H5D43 海登
@H5D43
幣圈「數據偵探」，前幣安校園大使
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用白話的方式，傳遞專業知識
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It only takes 1 minute to check the market sentiment instantly
── Take advantage of Google search volume trends
When people want to know about a specific currency, they will search on Google
For example, the search volume of Dogecoin and Bitcoin has surged recently, and the sentiment is at a new high in the past year
However, as long as market sentiment is high, there will be many high points in history
▋When the sea water recedes, you will know who is not wearing pants
• April 2021 is the highest point of Dogecoin search volume, with a drop of -80%
• In March 2024, Bitcoin search volume increased significantly and fell by -33%
Although it is impossible to predict where the peak search volume will be
When people want to know about a specific currency, they will search on Google
For example, the search volume of Dogecoin and Bitcoin has surged recently, and the sentiment is at a new high in the past year
However, as long as market sentiment is high, there will be many high points in history
▋When the sea water recedes, you will know who is not wearing pants
• April 2021 is the highest point of Dogecoin search volume, with a drop of -80%
• In March 2024, Bitcoin search volume increased significantly and fell by -33%
Although it is impossible to predict where the peak search volume will be
See original
The bull market is a trap for novices
Novices always think that the bull market will only go up, and if it goes down a bit, it’s time to buy.
Stud easily, thinking about reaching the sky in one step
That’s what I thought 4 years ago, and I lost a lot.
The contract leverage is fully activated, and when I wake up, I receive a text message stating that the margin is insufficient.
"When I woke up, the position was gone."
I couldn't sleep well for several nights. I thought I was printing money, but in the end I was giving money away.
Until you lose to a certain level and you can’t stand it anymore
I started to bow my head and learn from the market, and finally survived in the bear market
You ask, how do we old leeks survive?
Stud easily, thinking about reaching the sky in one step
That’s what I thought 4 years ago, and I lost a lot.
The contract leverage is fully activated, and when I wake up, I receive a text message stating that the margin is insufficient.
"When I woke up, the position was gone."
I couldn't sleep well for several nights. I thought I was printing money, but in the end I was giving money away.
Until you lose to a certain level and you can’t stand it anymore
I started to bow my head and learn from the market, and finally survived in the bear market
You ask, how do we old leeks survive?
See original
Bitcoin is almost 100,000, which reminds me of the "Shalling point"
A simple explanation of Schelling's point
: The coordination point or common choice where humans naturally gather in the absence of communication.
(a psychological expectation)
The first time I heard about it was from the legendary trader GCR, he said
: Schelling point can be a support position or a resistance position
I predict that after Bitcoin reaches 100,000, it will fluctuate more violently
Because historically, integer digits have indeed fluctuated a lot:
• Bitcoin rises to 30k: Rise to 33k, then down 20%
• Bitcoin rises to 40k: Rise to 41k, then down 31%
: The coordination point or common choice where humans naturally gather in the absence of communication.
(a psychological expectation)
The first time I heard about it was from the legendary trader GCR, he said
: Schelling point can be a support position or a resistance position
I predict that after Bitcoin reaches 100,000, it will fluctuate more violently
Because historically, integer digits have indeed fluctuated a lot:
• Bitcoin rises to 30k: Rise to 33k, then down 20%
• Bitcoin rises to 40k: Rise to 41k, then down 31%
See original
Why is it more uncomfortable to be trapped than to be stuck?
── Because if you’re stuck, you can stick together, but if you’re in trouble, you can only blame yourself.
▋Contrast effect
When you see others posting orders but you don’t have any, you will have a strong sense of contrast
: It’s hard enough not making any money, but I still have to watch you post orders
: If I had also bought...
The sense of loss is magnified again and the sense of regret lingers.
You may even feel insecure about losing control, feeling that you have missed out and will never get another opportunity.
Being in the air can also cause fear (FOMO)
Worried about missing out on the market, you start to place bets without following the strategy, without realizing that you are gambling.
▋Contrast effect
When you see others posting orders but you don’t have any, you will have a strong sense of contrast
: It’s hard enough not making any money, but I still have to watch you post orders
: If I had also bought...
The sense of loss is magnified again and the sense of regret lingers.
You may even feel insecure about losing control, feeling that you have missed out and will never get another opportunity.
Being in the air can also cause fear (FOMO)
Worried about missing out on the market, you start to place bets without following the strategy, without realizing that you are gambling.