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The ETH price today finally surpassed the high of March this year. $4,107.81 against $4,093. It's a slight difference, but it's just the beginning. The price is at its highest since December 2021. That is, since the end of the last bull market. Expectations from the large overview on December 12 (32030235915) are fully relevant. And - the true global (!) altseason of the cycle should begin with the rise of #ETH.
FTX is light on the horizon - clients of the deflated crypto exchange will soon begin to receive their money back.
FTX is light on the horizon - clients of the deflated crypto exchange will soon begin to receive their money back. But only in fiat and stablecoins. Not in the original assets. The FTX claims portal has added exchanges #BitGo and #Kraken as 'fund distribution partners'.
The news was reported by Sunil Kavouri - an activist and representative of #FTX creditors. He actively advocates for the protection of creditors' interests and maximizing their compensation:
New ATH and new volume level for BTC. For the second time in two days, potential high signals are broken. If yesterday there was a whole pool of signals on different TFs, today one was broken, but also on an important, 4-hour TF. New ATH - $106,958. Not much has been rewritten.
From the daily review, BTC went into a stable downtrend on the 30-minute TF, but returned after 3 hours, having worked out only the first basic target. And now on this TF, the asset has a density of targets up to $107,722. Densities, we recall, are often worked out by impulses. Some have already been worked out. A new volume level that was added to the chart is $104,697. Here are the nearest tangible horizontal volumes and while the price is higher, the chances for further growth are high. The same can be said about stable uptrends on the 15-minute and 30-minute TFs. Now the price has hit a local trend from the high of December 5. If the resistance is broken, the nearest one is the ascending trend from November 22, now it is at $108,428. We are not giving up on waiting for the approach to the test of the trend support below and the closing of the gap on the CME. But for the start, the conditions are still the same - at least a stable downtrend on the 30-minute TF. And given its breakdown last time - better on the hourly one. $BTC
Economic calendar of events from December 16 to 22 that could affect the crypto market
Economic calendar of events from December 16 to 22 that could affect the crypto market. The key day of the week is, of course, December 18. Another meeting of the US Fed on interest rates and a speech by the head of the agency Jerome Powell. It is noteworthy that, as reported, according to our calculations, the Volatility Index of BTC prices should turn into an uptrend on the daily timeframe from December 18 to 21. So far, everything points to another rate cut of 0.25 percentage points (bullish scenario).
FTT has reached the second entry point. The order was executed, although we began to think it wouldn't make it. With 50% of the allocated deposit for #FTT, we bought it at 3.2403$ 9 on December 3, 2022, and placed a buy order for the remaining 50% at 2.6000$ . In total, the average entry price is $2.9201. Let us remind you, on December 9, the FTT rate transitioned to a stable uptrend on the weekly timeframe, and that was when we bought this "zombie asset." As much as it doesn't regret, on the spot and without a stop. Next, either a move towards 16$ (where the EMA 200 of the weekly timeframe and EMA 50 of the monthly timeframe are currently located) and above, or a scam. But, considering the start of the altseason, it's more likely the former. Also, payouts to the exchange's creditors will still make some noise. Although in terms of the future of the token, they shouldn't affect it, as a reason for asset growth - it will fit. Binance still has to unload this asset into the market from its reserves at an acceptable price. It will be interesting to see if the idea of covering the imbalance from the November 2022 dump will work out. And to unload its remaining assets, purchased even before the FTX scam. Alerts on the monthly timeframe for a potential cycle high have been set. On the daily timeframe, the asset has a second (out of three) signal of a potential low. And the approach to the EMA 50 of the daily timeframe (currently at $2.4582). There are chances to test it. Further, with a favorable outcome, we expect a reversal.
BTC is likely preparing today to test the trend support from December 13
BTC is likely preparing today to test the trend support from December 13. Right now it is at $101,545, but the longer the test is delayed, the higher the test level will be.
From the overnight review, it became clear, at least, that the rise is not a bull trap. But a healthy rise within the transition between volume levels:
Despite the new ATH of BTC, several altcoins on the new weekly candle showed potential highs.
