$BTC As the market expected, the Federal Reserve announced last night a 25 basis point rate cut in December, but during the meeting, Chairman Powell released a series of hawkish statements. First, he mentioned that next year the rate cut pace will slow down, expecting only two rate cuts throughout the year. The key takeaway was a statement that significantly impacts the crypto market: he said the Federal Reserve is not allowed to have BTC and does not wish to change this law. As a result of his remarks, BTC fell more than 5% this morning, with over $600 million liquidated across the network in 24 hours. The US stock market also saw a significant drop, evaporating $1.5 trillion.

Rafael tweeted that $97000 is a strong support level, and even if BTC continues to fall, it will stop when it reaches this position.

Spot ETFs have seen inflows for two consecutive weeks, and in the US market, the fund scale of BTC spot ETFs has surpassed that of gold ETFs. This is a milestone moment; it took 20 years for gold ETFs to reach their current scale since their launch in 2004, while BTC spot ETFs have surpassed gold ETFs' asset management scale in less than 12 months of operation.

The supply of stablecoins is also continuously setting new highs, with newly issued USDT flowing into major exchanges over the past two weeks, driving this wave of increase. In the past two weeks, the average daily inflow of USDT into exchanges exceeded $40 million, which is rare in the history of cryptocurrencies. A large amount of capital is entering the market through stablecoins. Historically, whenever new stablecoins flow heavily into exchanges, the crypto market tends to experience a subsequent rally.

With less than a month until a pro-crypto president and SEC chair take office next year, institutions, companies, and whales are continually accumulating BTC. A $100,000 BTC is just the beginning; historical cycles of BTC also show that next year will be the real bull market. Looking back at the current price a year from now will feel as cheap as looking back at last year's price at this time. Cherish every pullback before the crazy bull market kicks off; it's all a discount period. Don't let emotions lead you to be tricked off the wealth train by market manipulators before it starts! 😆

#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话
#美联储放鹰
#加密市场回调
#市场调整後的机会？
#疯狂大牛市

The Federal Reserve announces it won't hoard BTC, and the crypto market is in turmoil! Has the bull market expectation for 2025 collapsed? Hawkish Powell makes a strong statement, the Federal Reserve directly states: 'We do not touch Bitcoin, nor do we change the rules!' The market instantly goes wild, Bitcoin struggles to hold above the $100,000 mark while Ethereum plummets 6%, retreating to the $3,600 range. Market sentiment drops from 'extreme greed' to 'greed', retail investors are no longer impulsively buying in, top analysts assert: 'The optimistic expectations for 2025 may just be an illusion!' Interestingly, long positions have surged to over 50%, everyone is betting on a rebound, and if the bears can't hold up against $105,900, a $1 billion short position will be liquidated! Don't be blinded by short-term fluctuations, Brother Tang teaches you to lock in your targets, advance step by step, and witness the explosion of wealth with a smile! Follow Brother Tang, and take you from confusion to freedom!

This round of bull market will start in November 2022, and it is said that it will go through five waves.

The first wave is 15,000-30,000, and the retracement is 20-30% to about 25,000.

The second wave is 25,000-50,000 and retracement to about 40,000.

The third wave is 40,000-74,000 and retracement to about 49,000.

The fourth wave is now 49,000-110,000, and it is now fluctuating between 90,000 and 100,000. If the interest rate cut is announced, this wave will basically come to an end and enter a volatile downward trend. At this time, the secondary market will fall back and the primary effect will begin. It will fall back to about 80,000 at the end of January.

The fifth wave will start from February to July 25. The Fed's expectations may not be too suspenseful. Then the fifth wave will start from 7.0~7.5, and may reach about 150,000. This may be the last wave, and the bull market cycle will end.

According to the data of each wave, it can be seen that each wave will double and then go down by 20~30%.
What to do after the bull market ends? We don't know either, so let's wait and see.

At this time, the 4th wave of secondary market began to fall, and the market in the primary market should have almost started.
Musk-themed puppies in the primary market, as one of the strongest concepts on the Ethereum chain, are emerging, and their future development potential is huge. They may have the opportunity to become the next shib. Now you can pay close attention and in-depth research, and look forward to an early ambush.

