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🚨 #比特币 Market Warning: Will the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike trigger a market tsunami? 🚨
🔍 On Tuesday, the remarks of the Governor of the Bank of Japan once again made the market worried and nervous. He said that if the economy and prices are stable, the central bank may raise the benchmark interest rate. As soon as the news came out, the yen appreciated immediately, and the exchange rate against the US dollar rose to around 145, ending the previous two weeks of depression.
📈 This wave of appreciation of the yen has moved the global market. Investors began to withdraw money from high-risk assets to reduce investment risks, which is not good news for Bitcoin and US tech stocks.
🔗 At present, as the relationship between Bitcoin and other traditional risky assets becomes closer and closer. Once the yen appreciates again, investors who use yen to buy high-yield currencies will begin to close their positions, which will directly bring greater selling pressure to the US stock and Bitcoin markets.
📉 However, different views believe that although in the short term, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike policy will definitely cause Bitcoin prices to fluctuate. But in the long run, if these policies can improve the investment environment and increase market liquidity, Bitcoin may continue its upward trend.
🌪️ Let's talk about the controversial topic of recession. Some people believe that when the economy is bad, investors will turn to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. But others believe that everyone will withdraw funds from high-risk investments and put their money in safer places.
🤔 In summary, although Bitcoin may fluctuate in the short term, its long-term performance still depends on many factors, such as investor sentiment, global economic conditions, and the performance of traditional assets. However, as Bitcoin becomes more mature, it may become more important as a hedge against economic uncertainty.
💬 What do you think about the possible interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan and its potential impact on the Bitcoin market? Do you think the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve after this month's FOMC meeting and the investment sentiment in the future market are positive or negative?
#比特币 #日本央行 #市场动态 #经济趋势
🔍 On Tuesday, the remarks of the Governor of the Bank of Japan once again made the market worried and nervous. He said that if the economy and prices are stable, the central bank may raise the benchmark interest rate. As soon as the news came out, the yen appreciated immediately, and the exchange rate against the US dollar rose to around 145, ending the previous two weeks of depression.
📈 This wave of appreciation of the yen has moved the global market. Investors began to withdraw money from high-risk assets to reduce investment risks, which is not good news for Bitcoin and US tech stocks.
🔗 At present, as the relationship between Bitcoin and other traditional risky assets becomes closer and closer. Once the yen appreciates again, investors who use yen to buy high-yield currencies will begin to close their positions, which will directly bring greater selling pressure to the US stock and Bitcoin markets.
📉 However, different views believe that although in the short term, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike policy will definitely cause Bitcoin prices to fluctuate. But in the long run, if these policies can improve the investment environment and increase market liquidity, Bitcoin may continue its upward trend.
🌪️ Let's talk about the controversial topic of recession. Some people believe that when the economy is bad, investors will turn to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. But others believe that everyone will withdraw funds from high-risk investments and put their money in safer places.
🤔 In summary, although Bitcoin may fluctuate in the short term, its long-term performance still depends on many factors, such as investor sentiment, global economic conditions, and the performance of traditional assets. However, as Bitcoin becomes more mature, it may become more important as a hedge against economic uncertainty.
💬 What do you think about the possible interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan and its potential impact on the Bitcoin market? Do you think the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve after this month's FOMC meeting and the investment sentiment in the future market are positive or negative?
#比特币 #日本央行 #市场动态 #经济趋势
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🌀#比特币 Faced with the "death cross", the Bank of Japan stopped raising interest rates to stabilize sentiment! 🛑
📉Recently, Bitcoin's "death cross" has become a hot topic, but the plot seems to have taken a turn. Because the Bank of Japan may come to the rescue! The reason is that last Friday, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time, triggering a panic in the global financial market. 📉
💉But just yesterday, the Japanese Minister of Finance and Economics said: If the market is unstable, they will not continue to raise interest rates. This is like a shot of adrenaline for the market. At the same time, the price of Bitcoin has also rebounded well in the past two days.
🤔However, I think this may be just the beginning, and Japan may have more interest rate hikes in the future. However, any surge or plunge in the reading side may be just short-term speculation, and the same is true for the market's follow-up reaction! At the same time, the reappearance of the "death cross" risk in the market suggests that Bitcoin may be suffering from a bear market trap.
