比特币投资必备，本周重磅事件抢先看（7/8-7/14）

本周是宏观小周，目前德美政府抛售加密货币的动作对市场的影响，已经压过了其他因素。抛售不停，市场难以有效好转，本周需要紧盯德美政府的动作。
加密方面，SEC推迟了ETH ETF的回应，最快下周开始交易，本周有利好消息是大概率的。

🌟
本周重磅事件：

7/8 周一 *
SEC已将S-1表格退还给以太坊ETF发行方，要求7月8日前重新提交

7/9 周二 *

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美联储主席鲍威尔在参议院银行委员会发表半年度货币政策证词

7/10 周三 *
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新西兰联储公布利率决议和货币政策评估报告
7/11 周四 ***
💼
美国6月CPI

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美国当周初请失业金人数

7/12 周五 *

💼
美国6月PPI

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加密市场展望：
加密货币市场正在经历最糟糕的7月，受德美政府抛售的巨大压力，BTC和ETH下跌开始加速，加密市场较为低迷。目前整体IV水平明显反弹，择时选择较高的IV可以建仓卖单了，季度交割的大量资金随时会把IV砸回去。

📌
加密利率市场方面，Bitfinex利率市场较为安静，偶有不错的利率订单，遇到合适的利率订单可以积极成交。 #非农就业数据 #币圈超话 #区块链超话 #比特币

#非农就业数据
Tonight's non-agricultural data is likely to be positive, and there will be a double kill of longs and shorts!

BTC has risen from the bottom and has reached more than 2,000 points. Tonight's market seems to be positive, but it is still a door. It will fall and then pull up. It is likely to pull up in the middle of the night, just like the market in the second half of July. The reason is that the Bitcoin ETF has not bought much recently, and the capital inflow has decreased, which has caused the Bitcoin price to be sideways at this position for a while.
The market is now at the right time to buy the bottom in batches
Prepare to ambush a potential coin with explosive pull in the near future
Also prepare to ambush some potential coins until the end of the year
The expected space is 5 times, there is no problem
Follow Panda, free

Affects logic, check it out yourself, don’t forget to like it👍#非农就业数据 #美联储何时降息？

Don't expect the Ethereum ETF to be approved immediately!
Wake up, friends! The approval date of the Ethereum ETF has been postponed to around the 15th of this month, which means that before that, the capital flow in the market will stagnate, and only the funds between retail investors will circulate weakly.
The market was originally full of hope, thinking that good news would come as early as July 4, but the reality gave everyone a basin of cold water. According to internal sources, the deadline for submitting updated documents is July 8, and there will be a new round of approval process after that. This long wait has undoubtedly cast a shadow on market sentiment.
What is more concerning is that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission gave the latest feedback to the issuer last Friday, which means that the entire approval process is still in full swing. But don't forget that even if the ETF is finally approved, the incremental funds it brings may be far less than expected. After all, these products still need to pass a level before they are officially listed.
Therefore, we must be mentally prepared and stop pinning all our hopes on the approval of the ETF. For more insider information and market dynamics, please click on my avatar to learn more!

#币安热门推荐 #非农就业数据

🎉Bingzi's needle is really deep. You've been waiting for a day. Are you happy? It directly sent us from the entry position to the stop profit position😁

In the evening, I also posted a message to everyone saying that Bingzi will take advantage of this non-agricultural momentum to rush to 6w first

🎉This time it is inevitable to reach 6w. The idea has been verified again
Congratulations to the friends around 58900. The first echelon has reached 59900 and gained 1000 points of space. The second echelon can continue the pattern of #BTC☀ #大盘动态 #非农就业数据

