Proekt_73
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Crypto asset map by RSI on January 29: again a good time for purchases across a number of assets
Crypto asset map by RSI on January 29: again a good time for purchases across a number of assets. But, of course, few will buy them. Some are scared, some already have nothing to buy.
What do the #Coinglass data say? Last time very similar data was in our reviews on September 9 and September 16.
And on September 9, we wrote - "if an altseason is to start - it would be just from such values." You can look at the charts of most assets from that date and measure the path they have taken from September to the highs of November. This is tens, and in some cases, hundreds of percent growth. After all, the good old RSI is a good thing.
What do the #Coinglass data say? Last time very similar data was in our reviews on September 9 and September 16.
And on September 9, we wrote - "if an altseason is to start - it would be just from such values." You can look at the charts of most assets from that date and measure the path they have taken from September to the highs of November. This is tens, and in some cases, hundreds of percent growth. After all, the good old RSI is a good thing.
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The Tether company "printed" 1 billion USDT, the first in 2025. And in 1.5 months. According to #WhaleAlert, this time - on the Tron blockchain.
In 2024 they "printed" #USDT worth 45 billion $, with November being a record - 13 billion $.
We start a new count:
- January 2025 - 1 billion #USDT.
Let’s recall that on #Coinmarketcap it can be seen that #USDT decreased its capitalization from 140 billion $ 18 December to 137 billion $ 15 January. Visually, in terms of pace - this is the first such sharp decline since November 2022. Then, the capitalization began to reverse from the middle of the month without the "printing" of new #USDT (from the company's treasury reserves) and has now reached 139.43 billion $. Already close to ATH from mid-December 140.56 billion $.
Meanwhile, #Circle is printing its #USDC in January, as already known, at record rates. We will calculate at the end of the month the net liquidity inflow from them into the market.
Given the current stage of the market - good signals, bullish.
In 2024 they "printed" #USDT worth 45 billion $, with November being a record - 13 billion $.
We start a new count:
- January 2025 - 1 billion #USDT.
Let’s recall that on #Coinmarketcap it can be seen that #USDT decreased its capitalization from 140 billion $ 18 December to 137 billion $ 15 January. Visually, in terms of pace - this is the first such sharp decline since November 2022. Then, the capitalization began to reverse from the middle of the month without the "printing" of new #USDT (from the company's treasury reserves) and has now reached 139.43 billion $. Already close to ATH from mid-December 140.56 billion $.
Meanwhile, #Circle is printing its #USDC in January, as already known, at record rates. We will calculate at the end of the month the net liquidity inflow from them into the market.
Given the current stage of the market - good signals, bullish.
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BTC and USDT+USDC dominance - not giving up. Let's analyze the changes since yesterday
BTC and USDT+USDC dominance is not giving up.
At night, right on schedule, as per the forecast,#BTCdominance on the 2-hour TF began to decline. And this time became a period of growth for#BTCand altcoins. BUT by lunchtime, Bitcoin dominance turned to growth again. From a signal of a potential low on the hourly TF and from support in the form of EMA 50 on the 30-minute TF. Now the dominance is again in hundredths of a percent of the night high.
At night, right on schedule, as per the forecast,#BTCdominance on the 2-hour TF began to decline. And this time became a period of growth for#BTCand altcoins. BUT by lunchtime, Bitcoin dominance turned to growth again. From a signal of a potential low on the hourly TF and from support in the form of EMA 50 on the 30-minute TF. Now the dominance is again in hundredths of a percent of the night high.
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Last night BTC found support at the EMA 200 of the 4-hour timeframe. And everything would be fine, the support has held. But - a nuance
Last night BTC found support at the EMA 200 of the 4-hour timeframe. This is another support that was mentioned in yesterday's review:
"... The best one can hope for in this case - is if the correction ends with a test of the EMA 200 of the 2-hour timeframe, which is currently at the level of $101,861 and the EMA 200 of the 4-hour timeframe, which is currently at the level of $100,024..."
"... The best one can hope for in this case - is if the correction ends with a test of the EMA 200 of the 2-hour timeframe, which is currently at the level of $101,861 and the EMA 200 of the 4-hour timeframe, which is currently at the level of $100,024..."
