行情推演
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2024 Last Carnival: Will Trump's Takeover Bring Market Movement?
From a historical and market behavior perspective, the anticipation of major events often reflects in market prices before they actually occur.
I believe that the overall market in the cryptocurrency space may begin to show positive signs one or two weeks before Trump takes office. Markets usually react in advance, and investors and speculators will position themselves early driven by the expectation of favorable policies, pushing prices up.
However, it is worth noting that after Trump officially takes office, the market may actually experience a wave of correction. This phenomenon is similar to the 'buy the expectation, sell the news' effect seen in Bitcoin halving cycles. Before the halving, BTC experienced a year-long rise, with market sentiment soaring and a large influx of capital; but after the halving, as expectations were fulfilled, the market entered a correction period lasting six months.
Therefore, we can foresee that before Trump takes office, the cryptocurrency space may welcome a wave of rising market, but as he officially assumes office, the market may undergo adjustments due to the fulfillment of expectations.
From a historical and market behavior perspective, the anticipation of major events often reflects in market prices before they actually occur.
I believe that the overall market in the cryptocurrency space may begin to show positive signs one or two weeks before Trump takes office. Markets usually react in advance, and investors and speculators will position themselves early driven by the expectation of favorable policies, pushing prices up.
However, it is worth noting that after Trump officially takes office, the market may actually experience a wave of correction. This phenomenon is similar to the 'buy the expectation, sell the news' effect seen in Bitcoin halving cycles. Before the halving, BTC experienced a year-long rise, with market sentiment soaring and a large influx of capital; but after the halving, as expectations were fulfilled, the market entered a correction period lasting six months.
Therefore, we can foresee that before Trump takes office, the cryptocurrency space may welcome a wave of rising market, but as he officially assumes office, the market may undergo adjustments due to the fulfillment of expectations.
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BTC Bitcoin 2024/12/31 Gann Fortune Forecast
Green area: has a high rebound rate or sideways
Red area: has a high rate of decline or sideways movement
The rest of today is the same, see a drop first and then rebound to the top and fall back, or a high and fall back. I think 915 will break down sooner or later, but it can also be tomorrow. Today's top period should be in the early morning, and there is a false rebound. The bottom will be repaired before the closing.
This week's overall forecast and hourly top and bottom forecast operation strategy have been released. If it helps you, please like and support the bell, and more will be shared.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. $BTC #行情推演
Green area: has a high rebound rate or sideways
Red area: has a high rate of decline or sideways movement
The rest of today is the same, see a drop first and then rebound to the top and fall back, or a high and fall back. I think 915 will break down sooner or later, but it can also be tomorrow. Today's top period should be in the early morning, and there is a false rebound. The bottom will be repaired before the closing.
This week's overall forecast and hourly top and bottom forecast operation strategy have been released. If it helps you, please like and support the bell, and more will be shared.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. $BTC #行情推演
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BTC Bitcoin 2024/12/30 Gann Fortune Forecast
Green area: has a high rebound rate or sideways
Red area: has a high rate of decline or sideways movement
After the holiday, I will resume updating today.
The remaining days of the big cake today will see a drop first and then rebound to the top and fall back, or fall back tomorrow. The rebound force is not strong. The previous high of 957 is not easy to break through. There is a chance of repair and rebound after the US market. I think the bottom of 930 is not the real bottom.
This week's overall forecast and hourly top and bottom forecast operation strategy have been released. If it helps you, please like and support the bell, and more will be shared.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. #行情推演 $BTC
Green area: has a high rebound rate or sideways
Red area: has a high rate of decline or sideways movement
After the holiday, I will resume updating today.
The remaining days of the big cake today will see a drop first and then rebound to the top and fall back, or fall back tomorrow. The rebound force is not strong. The previous high of 957 is not easy to break through. There is a chance of repair and rebound after the US market. I think the bottom of 930 is not the real bottom.
This week's overall forecast and hourly top and bottom forecast operation strategy have been released. If it helps you, please like and support the bell, and more will be shared.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. #行情推演 $BTC
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Want to know the upcoming market trend? Will it drop or rise? Focus on the New Year's holiday market closure schedule globally!!
The following arrangements for global New Year's Day holiday market closures are important to note! It is recommended to share with friends who trade!