Not long ago, the German government staged a jaw-dropping Bitcoin selling drama. In a short period of time, it sold 1,300 Bitcoins in three batches to mainstream trading platforms such as Coinbase, Kraken and Bitstamp, with a total value of up to 75 million US dollars. This move was like throwing three boulders into the calm market lake, stirring up layers of huge waves!
This selling action was not only astonishingly fast, but also revealed an "impatient" sense of urgency to cash out, as if there was an emergency at home and money was urgently needed. Even the subtle fluctuations in the market were not taken care of, and they just wanted to quickly sell and cash out. The Bitcoin market is already in a sensitive period. This "willful" move by the German government has undoubtedly added fuel to the already fragile market sentiment, making people sigh: "This operation is simply a 'mudslide' in the market crash!"
What's even more ridiculous is that the selling was not completed at one time, but was carried out in three times, each time like a sudden "stress test" of the market, and each time accurately hit the sensitive nerves of the market. This is not a simple disposal of assets, but a carefully planned "art of market smashing". People are shocked and worried about the market's tolerance.
As for the reasons behind this, there are many speculations, but the most direct one is that the German government may face financial constraints and urgently needs to quickly recover funds by selling Bitcoin. However, such an operation method is undoubtedly a disregard for market rules and investor sentiment, which makes people question the prudence of its decision-making.
In short, the German government's Bitcoin selling action has undoubtedly brought an unexpected "storm" to the Bitcoin market. Although there may be some unavoidable difficulties behind it, such an operation method is undoubtedly a heavy and helpless "gift" for the majority of investors. For more inside information and in-depth analysis, please click on my avatar to find out!

#BTC走势预测 #非农就业数据

#非农就业数据 Tonight's non-agricultural data is expected to fall further. If the price of Bitcoin falls to 61,800 today, you can enter the market! $BTC

DeBank Initial XP Claims are about to end: Last chance reminder
DeBank announcement: Initial XP claims are about to end
Important dates:
Claim deadline: Initial XP claims will end at 8:00 on August 4. Subsequent actions: New users will also stop claiming recommended XP.
User activities:
Existing opportunities: Users can still continue to earn more XP by completing and recommending tasks on DeBank. Task participation: Actively participate in DeBank tasks and the opportunity to get more XP rewards is still ongoing.
Analysis and suggestions:
Claim opportunities:
Last chance: Seize the last claim opportunity and make sure to complete the relevant operations before the deadline. Recommendation rewards: Use the existing recommendation function to increase the amount of XP obtained and accumulate more resources for subsequent activities.
Subsequent actions:
Task completion: Continue to complete tasks on DeBank to maintain XP growth and stay active. Activity follow-up: Pay attention to the latest announcements from DeBank to keep up with other activities and reward opportunities.
#美联储何时降息？ #美国政府转移BTC #超级央行周 #比特币大会 #非农就业数据 $BTC $ETH $SOL

#热点解析
#美联储何时降息？
#非农就业数据

Market hot spots:

1. The public chain FTM has risen, and will exchange the currency for the new EVM public chain Sonic, and launch a developer reward plan.

2. The public chain MAT has risen, and the ecosystem Quick and others have followed suit. MAT will exchange the currency for POL on September 4, mainly because the old currency has been fully released, and the new currency can continue to be issued.

3. The old DeFi FXS, UNI, AAVE, AEVO, etc. rebounded. V God publicly called for the ETH chain, and AAVE's quarterly revenue exceeded the peak of the previous bull market.

#非农就业数据

The expected value is 17.5, which is very low. It is obviously preparing to release a value greater than 17.5. The current non-agricultural data is played by the Americans at will, losing its authenticity and authority, but it does have a huge impact on the US dollar

The value released tonight is greater than 17.5, the data is more favorable than the US dollar, and BTC continues to smash the market.

Analysis: Large transfers have attracted market attention, and newly created wallets have received a large amount of LINK and FTM
According to Scopescan monitoring, two newly created wallets received large transfers from 21Shares Chainlink ETP and 21Shares Fantom ETP respectively. One wallet received 987,000 LINK, equivalent to approximately $12.2 million; the other wallet received 16.7 million FTM, equivalent to approximately $6.5 million.
Analysis and Impact

- These two large transfers show the market's strong interest in Chainlink (LINK) and Fantom (FTM), indicating that the appeal of these two projects is increasing.
- The inflow of funds from 21Shares ETP shows the recognition and confidence of institutional investors in these two projects, which may drive market sentiment to a positive level.

