Will Bitcoin BTC continue to fall? The US non-farm data is about to be released. The plunge a few days ago was because the Federal Reserve said in January that the probability of a rate cut was no more than 95%. It probably means that the United States will not cut interest rates four times like in 2024, and reduce interest rate cuts! Every time the interest rate was cut before, it would usher in a big rise, and the circulation of US dollars would flow into the market more. The rise drove the global economy and the currency circle. First look at the US unemployment rate, which is expected to be 4.2%. If the published value is lower than this number, it means that the US market economy is better, more people are employed, and more people pay taxes when the economy is good. It may prompt the United States to raise interest rates. If it is higher than this value, it will lower interest rates and support local companies to solve employment problems. Then it will lower interest rates. Then there is the non-farm employment population. It was 228,000 before, and the market expected 160,000. If it is lower than this value, it proves that the market economy is better, and more funds will flow into the currency circle, which is good. If it is higher, the United States may adopt some other policies to subsidize this gap. The biggest problem of each country is the people and the economy. This is why the stock market and the currency market will rise or fall with a slight fluctuation. The above is only a personal opinion, without any investment advice! #非农就业数据即将公布

# US Non-Farm Data is About to be Released. The recent plunge was due to the Federal Reserve's statement a few days ago that the probability of an interest rate cut is no more than 95%, which roughly means that the U.S. is not going to cut rates 4 times like it did in 2024.
Reduce interest rate cuts!
In the past, every rate cut would lead to a significant rise, with more dollars circulating in the market, driving up global economies and the cryptocurrency market.
First, let's look at the U.S. unemployment rate, which is expected to be 4.2%. If the published value is lower than this number, it indicates that the U.S. market economy is relatively good, with more people employed. A better economy means more taxpayers, which might prompt the U.S. to raise interest rates. If the number is higher than this value, it might lead to a rate cut to support local businesses in addressing employment issues, which would result in a rate cut.
Next is the non-farm payrolls, which was previously 228,000, and the market expects 160,000. A number below this indicates that the market economy is relatively good, leading to more funds flowing into the cryptocurrency market, which is positive news. If it's higher, the U.S. may adopt other policies to fill this gap. The biggest issue for all countries is the people and the economy, which is also why stock and crypto markets fluctuate with slight movements.
The above is just my personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice!
#非农就业数据即将公布

19,000 BTC options are about to expire before the release of US non-farm payrolls data

Before the release of US non-farm payrolls (NFP), the market will see the expiration of 19,000 Bitcoin (BTC) options. BTC prices fluctuated, first falling to $91,380 and then rising back above $94,000. At the same time, the decline in funding rates and trading volumes indicates that volatility may increase in the short term. In addition, 141,000 Ethereum (ETH) options will also expire today.

BTC price falls, accompanied by the expiration of 19,000 options
This week, a total of 19,000 BTC options worth $1.81 billion expired. According to Deribit exchange data, the ratio of puts to calls is 0.65, and the highest pain point is $97,000, indicating that despite the price drop, the market is still bullish.

Affected by the weakness of US stocks and unfavorable macroeconomic factors, the market has a correction, and the BTC price once fell below $91,000, setting a new low in nearly a month. At the same time, the short-term implied volatility of BTC options has soared, reflecting the panic and uncertainty in the market.

So tonight's non-agricultural data, whether it is positive or negative, it is recommended not to operate, the trend is difficult to change!
#热门话题 #BTC走势分析 #非农就业数据即将公布

This is the value, reject all hindsight.
Brother Feng only has real skills here.
Dabing directly won 3000 points, and the demeanor was 150 classics
#非农就业数据即将公布 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #BTC翻倍之路 $BTC $$ETH $SOL

An old coin in the cryptocurrency circle told me not to have faith in ordi😅😅
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 $BTC $SOL $ORDI

Sol daily line opens more, hold it for a few days and there will be surprises#非农就业数据即将公布 $SOL

There is only one trading day left before the release of non-agricultural data. BTC has broken through several barriers and is currently around 57,400. In the previous analysis, we also talked about the daily level. The slope dived directly from 4 to 5 o'clock. When it encountered the bottom of the box, it rebounded and consolidated. There was no wave pattern, and the market was eager to vent. Putting aside the recent German and US government selling BTC and the Mentougou redemption incident, if it is purely based on the technical aspects, it should also be questioned whether it can go up? So in the past week, we have suggested waiting for consolidation, don't buy the bottom!

The biggest narrative point of this round of bull market relay is ETF, but JPMorgan Chase recently revealed that 80% of the inflows of spot ETFs come from existing crypto market participants, that is, only 20% of the new customer groups in the market. In fact, most ETFs are purchased by retail investors. Indirectly, whether ETFs lose money or not is not related to the institutions themselves. Institutions can charge service fees.

