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小辛不新苦
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I found that the mindless bullish traffic is really huge, and I can summarize it in two points: 1. Many retail investors have not made money yet and think that it is impossible to pull back. No matter whether it is a stage or not, I just want to eat the present and look forward to seeing the bulls. 2. Due to the recent strange phenomenon, most cottages do not follow the rise of the big cake, but follow the fall of the big cake. If it does not follow the rise, it will continue to follow. Many people are trapped in their chips and are reluctant to cut their losses. Now they continue to look for spiritual comfort to boost their confidence. I can also tell you this mindlessly if the bull is still there, but can you accept the torture in the process? Everyone wants to have a lot of coins when they are really crazy. Most people do not want to fall, but they feel that they have not made enough money or are trapped in the short term and do not want to fall. If most of your funds leave the market, what you expect is a staged small top. Use two or three months to smooth this out, and get more coins during this period. The halving is approaching. Looking at the past history, the halving is rising, but it is always so powerless to cut the boat to find the sword. I was actually quite reserved in what I said. If we can't break through the new high and stand above 72,000, we can't remain optimistic. In fact, my state is that I am empty inside, but I am looking forward to a miracle of rising. And I am more worried that no one in the market feels the same as me, so either they feel randomly or they are more advanced in thinking. But at least it seems that it is difficult to stand above 72,000. Since I said it, Brother Bing has been beaten down three times at this position. During this period, I pinned my hopes on the halving market, which is why I said before the end of the month. At present, it is difficult for us to make money, and if we toss too much, we will basically lose money. It is better to go out and take a look. I have been working hard since October last year. It is time to enjoy the fruits of my labor in the past few months. I can't analyze, I can only talk about conspiracy theories. If I am right, I will pretend to be stupid, and if I am wrong, I will pretend to be dumb. #比特币减半 #CPI数据

I found that the mindless bullish traffic is really huge, and I can summarize it in two points:

1. Many retail investors have not made money yet and think that it is impossible to pull back. No matter whether it is a stage or not, I just want to eat the present and look forward to seeing the bulls.

2. Due to the recent strange phenomenon, most cottages do not follow the rise of the big cake, but follow the fall of the big cake. If it does not follow the rise, it will continue to follow. Many people are trapped in their chips and are reluctant to cut their losses. Now they continue to look for spiritual comfort to boost their confidence.

I can also tell you this mindlessly if the bull is still there, but can you accept the torture in the process? Everyone wants to have a lot of coins when they are really crazy.

Most people do not want to fall, but they feel that they have not made enough money or are trapped in the short term and do not want to fall. If most of your funds leave the market, what you expect is a staged small top.

Use two or three months to smooth this out, and get more coins during this period. The halving is approaching. Looking at the past history, the halving is rising, but it is always so powerless to cut the boat to find the sword.

I was actually quite reserved in what I said. If we can't break through the new high and stand above 72,000, we can't remain optimistic. In fact, my state is that I am empty inside, but I am looking forward to a miracle of rising.

And I am more worried that no one in the market feels the same as me, so either they feel randomly or they are more advanced in thinking.

But at least it seems that it is difficult to stand above 72,000. Since I said it, Brother Bing has been beaten down three times at this position. During this period, I pinned my hopes on the halving market, which is why I said before the end of the month.

At present, it is difficult for us to make money, and if we toss too much, we will basically lose money. It is better to go out and take a look. I have been working hard since October last year. It is time to enjoy the fruits of my labor in the past few months.

I can't analyze, I can only talk about conspiracy theories. If I am right, I will pretend to be stupid, and if I am wrong, I will pretend to be dumb. #比特币减半 #CPI数据

Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. See T&Cs.
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缓冲理解为一种过度,是市场和情绪的修复和调整期,不能简单的用“结束”二字来定义,结束意味着没有了,终结了。即便没有ETF,以去年第二季度的各项资金及链上数据看,都完全符合熊转牛初的标准,ETF只是在情绪上加快了进度,透支了购买力而已,既然是透支,总要缓一缓,歇一歇。 如果我们跳出当前,回看过往,你会发现并没有那么“可怕”。下图是历史上3次减半前后,BTC的价格从最高点的回撤比。 第1次减半,从最高点回撤-61.7%; 第2次减半,从最高点回撤-42.7%; 第3次减半,从最高点回撤-56.6%; 在历史中的撤30%以上的时候很多,前面已经讲过一个很多次的问题就是,因为etf的通过大饼已经高度和美股契合,其实这轮前段就是被etf打乱了节奏了,要不然应该会有之前提到的三线合一的机会,目前价格可能还在4w左右。再就是今年3.4季度才是btc本身的牛市启动节奏。 没有影响人类生存和命运的事件就不要期待太多了。 还有就是山寨季节啥的我认为后面一定会有一次的,山寨币的爆发需要的是足够的流动性,而流动性的释放需要几个因素。 比如21年的山寨季是史无前例的放水,然后大量的资金在大饼或者是其它的主流市场获得收益后会有溢出资金进入到(山寨),这就会带动山寨季的到来。 所以往往山寨的爆发都是在比特币之后,但是这次起码现在的第一批上涨虽然是来自于BTC,但并未有大量的溢出资金。 其实实际上大量的抛售都是来自于亏损投资者。别说溢出资金了,就连本金都没有保证,那么你感觉不是山寨季也很正常。 前年讲过的如果大选之前。看到4%的失业率,那么将迎来新的放水。实际上这才是对于流动性的释放,这种释放其实就是整体范围的,甚至对于山寨来说都是不错的机会。 #美联储何时降息? #5月市场关键事件 #btc走勢 #e
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