The above does not constitute investment advice. There are risks in the currency circle, and you must do a good job of risk control.
#加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #puppies这个具备百倍千倍的潜质，马斯克i
#meme季节即将到来 $BTC $BNB $ETH

#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 The Federal Reserve is not allowed to own Bitcoin $BTC Trump can own and support it, a slight pullback continues to sprint
#美联储放鹰

$BTC $ETH

Important Event!

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is about to make a significant impact!

The Powell press conference will follow closely behind!

An important moment is approaching: The Federal Reserve will unveil the interest rate decision and economic projections summary at 3 AM on December 19!

Next, the key figure will appear: At 3:30 AM, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will personally take the stage to hold a monetary policy press conference and interpret the deeper meaning behind the decision!

Market volatility alert: At this moment, the financial market is about to face a storm, please pay close attention and seize market dynamics!

Follow me for daily updates on the latest quality market information, ensuring you navigate your way to wealth!

#加密用户突破1800万 #BTC再创新高 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储利率决议即将公布 #热门话题

Will Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech trigger a drop in Bitcoin? Recently, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that the Federal Reserve does not allow holding Bitcoin, and the Federal Reserve itself has no intention of holding any Bitcoin. He also pointed out that this issue should be decided by Congress, not the Federal Reserve.

Powell's statement may have already impacted the Bitcoin market, leading to a significant drop in Bitcoin prices. This indicates concerns in the market about the future ownership of Bitcoin.

According to current laws, the Federal Reserve is not allowed to hold Bitcoin. The composition of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet must adhere to the existing legal framework, and Bitcoin is not included.

As an executive body, the Federal Reserve must comply with the laws established by Congress. Therefore, regarding the question of whether to hold Bitcoin, the Federal Reserve believes it should be decided by Congress.

From this information, we can see that the Federal Reserve's position on the Bitcoin issue is clear: it does not hold Bitcoin and leaves this question to Congress.

The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States, primarily responsible for formulating monetary policy, supervising banks, and maintaining financial stability. However, it is just a private company and not part of the U.S. government.

These remarks before Christmas may also affect the market trend.

As one of the strongest concepts on the Ethereum chain, the Musk-themed dog puppies are emerging, with significant future development potential, possibly becoming the next phenomenon in crypto assets like Shib, worthy of close attention and in-depth research by investors.

Just yesterday, I said it would drop, and today Powell's speech just did this to you. The current price is $99,600, and $BTC has not yet broken the upward trend. For now, we are still bullish, but if it breaks the trend, we need to be cautious.

Next, it is possible that it will still follow the previous analysis of rebounding to reach a new high, or it may still correct with a significant downward trend to 85-87K.

#鲍威尔 #美联储不允许持有比特币 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测

! ! The market is betting like crazy! Is the Fed's rate cut in September a foregone conclusion?

🔥 On July 9, CME Fed Watch caused a stir! Traders placed bets one after another, predicting that the Fed will take a key step in September - the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 71.8%! This figure ignited the enthusiasm of the market like a fireball, and the rate cut storm seems to be ready to go!

🤔 However, in the context of such strong expectations of rate cuts, 24.8% of traders still chose to hold their ground, believing that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged, adding a touch of uncertainty to the market.

😲 What's even more surprising is that there are a few warriors who dare to dream. They believe that the Fed may take more radical measures and cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Although the probability is only 3.4%, it is enough to make the market look sideways!

🔍 What will be the Fed's next move? The heartbeat and breathing of the market are tense. This game about interest rates is about to usher in the moment of revelation!

#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

On June 23, will the interest rate cut be imminent, and will the bull market follow? Don't be fooled by those so-called "big Vs"! They often bring out complex concepts to mislead people, just to achieve the purpose of charging fees and cutting leeks.

In fact, the logic of the currency circle is quite simple: when big funds come in, the price goes up; when big funds go out, the price goes down. If you want to make a profit from investing in cryptocurrencies, you must first understand the macro economy.