- The large amount of new wallets received may mean that some large or institutional investors are actively deploying the Chainlink and Fantom networks, which may have a positive impact on the future trend of LINK and FTM.
- This flow of funds may trigger a market bandwagon effect, further driving up the prices of LINK and FTM.

It is recommended that LINK and FTM holders continue to pay attention to market dynamics and not sell easily to obtain higher returns.
Consider entering the market in batches when the market pulls back to avoid one-time investment and diversify risks.
Continue to pay attention to the capital movements of the above two newly created wallets and use them as a reference to formulate your own investment strategy.
Lao Lin's homepage will continue to provide you with the latest market analysis and trading strategies. The next wave of opportunities is ready, and I look forward to discussing and communicating with you brothers and sharing more successful experiences and trading skills.
#美联储何时降息？ #美国政府转移BTC #非农就业数据 #link #ftm $ETH $LINK $FTM

Those who keep up with the pace have made a profit of 80 points on Ethereum and 1,000 on Bitcoin. The aggressive ones can move the stop loss and wait for the prize draw tomorrow morning. The conservative ones will collect the rice and sleep now. #非农人数大幅升温 #ETH #BTC #非农就业数据

The most difficult night to predict is the non-farm night, will it be a V-shaped rise or a fall?

BTC analysis:
Upper pressure: 70800 ~ 71400
Lower support: First support 69100 ~ 68800,
Second support 68000 ~ 67600

【Fundamentals】
1. Four days later on November 5th, the US election will be held, six days later on November 7th, the Federal Reserve’s November resolution will be held, and tonight on November 1st, the US Department of Labor will release the US October non-farm employment data.

Tonight’s non-farm report may be the most unpredictable this year. On the one hand, the two hurricanes since late September may cause serious interference to economic indicators. On the other hand, at the last moment of the presidential campaign, the report may easily be suspected by the outside world of being used for political manipulation.

Different investment banks have made very different forecasts for tonight's non-agricultural data. The median estimate is about 113,000 people, the highest forecast is 180,000 people, and the lowest is a shocking -10,000 people.

2. Yesterday (October 31), the US Pie ETF had a net inflow for the seventh consecutive day, but the amount dropped sharply to 31.3 million US dollars, and the aunt had a net inflow for the third consecutive day, with the amount increasing to 13 million US dollars. Under the situation of continued net inflow of ETFs, $BTC broke down, mainly due to the influence of macro uncertainty and unfavorable economic data. The disk has not changed fundamentally, waiting for the election results.

Tonight's non-agricultural data is on Friday again, and there may be large fluctuations. 🈴 Forex players need to guard against the risk of up and down pins.

[Technical side] BTC daily level moving average still maintains a long arrangement, MACD column line top divergence, and may form a dead cross, which requires a certain amount of time to repair. Currently supported by the rising trend line and the last round of bull top 69000 area. There is a high probability that the market will maintain a wide range of consolidation before the election.

[Suggestion] Wait patiently for non-agricultural data, focus on short-term operations, stop profits in time, and strictly stop losses.

#非农就业数据 #加密货币急跌 #BTC走势预测 #美国大选后行情预测 #ETH投资

The non-farm employment figures were released, far below expectations. The low employment rate indicates that the economy is in a recession, and the decline of US stocks is inevitable. If US stocks continue to fall significantly, then the market will inevitably panic, and BTC won't fare much better. If you interpret the non-farm data release as indicating a recession in the US economy, which leads to a decline in the dollar, and is bullish for BTC, then you might be falling for the data's trap.

Personally, I still see BTC declining. If US stocks continue to fall, the probability of retail investors selling and cutting losses in BTC is quite high. If BTC capital does not sell off in advance, then the entire bullish trend is still supported by capital chips. This is not a rational approach.

On November 5th, the election, if capital is thinking clearly, the probability of selling off in the evening is particularly high, and it is not advisable to chase for more.

Lastly, a reminder: high short operations, 'Short Probe Method', even if capital is not thinking clearly and really pulls up, it still won't trap you.

