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Deleveraging in TON: a Sign of Opportunity?TON has undergone a significant deleveraging process, as evidenced by a sharp decline in the TVL of DEXs, CEXs, Derivatives, and Options. This movement suggests that many investors have become completely discouraged, liquidating positions and reducing their exposure to the asset. However, this scenario can be seen as a positive signal, especially for whales. Historically, great opportunities arise when retail investors lose hope, creating an ideal environment for strategic accumulation by large

Deleveraging in TON: a Sign of Opportunity?

TON has undergone a significant deleveraging process, as evidenced by a sharp decline in the TVL of DEXs, CEXs, Derivatives, and Options. This movement suggests that many investors have become completely discouraged, liquidating positions and reducing their exposure to the asset.

However, this scenario can be seen as a positive signal, especially for whales. Historically, great opportunities arise when retail investors lose hope, creating an ideal environment for strategic accumulation by large
ترجمة
$380M in Transfer Volume Puts Binance in the Lead for USDT on TONOne of the key use cases on the TON Network is stablecoin transactions. By analyzing the USDT transfer volume, we can identify the major entities utilizing TON for stablecoin movement. Looking at the total USDT transfer volume on TON from the start of 2025 until today, Binance has emerged as the dominant exchange, accounting for 34.8% of all USDT transactions, which translates to 381.18M USDT. This highlights Binance’s strong position in the TON stablecoin ecosystem. Following Binance, the nex

$380M in Transfer Volume Puts Binance in the Lead for USDT on TON

One of the key use cases on the TON Network is stablecoin transactions. By analyzing the USDT transfer volume, we can identify the major entities utilizing TON for stablecoin movement.

Looking at the total USDT transfer volume on TON from the start of 2025 until today, Binance has emerged as the dominant exchange, accounting for 34.8% of all USDT transactions, which translates to 381.18M USDT. This highlights Binance’s strong position in the TON stablecoin ecosystem.

Following Binance, the nex
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How Much Demand Is Needed to Push Bitcoin Into the $150K Range?So far, Bitcoin's structure has had the structural dynamics of a mature asset, with upward spikes and consequent consolidations that, for many, become "distressing." Bitcoin has a $2T Market Cap and is the sixth most potent asset among the world's fiat currencies (among the sharks, it is only worth 0.2% of all of them!)… Impressive! By tracing a Fibonacci Expansion from the bottom in November 2022 ($15,450K) to our consolidation in 2024 ($48,934K), we demarcate a target between $136K and $150K,

How Much Demand Is Needed to Push Bitcoin Into the $150K Range?

So far, Bitcoin's structure has had the structural dynamics of a mature asset, with upward spikes and consequent consolidations that, for many, become "distressing." Bitcoin has a $2T Market Cap and is the sixth most potent asset among the world's fiat currencies (among the sharks, it is only worth 0.2% of all of them!)… Impressive!

By tracing a Fibonacci Expansion from the bottom in November 2022 ($15,450K) to our consolidation in 2024 ($48,934K), we demarcate a target between $136K and $150K,
ترجمة
Ethereum Bullish DivergenceETH price continues to fall, but market buying volume is increasing ETH could soon see a May 2024-like price spike Written by crypto sunmoon

Ethereum Bullish Divergence

ETH price continues to fall, but market buying volume is increasing

ETH could soon see a May 2024-like price spike

Written by crypto sunmoon
ترجمة
Bitcoin Eyes $108K ATH: Can Market Momentum Overcome Bearish Divergence?Bitcoin's recent uptrend has traders closely watching whether it can break above its all-time high of $108K. The key factor in this potential breakout is whether the market can generate enough momentum to surpass this critical resistance level. A crucial on-chain indicator, the funding rates metric, has shown a bearish divergence. While Bitcoin’s price has surged toward ATH, funding rates have declined, suggesting weak demand in perpetual markets. This divergence indicates that bullish momentum

Bitcoin Eyes $108K ATH: Can Market Momentum Overcome Bearish Divergence?

Bitcoin's recent uptrend has traders closely watching whether it can break above its all-time high of $108K. The key factor in this potential breakout is whether the market can generate enough momentum to surpass this critical resistance level.