🔍Therefore, we should not be swayed by these short-term fluctuations, but should look ahead and not be influenced by irresponsible news and market fluctuations, and blindly follow the trend!
🧐So, what do you think? Do you think the decision of the Bank of Japan will have an impact on the Bitcoin market? Will the market quickly digest the impact of this short-term event? Will Bitcoin's "death cross" be a "death cross" trap before the start of this bull market?
👇 Leave your opinion in the comment area, let's discuss the future price trend of Bitcoin together!
#比特币死亡交叉 #日本央行 #市场波动 #加息
📉Recently, Bitcoin's "death cross" has become a hot topic, but the plot seems to have taken a turn. Because the Bank of Japan may come to the rescue! The reason is that last Friday, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time, triggering a panic in the global financial market. 📉
💉But just yesterday, the Japanese Minister of Finance and Economics said: If the market is unstable, they will not continue to raise interest rates. This is like a shot of adrenaline for the market. At the same time, the price of Bitcoin has also rebounded well in the past two days.
🤔However, I think this may be just the beginning, and Japan may have more interest rate hikes in the future. However, any surge or plunge in the reading side may be just short-term speculation, and the same is true for the market's follow-up reaction! At the same time, the reappearance of the "death cross" risk in the market suggests that Bitcoin may be suffering from a bear market trap.
🔍Therefore, we should not be swayed by these short-term fluctuations, but should look ahead and not be influenced by irresponsible news and market fluctuations, and blindly follow the trend!
🧐So, what do you think? Do you think the decision of the Bank of Japan will have an impact on the Bitcoin market? Will the market quickly digest the impact of this short-term event? Will Bitcoin's "death cross" be a "death cross" trap before the start of this bull market?
👇 Leave your opinion in the comment area, let's discuss the future price trend of Bitcoin together!
#比特币死亡交叉 #日本央行 #市场波动 #加息
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Be wary of the Bank of Japan’s rate hike next Tuesday (March 19)
The probability of raising interest rates at the Bank of Japan's meeting on the 18th and 19th of this month is about 80%. In August 2000, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.25%. Just a few weeks later, the Nasdaq bubble burst and began a long-term More than two years of downturn.
When U.S. stocks fall, the crypto market will also be affected.
Then interest rates were raised in July 2006 and February 2007. In the days after the second interest rate hike, China's stock market fell nearly 9% in a single day. Still the biggest one-day drop for our market this century. A few months later, several of Bear Stearns' credit hedge funds collapsed, triggering the global financial crisis.
If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, U.S. stocks will correct by about 10%, and the correction in the crypto market should not be less than 20%.
In the long term (more than three years), there is no need to pay attention to the impact of this incident. Short-term (within one year) traders are advised to avoid it.
#BTC #日本央行 #ETH
The probability of raising interest rates at the Bank of Japan's meeting on the 18th and 19th of this month is about 80%. In August 2000, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.25%. Just a few weeks later, the Nasdaq bubble burst and began a long-term More than two years of downturn.
When U.S. stocks fall, the crypto market will also be affected.
Then interest rates were raised in July 2006 and February 2007. In the days after the second interest rate hike, China's stock market fell nearly 9% in a single day. Still the biggest one-day drop for our market this century. A few months later, several of Bear Stearns' credit hedge funds collapsed, triggering the global financial crisis.
If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, U.S. stocks will correct by about 10%, and the correction in the crypto market should not be less than 20%.
In the long term (more than three years), there is no need to pay attention to the impact of this incident. Short-term (within one year) traders are advised to avoid it.
#BTC #日本央行 #ETH
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Cryptocurrency evening summary
1. There is not much to say about the macroeconomics today. Maybe everyone is worried that Japan #加息 will bring down the US stock market and cryptocurrencies. According to the chart data, the Bank of Japan has no urgency to raise interest rates, so the possibility of tightening the yen and risky assets is temporarily small (raising interest rates). The USD/JPY exchange rate is mainly driven by the future US yield (Figure 1)
2. Continuing with the first point, according to people familiar with the matter, the central bank is likely to keep borrowing costs unchanged at 0.25% when it ends its two-day meeting on September 20. Given the recent turmoil, including the#Nikkei225index's biggest drop in history on August 5 (just a few days after the central bank raised interest rates), the central bank needs to pay close attention to financial markets. In addition, most economists surveyed expect the Bank of Japan to wait until December or January before raising interest rates again.
