The new year is approaching, and two major signals have emerged in the crypto circle!
Regarding ETFs, on December 30, there was a net outflow of $426 million from Bitcoin spot ETFs and a net outflow of $55.41 million from Ethereum spot ETFs. Short-term holders of Bitcoin have realized profits again at peak levels, similar to March of this year, indicating that a large amount of profit-taking is happening, which has led to price fluctuations and adjustments.
There are indeed signs that the current support is starting to shift downwards, as I mentioned yesterday. Since we are currently in a low liquidity phase, we should not focus on the shifting support for now; we will reevaluate this data after liquidity returns next week. Overall, I have been emphasizing that everything revolves around BTC's trend cycle. In a rising trend, if you believe BTC will rise next, then buy and hold on tight.
How to Have Your Own Cryptocurrency Trading Rules in the Crypto Circle
I have been trading cryptocurrencies for 5 years and have earned nearly 10 million. If you want to change your fate, you must try the cryptocurrency circle. If you can't make money in this circle, ordinary people will have no chance in their lifetime. Below, I share the 10 rules I have figured out over the years:
1. Investment should consider the 'real' rate of return: When conducting long-term investment plans, one should focus on the 'real rate of return', because the true rate of return is what remains after deducting 'inflation' and 'taxes' from investment gains. If investors ignore the impact of inflation and taxes, the journey of long-term investment will be arduous.
Three Major Principles of Short-Term Trading in the Crypto Space
Profit withdrawal principle: When buying a coin, after you've made a profit of more than 10%, you should start to implement the capital protection principle (if it later drops to the purchase price, sell unconditionally). If you make around 20% profit, then you must ensure that this trade at least makes 10% profit before selling, in order to maximize profits. When you reach 20% profit, set the condition that if your profit drops to only 10%, you will not sell, unless you are technically sure of a temporary high point; otherwise, do not sell. Similarly, if you make a 30% profit, you must sell unconditionally if it drops to a 15% profit. This principle is for those who lack technical judgment on high points, allowing profit withdrawals to help your earnings grow.
How to persuade someone to give up trading cryptocurrencies?
If you plan to invest in the cryptocurrency market, please take a few minutes to read my answer word for word, as it might save your life and your family. Thousands of originally happy families end up broken and ruined, stemming from the pursuit of an unattainable dream of making big money in the cryptocurrency market. In the stock market, 7 lose, 2 break even, 1 makes a profit; in the cryptocurrency market, it’s even harsher, over 90% are just there to lose. But even so, due to human greed and a sense of luck, they always... Mistakenly thinking you are part of that 10%. One, how do you know I am not part of that 10%? A simple and crude judgment method: as long as you are not an exchange, not an investment institution, and not a professional trader with years of experience, and you have no continuous stable profit trading record for more than a month, then you are part of that 90%!
It is well known that the main driving force behind this bull market is US capital. Currently, the situation in the US is still in a holiday state (Christmas to New Year), indicating that liquidity is quite limited, especially on weekends. Whether from the US stock market or the cryptocurrency market, we can see that trading volume and volatility are relatively low. This kind of market is quite common at the end of the year, as there are a lot of settlements, whether for holiday sales or for companies to balance their accounts. Therefore, this drop is reasonable and does not significantly affect the trend. If you're interested, you can look back at the market trends at the end of previous years, which have generally been quite complicated. Apart from the monotonous upward trend in 2020, other years have been characterized by fluctuations, and real breakthroughs in trends typically emerge in January of the following year. So, there's no need to pay too much attention to the market in the next few days; just stay calm.
Remember: withdrawing 1000 U is as risky as withdrawing 1000 WU. Guide to safely withdrawing in the crypto world! Compared to losing money, people in the crypto world are more worried about two things: assets being stolen and withdrawals being frozen. How to avoid asset theft? Two days ago, the article systematically talked about: Ledger theft, explaining wallets! Today let's talk about safe withdrawals. 1. U merchants are chaotic, withdrawals are cut. I've read countless tutorials on safely withdrawing funds, but none of them highlight the key points. Most investors basically follow what the big players say and do, which leads to being harvested by U merchants, some even charging a service fee of 20%. This is to avoid investors being cut due to information asymmetry.