A crucial on-chain indicator, the funding rates metric, has shown a bearish divergence. While Bitcoin’s price has surged toward ATH, funding rates have declined, suggesting weak demand in perpetual markets. This divergence indicates that bullish momentum
ترجمة
A New Index!I would like to introduce a new index that analyzes the behavior of short-term holders (STH) in relation to realized capitalization. Realized capitalization consists of two primary components: short-term holders and long-term holders (LTH). Notably, the realized capitalization of STH provides valuable insights into the current state of the market. The new index will represent the share of STH within the realized capitalization, thereby indicating the level of market activity and intensity. As i

A New Index!

I would like to introduce a new index that analyzes the behavior of short-term holders (STH) in relation to realized capitalization. Realized capitalization consists of two primary components: short-term holders and long-term holders (LTH). Notably, the realized capitalization of STH provides valuable insights into the current state of the market.

The new index will represent the share of STH within the realized capitalization, thereby indicating the level of market activity and intensity. As i
ترجمة
Long-term Bitcoin Holders Are Not Yet Selling Their HoldingsHolders who have held bitcoin for seven years or more sold some of their holdings before the end of the previous bull market. Long-term bitcoin holders have not yet moved their holdings to exchanges. Written by crypto sunmoon

Long-term Bitcoin Holders Are Not Yet Selling Their Holdings

Holders who have held bitcoin for seven years or more sold some of their holdings before the end of the previous bull market.

Long-term bitcoin holders have not yet moved their holdings to exchanges.

Written by crypto sunmoon
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Depositing TransactionsDepositing transactions in Stablecoins, not quite a price pivot turnaround, but it will give you a good idea of the correlation to price and the money flow into each CEX at key points. Written by Crypto_Lion

Depositing Transactions

Depositing transactions in Stablecoins, not quite a price pivot turnaround, but it will give you a good idea of the correlation to price and the money flow into each CEX at key points.

Written by Crypto_Lion
ترجمة
Leverage Ratio RSIBy normalizing the Reverage ratio, we can get an idea of where open interest will be digested. To be precise, it would be better to have TRC data. Written by Crypto_Lion

Leverage Ratio RSI

By normalizing the Reverage ratio, we can get an idea of where open interest will be digested. To be precise, it would be better to have TRC data.

Written by Crypto_Lion
ترجمة
"The Crypto Market Remains Bullish… but It's Time for Caution"This on-chain data analyzes the value (USD) of Bitcoin held for less than six months. With each market cycle, the capital inflow continues to grow significantly. In this cycle, the introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs is expected to drive additional capital inflows from both institutional and retail investors by the first half of 2025. However, as shown in the chart, if Bitcoin and altcoins attract significant attention, leading to a surge in new investors and additional capital from existing inv

"The Crypto Market Remains Bullish… but It's Time for Caution"

This on-chain data analyzes the value (USD) of Bitcoin held for less than six months.

With each market cycle, the capital inflow continues to grow significantly. In this cycle, the introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs is expected to drive additional capital inflows from both institutional and retail investors by the first half of 2025.

However, as shown in the chart, if Bitcoin and altcoins attract significant attention, leading to a surge in new investors and additional capital from existing inv
ترجمة
Let's Use the Taker Buysell Ratio CorrectlyCryptoquant's taker buysell ratio is strongly influenced by Binance's buysell data because it contains Binance data. Also, the correlation between the taker buysell ratio and the price is not high. In other words, even if the index rises, the price is unlikely to rise. The point is that spot volume on the USD side is pulling the price up. What we want to talk about here is to understand the correct premise of the data. Written by Crypto_Lion

Let's Use the Taker Buysell Ratio Correctly

Cryptoquant's taker buysell ratio is strongly influenced by Binance's buysell data because it contains Binance data.

Also, the correlation between the taker buysell ratio and the price is not high. In other words, even if the index rises, the price is unlikely to rise.

The point is that spot volume on the USD side is pulling the price up.

What we want to talk about here is to understand the correct premise of the data.