New Year's holiday market closure arrangements are as follows:
Hong Kong stocks, Southbound Stock Connect: Closed in the afternoon on December 31 (Tuesday), closed on January 1 (Wednesday);
A-shares, Northbound Stock Connect: Closed on January 1 (Wednesday);
Taiwan stocks: Closed on January 1 (Wednesday);
U.S. stocks: Closed on January 1 (Wednesday), U.S. night market closed from 09:00 to 17:00 (Beijing time) on January 1;
Singapore stocks: Closed in the afternoon on December 31 (Tuesday), closed on January 1 (Wednesday);
New Year's holiday market closure arrangements are as follows:
Hong Kong stocks, Southbound Stock Connect: Closed in the afternoon on December 31 (Tuesday), closed on January 1 (Wednesday);
A-shares, Northbound Stock Connect: Closed on January 1 (Wednesday);
Taiwan stocks: Closed on January 1 (Wednesday);
U.S. stocks: Closed on January 1 (Wednesday), U.S. night market closed from 09:00 to 17:00 (Beijing time) on January 1;
Singapore stocks: Closed in the afternoon on December 31 (Tuesday), closed on January 1 (Wednesday);
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Brothers, alright, the pins have been retracted. Let's see how high the rebound goes, but as long as the elasticity is limited, we will continue to see a pullback. #行情推演 $BTC $ETH
Whether the market can firm up tonight depends on 91500. If it falls, it will be in the 8s. If it pulls back, it will rebound. Keep your money until mid-January. It is too early to say that it is the cottage season. The earliest will be January. #MicroStrategy增持BTC $BTC
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The cryptocurrency market is full of good news, so cheer up!
Bitcoin has been fluctuating at 96,000 recently, and it just won't run. Don't panic, I'll recharge you, and there's super good news in the cryptocurrency market, it's worth a look:
Trump will come to power again on January 20, and his crypto-friendly policies may bring a series of good news.
The Ethereum pledge ETF function is launched, which will attract more institutional funds to enter the market
From January 6, FTX will repay 16 billion within 60 days
Ethereum Prague upgrade, which will usher in the main uptrend after the upgrade
Decentralized finance (DeFi) continues to innovate
The global regulatory environment is becoming clearer
#行情推演
Bitcoin has been fluctuating at 96,000 recently, and it just won't run. Don't panic, I'll recharge you, and there's super good news in the cryptocurrency market, it's worth a look:
Trump will come to power again on January 20, and his crypto-friendly policies may bring a series of good news.
The Ethereum pledge ETF function is launched, which will attract more institutional funds to enter the market
From January 6, FTX will repay 16 billion within 60 days
Ethereum Prague upgrade, which will usher in the main uptrend after the upgrade
Decentralized finance (DeFi) continues to innovate
The global regulatory environment is becoming clearer
#行情推演
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From today's information:
BTC is trading sideways,
but altcoins including BNB have fallen sharply.
BNB fell below $630, which is quite unusual.
BNB was always relatively strong before, and this time the correction was a bit large.
On-chain data shows that stablecoins have been flowing out of exchanges in the past two days.
After the ETF opened yesterday, there was not much inflow of funds, some of which were 0,
and some have not yet released data. The current total outflow is $32 million.
This week, we will focus on three major events.
(1) Tomorrow at 8:30 pm, the CPI data will be released. If it is lower than expected, it will be positive, otherwise it will be positive.
(2) Tomorrow at 2:00 am, the Federal Reserve will release the interest rate decision and economic outlook summary (FOMC meeting)
(3) At around 2:30 am tomorrow, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech.
The June FOMC meeting will be one of the most critical meetings this year,
because Powell will give the clearest hint yet on the timetable for rate cuts.
Although the non-farm data exceeded the target, the previous data showed an economic recession.
Powell's speech should be dovish.
So it depends on CPI to determine whether BTC will fall again.
Before the data is released tomorrow night, today's position will be reduced to at least 40%
Don't be afraid to reduce your position, because you can buy it back at any time after selling
As long as the price drops by 1%, you can get more coins when you buy it back
Whether it is spot or contract, it is similar.
If CPI is favorable, buy it again, the difference will not be more than a few points.
The current currency circle should lower expectations and seek stability.
