. If you want to return to the starting point after a 50% drop, the time cost is a 100% increase. When others are making money, you are still recovering your investment. When you recover your investment, others have already made money! Write a so-called cost cycle theory. You finally get back to the starting point and the market makes a correction. Then you fall into a vicious circle. You are vague about the market and always afraid of making mistakes. So you simply don't make any operations. But in fact, if you can't solve the problem of market cognition, you often can't sell accurately in the third period. All avoidance of market cognition will eventually backfire on yourself. Only by facing the unknown and exploring the rules can you have the true trading philosophy. #比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETHFI🔥🔥🔥

If you read every post of mine carefully every day, you will learn a lot from it. I can confidently tell you that none of them is nonsense.

You can look back at the following post now. Does this belong to the trough period of the second and third periods?

For example, when I wrote this post, the market was still hot. I suddenly posted it to ask everyone not to fomo and not to sell while the market is rising. Many people must have sneered after reading it. Maybe you couldn't understand why I said I admired those who held on to the third period, because you couldn't feel this feeling at all.

Is it an opportunity now? But the cottage industry has generally adjusted by more than 50%. If you want to return to the starting point after a 50% drop, the time cost is a 100% increase. When others are making money, you are still recovering your investment. When you recover your investment, others have already made money!

Write a so-called cost cycle theory. You finally get back to the starting point and the market makes a correction. Then you fall into a vicious circle. You are vague about the market and always afraid of making mistakes. So you simply don't make any operations. But in fact, if you can't solve the problem of market cognition, you often can't sell accurately in the third period. All avoidance of market cognition will eventually backfire on yourself. Only by facing the unknown and exploring the rules can you have the true trading philosophy.

#比特币减半 #CPI数据 #大盘走势 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETHFI🔥🔥🔥

Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. See T&Cs.
0
Explore Content For You
Sign up now for a chance to earn 100 USDT in rewards!
or
Sign up as an entity
or
Log In
Relevant Creator
LIVE
@Square-Creator-473421794

