Alphractal
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🎉 Black Friday Alert! 🚀
After your vote, we're excited to offer an amazing 75% discount on our Professional Plan next week!
And that’s not all – many exciting new features are coming your way soon! Get ready for even more powerful tools and insights to enhance your crypto journey.
Stay tuned – the biggest deal of the year is just around the corner!
Alphractal
After your vote, we're excited to offer an amazing 75% discount on our Professional Plan next week!
And that’s not all – many exciting new features are coming your way soon! Get ready for even more powerful tools and insights to enhance your crypto journey.
Stay tuned – the biggest deal of the year is just around the corner!
Alphractal
🚨 Stablecoin Market Cap Surpasses $211B – USDC Gains Momentum!
Since 2023, the stablecoin market has grown significantly, mainly driven by USDT (Tether). However, recently, USDC has been gaining an edge over other stablecoins.
This trend is occurring due to the recent drop in altcoins, as a large portion of the sell-offs has been converted into USDC.
An interesting point is that USDC's dominance has reached a key resistance level, the same as in 2021. If this metric continues to rise, it could be a bearish signal for the crypto market, indicating increased risk aversion. On the other hand, if it declines, it could pave the way for new market highs.
Additionally, when analyzing the stablecoin market cap excluding USDT and USDC, we can see that the rest of the market has not grown significantly since 2023, maintaining stable average values.
👉 What do you think about this movement? Are we entering a new cycle or facing more caution ahead?
Alphractal
$USDC #Stablecoins #USDT
Since 2023, the stablecoin market has grown significantly, mainly driven by USDT (Tether). However, recently, USDC has been gaining an edge over other stablecoins.
This trend is occurring due to the recent drop in altcoins, as a large portion of the sell-offs has been converted into USDC.
An interesting point is that USDC's dominance has reached a key resistance level, the same as in 2021. If this metric continues to rise, it could be a bearish signal for the crypto market, indicating increased risk aversion. On the other hand, if it declines, it could pave the way for new market highs.
Additionally, when analyzing the stablecoin market cap excluding USDT and USDC, we can see that the rest of the market has not grown significantly since 2023, maintaining stable average values.
👉 What do you think about this movement? Are we entering a new cycle or facing more caution ahead?
Alphractal
$USDC #Stablecoins #USDT
🐳Whales Are Positioning More in Longs Than Retail
Bitcoin has recovered in price and is back above $105K. Whales are more inclined toward Long positions than Retail, and according to the Whale vs Retail Ratio, whales show greater interest in ZEC, UNI, KSM, COTI, and ALICE.
However, one notable point is the large gap with low trading volume in Bitcoin between $74K and $86K. If the current recovery does not hold, we could see BTC trading within this range in the coming weeks, seeking consolidation and liquidity formation.
$BTC $ZEC $UNI #COTI #ALICE
Bitcoin has recovered in price and is back above $105K. Whales are more inclined toward Long positions than Retail, and according to the Whale vs Retail Ratio, whales show greater interest in ZEC, UNI, KSM, COTI, and ALICE.
However, one notable point is the large gap with low trading volume in Bitcoin between $74K and $86K. If the current recovery does not hold, we could see BTC trading within this range in the coming weeks, seeking consolidation and liquidity formation.
$BTC $ZEC $UNI #COTI #ALICE
4chan Isn’t the Same for Crypto Anymore?
Interest in cryptocurrencies on 4chan’s Business & Finance board has been declining, reflecting a shift in community behavior. The chart below shows the daily volume of crypto-related posts on the platform, highlighting spikes that used to align with market uptrends.
With activity dropping, discussions are likely migrating to Twitter (X), where the crypto community remains more engaged. Is alpha now on X?
Alphractal
Interest in cryptocurrencies on 4chan’s Business & Finance board has been declining, reflecting a shift in community behavior. The chart below shows the daily volume of crypto-related posts on the platform, highlighting spikes that used to align with market uptrends.
With activity dropping, discussions are likely migrating to Twitter (X), where the crypto community remains more engaged. Is alpha now on X?
Alphractal
Only 2.707% of Bitcoin addresses are at a loss!
Meanwhile, 95.2% are still in profit. This small fraction at a loss reflects purchases made above the current price.