The secondary market is not easy to invest, ZK and Blast are about to issue coins,
In the near future, you can pay attention to the meme coins on the new public chain.
#meme板块关注热点 #BTC走势预测 #行情推演
BTC is trading sideways,
but altcoins including BNB have fallen sharply.
BNB fell below $630, which is quite unusual.
BNB was always relatively strong before, and this time the correction was a bit large.
On-chain data shows that stablecoins have been flowing out of exchanges in the past two days.
After the ETF opened yesterday, there was not much inflow of funds, some of which were 0,
and some have not yet released data. The current total outflow is $32 million.
This week, we will focus on three major events.
(1) Tomorrow at 8:30 pm, the CPI data will be released. If it is lower than expected, it will be positive, otherwise it will be positive.
(2) Tomorrow at 2:00 am, the Federal Reserve will release the interest rate decision and economic outlook summary (FOMC meeting)
(3) At around 2:30 am tomorrow, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech.
The June FOMC meeting will be one of the most critical meetings this year,
because Powell will give the clearest hint yet on the timetable for rate cuts.
Although the non-farm data exceeded the target, the previous data showed an economic recession.
Powell's speech should be dovish.
So it depends on CPI to determine whether BTC will fall again.
Before the data is released tomorrow night, today's position will be reduced to at least 40%
Don't be afraid to reduce your position, because you can buy it back at any time after selling
As long as the price drops by 1%, you can get more coins when you buy it back
Whether it is spot or contract, it is similar.
If CPI is favorable, buy it again, the difference will not be more than a few points.
The current currency circle should lower expectations and seek stability.
The secondary market is not easy to invest, ZK and Blast are about to issue coins,
In the near future, you can pay attention to the meme coins on the new public chain.
#meme板块关注热点 #BTC走势预测 #行情推演
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The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September increases
CME's "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September is rising. Specifically, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September is 78%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 22%. Looking ahead to November, the probability of the Fed's cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 29.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 57.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 13.8%. Judging from the data, the market's expectations for the Fed's rate cut are relatively clear, and a 25 basis point rate cut in September is almost a high probability event. However, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is also rising, indicating that the market's concerns about the future economic outlook are intensifying. Rate cuts are generally seen as a response to economic slowdowns, stimulating economic activity by reducing borrowing costs. If the Fed chooses to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, it means that economic conditions are more severe than expected and require stronger stimulus measures. This will bring long-term benefits to the stock market and the crypto market, as lower interest rates usually boost the performance of risky assets.
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This market is just like a roller coaster, up and down, left and right. I see that many people rely on constantly reducing their short positions and then changing to a break-even stop loss to barely get a little meat.
If you want to expand the situation, it will be miserable. Profit-taking is commonplace, and you may even be stuck!
Let's focus on CPI data and unemployment data. These two data are the key among the keys!
Do you know that those big institutions believe that interest rates must be cut in September?
However, I think if we follow the rhythm of the market, those institutions may intervene in the market again to prepare for the official start of the interest rate cut.
In this way, the probability of a rate cut in September will increase greatly? We have to think about it carefully! #行情推演 #盈利 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
If you want to expand the situation, it will be miserable. Profit-taking is commonplace, and you may even be stuck!
Let's focus on CPI data and unemployment data. These two data are the key among the keys!
Do you know that those big institutions believe that interest rates must be cut in September?
However, I think if we follow the rhythm of the market, those institutions may intervene in the market again to prepare for the official start of the interest rate cut.
