After Christmas, there was a full trading day for US stocks. BTC remained above 94,000
This shows that in the current low liquidity situation, although the market sentiment is not very good, it is not very bad either. Especially today is Friday and tomorrow is the weekend, liquidity will continue to be sluggish. Be cautious with leverage. Without strong emotional stimulation, this volatile market will continue for a while and there will be no conditions for a big drop in the short term. Before the end of the year, due to factors such as institutional financial reports, funds will leave the market or take risk-averse actions. It is normal for the market to weaken in the short term. Demand may recover in January next year.
Current Market Liquidity
From the 6-hour chart, Bitcoin has seen a net inflow, indicating that market funds are flowing in. This is a very important signal, especially after the opening of the U.S. stock market, Bitcoin ETFs also began to have net inflows.
Distribution of short and long orders
In the liquidation map, the number of long orders around Bitcoin is relatively small, while the number of short orders is slightly larger. Therefore, the current price increase may be driven by short-order covering.
The trend in the next few days is likely to fluctuate around $95,000. There has been no direct negative news recently, and the market has begun to digest the number of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025. Therefore, I still think that in the absence of actual negative news, a deep and long-term decline is unlikely. Currently, it is still in the low liquidity during Christmas and New Year, just because there are market makers after the U.S. stock market opens.
Recently, many people have sent me private messages about the impact of the EU ban on USDT
In fact, this is not complicated. If it is banned, then don't use it. Although the EU does not allow the use of USDT, USDC is compliant, so now Europeans have also started to use USDC. But from the current point of view, the utilization rate of USDT in Europe is still very high. In fact, this thing is difficult to ban completely, just like a certain country, where there is demand, there is a market.
So don’t take it too seriously. A certain big country has never allowed the use of USDT or USDC, but isn’t USDT still the mainstream? Although the United States has not explicitly banned USDT and is not very friendly to USDT, the trading volume of USDT on Coinbase is still good.
If you are worried about Tether’s collapse, you don’t have to worry
Therefore, I still advise everyone to learn more about the underlying logic of the news in the future market. It is the same as buying a copycat. If you can't understand the news, then where is the logic of the copycat you bought? Don't be carried away by the market sentiment, and don't trade emotionally. Only by taking steady steps can we gain a firm foothold in the market and seize the real opportunity to make money.
at last
The next is a critical period. Whether it can accelerate depends on the next few days. Will it accelerate? Or will it continue to fluctuate?
When everyone is lying down and unable to wash out the chips, I think now is a good window for acceleration, and we can try to increase the volume and speed up the rise.
Next, the key thing we observe in the market is whether the volume can be increased to pull up the market. The importance of volume is greater than the extent of the increase. Continuous increase in volume at a small level can represent the determination and willpower of the market maker to pull up the market.
If you have spot goods, just hold on. If you have already escaped the top, don't chase them. The current market is very strange. If you are not careful, you will be trapped.
When there is no consensus, it is time to make a layout, build positions in batches, and wait until consensus is reached to eat the fish tail and bear the big risk
1. Seizing the opportunity to build positions in the next three months will allow many people to cross classes again in the bull market!
2. Copycat spot opportunities, real-time sharing of band and long-term strategies!
3. Now that the market is active again, we definitely need new star sectors or currencies to trigger a new bull market. If you catch one, you will make a lot of money, and if you catch several, you will make huge profits!