For better insight, we can analyze the Active Supply (7d) of newly acquired BTC. Historically, this metric shows movement spikes during price tops or high volatility, indicating increased investor and institutional interest in key regions.
Alphractal.com
Meanwhile, 95.2% are still in profit. This small fraction at a loss reflects purchases made above the current price.
For better insight, we can analyze the Active Supply (7d) of newly acquired BTC. Historically, this metric shows movement spikes during price tops or high volatility, indicating increased investor and institutional interest in key regions.
Alphractal.com
📉 Bitcoin Perpetual Discount: New Historical Record
Currently, the price of Bitcoin in the Binance Perpetual market is trading at an average discount of -$55 USD compared to the Binance Spot market.
This is the largest discount ever recorded in history!
🔍 This discrepancy may reflect shifts in market sentiment, arbitrage strategies, or even highly leveraged positions putting pressure on the perpetual market.
Tracking this difference is crucial to understanding traders’ behavior and potential market imbalances.
What do you think is behind this movement?
Alphractal
#Binance $BTC
Currently, the price of Bitcoin in the Binance Perpetual market is trading at an average discount of -$55 USD compared to the Binance Spot market.
This is the largest discount ever recorded in history!
🔍 This discrepancy may reflect shifts in market sentiment, arbitrage strategies, or even highly leveraged positions putting pressure on the perpetual market.
Tracking this difference is crucial to understanding traders’ behavior and potential market imbalances.
What do you think is behind this movement?
Alphractal
#Binance $BTC
AIXBT now holds a significant amount of unsettled Shorts.
In recent days, most Long positions have been fully liquidated. However, many Shorts are now potentially in a risk zone.
Under these conditions, the best course of action is to close Short positions with profit to avoid potential future liquidation.
Alphractal
$AIXBT $BTC
In recent days, most Long positions have been fully liquidated. However, many Shorts are now potentially in a risk zone.
Under these conditions, the best course of action is to close Short positions with profit to avoid potential future liquidation.
Alphractal
$AIXBT $BTC
The 90- and 180-day Open Interest Delta is showing signs of weakness, suggesting the closure of institutional positions.
In the past, after a significant rise in these deltas followed by a weakening, Bitcoin's price has dropped by up to -50% from its peak within a few weeks.
It is crucial to monitor this daily, as continued declines may indicate an imminent reset in the cryptocurrency market, with many traders being liquidated in both Long and Short positions.
Using low leverage or even avoiding leverage in the current scenario is considered an excellent strategy to minimize risks.
Alphractal
$BTC #Openinterest #Institucional
In the past, after a significant rise in these deltas followed by a weakening, Bitcoin's price has dropped by up to -50% from its peak within a few weeks.
It is crucial to monitor this daily, as continued declines may indicate an imminent reset in the cryptocurrency market, with many traders being liquidated in both Long and Short positions.
Using low leverage or even avoiding leverage in the current scenario is considered an excellent strategy to minimize risks.
Alphractal
$BTC #Openinterest #Institucional
🎯The Most Effective Indicator for Predicting Bitcoin's Price Tops So Far - Max Intersect SMA Model
🔍 Imagine a revolutionary algorithm that combines the weighting of 3 moving averages with an offset of 17, adjusted to capture cyclical market patterns. This model uses triangular points to accurately identify the values of each market top, projecting these points onto key intersections. It calculates relative extremes, finds the best possible average, and applies precise adjustments to efficiently predict market movements.
💡 After analyzing over 2,000 moving averages — including exponential ones and offset adjustments — our team discovered what we believe to be the most accurate metric for predicting Bitcoin's price peaks. The Max Intersect SMA Model has precisely identified the tops and peak days of every Bitcoin cycle, showcasing the transformative power of data-driven analysis in redefining how we understand markets.
✨ Created by @joao_wedson (Twitter) , this innovative model is now available for you to explore free of charge for a limited time at Alphractal
🚀 Don’t miss this opportunity to master Bitcoin cycles and optimize your strategies like never before!
🔍 Imagine a revolutionary algorithm that combines the weighting of 3 moving averages with an offset of 17, adjusted to capture cyclical market patterns. This model uses triangular points to accurately identify the values of each market top, projecting these points onto key intersections. It calculates relative extremes, finds the best possible average, and applies precise adjustments to efficiently predict market movements.