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Today is the key day of the week for events in the stock and crypto markets, the US Federal Reserve meeting
Today is the key day of the week for events on the stock and crypto markets, the US Federal Reserve meeting. Moments when the market will enter increased volatility:
❗️- 21:00 Kyiv time / 22:00 Moscow time / 00:00 new day Astana time - US Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
❗️- 21:00 Kyiv time / 22:00 Moscow time / 00:00 new day Astana time - Economic forecasts and statement of the US Federal Reserve.
❗️- 21:00 Kyiv time / 22:00 Moscow time / 00:00 new day Astana time - US Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
❗️- 21:00 Kyiv time / 22:00 Moscow time / 00:00 new day Astana time - Economic forecasts and statement of the US Federal Reserve.
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The first day of the Chinese New Year has arrived, and there is a reason to remember how it affects BTC.
Last year, it fell on January 22, and analysts at #Matrixport published statistics indicating that if you buy #BTC on the first day of the Chinese New Year and sell it 10 days later (last year on February 1), you could earn an average of 9%. The statistics were calculated from 2015. Over 8 years, there has not been a single losing case. As a result, last year the scheme worked, yielding +6.5%. Thus, for 9 years, there has not been a single losing case.
If the scheme works this time as well, and today, on the first day of the Chinese New Year, the price of #BTC maintains the level of 100,000$ , then on average, one can expect 109,000$ by February 8.
An important point is that around January 29, the price could dip below the current levels. Both the 4-hour and 12-hour time frames technically allow for this. Additionally, on the hourly time frame, the asset has returned to a stable downtrend, albeit with a signal of a potential low.
Today, we are waiting for the meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve and a decision on the interest rate. Increased volatility is practically guaranteed.
Last year, it fell on January 22, and analysts at #Matrixport published statistics indicating that if you buy #BTC on the first day of the Chinese New Year and sell it 10 days later (last year on February 1), you could earn an average of 9%. The statistics were calculated from 2015. Over 8 years, there has not been a single losing case. As a result, last year the scheme worked, yielding +6.5%. Thus, for 9 years, there has not been a single losing case.
If the scheme works this time as well, and today, on the first day of the Chinese New Year, the price of #BTC maintains the level of 100,000$ , then on average, one can expect 109,000$ by February 8.
An important point is that around January 29, the price could dip below the current levels. Both the 4-hour and 12-hour time frames technically allow for this. Additionally, on the hourly time frame, the asset has returned to a stable downtrend, albeit with a signal of a potential low.
Today, we are waiting for the meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve and a decision on the interest rate. Increased volatility is practically guaranteed.
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Regarding the dominance of BTC, we are heading towards a potential downward reversal on the 2-hour timeframe through a bearish scenario.
Regarding the dominance of BTC, we are heading towards a potential downward reversal on the 2-hour timeframe through the most bearish scenario. The mark of the potential high on the 2 hours, mentioned in the previous post, was the first of three upward movements. Last time on January 27, the first was also a reversal. This time - it is not.
In short - if the reversal signal from the three marks on the 2-hour timeframe turns out to be true, it means the bulls need to hold on for another two hours.
In short - if the reversal signal from the three marks on the 2-hour timeframe turns out to be true, it means the bulls need to hold on for another two hours.
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What Altcoins Look Like Right Now in Bull Liquidity Hunting: Three Key Groups
What Altcoins Look Like Right Now in Bull Liquidity Hunting: Three Key Groups
Altcoins since the beginning of December 2024 are again the home of bears, where the charts are a series of decreasing highs and lows. Since the first days of December, bears' liquidity has been accumulating behind decreasing highs. But the time to collect it has not yet arrived.
Altcoins since the beginning of December 2024 are again the home of bears, where the charts are a series of decreasing highs and lows. Since the first days of December, bears' liquidity has been accumulating behind decreasing highs. But the time to collect it has not yet arrived.
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The BTC price has not yet managed to break above the EMA 50 on the 4-hour timeframe, and a correction of yesterday's growth is due.