Has the recent price movement of Bitcoin been putting you to sleep? It’s been hovering between 93,000 and 98,000, like it’s taking deep breaths, preparing for a big move. But don’t rush, institutions are generally optimistic about the market next year, and I personally think this is an upward trend. After all, after the rocket-like surge in the past two months, the market needs to catch its breath and stabilize! The market can change its face faster than flipping a book, we need to remain calm. So, how will the market move next? I’ll analyze it, but this is just my personal opinion and not investment advice. You can follow me for daily updates. Specifically for BTC, it feels like it's playing a game of 'finding direction'. If there are no bad news to disrupt it, it might just shoot up one day. But at this moment, don’t put all your eggs in one basket; small dollar-cost averaging, take it slow, and keep a mental note that even if it drops another 15%, we still have the firepower to average down! Now looking at BNB, it’s wandering between 680 and 720, today it's lazier than yesterday, maybe because the airdrop event is halfway through, and some friends have cashed out after making profits. As for ETH, it’s hovering between 3200 and 3700, also waiting for the wind to come. Just because BTC is stagnant doesn’t mean ETH can’t do something on its own; after all, institutions have shown interest in it recently, increasing their holdings! Some important news: 1. Since November 11, MicroStrategy has increased its holdings by approximately 192,042 Bitcoins, while BlackRock has increased its holdings by approximately 118,795 Bitcoins during the same period. 2. Michael Saylor has released Bitcoin Tracker information for the eighth consecutive week, which may suggest he is increasing his BTC holdings again. 3. Tether CEO retweeted several posts stating that USDT will not be deemed illegal in Europe on December 30. 4. FTX will begin repaying $16 billion in cash, with claims processing starting on January 3, 2025. According to previous announcements, FTX's court-approved Chapter 11 reorganization plan will take effect on January 3, 2025, and set the record date for the first distribution. Now back to today’s daily BTC technical analysis: From the K-line perspective, the 1-hour chart shows signs of a rebound, the 4-hour level is down, the 12-hour level is down, and the daily level is down. The intraday resistance level is 96,500, and the support level is 91,000 dollars.
Opportunities in the Cryptocurrency Market: Hidden Wealth Codes in the Low Valley, How Retail Investors Can Prepare for the Bull Market?
Yesterday, the cryptocurrency market seemed to have experienced a small stimulation journey, with BTC slightly shaking the market. Those market makers attempted to pull the price back, but ultimately failed. The current trend of Bitcoin appears quite entangled, with the overall shape still leaning towards weakness, and there are signs of a top formation. From a daily perspective, the 90k line can be viewed as the dividing line for strength and weakness in Q1 market. It is well known that the main driving funds of this bull market come from American capital. Currently, the U.S. side is still in a holiday state (from Christmas to New Year). Thus, it is evident that the current market liquidity is extremely insufficient, especially on weekends. Whether from the U.S. stock market or the cryptocurrency market, we can clearly see that both the trading volume and volatility are relatively small.
Why have you been losing money in cryptocurrency trading?
Yesterday's cryptocurrency market was like a small roller coaster ride, with BTC shaking the market slightly. Market makers wanted to pull the price back but failed, indicating that everyone is quite satisfied with the current price! Analyzing the data, the upcoming market may take a breather, but don’t rush. In the long term, the upward train is still steadily on track. Friends holding coins for the long term, if you plan to sell next year, don’t impulsively short! Remember, when the price is low we buy, when it's high we wait, don't rush to sell everything. This way, we won't fear price fluctuations, keeping our mindset as steady as a mountain! In trading, don't be too anxious; don’t jump in impulsively. Have a plan and take it slow. After all, we are playing for the long term, not just focusing on the short-term minor skirmishes. This is just my personal reflection; investment still depends on your own judgment, and you can consider it for fun.