2. Continuing with the first point, according to people familiar with the matter, the central bank is likely to keep borrowing costs unchanged at 0.25% when it ends its two-day meeting on September 20. Given the recent turmoil, including the#Nikkei225index's biggest drop in history on August 5 (just a few days after the central bank raised interest rates), the central bank needs to pay close attention to financial markets. In addition, most economists surveyed expect the Bank of Japan to wait until December or January before raising interest rates again.
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#今日行情解读
The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but failed to win against Powell's hawkish speech
The market fell rapidly and approached the 100,000 mark, the largest drop in three months
Whether it can hold 100,000 today depends on the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan
#鲍威尔讲话
#日本央行
The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but failed to win against Powell's hawkish speech
The market fell rapidly and approached the 100,000 mark, the largest drop in three months
Whether it can hold 100,000 today depends on the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan
#鲍威尔讲话
#日本央行
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🌐 The Bank of Japan has stopped raising interest rates, and there is no chain reaction to the global economy for the time being?
📉 Listen! Makoto Sakurai, a former member of the Bank of Japan, said that there will be no more rate hikes this year. On August 12, he issued a report saying, "At least for the rest of the year, they will not raise interest rates again." Remember when the Bank of Japan suddenly lowered interest rates to 0.25% in early August? That really caused a big drop in the stock market and cryptocurrency market.
💸 So why did the rate hike have such a big impact? Mainly because it disrupted the yen carry trade, which is that investors borrow yen at ultra-low interest rates and then buy foreign assets. But what really turned the market upside down was the yen's surge in the foreign exchange market, from 153 yen to the dollar to 145 yen. This made the cost of borrowing in yen soar overnight.
📈 Although this rate hike has caused a bit of panic in global markets, Sakurai feels that this is a necessary step for Japan. After all, Japan's interest rates have been between 0 and -0.1% for 17 years. "It's a good thing to go from almost zero interest rates to a normal 0.25%," he said. He also thinks it's wise for the central bank to "wait and see" what to do next.
💸The view is that the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike may make the yen more valuable, which is a challenge for Japanese exports because goods become more expensive and sales cannot be increased, which may lead to commodity stagflation. At the same time, the interest rate hike may make global investors invest their money in Japan because the returns there are higher, which will also affect the balance of financial markets in other countries.
🌟In addition, the interest rate hike may also be a signal for central banks in other countries to consider adjusting their own interest rates. And for countries and companies that have borrowed a lot of yen debt, the interest rate hike means that they have to pay more money back, which may bring them some economic pressure.
🤔 Although the Bank of Japan said it did this to make its economy healthier, its impact on the global economy still needs our continued attention.
💬 So, what do you think? Is the impact of the yen interest rate hike on the market good or bad? Is the Bank of Japan's wait-and-see strategy a wise move? Has the cryptocurrency market stabilized and is no longer afraid of panic selling and falling prices? Leave your thoughts in the comments section!
#日本央行 #加息 #市场动荡 #货币政策
📉 Listen! Makoto Sakurai, a former member of the Bank of Japan, said that there will be no more rate hikes this year. On August 12, he issued a report saying, "At least for the rest of the year, they will not raise interest rates again." Remember when the Bank of Japan suddenly lowered interest rates to 0.25% in early August? That really caused a big drop in the stock market and cryptocurrency market.
💸 So why did the rate hike have such a big impact? Mainly because it disrupted the yen carry trade, which is that investors borrow yen at ultra-low interest rates and then buy foreign assets. But what really turned the market upside down was the yen's surge in the foreign exchange market, from 153 yen to the dollar to 145 yen. This made the cost of borrowing in yen soar overnight.