#行情分析📈 #BTC☀ #大选 #非农就业数据 $BTC

The "Trump trade" is suffering from a double whammy as Harris's approval ratings surge in U.S. election polls and expectations grow that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates. Compared with the "Trump trade", the strategy of a Harris victory is currently receiving less attention. However, this situation may bring some far-reaching market effects.
Possible market reaction to Harris' victory:
Bullish outlook for Asian markets: Huo Ming Li, macro strategist at Lombard Odier Singapore Ltd, pointed out that if Harris wins, we expect bullish sentiment on Asian stocks to increase. Harris is unlikely to trigger large-scale inflation worldwide, which will help maintain the current core anti-inflationary drivers in the United States.
Policy uncertainty: Sharma-Ong, an analyst at abrdn Plc, believes that the specific impact of the "Harris trade" is still unclear. If there is a blue wave in Congress, the Democratic Party may push to restart the child tax credit policy during the epidemic and increase corporate taxes, which may squeeze corporate profits and pose a challenge to the market.
Room for optimism: Hebe Chen, an analyst at IG Markets in Melbourne, said that Harris's lead currently mainly comes from her not taking major actions. This state provides room for the growth of optimism, but the specific impact needs further observation.
Lao Lin's homepage will continue to provide you with the latest market analysis and trading strategies. The next wave of opportunities is ready, and I look forward to discussing and communicating with you brothers and sharing more successful experiences and trading skills.
#美联储何时降息？ #美国政府转移BTC #超级央行周 #比特币大会 #非农就业数据

The U.S. Department of Labor released the latest #非农就业数据 , and the employment growth was lower than expected, and the data also showed that the data for the past two months was significantly revised down. The market's concerns about the U.S. recession have intensified, triggering close attention to the Fed's policy trends.

Employment data is lower than expected

Non-farm payrolls increased by 142,000 in August, lower than the market expectation of 161,000.
The employment data for July and June were revised down by 25,000 and 61,000 respectively.
The unemployment rate fell slightly to 4.2%, but the employment data is still worrying.

Market reaction

Market concerns about a recession led to a decline in U.S. stocks, especially the Nasdaq index.

Fed's attitude

Fed officials tried to reassure the market, claiming that the job market has not deteriorated.

The market expects a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the September interest rate meeting.

Views of international financial institutions

Deutsche Bank and other institutions pointed out that the weakness of non-farm payrolls may indicate the coming of a recession.

Despite the poor non-farm payrolls data, some large financial institutions remain optimistic.

Fed's balance sheet reduction and interest rate cut

The Fed's balance sheet reduction has slowed down recently.

The market is concerned about when the Fed will shift from balance sheet reduction to balance sheet expansion, which may foreshadow the arrival of a financial crisis.

Forecast of US dollar trend

In the financial crisis, the Fed's balance sheet expansion and interest rate cut policy may cause the US dollar to depreciate sharply.

The liquidity crisis may cause the US dollar index to soar in the short term, but then fall rapidly.

Summary

The non-farm payrolls data in August was not as good as market expectations, further deepening market concerns about a US recession. Although the Fed tried to appease the market, the market had strong expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September, and was also closely watching the Fed's balance sheet reduction process. In addition, large international financial institutions are more cautious about this, believing that weak employment data may be a harbinger of a recession. Overall, the market's concerns about a US recession still exist, and it is closely watching the Fed's policy trends.

🎉Today's pancakes are sold directly by everyone. U is directly delivered to your mouth again. As I said, you only need to rise slightly to eat it.

The layout of the points is open to everyone. If you don't dare to eat it, what can I do?

Just like I said, if the market is falling, half of the people will choose to withdraw from the circle. Who will the dog dealer play for?

Miracles always happen to the warriors. So did you cherish the decision you made before 8:30 because of the points I announced? Or are you regretting it now?

🎉 Congratulations again to the family members who are bullish on the pancake near 55600. Now the first echelon has reached 56600 and gained 1000 points of space. The second echelon can still continue the pattern #BTC走势分析 #非农就业数据 #大盘动态

#非农就业数据 $bigtime
After bigtime went online yesterday, it rose a lot, but I went short afterwards, from 0.085 to 0.075 and just got off the train. Is this also a small trading opportunity? Seize every coin like this and set a good stop loss to get a good return!