💡 After analyzing over 2,000 moving averages — including exponential ones and offset adjustments — our team discovered what we believe to be the most accurate metric for predicting Bitcoin's price peaks. The Max Intersect SMA Model has precisely identified the tops and peak days of every Bitcoin cycle, showcasing the transformative power of data-driven analysis in redefining how we understand markets.
✨ Created by @joao_wedson (Twitter) , this innovative model is now available for you to explore free of charge for a limited time at Alphractal
🚀 Don’t miss this opportunity to master Bitcoin cycles and optimize your strategies like never before!
Holders of up to 1 month have decreased drastically, indicating a lack of retail interest.
The metric Holders up to 1 Month (Balance) measures the amount of Bitcoin held by new holders and effectively estimates moments of peak euphoria.
Usually, when this metric spikes and forms a top, it may indicate a temporary price peak or a flat Bitcoin price trend. Conversely, a decline signals distribution among short-term holders.
A potential consolidation or local top for Bitcoin around 110–111k is a strong possibility.
Alphractal
The metric Holders up to 1 Month (Balance) measures the amount of Bitcoin held by new holders and effectively estimates moments of peak euphoria.
Usually, when this metric spikes and forms a top, it may indicate a temporary price peak or a flat Bitcoin price trend. Conversely, a decline signals distribution among short-term holders.
A potential consolidation or local top for Bitcoin around 110–111k is a strong possibility.
Alphractal
Whales in ETH are twice as interested in Long positions compared to retail investors.
In contrast, for Bitcoin, the ratio is only 0.18, meaning the interest in Long positions is close to that of retail investors.
Leverage interest in Ethereum is notable, as it shows the highest value in the Whale vs. Retail Delta metric among various altcoins. This metric measures the interest of whales compared to retail investors in holding Long positions, potentially leading to significant volatility in the coming hours.
It is likely that this interest in Long positions stems from the need to liquidate Short positions near $3,600, where a large portion of bears will be liquidated.
Alphractal
$ETH #Long #Whales
In contrast, for Bitcoin, the ratio is only 0.18, meaning the interest in Long positions is close to that of retail investors.
Leverage interest in Ethereum is notable, as it shows the highest value in the Whale vs. Retail Delta metric among various altcoins. This metric measures the interest of whales compared to retail investors in holding Long positions, potentially leading to significant volatility in the coming hours.
It is likely that this interest in Long positions stems from the need to liquidate Short positions near $3,600, where a large portion of bears will be liquidated.
Alphractal
$ETH #Long #Whales
🌟 Size Matters: The Impact of Market Cap on Cryptocurrency Performance
Cryptocurrencies with higher Market Cap tend to be farther from their 50 or 200-day moving averages. While many investors chase new or small cryptos hoping for explosive gains, the data tells a different story.
Why do large-cap cryptos stand out?
🔸Performance and consistency: Consolidated altcoins with higher Market Cap have a more stable performance history over time.
🔸Broad community: Larger projects are supported by a solid base of investors and enthusiasts.
🔸High liquidity: This facilitates trading, reduces volatility, and provides greater security for investors.
🔸Robust projects: Typically, they have more solid development and clear objectives.
What does this mean for your strategy?
While small altcoins can offer opportunities for high returns, maintaining a balanced portfolio that includes larger cryptocurrencies with ample liquidity and strong fundamentals can yield better long-term results. Diversification is key to capturing the best of both worlds.
💡Tip: Use data to make more informed and strategic decisions. Explore more on the Alphractal Platform
#Altcoins #Smart #Crypto #Strategy
Cryptocurrencies with higher Market Cap tend to be farther from their 50 or 200-day moving averages. While many investors chase new or small cryptos hoping for explosive gains, the data tells a different story.
Why do large-cap cryptos stand out?
🔸Performance and consistency: Consolidated altcoins with higher Market Cap have a more stable performance history over time.
🔸Broad community: Larger projects are supported by a solid base of investors and enthusiasts.
🔸High liquidity: This facilitates trading, reduces volatility, and provides greater security for investors.
🔸Robust projects: Typically, they have more solid development and clear objectives.
What does this mean for your strategy?