📈 Although this rate hike has caused a bit of panic in global markets, Sakurai feels that this is a necessary step for Japan. After all, Japan's interest rates have been between 0 and -0.1% for 17 years. "It's a good thing to go from almost zero interest rates to a normal 0.25%," he said. He also thinks it's wise for the central bank to "wait and see" what to do next.
💸The view is that the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike may make the yen more valuable, which is a challenge for Japanese exports because goods become more expensive and sales cannot be increased, which may lead to commodity stagflation. At the same time, the interest rate hike may make global investors invest their money in Japan because the returns there are higher, which will also affect the balance of financial markets in other countries.
🌟In addition, the interest rate hike may also be a signal for central banks in other countries to consider adjusting their own interest rates. And for countries and companies that have borrowed a lot of yen debt, the interest rate hike means that they have to pay more money back, which may bring them some economic pressure.
🤔 Although the Bank of Japan said it did this to make its economy healthier, its impact on the global economy still needs our continued attention.
💬 So, what do you think? Is the impact of the yen interest rate hike on the market good or bad? Is the Bank of Japan's wait-and-see strategy a wise move? Has the cryptocurrency market stabilized and is no longer afraid of panic selling and falling prices? Leave your thoughts in the comments section!
#日本央行 #加息 #市场动荡 #货币政策
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The Bank of Japan announced to raise interest rates and reduce the scale of government bond purchases
The Bank of Japan decided to raise interest rates and reduce the scale of government bond purchases at the monetary policy meeting that ended on July 31. This is the first interest rate increase since the Bank of Japan ended its negative interest rate policy in March this year.
The Bank of Japan announced that day that it would raise the policy interest rate from 0% to 0.1% to about 0.25%, and gradually reduce the amount of government bond purchases from the current monthly level of about 6 trillion yen (1 U.S. dollar is equivalent to 152.7 yen) to 2026. From January to March this year, it was reduced to about 3 trillion yen per month.
On July 31, the Japanese stock market rose significantly and pulled sharply in late trading. The Nikkei 225 index closed at 39101.82 points, up 1.49%. The Topix index reported 2794.26 points, up 1.45%.
A total of 2,669 stocks rose that day, accounting for 66.51%. S·SCIENCE, HYPER, and KIMOTO were among the top gainers.
#日本央行加息 #日本央行 #日本市场
The Bank of Japan decided to raise interest rates and reduce the scale of government bond purchases at the monetary policy meeting that ended on July 31. This is the first interest rate increase since the Bank of Japan ended its negative interest rate policy in March this year.
The Bank of Japan announced that day that it would raise the policy interest rate from 0% to 0.1% to about 0.25%, and gradually reduce the amount of government bond purchases from the current monthly level of about 6 trillion yen (1 U.S. dollar is equivalent to 152.7 yen) to 2026. From January to March this year, it was reduced to about 3 trillion yen per month.
On July 31, the Japanese stock market rose significantly and pulled sharply in late trading. The Nikkei 225 index closed at 39101.82 points, up 1.49%. The Topix index reported 2794.26 points, up 1.45%.
A total of 2,669 stocks rose that day, accounting for 66.51%. S·SCIENCE, HYPER, and KIMOTO were among the top gainers.
#日本央行加息 #日本央行 #日本市场
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Next, let's look at the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan #日本央行
Last night's dot plot also showed that there are serious internal divisions within the Federal Reserve
Wait and see how it develops ~ Currently long 🟰 to take over?
Last night's dot plot also showed that there are serious internal divisions within the Federal Reserve
Wait and see how it develops ~ Currently long 🟰 to take over?
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🏛️ Faced with market instability, the Bank of Japan calmly chose not to raise interest rates! 📢
🌐 The deputy governor of the Bank of Japan, Shinichi Uchida, spoke today. Faced with the turmoil in the financial market, he made a clear statement: the central bank will temporarily suspend interest rate hikes to stabilize market sentiment.
💼 After the Japanese stock market experienced a historic plunge, Shinichi Uchida pointed out in a public speech that in view of the current high market volatility, the Bank of Japan decided to maintain an easy monetary policy in order to stabilize the economy and the market.