The BTC price has not yet managed to break above the EMA 50 on the 4-hour timeframe, and a correction of yesterday's growth is due. The price also has yet to stabilize above the descending trend line since January 20. The price has been consolidating below this moving average and this trend line for 10 hours, and we could talk about squeezing and preparing for a breakout.
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The BTC rate this hour has returned to a stable uptrend on the hourly timeframe.
The BTC rate this hour has returned to a stable uptrend on the hourly timeframe. By the way, this was also achieved by 69 altcoins from the top 200 crypto assets by market capitalization since January 27. Many of them actually showed a V-shaped reversal (which we did not expect) and have already recovered from the 'Chinese dump.'
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The parade of cryptocurrency ETF applications in the USA continues
The parade of cryptocurrency ETF applications in the USA continues. ETF analyst #Bloomberg James Seyffart reported that investment company Tuttle Capital has filed applications for coins and tokens #XRP, #SOL, #TRUMP, #LTC, #MELANIA, #BNP, #BONK, #ADA, #LINK, #DOT. All - with leverage 2. Notably, the memes are highlighted separately in the list.
List of filed ETFs:
List of filed ETFs:
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The dominance of USDT+USDC with a mark of potential highs on the 4-hour timeframe, while the dominance of BTC is preparing for a decline.
The dominance of USDT+USDC with a mark of potential highs on the 4-hour timeframe, while the dominance of BTC is preparing for a decline. It will happen today or at the latest - tomorrow. But the good news is that the market likely just doesn't have time for a prolonged decline based on these two indicators. The timeframe is again - today and, at most, tomorrow.
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TON, CFX, KCS - we show several altcoins from the TOP-200, which now look stronger than BTC.
They have played out almost all of the "Chinese fall" and have moved into a stable uptrend on the hourly TF (which#BTChas not done yet).
But the market situation continues to be shaky, so at least rollbacks on them are possible. Especially where the growth was pronouncedly impulsive.
They have played out almost all of the "Chinese fall" and have moved into a stable uptrend on the hourly TF (which#BTChas not done yet).
But the market situation continues to be shaky, so at least rollbacks on them are possible. Especially where the growth was pronouncedly impulsive.
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The fourth Trust Wallet Launchpool has been launched - for the LTP token
The fourth Trust Wallet Launchpool has been launched - for the LTP token.
We, as a reminder, participated in the second and third, received#SUNDOG(the main dog meme-coin of the Tron network) and #WOD. In total, in two weeks we received tokens for $200 (but here, of course, it depends on the amount of TWT in staking).
Let us remind you that in general, our strategy for launch pools from the TOP crypto wallet is not to sell the assets received until the expected peak of their growth in the cycle. Even if we do not believe in the tokens being distributed. It will be an interesting experience. We set alerts in the indicator for each.
We, as a reminder, participated in the second and third, received#SUNDOG(the main dog meme-coin of the Tron network) and #WOD. In total, in two weeks we received tokens for $200 (but here, of course, it depends on the amount of TWT in staking).
Let us remind you that in general, our strategy for launch pools from the TOP crypto wallet is not to sell the assets received until the expected peak of their growth in the cycle. Even if we do not believe in the tokens being distributed. It will be an interesting experience. We set alerts in the indicator for each.
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Let's consider the important levels on the BTC chart right now.
Let's consider the important levels on the BTC chart right now.
Currently, the price of BTC is showing growth above $100,000. Altcoins are also rising in this context, liquidating short positions that have opened at the lows.
But until #BTC secures a position above $101,503 - this is just a bounce. Currently, the high is $101,666. And there is a correction following the attempt to break through the significant level of $101,376.
Currently, the price of BTC is showing growth above $100,000. Altcoins are also rising in this context, liquidating short positions that have opened at the lows.
But until #BTC secures a position above $101,503 - this is just a bounce. Currently, the high is $101,666. And there is a correction following the attempt to break through the significant level of $101,376.
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BTC and 46 other altcoins in this hour have entered a stable downtrend on the 12-hour timeframe.
BTC and 46 other altcoins in this hour have entered a stable downtrend on the 12-hour timeframe. According to our indicator.