At the same time, the trading volume in the past week is less than ⅓ of the same period in February and March. Trading is very cautious and abnormal. The Asian market is more active than Europe and the United States. The only narrative point this week is the non-agricultural data. The previous meeting was relatively tight-lipped. Unless the data is significantly positive, there may be a further rebound. However, the current intraday low is 56917. The previous box break is 56537, which is less than 400 points.

Although other targets, such as gold, silver, and US stocks, are in a phased consolidation, the overall phased return is stronger than BTC. If the return diverges for a long time, the market will vote with its feet. After all, what you do is not what you do, and the profit space is the biggest narrative. If tomorrow's data is not very optimistic, it means a deeper correction, and it may further decline to close the previous window, which is around 50500-52500.

Of course, Lao Song still hopes that the data will be positive and return to the box range of 60,000-70,000. Now the only booster is the interest rate cut, but the interest rate cut is like a long-awaited rain, and it is slow to come! #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH

Every time the market falls, you have to find out who is selling.

XX sells out, XXX sells out, XXX sells out, XXXX sells out,

Today's Shanzhai fell because I got up too early,
Really~that's it.

The rise and fall of the market is only related to supply and demand. The entire market is on the right side of the high position, and the trading volume has decreased significantly. Obviously, there is no main force involved. When the main force does not provide demand, the price will naturally fall. At this time, as long as the supply increases slightly, the price will fall rapidly until it causes panic selling. At this time, the main force will enter the market and buy chips in large quantities.

If you want to know specific opportunities and specific decisions, check the top, you can get the position allocation strategy, teach you how to make money in the bull market and earn coins in the bear market.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF

7.4 Thursday intraday trading summary

The intraday market is still volatile
The overall bearish trend continues to decline
From the morning opening of 60200, it directly fell to 56750
Currently, the short-term decline has stopped and rebounded
Currently, it is oscillating and adjusting at 58300

Three orders were arranged in the intraday real market
The first order was 58900 to go long, and 58000 stopped at 1000 points

The second order began to recover, falling to 57150 to go long, 579 00 to stop profit and exit, and get 700 points out of the warehouse

The third order, step back to 56900 to continue to do more, 57800 to stop Ying to exit, and get 900 points

A total of three orders were arranged during the day, one stop bamboo shoot order and two stop Ying orders, and a total of only 600 points of cake were received

The price fell continuously, but the real market was always bottom-fishing. In fact, there were certain mistakes in the direction of the day. Fortunately, the loss did not continue to expand. The two long orders with the lowest value still successfully recovered the loss and achieved a small profit!

When the market is inconsistent with the idea, do not enter the market blindly, wait and see appropriately, reduce the number of operations, and enter the market only when the opportunity comes. It is meaningless to do more orders. The winning rate is too low, which will only expand the loss!

$BTC $ETH $BNB #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #币安合约锦标赛 #德国政府转移比特币

Long? Can you go long in this ridiculous market?

If you get in early and go short, you can make 2,000 pips of profit

Bottom-hunting? You want to bottom-hunt, but the dealer wants to raid your house!

In the bull market, the price went up against the divergence

Now it is going down against the oversold!

$BTC $ETH $BNB #非农就业数据即将公布 #德国政府转移比特币 #币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

7.4 Thursday night Bitcoin and Ethereum operation ideas

The price fell continuously during the day, with no rebound
Falling from above 60,000 to below 57,000
Falling more than 3,000 points, a drop of 6%
After oversold, there is no rebound strength
After a short-term rebound to 58,000
It fell again to around 57,100 in the evening
The short-selling potential is still very strong

From the technical structure
After the four-hour short-term consolidation, it fell again with a big negative line, continuing the short-selling trend
On the hourly line, the Bollinger Bands opened downward and diverged. Once it fell below the previous round of lows of 56,500, it was confirmed that it fell below the neckline area of ​​the M top, and it was about to face a deeper retracement
From the current rhythm, if the US market continues to continue the short-selling downward trend, it is inevitable to fall below, so the focus of the current decline is the low support of 56,500

However, due to the continuous oversold at the current four-hour level, people have to be wary of the rebound that may come at any time!

In the evening, we will first focus on the support of the 56500 area. If it does not break, we will first look at the rebound!

The above views are for reference only. Thank you all fans and friends for your support along the way. I wish you all the best!