Written by Crypto_Lion
ترجمة
Binance Investors Inflows : Whales Vs RetailsWe often hear about a contradiction in the behavior of investors categorized as whales and retail. This is exactly what is happening now when analyzing data from Binance in the short term. These two charts illustrate BTC inflows to Binance, one of the largest exchanges by volume, based on investor categories as whales and retail traders. When investors send Bitcoin to exchanges, it is primarily to sell. The first chart shows that over the past month, retail investors on Binance have signific

Binance Investors Inflows : Whales Vs Retails

We often hear about a contradiction in the behavior of investors categorized as whales and retail.

This is exactly what is happening now when analyzing data from Binance in the short term.

These two charts illustrate BTC inflows to Binance, one of the largest exchanges by volume, based on investor categories as whales and retail traders.

When investors send Bitcoin to exchanges, it is primarily to sell.

The first chart shows that over the past month, retail investors on Binance have signific
ترجمة
Binance Vs. TradFi Volume Analysis 📊Cryptocurrency is slowly but suddenly stepping into the Traditional Financial (TradFi) Markets, primarily driven by BTC ETFs and a pro-crypto stance in the U.S. under President Donald Trump. This development makes it relevant to compare the TradFi markets with the regular stock indices market. For this analysis, I compare the trading volume of Binance spot (the biggest spot market in crypto) markets with major traditional financial indices, including the Nasdaq, Russell 2000, S&P 500, and Stoxx

Binance Vs. TradFi Volume Analysis 📊

Cryptocurrency is slowly but suddenly stepping into the Traditional Financial (TradFi) Markets, primarily driven by BTC ETFs and a pro-crypto stance in the U.S. under President Donald Trump. This development makes it relevant to compare the TradFi markets with the regular stock indices market.

For this analysis, I compare the trading volume of Binance spot (the biggest spot market in crypto) markets with major traditional financial indices, including the Nasdaq, Russell 2000, S&P 500, and Stoxx
ترجمة
TON: Signs of a Reversal? 📈The weekly variation in Open Interest for TON suggests a potential reversal ahead. In recent days, we've observed a pattern where the Open Interest Delta increases with each volatility spike—a behavior that previously preceded a sharp price surge. If this trend repeats, we could be on the verge of a new recovery for TON. 🚀 Monitoring liquidity and positioning flows will be crucial to identifying short-term opportunities. Stay tuned for the next moves! 👀 Written by joaowedson

TON: Signs of a Reversal? 📈

The weekly variation in Open Interest for TON suggests a potential reversal ahead. In recent days, we've observed a pattern where the Open Interest Delta increases with each volatility spike—a behavior that previously preceded a sharp price surge.

If this trend repeats, we could be on the verge of a new recovery for TON. 🚀 Monitoring liquidity and positioning flows will be crucial to identifying short-term opportunities.

Stay tuned for the next moves! 👀

Written by joaowedson
ترجمة
Bitfinex Reserve & Binance Funding Rate Thresholds Crossed: Is This the Bottom?Recently, I confirmed that the Bitfinex Reserve and the Binance Funding Rate both reached their respective thresholds. I am now watching closely to see whether the price at that moment will turn out to be the bottom. During the previous bubble, once this threshold was exceeded, prices tended to move toward new highs. I am anticipating an upward price movement without breaking below the recent daily low of $93,000. *The first attached chart shows the current market, while the second chart is fr

Bitfinex Reserve & Binance Funding Rate Thresholds Crossed: Is This the Bottom?

Recently, I confirmed that the Bitfinex Reserve and the Binance Funding Rate both reached their respective thresholds. I am now watching closely to see whether the price at that moment will turn out to be the bottom.

During the previous bubble, once this threshold was exceeded, prices tended to move toward new highs. I am anticipating an upward price movement without breaking below the recent daily low of $93,000.

*The first attached chart shows the current market, while the second chart is fr
ترجمة
Ethereum Price / Open Interest / Funding RatesThe price is exhibiting sideways movements and undergoing an accumulation phase. While the price is in the accumulation phase, I am monitoring the Open Interest indicator and observing that new positions are being opened. To determine the direction of these newly opened positions, I am checking the Funding Rates indicator. I notice that traders are opening short positions. There is a Gap zone below the range structure of the price. After a drop into this Gap zone, a high level of liquidity wi

Ethereum Price / Open Interest / Funding Rates

The price is exhibiting sideways movements and undergoing an accumulation phase.