📉 As soon as these words came out, the yen fell 2%, but the stock market rebounded, with the Nikkei 225 Index and the Topix Index both rising by more than 3%. It seems that the central bank's decision has a significant impact on market sentiment!
🤔 However, this decision of the Bank of Japan is wise in the eyes of most people. When the market is unstable, maintaining the continuity and stability of policies will help avoid the spread of panic and bring more investment confidence to the market.
🗣️But at the same time, some people are worried that long-term loose policies may bring side effects, such as asset bubbles and other problems, which is also a major problem that local governments and central banks and other institutions need to balance and solve!
💭 What do you think? Is this decision of the Bank of Japan a wise move to stabilize the market, or an overly conservative strategy? Let's talk about your views!
#日本央行 #金融市场 #货币政策 #日元 #股市反弹
🌐 The deputy governor of the Bank of Japan, Shinichi Uchida, spoke today. Faced with the turmoil in the financial market, he made a clear statement: the central bank will temporarily suspend interest rate hikes to stabilize market sentiment.
💼 After the Japanese stock market experienced a historic plunge, Shinichi Uchida pointed out in a public speech that in view of the current high market volatility, the Bank of Japan decided to maintain an easy monetary policy in order to stabilize the economy and the market.
📉 As soon as these words came out, the yen fell 2%, but the stock market rebounded, with the Nikkei 225 Index and the Topix Index both rising by more than 3%. It seems that the central bank's decision has a significant impact on market sentiment!
🤔 However, this decision of the Bank of Japan is wise in the eyes of most people. When the market is unstable, maintaining the continuity and stability of policies will help avoid the spread of panic and bring more investment confidence to the market.
🗣️But at the same time, some people are worried that long-term loose policies may bring side effects, such as asset bubbles and other problems, which is also a major problem that local governments and central banks and other institutions need to balance and solve!
💭 What do you think? Is this decision of the Bank of Japan a wise move to stabilize the market, or an overly conservative strategy? Let's talk about your views!
#日本央行 #金融市场 #货币政策 #日元 #股市反弹
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1. There is not much to say about the macro aspect today. Maybe everyone is worried that Japan's interest rate hike will bring down the US stock market and cryptocurrencies. According to the chart data, the Bank of Japan has no urgency to raise interest rates, so the possibility of tightening the yen and risky assets is temporarily small (interest rate hike). The USD/JPY is mainly driven by future US yields (Figure 1)
2. Continuing with the first point, according to people familiar with the matter, 12440647527 is likely to end the two-day meeting on September 20 and keep the borrowing cost unchanged at 0.25%. Given the recent turmoil, including the#Nikkei225index's largest drop in history on August 5 (just a few days after the central bank raised interest rates), the central bank needs to pay close attention to financial markets. In addition, most economists surveyed expect the Bank of Japan to wait until December or January before raising interest rates again
3. The forecast ratio tracking of Trump and Harris is 49151758092 at 48% and#Harrisis 51% (Figure 2)
4. From the perspective of on-chain data indicators 04721215800 The selling pressure has decreased, and long-term holders#LTHhave less activity, but the buying pressure of US investment in#Coinbaseis relatively weak. Interestingly, Korean retail investors have strong purchasing power, indicating that everyone is optimistic about $BTC in the short term
5. According to the on-chain data, the stablecoins issued on $TON have been on an upward trend, with a supply of 1 billion US dollars #USDT
6. Let's talk about $PYUSD. The latest circulation is 360 million US dollars, which is lower than the supply of 370 million US dollars in July, and the number of active addresses on the chain is less than 1,000 people/times
7. With the price drop in recent weeks, the number of active addresses on the chain has generally shown a downward trend, but the transaction volume fluctuates with the price fluctuations, indicating that there are some unbalanced activities on the chain, but the strange phenomenon is that despite the decrease in the price of Ethereum $ETH, the on-chain contract calls and pledges are on the rise, indicating that there are certain developer activities, and the large pledgers are also optimistic about the future #Ethereum's development (Figure 4)
8. According to the on-chain data, stablecoins are generally on the rise. $USDT alone accounts for 70% of stablecoins, reaching 118 billion US dollars and ranking first, followed by $USDC, which accounts for 21% and is 35.6 billion US dollars (data as of September 17)