$BTC $ETH $BNB #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #币安合约锦标赛 #德国政府转移比特币

7.5 Friday morning operation suggestions and take-off ideas

Those who do not plan for the overall situation are not qualified to plan for a region. The market is unpredictable. Be calm, observe the situation, plan and then act. Don't be confused, don't be trapped by emotions, and plan in the tent, so that you can win thousands of miles away. There are three thousand weak waters, only take a scoop, take what you need, don't be greedy, don't be aggressive, and be able to control it freely, so that you can win.

7.5 Friday morning analysis

From the perspective of the hourly line structure, the Bollinger band is closing and accompanied by the shrinking of the long volume, the range will converge. Compared with the decline and recovery strength, it is still in the extremely weak range. Under pressure from the upper MA30-day moving average, the decline and fluctuation may continue again. There is no sign of bottom support stabilization, and all indicators are turning downward. For operation, the shorts still have a dominant advantage.

7.5 Friday morning Bitcoin and Ethereum operation suggestions
Bitcoin operation suggestions are short around 57300-58000, target 56000 area, defense zone 600 points
Ether operation can be synchronized with Bitcoin #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 $BTC $ETH $BNB

$WIF: The bull market is not a smooth ride of continuous rise,

Occasionally there will be shocks.

A pullback is an opportunity to enter the market,

I hid my private money,

prepare to arrange spot at 1.6,

wait for $WIF to bring surprises. #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

$SOL
Short-term support level 117/100/87
Recommend layout near 117
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF
$BNB
Short-term support 500/480/450
Recommend layout near 480

2024.7.3 Cryptocurrency Circle Events

● Crypto intelligence platform Santiment said that the outlook for the crypto market in July is worth being optimistic.

● Powell avoided the question of whether the Fed would cut interest rates in September, emphasizing the two-way risks of monetary policy, and estimated that the probability of a rate cut by September is about 70%.

● CMC 2024 H1 report: Meme coins have become the most popular cryptocurrency category.

● In the past 72 hours, Bitcoin miners sold more than 2,300 BTC, worth about $145 million

● There was not much inflow of funds into ETFs yesterday. In terms of on-chain data, BTC did not continue to flow into exchanges in large quantities, and stablecoins showed the dynamics of flowing out of exchanges.

● According to NateGeraci, the spot ETH ETF is expected to be launched in the week of July 15.

● ASTR - Astar Network will destroy 350 million ASTR, accounting for 5% of the total supply.

● BAL - Balancer has released the Balancer v3 code base. The final review before release is in progress.

● BLAST - Blast Foundation will launch Phase 2 on July 8th, distributing 10 billion BLAST.

● CHR - will launch a minimum viable version of its mainnet on July 16th.

● ETHFI - Etherfi has proposed a staking contract for the Ethereum mainnet. Voting will last for 5 days.

● FLR - Flare announced that FLR will reduce inflation from 7% to 5% from July 4th.

● FXS - Frax DAO will distribute 90% of Fraxtal's revenue to users, with the remaining 10% going to veFXS and insurance.

● RAI - Reflexer announced that the RAI Beta altar will go live on Sepolia next week.

● TAO - TAO validators have been hacked and the chain has been stopped for investigation.

● ZK - zkSync has launched its expanding network of ZK "elastic chains" bundles.

● Non-agricultural data will be released at 20:30 this Friday.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #ASI代币合并计划

#非农就业数据即将公布 #IntroToCopytrading
Brothers, the month is off to a good start, give me a like and I will give you a code!

30 likes and you will get a brand new code that will take off soon!

The video posted on Tuesday just said that 58500 is a strong support that cannot be broken.

Once it is broken, it will go directly to the shutdown price of 5.3W to 5W. Today's lowest point just broke to around 5.33, which is just near the expected range of Lao Teng's previous video.

However, according to Lao Teng's own point of view, the possibility of a big rebound in the short term to return to above 5.8W is not very high.

Based on the market performance after the previous 519 and 312 plunges, there will be a period of shock for several months after a drop. In addition, the decline of the big cake has not really bottomed out in the short term. Brothers should not rush to buy the bottom of the impulse and Yue. In the near future, wait and see
#非农就业数据即将公布 #德国政府转移比特币 #币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

Bnb is also a fat piece of meat if you use the indicator now. It is very consistent with the order opening signal. It is really amazing. #非农就业数据即将公布 #BNB走势

The Fed Chairman made a big statement late at night! Will there be a rate cut in September? How will Bitcoin go in July?

Fed Chairman Powell said on Tuesday that although data showed that inflation had made significant progress, more evidence of a decline was needed before a rate cut could be made. Overall, the speech was positive. The U.S. stock market closed, and the three major indexes closed up collectively. The S&P and Nasdaq set new closing highs!
#非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #IntroToCopytrading #以太坊ETF批准预期
We share this valuable information with you unconditionally. If we have the same goal, let us join hands and enter the circle.