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Pay attention to the situation of the international financial market: It seems that my idea of ​​the Federal Reserve temporarily giving up the US stock market some time ago is a bit biased. According to last week's data, the Federal Reserve still wants to maintain the strength of the stock market by guiding the market's optimism in the expectation of interest rate cuts. This also shows from another perspective that the United States needs to stabilize the liquidity of the stock market to facilitate the provision of sufficient "water source" for subsequent interest rate cuts. Of course, this will be a good thing for the risk market in the short term. However, the problem remains. Once the expectation of interest rate cuts is optimistic, the profitability of US stock companies and even the profit expectations of technology stocks and the actual situation of financial reports will face pressure challenges. Of course, the market's expectation of extending the life of the US stock market this time can continue to the next financial report cycle. The entire US stock market rose well before the market opened. Among technology stocks, Apple fell slightly before the market opened because of Berkshire Hathaway's reduction of holdings last week. Asian stock markets and Nikkei closed with a decline, and A shares led the rise in Asian stock markets. The actual situation of the US stock market tonight depends on whether the actual market traders buy it after the opening. At present, foreign media reports are encouraging market optimism, but for actual traders, whether this encouragement will buy it is hard to say at present. The currencies in the Asia-Pacific region are once again experiencing depreciation and short selling. Although the US dollar index is also falling, the currencies in the Asia-Pacific region are still weak compared to the US dollar. The 10-year US Treasury bond fell below the key 4.5%, currently 4.479%, which is a positive sentiment for the risk market. In the Middle East, Israel and Hamas attacked each other again, and the situation of peace talks is currently unstable. The international crude oil price rose slightly to US$83.67, and the international gold price rose again, currently remaining around 2320.88. The CME Bitcoin futures index is currently quoted at 64,600, continuing to maintain a positive premium of about 300 points with the spot, and the futures market sentiment is temporarily normal. Bitcoin fell sharply in a short period of time after touching the weekly EMA7. Although the price continued to remain on the upper track of the Bollinger Band, whether it can continue to break through, we will look at the Bitcoin market later. #大盘走势

Pay attention to the situation of the international financial market:

It seems that my idea of ​​the Federal Reserve temporarily giving up the US stock market some time ago is a bit biased. According to last week's data, the Federal Reserve still wants to maintain the strength of the stock market by guiding the market's optimism in the expectation of interest rate cuts. This also shows from another perspective that the United States needs to stabilize the liquidity of the stock market to facilitate the provision of sufficient "water source" for subsequent interest rate cuts. Of course, this will be a good thing for the risk market in the short term.

However, the problem remains. Once the expectation of interest rate cuts is optimistic, the profitability of US stock companies and even the profit expectations of technology stocks and the actual situation of financial reports will face pressure challenges. Of course, the market's expectation of extending the life of the US stock market this time can continue to the next financial report cycle.

The entire US stock market rose well before the market opened. Among technology stocks, Apple fell slightly before the market opened because of Berkshire Hathaway's reduction of holdings last week. Asian stock markets and Nikkei closed with a decline, and A shares led the rise in Asian stock markets.

The actual situation of the US stock market tonight depends on whether the actual market traders buy it after the opening. At present, foreign media reports are encouraging market optimism, but for actual traders, whether this encouragement will buy it is hard to say at present.

The currencies in the Asia-Pacific region are once again experiencing depreciation and short selling. Although the US dollar index is also falling, the currencies in the Asia-Pacific region are still weak compared to the US dollar.

The 10-year US Treasury bond fell below the key 4.5%, currently 4.479%, which is a positive sentiment for the risk market.

In the Middle East, Israel and Hamas attacked each other again, and the situation of peace talks is currently unstable. The international crude oil price rose slightly to US$83.67, and the international gold price rose again, currently remaining around 2320.88.

The CME Bitcoin futures index is currently quoted at 64,600, continuing to maintain a positive premium of about 300 points with the spot, and the futures market sentiment is temporarily normal.

Bitcoin fell sharply in a short period of time after touching the weekly EMA7. Although the price continued to remain on the upper track of the Bollinger Band, whether it can continue to break through, we will look at the Bitcoin market later.

#大盘走势

Disclaimer: Includes thrid-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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用数据说话:上涨不上量,谨防假突破,短期注意回落,趋势要看明天。 凌晨2:30分,统计完今天的市场数据然后与昨日周一做对比,基本可以得出两个结论,第一,山寨在低调中开始上涨,第二,大盘上涨量不涨,短期依旧有回落风险。 通过市场市值变化与市场占比可以看出,比特币,山寨出现增量,占比增幅,以太坊与稳定币占比降低,很多人觉得今天山寨并未有所动,其实不对,看数据就可以看出来,山寨动了,但是因为山寨太过分散,所以很多人不注意。而山寨的占比增加,也就证明市场风险情绪逐渐放缓、好转。 随着比特币的上涨,对比昨日交易量没有明显增量,数据相同,甚至小幅低于昨日,证明在今天的数据刺激下,上涨无力,低流动性的上涨往往伴随着“技术性”上涨,充满了短期回落的风险,当然这里说的风险是对于合约用户,其实对于很多现货或者趋势交易者,这点波动基本忽略不计。 场内稳定币资金无变化,但是场外资金USDT流入1.54亿,USDC市值减少0.61亿,亚欧资金看可以看出多头情绪明显,但是交易量依旧递减,资金虽然看好后市,但是情绪依旧不够好。并且数据图显示,USDT日内出现较大市值增幅然后回落,基本是资金流入后快速买入交易的结果。 反观美区资金,小幅市值减少,或流出,或参与交易,但是整体波动较小,情绪不显。数据图显示资金流入也不够明显,交易量递减,整体情绪偏低。但是美区的ETF依旧保持净流入状态,目前美区交易者大部分是来自新入场的新人通过ETF买入,而之前加密“老人”则是下手比较轻。 通过上周与本周的经济数据,目前预期本周市场情绪不会太差甚至转向利好(虽然我不太相信美联储会尽快谈论降息),但是本周的情绪除非出现小概率的扭转,不然整体情绪向好,短期的小数据刺激行情上涨,依旧要依赖数据来激发交易量与流动性,当然,如果后面周五的失业率以及大非农数据扭转预期,那么就真的可以喊一句:美联储“狗庄”玩预期了。 #BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
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