Some people say that the Fed will not cut interest rates on September 19, while others say that it will even raise interest rates. I personally do not agree with this view. In terms of time, it is too late to cut or raise interest rates because it is not in the interests of those in power.
The Fed has three interest rate meetings left this year, on September 19, November 8, and December 19, respectively. The results of the US election will be announced on November 5. Before the election, the Democratic Party has only one chance to cut interest rates to win votes, end the global economic winter during their term, stabilize the global economic order, stabilize the US financial market, and achieve what they call a soft landing for the US economy. Otherwise, there will be financial chaos in the United States before the election, which is extremely unfavorable to the election of those in power. The Democratic Party will not do this.
Now let's take a look at the major capitals that are now buying government bonds and pursuing cash flow. The issuance of tens of billions of USDT has not been touched, which shows that the September 19 interest rate meeting is extremely important. It depends on how much the interest rate will be cut. If the interest rate is cut by 25bp, then the Americans will lose a lot and the interest rate will be raised in vain, because the market may not experience a particularly large decline, and then let many other countries' funds slowly flow out, everyone will be well fed, and the Americans will lose a lot of money. If the interest rate is unexpectedly cut by 50bp and short the US dollar, US stocks and US bonds, then many foreign funds will not have time to withdraw and become trapped funds. They may still lose money if they sell, making financial investors miserable and desperate. Then it will be an alternative harvest for the Americans. At this time, if the people in power introduce a series of effective policies to stabilize the economy, and it seems that the economy is about to prosper, then the election support rate for the people in power will undoubtedly be stable. What do you think the politicians will choose? Leave a message to discuss. #美降息25个基点预期升温 #美国经济软着陆? #美国大选如何影响加密产业? $BTC $BNB $ETH