The rise of platform coins may be a signal for the rotation of altcoins, but Ethereum will be the ultimate driving force!
Last night, the opening of US stocks was generally normal and still rising, while the ETF data for BTC and Ethereum also came out today, showing normal inflows. So under these circumstances, the weekend's market is quite anticipated, basically indicating a warming and rising signal. Everyone can see that the current market is still fluctuating within a range. Once there is a decline, the market will quickly recover, proving that the funds on the American side have begun to slowly recover. In the next trend, without any significant negative news, the market will move towards an upward warming state, as the negative sentiment regarding the Fed's interest rate cuts in 2025 has mostly been digested. Although this week is the last Sunday of 2024 and coincides with the expiration of $4.2 billion in options, it is highly likely that investors will choose to defer rather than immediately sell off, so this wave of delivery will not have too much impact on the market. Then let me show you the data: BTC net inflow is $475 million, Ethereum net inflow is $117 million. Ethereum has almost bought back the outflow data from two days before Christmas in just one day, but Bitcoin is still lacking a bit. This shows that institutions are currently slowly becoming interested in Ethereum. Although the price of Ethereum is still far from its historical high, the trend has already shown that institutions and investors are more optimistic about its sentiment. If Ethereum can maintain this inflow, I believe the price of Ethereum will also rise accordingly, and the long-awaited altcoin season will soon be seen with Ethereum's momentum!
Don't worry if you're stuck with DOGE at a high position; learn these strategies to help you easily break even!
DOGE has recently been fluctuating around 0.25, reaching as high as 0.35 and not dropping below 0.2. I think this kind of volatility is quite normal, especially since the last time Dogecoin surged, it attracted a lot of new funds. Now it needs time to digest and, by the way, wash out those uncertain investors. How to wash? It’s by following the market up and down, with large fluctuations.
However, the volatility of Dogecoin is much greater than that of BTC or ETH; this is a characteristic of small altcoins, and there's nothing we can do about it. Some friends bought in at a high point and are now stuck, but don't worry, I have some tips for you: If the Dogecoin you hold is not more than half of your total position, then don’t rush to sell at a loss. Wait for it to pull back to around 0.25, then buy a bit more to lower your average cost, making it easier to break even and make a profit later. Remember, when buying spot, if uncertainty is high and the position is poor, you should buy in batches to get a better price! But if you're fully invested or nearly fully invested in Dogecoin at a high price, and there's no good news in the short term, then it will be difficult to return to your cost price. At this point, sell a bit during each rebound to lighten your burden. This isn’t because I don’t believe in the future of Dogecoin; rather, you need to leave some funds for other opportunities. After all, when a bull market comes, various altcoins will rise, and if you put all your money into Dogecoin, you might miss out on other profitable opportunities, at most just returning to your cost line and making a small profit. We come to the cryptocurrency circle to make money, so we need to be smart and use our money wisely, rather than stubbornly sticking to one coin. Sometimes, knowing when to let go is also a form of wisdom. Everyone should learn more about the correct ways to trade contracts and spot; stop buying blindly! Are you stuck? When is the right time to bottom out? As I said, if you're confused and don't know what to do, follow me, and comment '168' to get on board. $SOL $SHIB $DOGE #加密市场调整 #美国加密立法或将重启 #2025加密趋势预测
A Must-Read for Cryptocurrency Beginners: Hardcore Strategies for Position Management and Trading Mindset
As a newcomer to the crypto world, you need to master two hard skills: position management and trading mindset. Once you have these down, you can establish yourself in the crypto space, and making money will no longer be a dream!