2. Continuing with the first point, according to people familiar with the matter, 12440647527 is likely to end the two-day meeting on September 20 and keep the borrowing cost unchanged at 0.25%. Given the recent turmoil, including the#Nikkei225index's largest drop in history on August 5 (just a few days after the central bank raised interest rates), the central bank needs to pay close attention to financial markets. In addition, most economists surveyed expect the Bank of Japan to wait until December or January before raising interest rates again
3. The forecast ratio tracking of Trump and Harris is 49151758092 at 48% and#Harrisis 51% (Figure 2)
4. From the perspective of on-chain data indicators 04721215800 The selling pressure has decreased, and long-term holders#LTHhave less activity, but the buying pressure of US investment in#Coinbaseis relatively weak. Interestingly, Korean retail investors have strong purchasing power, indicating that everyone is optimistic about $BTC in the short term
5. According to the on-chain data, the stablecoins issued on $TON have been on an upward trend, with a supply of 1 billion US dollars #USDT
6. Let's talk about $PYUSD. The latest circulation is 360 million US dollars, which is lower than the supply of 370 million US dollars in July, and the number of active addresses on the chain is less than 1,000 people/times
7. With the price drop in recent weeks, the number of active addresses on the chain has generally shown a downward trend, but the transaction volume fluctuates with the price fluctuations, indicating that there are some unbalanced activities on the chain, but the strange phenomenon is that despite the decrease in the price of Ethereum $ETH, the on-chain contract calls and pledges are on the rise, indicating that there are certain developer activities, and the large pledgers are also optimistic about the future #Ethereum's development (Figure 4)
8. According to the on-chain data, stablecoins are generally on the rise. $USDT alone accounts for 70% of stablecoins, reaching 118 billion US dollars and ranking first, followed by $USDC, which accounts for 21% and is 35.6 billion US dollars (data as of September 17)
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#加密市场 Review and Outlook of This Week
As Christmas approaches, the crypto market has experienced some fluctuations this week, especially after the European and American exchanges closed on Wednesday, capital outflows were more common. At the same time, Ethereum faces greater pressure of capital outflows, and market sentiment tends to be risk-averse.
This week's major events:
- Monday: MicroStrategy (#MicroStrategy ) may be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index
- Tuesday: The Central Banks of Canada and Australia release December monetary policy minutes
- Thursday: The United States announces the number of initial jobless claims for the week
- Friday: #日本央行 announces a summary of the opinions of the meeting review committee
Market Outlook:
$BTC fell below the $100,000 mark, and $ETH fell below $3,300, because the bull market has not yet adjusted significantly and funds are tight during Christmas. In addition, Trump's policy changes may bring about a deleveraging trend and increase risk aversion.
On #期权市场 , about $12 billion of options expired this week, and large investors and market makers are adjusting their positions. It is expected that the volatility during the Christmas period will be smaller, and the market focus will be on the market trend after Trump takes office at the end of January. The crypto interest rate market remained relatively stable on #Bitfinex .
As Christmas approaches, the crypto market has experienced some fluctuations this week, especially after the European and American exchanges closed on Wednesday, capital outflows were more common. At the same time, Ethereum faces greater pressure of capital outflows, and market sentiment tends to be risk-averse.
This week's major events:
- Monday: MicroStrategy (#MicroStrategy ) may be included in the Nasdaq 100 Index
- Tuesday: The Central Banks of Canada and Australia release December monetary policy minutes
- Thursday: The United States announces the number of initial jobless claims for the week
- Friday: #日本央行 announces a summary of the opinions of the meeting review committee
Market Outlook:
$BTC fell below the $100,000 mark, and $ETH fell below $3,300, because the bull market has not yet adjusted significantly and funds are tight during Christmas. In addition, Trump's policy changes may bring about a deleveraging trend and increase risk aversion.
On #期权市场 , about $12 billion of options expired this week, and large investors and market makers are adjusting their positions. It is expected that the volatility during the Christmas period will be smaller, and the market focus will be on the market trend after Trump takes office at the end of January. The crypto interest rate market remained relatively stable on #Bitfinex .