While the price is in the accumulation phase, I am monitoring the Open Interest indicator and observing that new positions are being opened.

To determine the direction of these newly opened positions, I am checking the Funding Rates indicator. I notice that traders are opening short positions.

There is a Gap zone below the range structure of the price. After a drop into this Gap zone, a high level of liquidity wi
ترجمة
TRON On-Chain Dashboard: the Data You Need to Evaluate TRON EcosystemExplore the TRON On-Chain Data Dashboard, your comprehensive tool for analyzing real-time blockchain metrics. Designed for traders, investors, and enthusiasts, this dashboard offers key insights into TRON’s ecosystem, helping you make data-driven decisions. Key Metrics & Use Cases: -Transaction & Token Flow: Track USDT transfers, token movements, and SunSwap activity to stay updated on network dynamics. -Revenue & Fees: Analyze TRON's daily fee revenue and compare it with other major blockcha

TRON On-Chain Dashboard: the Data You Need to Evaluate TRON Ecosystem

Explore the TRON On-Chain Data Dashboard, your comprehensive tool for analyzing real-time blockchain metrics. Designed for traders, investors, and enthusiasts, this dashboard offers key insights into TRON’s ecosystem, helping you make data-driven decisions.

Key Metrics & Use Cases:

-Transaction & Token Flow: Track USDT transfers, token movements, and SunSwap activity to stay updated on network dynamics.

-Revenue & Fees: Analyze TRON's daily fee revenue and compare it with other major blockcha
ترجمة
Bitcoin's Leverage Balance: Traces of Upswings and DownturnsBitcoin's Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) is a critical indicator for measuring the market's inclination toward risky positions. This ratio shows how much leverage investors are using in margin trading and provides valuable insights into market sentiment. The chart compares Bitcoin's price (USD) with the Estimated Leverage Ratio over time. During the bull run of 2021, the leverage ratio also rose rapidly. This indicates that market participants were confident in the price increase and took on mo

Bitcoin's Leverage Balance: Traces of Upswings and Downturns

Bitcoin's Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) is a critical indicator for measuring the market's inclination toward risky positions. This ratio shows how much leverage investors are using in margin trading and provides valuable insights into market sentiment.

The chart compares Bitcoin's price (USD) with the Estimated Leverage Ratio over time. During the bull run of 2021, the leverage ratio also rose rapidly. This indicates that market participants were confident in the price increase and took on mo
ترجمة
The Bull Market Is Not Over YetThe bull run coincided with increased participation in the crypto market by US entities (exchanges, banks, funds) The percentage of Bitcoin holdings by U.S. entities continues to rise relative to the percentage of holdings by non-U.S. entities Written by crypto sunmoon

The Bull Market Is Not Over Yet

The bull run coincided with increased participation in the crypto market by US entities (exchanges, banks, funds)

The percentage of Bitcoin holdings by U.S. entities continues to rise relative to the percentage of holdings by non-U.S. entities

Written by crypto sunmoon
ترجمة
Bitcoin’s Next Move: Are We Approaching a Cycle Top or Just Gaining Momentum?Bitcoin Realized Cap - UTXO Age Bands Analysis Key Observations from the Chart: Historical Peaks & Distribution Trends The previous cycle peaks (marked 1 to 5) show patterns of younger UTXOs (1d-3m) dominating at the tops. A high proportion of recently moved coins coincides with cycle tops, as seen in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Current Cycle Behavior (Point 6?) The latest increase in younger UTXOs suggests a growing participation of newer market entrants. However, we are not yet at the extreme

Bitcoin’s Next Move: Are We Approaching a Cycle Top or Just Gaining Momentum?

Bitcoin Realized Cap - UTXO Age Bands Analysis

Key Observations from the Chart:

Historical Peaks & Distribution Trends

The previous cycle peaks (marked 1 to 5) show patterns of younger UTXOs (1d-3m) dominating at the tops.

A high proportion of recently moved coins coincides with cycle tops, as seen in 2013, 2017, and 2021.

Current Cycle Behavior (Point 6?)

The latest increase in younger UTXOs suggests a growing participation of newer market entrants.

However, we are not yet at the extreme
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