Despite the new ATH of BTC ($106,648), a whole range of altcoins on the new weekly candle showed potential highs. Our monitoring system #P73Signals sent 37 (!) signals of potential highs on the weekly timeframe last night, some of which are Strong signals. Moreover, among them are giants like #XRP (Strong signal, first marker out of three possible), #ADA (Strong signal, first marker out of three possible), #LINK (Strong signal, first marker out of three possible), #SUI (Strong signal, already the second marker out of three possible). And #ETH has already shown the second signal of potential highs on the weekly timeframe out of three possible (without a Strong signal, which lays a greater probability on the continuation of growth). One can look at how such signals have played out in history.
BTC rate updated ATH before the start of the new trading week. There is a breakout of $104,088 and a new maximum of $105,250.
The decline to the "magnet" price that began on Sunday evening (Friday's trading closed at $101,840) encountered support - the volume level of $102,641. Buyers reacted from it. The price tested this level all Sunday and while it is higher, the priority is not just maintaining the gap, but also continuing the growth.
Our account on Binance Square has reached 40,000 subscribers today. Thank you to everyone involved for valuing our work! There are different situations, and we even had to add a rule in the description for banning silly comments 😅. BUT we are very grateful to #Binance for the opportunity to connect with such a large audience. We also appreciate those readers and subscribers who value our work. When we read comments like "your warning about the scam saved me $5,000" - it truly warms our hearts 😁 Plus, a huge number of really smart traders and cryptocurrency market investors have joined our platforms on other resources SPECIFICALLY from Binance Square. Thank you for being with us 🤝
BTC and USDT+USDC Dominance: overall picture and conclusions
BTC and USDT+USDC Dominance: overall picture and conclusions. ON THE DOMINANCE OF STABLECOINS BTC. BTC dominance met the conditions for growth after yesterday's post. And it is moving towards the target around EMA 200 of the four-hour timeframe (currently 57.60%). From yesterday's review: «… Maintaining this support today (EMA 50 of the four-hour timeframe, - note.) will instead open the path to continued growth of dominance, at least until the baseline targets up to 58.18%. More likely - up to the EMA 200 of the four-hour timeframe, which is currently at the level of 57.66%.»
The last few days have shown that BTC has “moved up a floor” in its range. To $99,381-$102,641
The last few days have shown that BTC has “moved up a floor” in its range. From the range of $98,433-$101,903 to $99,381-$102,641 in terms of volume levels.
This is clearly not a sign of buyers' weakness. Plus, the price according to our P73 Trend & Target Dynamics indicator yesterday returned to a stable uptrend on the hourly TF. Without allowing the basic targets of the decline to be worked out and breaking the signal of a potential high.
TOP 10 RWA (real world asset tokenization) crypto assets by developer activity as of December 2024. Analysis by #Santiment. On topic for #Bitwise's forecast on the value of tokenized real world assets in 2025. 1. #LINK, #Chainlink, 2. #SNX, #Synthetix, 3. #DUSK, #Dusk, 4. #POLYX, #Polymesh, 5. #MKR, #Maker, 6. #LMR, #Lumerin, 7. #ORAI, #OraichainToken, 8. #CFG, #Centrifuge, 9. #CTC, #Creditcoin, 10. #BOSON, #BosonProtocol. Chainlink (#LINK) continues to lead in developer activity. And by a very noticeable margin. In second place, also by a significant margin, is Synthetix (#SNX).
10 key cryptocurrency market forecasts from Bitwise (one of the issuers of spot Bitcoin ETFs) for 2025.
10 key cryptocurrency market forecasts from Bitwise (one of the issuers of spot Bitcoin ETFs) for 2025. 1. #BTC, #ETH, and #SOL will reach new ATH, #BTC will trade above $200,000. 2. Bitcoin ETFs will attract more funds next year than in 2024. 3. The cryptocurrency exchange #Coinbase will surpass Charles Schwab as the most valuable broker in the world. The company's stock price will reach $700.
Can TWT repeat the pump fate of BNB? A question received in a private message.