Explore More From Creator

57k到现在反弹差不多10%,确实很难只能为认知买单,不管什么时候都要认清自己到底是在投资还是在赌博,看清大趋势看清宏观一切都会显得游刃有余,还是那句话我没什么技术,就是喜欢讲点阴谋论的东西。 可能说大前天一根大阴线砸下来的时候,我说我给你抄底的决心可能大家都是在嗤之以鼻,那里是底别抄在了半山腰,怎么说呢一切其实都取决于自己的计划,计划使人有所行动。 反正还是那句话投资不要理解赌大小,找底和找顶都是零概率事件,除非你是穿越过来的,要么就是会算周易。前天给你们讲的一些东西可能不用等过段时间了,今天可能就已经觉得自己是后知后觉了。 当时看完的想法可能是瞎说一通不就是想让我坚持让我买,这跌成这样怎么买了买了不肯定是被套啊!又或者说还想让我拿我还是赶快割肉吧不然不知道又要套到啥时候,哎然后今天再看我cao真有道理啊!我当时不怎么怎么做呢? 还是那句话韭菜为什么叫韭菜,就是该坚持的时候不坚持,不该坚持的死命的坚持,你我都是韭菜也都是主力可以随时挥动镰刀割一下的,你我本质上的差别就是我的认知可能比你高上那么一NeiNei。 不管怎么说吧像我这样毫不吝啬分享自己交易计划的人不多,真心换真心善待他人也要善待自己。说到这里让人想到了最近的热搜肥猫,被国服小仙女两年所要51万,最后以自己是女。同要分手,最后这兄弟。跳江的事情,其实怎么说呢这兄弟为爱执着却没有善待自己。 算了不说了圈外话题了,聊聊接下来的市场吧。想一下能涨出天际也不大可能,五月估计也就是宽幅震荡行情了,不是五月赚不到钱只是可能比较难赚一点,对于很多 人是不友善的,感觉自己能力不行的少折腾一天期待一下六月或者七月给你赚钱的机会。 #btc走勢 #eth二饼 #BTC走势分析
--
缓冲理解为一种过度,是市场和情绪的修复和调整期,不能简单的用“结束”二字来定义,结束意味着没有了,终结了。即便没有ETF,以去年第二季度的各项资金及链上数据看,都完全符合熊转牛初的标准,ETF只是在情绪上加快了进度,透支了购买力而已,既然是透支,总要缓一缓,歇一歇。 如果我们跳出当前,回看过往,你会发现并没有那么“可怕”。下图是历史上3次减半前后,BTC的价格从最高点的回撤比。 第1次减半,从最高点回撤-61.7%; 第2次减半,从最高点回撤-42.7%; 第3次减半,从最高点回撤-56.6%; 在历史中的撤30%以上的时候很多,前面已经讲过一个很多次的问题就是,因为etf的通过大饼已经高度和美股契合,其实这轮前段就是被etf打乱了节奏了,要不然应该会有之前提到的三线合一的机会,目前价格可能还在4w左右。再就是今年3.4季度才是btc本身的牛市启动节奏。 没有影响人类生存和命运的事件就不要期待太多了。 还有就是山寨季节啥的我认为后面一定会有一次的,山寨币的爆发需要的是足够的流动性,而流动性的释放需要几个因素。 比如21年的山寨季是史无前例的放水,然后大量的资金在大饼或者是其它的主流市场获得收益后会有溢出资金进入到(山寨),这就会带动山寨季的到来。 所以往往山寨的爆发都是在比特币之后,但是这次起码现在的第一批上涨虽然是来自于BTC,但并未有大量的溢出资金。 其实实际上大量的抛售都是来自于亏损投资者。别说溢出资金了,就连本金都没有保证,那么你感觉不是山寨季也很正常。 前年讲过的如果大选之前。看到4%的失业率,那么将迎来新的放水。实际上这才是对于流动性的释放,这种释放其实就是整体范围的,甚至对于山寨来说都是不错的机会。 #美联储何时降息? #5月市场关键事件 #btc走勢 #e
--
今天的打卡有点晚了,首先聊聊昨晚的会议。 比现象中要好多了,通过提问可以看到市场最但心的并不是美联储什么时候降息,以及降息几次,反而会更加关心美联储会不会加息,这方面鲍威尔给出的回答很直接,即便是通胀(核心PCE)回到了3%,目前是2.8%,美联储也没有继续加息的意图,起码目前是的,对于美联储来说目前的利率已经足够有限制性。 然后对于降息他的回答是以每次的数据为准,然后对3月点阵图可能会降息三次他并没持有否定的态度。然后就是鲍威尔有表示,现在美联储关注的重点就是失业率,如果失业率提升到了4%以上,现在是3.8%,那么美联储就可能会重新平衡的考虑是否要进入防御性降息。 失业率过高对于民主党来说很不友好,如果大选之前就能看到4%的失业率,那么将迎来新的放水。通过数据确定美联储每一步的走势,但也否认了美联储对于全球经济的干扰,尤其是日本。 本次会议中鲍威尔不想过多的去讨论降息的预期,接下来的话还是多关注失业率和pec吧,降息猜测往后推一推。 美联储流动性变化:缩表——>缩表(QT)减半——>缩表(QT)停止——>开始宽松(QE) 类比大饼走势就是:下跌——>止跌——>横盘——>开始上涨 对于趋势来说,加息意味着利空开始,暂停加息预示着好的预期,降息开始带来破坏降息后放水流动性增加,这是大的趋势,中间可能会有不同的结构,但结果往往是必然的,所以没有什么不妥,一切都是历史规律的演绎,不同的是剧本各有千秋,但结局都是一样的。 #5月市场关键事件 #香港加密货币ETF #美联储利率决议即将公布
--

Latest News

View More
Sitemap
Cookie Preferences
Platform T&Cs