In this way, the probability of a rate cut in September will increase greatly? We have to think about it carefully! #行情推演 #盈利 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
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8/23 BTC summary:
As expected, it fell first and then rebounded at 10:00, and fell back before closing, but the rebound was higher than expected, which was also in line with the weekly forecast, and it broke through the key price, so it is predicted that this is not the top yet, but there is still a high probability of a small correction. $BTC #行情回顾 #比特幣走勢分析 #玄学 #江恩 #行情推演
As expected, it fell first and then rebounded at 10:00, and fell back before closing, but the rebound was higher than expected, which was also in line with the weekly forecast, and it broke through the key price, so it is predicted that this is not the top yet, but there is still a high probability of a small correction. $BTC #行情回顾 #比特幣走勢分析 #玄学 #江恩 #行情推演
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BTC Bitcoin 2024/9/10 Fortune Forecast
Green area: has a high growth rate or sideways
Red area: has a high rate of decline or sideways movement
The bulls were strong yesterday and may rebound again today. I would not be surprised if the price reaches 60-62. It may peak in the early morning. There is rebound power, but it is approaching the day of change. Pay attention to the risks. If it helps you, please like and support with the bell.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. $BTC #BTC走势分析 #江恩 #玄学 #行情推演
Green area: has a high growth rate or sideways
Red area: has a high rate of decline or sideways movement
The bulls were strong yesterday and may rebound again today. I would not be surprised if the price reaches 60-62. It may peak in the early morning. There is rebound power, but it is approaching the day of change. Pay attention to the risks. If it helps you, please like and support with the bell.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. $BTC #BTC走势分析 #江恩 #玄学 #行情推演
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Brother, do you know? I really enjoy the joy of the collapse after selling at a high price. I couldn't help laughing when I saw you being trapped and typing crazy in the group. All good things must come to an end. I hope you can happily accept my order next time. I won this game. Face the reality, brother. This time you are the one paying the bill again. #以太坊ETF批准预期 #行情推演 $BTC
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BTC Bitcoin 2024/9/8 Fortune Forecast
Green area: has a higher growth rate or sideways
Red area: has a higher rate of decline or sideways movement
For the rest of the day, it is expected to rebound or fall first and then rebound. It is expected to peak after midnight. Don't expect how high the rebound will be. You should consider exiting the market to avoid risks. The forecast and strategy for next week have been published in the group.
If it helps you, please like and support it with bells.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. $BTC #BTC走势分析 #行情推演 #江恩 #玄学
Green area: has a higher growth rate or sideways
Red area: has a higher rate of decline or sideways movement
For the rest of the day, it is expected to rebound or fall first and then rebound. It is expected to peak after midnight. Don't expect how high the rebound will be. You should consider exiting the market to avoid risks. The forecast and strategy for next week have been published in the group.
If it helps you, please like and support it with bells.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. $BTC #BTC走势分析 #行情推演 #江恩 #玄学
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BTC Bitcoin 2024/9/4 Fortune Forecast
Green area: has a higher growth rate or sideways
Red area: has a higher rate of decline or sideways movement
The callback is more than expected, and we must be cautious about whether the next rebound will be replaced by a shock sideways. Today, we will see a drop first and then rebound or a shock rebound. It will fall back near the closing, and it may also start to rebound around 22:00. Don’t expect a big drop for the time being. The spot operation strategy is posted in the group.
If it helps you, please like and support it with the bell.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. $BTC #加密市场急跌 #BTC走势分析 #江恩 #玄学 #行情推演
Green area: has a higher growth rate or sideways
Red area: has a higher rate of decline or sideways movement
The callback is more than expected, and we must be cautious about whether the next rebound will be replaced by a shock sideways. Today, we will see a drop first and then rebound or a shock rebound. It will fall back near the closing, and it may also start to rebound around 22:00. Don’t expect a big drop for the time being. The spot operation strategy is posted in the group.
If it helps you, please like and support it with the bell.
The schedule forecast changes greatly. The forecast is not 100% accurate and is not an investment advice. $BTC #加密市场急跌 #BTC走势分析 #江恩 #玄学 #行情推演
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Events that may affect economic development in the United States on August 21, 2024:
The three major U.S. stock index futures rose slightly: On August 21, the three major U.S. stock index futures all rose slightly. After the global sell-off in early August, the market is gradually recovering from the trough. Strong retail data and lower-than-expected inflation reports eased concerns about a recession. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq set their longest winning streak since the end of 2023 this week.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released a report: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the preliminary report on non-farm employment and wages (QCEW) for the first quarter of 2024 on August 21. The report may revise the non-farm employment data for the year from April 2023 to March 2024. The revised results may mean that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics previously overestimated the number of new non-farm jobs in the United States, and the degree of overestimation may even be the largest in 15 years.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released a report: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the preliminary report on non-farm employment and wages (QCEW) for the first quarter of 2024 on August 21. The report may revise the non-farm employment data for the year from April 2023 to March 2024. The revised results may mean that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics previously overestimated the number of new non-farm jobs in the United States, and the degree of overestimation may even be the largest in 15 years.