Why does the US dollar interest rate cut cause the currency circle to rise wildly?

1. There is a seesaw effect between commodity and stock prices;

2. The US dollar interest rate cut will cause commodity prices in the countries that release water to rise, funds to flow into developing countries, and their stock markets to fall. However, many "big Vs" have contradictory analyses, and they don't understand economic principles at all.

The US dollar interest rate hike will put the relevant economies into crisis, the exchange rate will become unstable, the US dollar will appreciate, and global funds will flow into the United States, and then be allocated to giants through treasury bonds to invest in US stocks. The interest rate cut is just the opposite.

The biggest risk of the US dollar interest rate cut is that funds may flow out, and the US's response is to export force to reduce financial risks. Every time the interest rate is cut, there will often be violent actions internationally, as was the case in the past five Middle East wars.

#美联储何时降息？ #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话
$UNFI $PEOPLE $1000SATS
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In fact, it is almost certain that interest rates will remain stable in August, and the focus of market attention has shifted to the speech of Fed Chairman Powell, whether he will tighten the policy hawkishly or turn to dovish easing. If the Fed decides to open the easing gate, then this action will most likely not stop at a single rate cut, but will herald the official start of the rate cut cycle.

Some analysts even boldly predict that there may be three rate cuts this year, each set at 25 basis points. However, all these speculations must be based on the final decision of the Fed meeting tonight, and the market's reaction and future trends will also move accordingly.
#美联储何时降息？
#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话

Several key elements of Powell's speech are analyzed. It is impossible to raise interest rates. The market needs to slowly increase liquidity! Powell hinted at a rate cut at this time? Bitcoin and Ethereum ushered in a sharp rebound when Powell announced the suspension of interest rate cuts and spoke, but then continued to fall. However, both US stocks and US bonds ushered in gains and did not continue to fall. What does this mean? It shows that there are still short orders in the currency circle that have not been profited and left. The dealer still has contracts that have not been cleared, so continue to suppress the market. So let's summarize Powell's speech. First of all, in the future, when the unemployment rate rises by 0.2%, the interest rate will be cut. The unemployment rate data released now is the same as last month, 3.8%. So how should the market choose in the future? The unemployment rate data should be focused on. Compromise Second, Powell denied the interest rate hike. Powell will threaten the market with words. If there is any possibility, it will not be very confirmed. However, this time he directly denied the possibility of an interest rate hike, so those who are thinking about raising interest rates should not dream. Dove Third, confirming the slowdown of balance sheet reduction, but it does not mean that the magnitude of the balance sheet reduction will be smaller than expected. This sentence is a bit confusing. In plain words, although I have slowed down the balance sheet reduction, don't be too idealistic. It will not make the market come alive all at once. (Similar to the patient who should drink porridge first instead of big fish and meat) Dove

Fourth, the inflation level this year is very strong. If the labor market remains strong and sustainable, then the interest rate cut will be postponed this year. Hawk

Fifth, given the current situation, I think our policy stance is in a good position. (In plain words, I feel good about myself, our strategy is good, and I am OK again)

Finally, the Fed unanimously agreed that the current round of interest rates will continue to be suspended. The current situation of encryption is that the macro danger has passed and we can wait for the dealer to close the net. #鲍威尔说了什么 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话
#BTC回调才会更好的上涨 $BTC $ETH

At 2.00-2.30 am tomorrow, the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech will be released. Compared with the dot plot released by the Fed in March, the Fed's core view is that three interest rate cuts this year will remain, and there will be three more interest rate cuts in 2025. Since the release, there have been further signs of continued inflation, while the labor market has also performed strongly. Fed Chairman Powell's speech at the May meeting also hinted that interest rates may have to be maintained.
According to a Bloomberg survey, 41% of economists expect the median interest rate forecast to indicate two interest rate cuts in 2024, while 41% expect the median interest rate forecast to indicate only one interest rate cut or no interest rate cut at all. #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储降息周期 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储基准利率 #比特币走势分析

Expectations of rate cuts are rekindled, but the trend of Bitcoin is still unclear