Last night we wrote that 5 altcoins entered a downtrend on this timeframe. After 12 hours, as we can see, the situation has worsened. For a scenario of a quick recovery with a V-shaped reversal, this is clearly not a good sign. More time will be needed.
Last night we wrote that 5 altcoins entered a downtrend on this timeframe. After 12 hours, as we can see, the situation has worsened. For a scenario of a quick recovery with a V-shaped reversal, this is clearly not a good sign. More time will be needed.
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US media and experts continue to fuel panic over the prospects of the US AI sector
American media and experts continue to fuel panic about the prospects of the US AI sector.
#Bloomberg writes that “DeepSeek Frenzy Sets Tech Stocks on $1.2 Trillion Path to Slide” and that “Chinese Startup Rocks Global Tech Sector.” The article cites Nasdaq premarket data, specifically for Nvidia.
#Bloomberg writes that “DeepSeek Frenzy Sets Tech Stocks on $1.2 Trillion Path to Slide” and that “Chinese Startup Rocks Global Tech Sector.” The article cites Nasdaq premarket data, specifically for Nvidia.
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The dominance of USDT + USDC is closely approaching the maximum target growth range that was expected overnight.
The dominance of USDT + USDC is closely approaching the maximum target growth range that was expected overnight. It was mentioned at a dominance of 5.62%:
"... The nearest important resistance for stablecoin dominance at the current 5.62% is the EMA 200 on the 12-hour timeframe (5.73%) and the EMA 50 on the 2-day timeframe (5.74%). Just above, at 5.94%, is the EMA 50 on the 3-day timeframe. It was this last EMA that held back the market's decline in mid-January. Likely, the current correction in the market will end upon testing these resistances by stablecoin dominance. Although according to our indicator - there are targets even higher"
"... The nearest important resistance for stablecoin dominance at the current 5.62% is the EMA 200 on the 12-hour timeframe (5.73%) and the EMA 50 on the 2-day timeframe (5.74%). Just above, at 5.94%, is the EMA 50 on the 3-day timeframe. It was this last EMA that held back the market's decline in mid-January. Likely, the current correction in the market will end upon testing these resistances by stablecoin dominance. Although according to our indicator - there are targets even higher"
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A Vivid 'Black Swan' from China, Not Covid-19 - This Time AI Was the Reason for the Market Dump
A bright "black swan" from China, but not Covid-19 - this time the reason for the market dump was artificial intelligence.
Back in the night post, where we warned you about the reversal zone of stablecoin dominance (we have reached it now), we simultaneously read the first mentions of the Chinese AI #Deepseek, but we no longer had the strength to figure it out. By the way, the first mentions of it in the media, for example in Bloomberg, were back in the fall, and it “hit” only now (well, just like with Covid-19 at the time).
Back in the night post, where we warned you about the reversal zone of stablecoin dominance (we have reached it now), we simultaneously read the first mentions of the Chinese AI #Deepseek, but we no longer had the strength to figure it out. By the way, the first mentions of it in the media, for example in Bloomberg, were back in the fall, and it “hit” only now (well, just like with Covid-19 at the time).
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Several notable signals from our indicator regarding altcoins during the current drop
Several notable signals from our indicator regarding altcoins during the current drop.
#SUI - for the first time since the end of October (that is, since before the Trump pump), the asset has entered a stable downtrend on the daily time frame, showing a peak increase of +132% since then. Today, the asset has the third (last) potential low marker on the daily time frame, so there are doubts about the fulfillment of all three correction targets. Especially since SUI is one of the market drivers. But the third target aligns well with the EMA 200 on the daily time frame (to which the price is definitely heading while it is below the EMA 50 of this time frame).
#SUI - for the first time since the end of October (that is, since before the Trump pump), the asset has entered a stable downtrend on the daily time frame, showing a peak increase of +132% since then. Today, the asset has the third (last) potential low marker on the daily time frame, so there are doubts about the fulfillment of all three correction targets. Especially since SUI is one of the market drivers. But the third target aligns well with the EMA 200 on the daily time frame (to which the price is definitely heading while it is below the EMA 50 of this time frame).
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