比特幣成爲 2024 年表現最佳的資產比特幣在 2024 年表現出色，蓋過了黃金、股票、房地產和債券等傳統資產類別。 | 幣安廣場上的 myahis

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比特幣成爲 2024 年表現最佳的資產
比特幣在 2024 年表現出色，蓋過了黃金、股票、房地產和債券等傳統資產類別。世界上最知名的加密貨幣延續了前幾年的漲勢，在 2024 年飆升 139%，爲其市值貢獻了 2.1 萬億美元的鉅額資金。
資產類別總回報圖表。來源：Macrobond

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Anticipation for pro-crypto Trump entering office The bullish sentiment surrounding US President-elect Donald Trump's upcoming administration could also be a catalyst to ensure Bitcoin completes its cycle by reaching new highs in 2025. Much of the positive sentiment is driven by anticipated regulatory changes favoring digital assets coupled with Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler's resignation on January 20.

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Changing Dynamics in Historic Cycles Conversely, while Bitcoin has shown some synergy with previous cycles, there are certain traits of changing dynamics in the current cycle. Bitcoin has historically reached new highs, on average, one year after its halving event. This pattern was repeated in the 2015-2018 cycle, when Bitcoin's price spiked to a new peak in August 2017 after its halving in 2016. Similarly, in the 2019-2022 cycle, its price surged to new highs in November 2021, one year after its halving event in 2020. However, this trend has been altered in the current cycle after BTC hit a new ATH in March before its halving in April. This places two options before investors: Either the halving event is no longer a yardstick for Bitcoin's price trajectory, or BTC has yet to experience the post-halving growth from previous cycles. BTC/USD weekly chart (Coinbase)

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