比特幣在我們的長期冪法模型中突破了96,000美元的重要阻力位！價格發現令人着迷，下一主要阻力位在120,000美元 | 幣安廣場上的 Alphractal

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比特幣在我們的長期冪法模型中突破了96,000美元的重要阻力位！
價格發現令人着迷，下一主要阻力位在120,000美元左右。
跌破96,000美元可能會引發局部賣出動能。
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Bears are being liquidated in the short term,but resistance above 105k remains! That’s right, the recent upward movement in BTC is strongly linked to the derivatives market, and generally most leveraged positions are longs. Protect your positions by adding Stop Profit/Loss at strategic levels. Use our coupon ALTCOIN for 10% off and dominate the market. Alphractal

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🚨Bitcoin and the Open Interest Cycle: Is History Repeating Itself? When Whales Reveal Their Next Moves 🔍 The 30-day aggregated Open Interest Delta has just reached the same levels seen back in 2024 — when Bitcoin was breaking new all-time highs near $73K. 📈 A familiar pattern is emerging: alternating cycles of increase and decrease in the Open Interest Delta — what we might call Phase 1 and Phase 2. After a strong buildup of positions (positive Delta), we often see a nearly proportional drop (negative Delta), showing clear cyclical behavior in the market. 🧠 Looking at the 180-day Delta, things get even more interesting: Sharp drops often signal mass liquidations of over-leveraged long positions. When the Delta turns negative, it usually indicates a market bottom or accumulation zone. ⚠️ Right now, the 180-day Delta is on the verge of turning negative — a sign that more volatility may be coming, but also that a new consolidation phase is likely. 📊 Overall, Open Interest has not grown proportionally like it did from October 2023 to early 2024 — and again from October 2024 into early 2025. These yearly patterns may suggest a fractal behavior in investor risk appetite. 🐋 Remember: watching Open Interest across major exchanges is one of the best ways to gauge the risk appetite of large whales, as most of these positions are driven by institutional players. Visit Alphractal

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🚨 Bitcoin is in a Crucial Zone of Indecision! The Long-Term Realized Cap Impulse is a powerful metric that analyzes Realized Cap momentum, offering true on-chain insight into Bitcoin’s supply and demand dynamics. The horizontal line markers highlight curious zones of support and resistance — and right now, Bitcoin is testing a critical region. A breakout from this level would strongly signal continued demand and potential price appreciation. ⚠️But there’s an important historical observation: this same region was rejected just before the March 2020 Corona Dump, triggering a massive market selloff. In short, we’re standing at a pivotal moment. For the more cautious investor, this might be a time to watch, not act — as risk can be high in such sensitive zones. We'll revisit this post in the future to see how BTC price reacted. 🧠 Explore our FREE metrics and use the coupon ALTCOIN to get 10% OFF the Pro plan during your trial. 👉 Access now at Alphractal

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Historically, Bitcoin has been reaching its cycle tops at progressively lower multiples of the 2-year moving average (2Y SMA), signaling a gradual consolidation and reduced volatility. Initially, the peaks occurred around 2Y SMA ×15. In 2017, the top hit 2Y SMA ×10. In the 2021 cycle, it first reached 2Y SMA ×5, then dropped to 2Y SMA ×2.65. In the most recent cycle, BTC failed to surpass the 2.65× multiple again, showing a narrowing of gains and indicating a more mature and consolidated asset. Currently, the 2Y SMA ×2.65 level sits at approximately $159,000 — if Bitcoin regains momentum, this will be the major resistance to overcome. But one thing remains clear: with each new cycle, the potential to stretch gains far beyond the 2-year average is still alive, reinforcing the long-term strength of this market. 👉 Visit Alphractal now and use the coupon code ALPHA to get 10% off the PRO plan, plus a few extra days of trial access!

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📉 Short-term holders (up to 1 month) are currently out of the game... for now. Historically, these investors are strongly correlated with euphoric phases in Bitcoin — typically accumulating during rapid price surges. But today’s scenario is quite different: 🔸 Only 2.36 million BTC are held by them. 🔸 For comparison: • March 2024: 3.94M BTC • April 2021 (peak euphoria): 5.44M BTC This current level is more in line with Bear Market conditions, where sentiment is low and many are discouraged from buying BTC.😶‍🌫️ Is the market still in disbelief? 👉 Track this and other powerful metrics at Alphractal

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