Can TWT repeat the pump fate of BNB? A question received in a private message. We have written many times that there are four key factors contributing to this: 1. A strong fundamental basis for the project, the TOP-1 crypto wallet in the world and a flagship for innovations in this sector. A team that is steadily growing and expanding.
The dominance of BTC has been showing a bounce since yesterday, which was warned about in yesterday's review.
The dominance of BTC has been showing a bounce since yesterday, which was warned about in yesterday's review. Let's remember: «... locally, on the four-hour timeframe, the dominance is still in a stable uptrend and there is a signal of a potential low. If the signal is not broken - we can expect that today or tomorrow Bitcoin will pull liquidity from altcoins or, at least, absorb it faster than altcoins.»
The BTC exchange rate yesterday showed a false breakout above the level of $101,903, but returned to the consolidation range. This range, let us remind you, is $98,433-$101,903. With an intermediate volume level of $99,481. It is $99,481 that has now served as support during the correction from the upper boundary of the range. Since December 6, the price has potentially been forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern with a target around $110,000. This coincides with the targets of a stable uptrend for the asset according to our indicator on the two-hour and four-hour timeframes. To realize this scenario, the price should ideally remain above the 50 EMA on the four-hour timeframe, which is currently at $98,918. A breakout below does not break the pattern but indicates a threat of a breakdown. Overall, the volume range of $97,553-$98,433 remains important for support - including for this probable pattern. Locally, on the hourly timeframe, #BTC currently has a downtrend with yet-to-be-reached base targets of $98,444 and $97,627. There is no confirmation with the body of the hourly candle above $101,302 or until the price returns to a stable uptrend on this timeframe - the asset is heading towards these targets. $BTC
Important events for the crypto market on December 13 from the economic calendar. Today is one of the most uneventful days of the week. BUT there is a nuance - it's "Friday the thirteenth." A number of market raiders always anticipate shocks on these days. However, the status of a "self-fulfilling prophecy" is only achieved when there are reasons for it. The overheated and over-leveraged crypto market has already received its "Friday the thirteenth" in advance - on Monday the ninth. Schedule for the day: - 09:00 Kyiv time / 10:00 MSK / 12:00 Astana time - GDP, Industrial production volume, and Trade balance of the United Kingdom. Important due to the role of the United Kingdom in the global economy and the role of the British pound in calculating the US Dollar Index DXY. Indirect influence on the crypto market. The data has already been released and it is significantly worse than forecasts. - 15:30 Kyiv time / 16:30 MSK / 18:30 Astana time - US Export and Import Price Index (m/m) (November). Important for assessing recession risks.
Long-term BTC holders retain (or sell very cautiously), while short-term holders accumulate.
Long-term BTC holders retain (or sell very cautiously), while short-term holders accumulate. Such data for the last few months is provided by the infographic from #Glassnode. Where the distribution of value over time of holding coins is visualized with colored layers.
In this cycle, the share of only the 2-3 year and 1-2 year holder categories has significantly decreased. The first began to decline in the spring of 2024. The second - even since the spring of 2023.
Donald Trump promises "something great with cryptocurrency." He made this comment to Jim Cramer from CNBC during the opening of trading on the New York Stock Exchange, where the elected president was present. Quote: "We will do something great with cryptocurrency. We don’t need China or anyone else - others are accepting this, and we want to be at the forefront. We will also be ahead in the AI direction. To do this, we must at least double the amount of electricity produced. These are specific industries. We must adopt regulations, do everything without harming the environment, and ensure that everything runs smoothly." It seems that besides buying cryptoassets, another smart idea is to purchase shares of American companies in the nuclear energy sector. Especially those that offer breakthrough solutions.
Avalanche attracted $250 million in investments. Expectations for AVAX in the altseason.
Avalanche (AVAX) attracted $250 million in investments as part of the support for the Avalanche9000 upgrade. Among the leading investors are #Galaxy, #Dragonfly, and #ParaFi.
All proceeds will go towards scaling the L1 ecosystem. In particular, to stimulate the development of projects launched in the Avalanche9000 testnet.