The number of first-time unemployment claims in the United States hit a new high that week, which far exceeded market expectations. In theory, it should trigger market concerns about the slowdown in US economic growth, thereby increasing the possibility of future rate cuts. Judging from the reaction of the financial market, the US dollar index weakened, while the Nasdaq 100 index futures and the S&P 500 index futures both rose slightly, and spot gold also rose in the short term, all of which reflected the market's reassessment of expectations for rate cuts.
However, the Bitcoin market seemed indifferent to this data. There may be two reasons behind this: First, the Federal Reserve's specific April inflation data has not yet been released, and the single data of the number of unemployment benefits recipients is not enough to form a strong expectation of rate cuts; second, the Bitcoin market has recently experienced a halving event and is in a volatile market at the same stage in history. Its price trend is affected by many factors, including market sentiment, technical performance, and the macroeconomic environment.
Therefore, investors do not need to care too much about the short-term rise and fall of Bitcoin. In the case of a complex and changeable macroeconomic environment and unclear policy trends, investors should remain rational, pay attention to market dynamics, and wait for large-scale opportunities before entering the market. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to risk management to avoid losses caused by blindly following the trend or impulsive trading.
#BTC走势分析 #美国4月CPI通胀数据即将公布 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Tonight, the United States will release key interest rate decisions and welcome the policy statement of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, which the market is looking forward to.

Previously, many major events have been settled, including the resolution of the Mt. Gox problem, the proper handling of matters related to the Gemini platform, and the successful conclusion of the German government's confiscation of BTC.

Looking forward, our attention will focus on three core issues: the possible trend of the US interest rate cut policy, the progress of the FTX platform cash repayment plan, and the potential possibility of Bitcoin being included in the US strategic reserve assets, all of which will have a profound impact on the market structure.

#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话
#美联储何时降息？

#美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 今晚利多还是利空

Big event!

Big news!

End of the petrodollar agreement: A sea change in the global economy

Last Sunday, a major event occurred in the international economic and financial system of this century. The 50-year-old petrodollar agreement between Saudi Arabia and the United States was announced to end. This event may affect the entire dollar system, threaten the dollar's international reserve currency status, and then push up domestic inflation and borrowing costs in the United States, affecting every ordinary person who holds dollars or dollar-denominated assets.

The dollar's status as a world reserve currency has given the United States superpowers of economic stability and rising asset prices, but all this will change after the end of the petrodollar agreement. Domestic inflation in the United States may rise, borrowing costs will increase, and the economy will face challenges.

The end of the petrodollar is part of a larger trend, and many countries have gradually abandoned the use of the dollar in international settlements and oil transactions. This may lead to the end of the United States' global financial dominance and the transfer of international financial hegemony.

For ordinary people, we need to pay attention to the impact of this event on life and wealth. In terms of investment, we need to be more cautious, diversify risks, and pay attention to other investment opportunities. At the same time, we also need to pay attention to changes in the global economy and adapt to the new economic environment.

This event marks a huge shift in the global economy. We need to pay close attention to future developments and be prepared to respond.
$NOT $PEPE $UNI
#美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储降息周期 #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #美联储基准利率

The market is currently trading on the positive news of the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut. This wave of daily level is also V-ed up. I originally thought that Japan might raise interest rates to cooperate with the Fed's backstab, but it was cancelled today by irresistible factors. We don't know if there is any inside information, but since the market has already traded this fact and the Fed's rate cut is also a long-term positive, there is no need for us to speculate whether the US economy is in recession. From the market point of view, it is still in the downward channel of the bull flag. Will it continue to fluctuate or break through directly? Only when it comes out can a long section of unilateral market appear. The short-term key point is 65000-65500. For spot, brothers who don't have a bottom position should consider buying some high-quality altcoin spot after the callback. Whether the follow-up is oscillation, callback, or direct breakthrough, holding one hand and building positions in batches is always lower than chasing. Many altcoins have broken through the short-term falling structure. Under the favorable conditions of BTC, the market generally believes that there may be a altcoin season in September and October. Keep an eye on it. #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #日本加息