While small altcoins can offer opportunities for high returns, maintaining a balanced portfolio that includes larger cryptocurrencies with ample liquidity and strong fundamentals can yield better long-term results. Diversification is key to capturing the best of both worlds.
💡Tip: Use data to make more informed and strategic decisions. Explore more on the Alphractal Platform
#Altcoins #Smart #Crypto #Strategy
The Selling Pressure has increased, but the Buying Pressure remains high, which could push Bitcoin’s price to the top again!
The Buy/Sell Pressure Delta is the difference between Buy and Sell Pressure, helping to spot imbalances in the market. If the delta is positive, it means buying pressure is dominating; if negative, selling pressure is stronger.
💡 Key Insights:
🔹Buy and Sell Pressure should be analyzed together to understand market dynamics.
🔹If Buy Pressure stays high for a prolonged period without a corresponding increase in Sell Pressure, it might signal the end of the uptrend.
🔹The Buy/Sell Pressure Delta is a powerful tool for predicting reversals or trend continuations, clearly highlighting when the balance of pressure might shift.
Visit Alphractal for more insights.
The Buy/Sell Pressure Delta is the difference between Buy and Sell Pressure, helping to spot imbalances in the market. If the delta is positive, it means buying pressure is dominating; if negative, selling pressure is stronger.
💡 Key Insights:
🔹Buy and Sell Pressure should be analyzed together to understand market dynamics.
🔹If Buy Pressure stays high for a prolonged period without a corresponding increase in Sell Pressure, it might signal the end of the uptrend.
🔹The Buy/Sell Pressure Delta is a powerful tool for predicting reversals or trend continuations, clearly highlighting when the balance of pressure might shift.
Visit Alphractal for more insights.
Mission accomplished: the bears have been successfully liquidated!
Additionally, Open Interest has quickly rebounded to +$68B USD, signaling an aggressive increase in smart Long positions.
When many short positions are rapidly liquidated, there is a high probability of a local top forming.
Alphractal.com
Additionally, Open Interest has quickly rebounded to +$68B USD, signaling an aggressive increase in smart Long positions.
When many short positions are rapidly liquidated, there is a high probability of a local top forming.
Alphractal.com
Four days ago, the Bulls were liquidated in BTC, and today it's the Bears' turn. A shift in sentiment is about to occur as short positions are being liquidated with each short-term upward move. Soon, long positions will once again surpass shorts, and the market will continue its cycle of Bull and Bear liquidations!
Alphractal
$BTC #Liquidation
Alphractal
$BTC #Liquidation
After significant liquidations of long positions in Ethereum, the price is now targeting short liquidations in the short term above $3300.
$ETH
$ETH
Whales and Traders: Who Really Drives the Market?
Currently, whales on exchanges are showing increased interest in short positions and closing their longs, while retail traders are steadily increasing their long positions.
The difference between whale and trader behavior is critical to understanding market movements. Prices tend to align more closely with the sentiment of whales, while traders provide the necessary liquidity for the market to function.
The Whale Position Sentiment is analyzed based on positions exceeding $1M across various exchanges, taking into account the Long/Short Ratio and Open Interest. On the other hand, Leveraged Traders Sentiment is defined by positions between $1k and $10k, which represent about 79% of the market’s main traders.
Interestingly, smaller traders are almost always on the wrong side of the market, highlighting the importance of avoiding the herd mentality.
Reflection: Monitoring whale behavior can be a more effective strategy for making informed market decisions.
Learn more at Alphractal
Currently, whales on exchanges are showing increased interest in short positions and closing their longs, while retail traders are steadily increasing their long positions.
The difference between whale and trader behavior is critical to understanding market movements. Prices tend to align more closely with the sentiment of whales, while traders provide the necessary liquidity for the market to function.
The Whale Position Sentiment is analyzed based on positions exceeding $1M across various exchanges, taking into account the Long/Short Ratio and Open Interest. On the other hand, Leveraged Traders Sentiment is defined by positions between $1k and $10k, which represent about 79% of the market’s main traders.
Interestingly, smaller traders are almost always on the wrong side of the market, highlighting the importance of avoiding the herd mentality.
Reflection: Monitoring whale behavior can be a more effective strategy for making informed market decisions.
Learn more at Alphractal
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