First, let's talk about position management; this is the ultimate secret to protecting your wallet. You need to learn to set a safety line for yourself. Once you’ve made some money, quickly place a 'protective shield'—a stop-loss order—near your opening price. This way, even if the market turns against you, you can still protect your principal. Especially when trading those small altcoins, when the price goes up, you need to be smart and adjust your take-profit level accordingly, while also remembering to place that 'protective shield'.
Never get carried away just because you've made a little money; know when to take profits. If you accidentally incur a loss, don’t let it get to your head and impulsively invest again; that will only lead to greater losses. Remember, follow the trend and don't always think about bottom fishing; the real bottom is determined by the market, not by your guess.
You need to have a fixed trading system; don’t change your mind every day, as that will only confuse you. Be patient and don’t always chase rising prices or panic-sell; pullbacks present good opportunities. Additionally, manage your position and leverage well; don’t forget your limits just because you’re making money—know when to stop.
Now, regarding trading mindset, this is key to whether you can last in the crypto world. When you see unrealized profits turn into losses, you need to stay calm and not let emotions cloud your judgment. Remember, trading is all about mindset; you need to learn to contend with your own psychology and not let temporary gains or losses affect your emotions.
If you want to do well in crypto, you must keep learning and enriching yourself. Summarize daily, learn from practice, and improve your trading skills. Only then can you stand your ground in this unpredictable market and reap substantial profits.
In summary, position management and trading mindset are the two key strategies for trading in crypto. Newcomers, if you want to make money in the crypto space, you need to practice these two skills well. I am currently preparing to invest in a project that is set to soar in the short term; doubling your investment is definitely possible. Friends who are interested but lack direction can like and comment '168' for a free share.
There are many reasons for trading losses, but the core problems are basically the following three points:
1. Lack of basic knowledge.
The threshold for trading is too low. Whether it is stocks or futures, you can open an account as long as you have an ID card and a bank card. There are many varieties that can be traded with a few thousand yuan, which leads to many people rushing into the market without even understanding the most basic variety information and trading rules.
2. No professional skills.
Trading is no different from being an accountant or a doctor. There are also certain professional requirements, but many people have never learned trading skills at all, let alone sufficient training. They just listen to news or even watch self-media to trade, and do not have their own trading system and trading plan.
3. Unreasonable expectations.
Many people have unrealistic expectations for trading, or even fantasies.
From the perspective of income, they disdain the annualized rate of return of more than ten or twenty big guys. They say that it is a great god on the Internet who is a classmate, a friend, a relative, an acquaintance, and a classmate who they don’t know. They doubled their money in a few days and made dozens or hundreds of times a year. They think that others can do it, and they can do it too, and they set a trading goal of several times a year.
From the perspective of retracement, those who think that the maximum retracement exceeds 5% are rubbish. Trading should not have retracement. Not only should you make a certain number of times a year, but you should also make money every year, every month, and every day without retracement. The above are the three main reasons for trading losses. Knowing the reasons for losses, how can you avoid losses? Understand the market types you trade, design a similar trading system, and have a reasonable expectation of return and retracement. The key is the return and retracement expectation. After meeting these three points, it is not certain how much money you can make, but it is not easy to lose money in the long run. $SOL $PHA $SHIB #2025加密趋势预测 #美国加密立法或将重启 #“圣诞老人行情”再现
The crypto market has been sluggish for several days in a row. Wait for new opportunities in January and don’t doubt the bull market!
After Christmas, there was a full trading day for US stocks. BTC remained above 94,000 This shows that in the current low liquidity situation, although the market sentiment is not very good, it is not very bad either. Especially today is Friday and tomorrow is the weekend, liquidity will continue to be sluggish. Be cautious with leverage. Without strong emotional stimulation, this volatile market will continue for a while and there will be no conditions for a big drop in the short term. Before the end of the year, due to factors such as institutional financial reports, funds will leave the market or take risk-averse actions. It is normal for the market to weaken in the short term. Demand may recover in January next year. Current Market Liquidity