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🔥 比特币的牛市结束了吗？74,000 美元是 BTC 价格的顶峰吗？ Ash Crypto 最近的 X 帖子分析挑战了之前比特币峰值为 74,000 美元的观点，提供了一个基于链上指标和历史价格走势的详细论据。通过检查 MVRV Z 分数、NUPL 和 Pi Cycle Top 等关键指标，Ash Crypto 表明，在牛市期间，比特币价格的当前调整属于正常范围。 🔺 消除比特币的最大神话 与之前的市场周期相比，特别是在 2017 年和 2021 年的峰值期间分别大幅下跌 50% 和 40%，分析师强调，在达到 74,000 美元的里程碑后 45 天内，比特币经历了相对温和的 16% 的跌幅。这种对比表明，当前的低迷可能代表的是周期中期的调整，而不是牛市的顶峰。 此外，分析师强调了比特币在面对各种负面事件（通常称为 FUD（恐惧、不确定性、怀疑））时的韧性。尽管存在 Mt. Gox 抛售、FBI 警告和地缘政治紧张局势等担忧，但比特币仍保持在 60,000 美元以上的位置，表明市场潜在的实力和看涨情绪。 🔺 预期积极催化剂 展望未来，Ash Crypto 预计会有进一步的积极发展，可能推动比特币价格上涨，例如香港现货 ETF 开始交易以及澳大利亚证券交易所可能在 2024 年批准比特币 ETF。预计 FASB 规则和 2024 年预期的降息等因素将对比特币的价格走势产生积极影响。 最后，他总结说，买家不应该对短期价格变化反应过度。相反，他们应该利用当前的调整来发挥自己的优势，逐步建立自己喜欢的加密货币。这称为美元成本平均法 (DCA)。这种思维方式与更大的想法相符，即比特币的旅程远未结束，市场可能还能进一步上涨。  $BTC #BTC #BullorBear

🔥 比特币的牛市结束了吗？74,000 美元是 BTC 价格的顶峰吗？

Ash Crypto 最近的 X 帖子分析挑战了之前比特币峰值为 74,000 美元的观点，提供了一个基于链上指标和历史价格走势的详细论据。通过检查 MVRV Z 分数、NUPL 和 Pi Cycle Top 等关键指标，Ash Crypto 表明，在牛市期间，比特币价格的当前调整属于正常范围。

🔺 消除比特币的最大神话

与之前的市场周期相比，特别是在 2017 年和 2021 年的峰值期间分别大幅下跌 50% 和 40%，分析师强调，在达到 74,000 美元的里程碑后 45 天内，比特币经历了相对温和的 16% 的跌幅。这种对比表明，当前的低迷可能代表的是周期中期的调整，而不是牛市的顶峰。

此外，分析师强调了比特币在面对各种负面事件（通常称为 FUD（恐惧、不确定性、怀疑））时的韧性。尽管存在 Mt. Gox 抛售、FBI 警告和地缘政治紧张局势等担忧，但比特币仍保持在 60,000 美元以上的位置，表明市场潜在的实力和看涨情绪。

🔺 预期积极催化剂

展望未来，Ash Crypto 预计会有进一步的积极发展，可能推动比特币价格上涨，例如香港现货 ETF 开始交易以及澳大利亚证券交易所可能在 2024 年批准比特币 ETF。预计 FASB 规则和 2024 年预期的降息等因素将对比特币的价格走势产生积极影响。

最后，他总结说，买家不应该对短期价格变化反应过度。相反，他们应该利用当前的调整来发挥自己的优势，逐步建立自己喜欢的加密货币。这称为美元成本平均法 (DCA)。这种思维方式与更大的想法相符，即比特币的旅程远未结束，市场可能还能进一步上涨。 

$BTC #BTC #BullorBear

免责声明：含第三方内容，不构成财务建议，并且可能包含赞助内容。 详见《条款和条件》。
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📊 Notcoin (NOT) Price Struggles, Fails to Break Downtrend The recent surge in Telegram Coins has placed Notcoin (NOT) in the limelight, and many people have jumped to invest in it. However, after a good run, the altcoin seems to be losing its momentum, and so do the investors when it comes to bullishness. 🔸 Notcoin Is Not Recovering Notcoin’s price is currently in a downtrend, and despite an attempt to break out of it, not much has changed. The consequent shift in sentiment among NOT holders is now becoming much clearer. Nevertheless, the altcoin will be safe from falling below the support at $0.015 since the Telegram Coin’s short-term outlook is bullish. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicates that Notcoin is experiencing a bullish crossover in a short-term timeframe. This technical signal typically suggests a potential upward momentum as the MACD line crosses above the signal line, hinting at a possible increase in buying pressure and a positive shift in market sentiment for Notcoin. However, despite this bullish indicator, investors remain pessimistic about a recovery. They are leaning towards a decline, as evidenced by the negative funding rate for the first time this month. This negative funding rate implies that short contracts are prevailing in the market, with investors betting on a price drop rather than a rise. This reflects a bearish outlook despite the short-term bullish crossover indicated by the MACD. Thus, as the altcoin progresses, it might not witness a drawdown, but a rally is out of the question completely. 🔸 NOT Price Prediction: Preventing a Fall For now, Notcoin’s price is safe from losing the critical support of $0.015. It will likely move sideways under $0.018 until it gains enough momentum to chart a rally again. The downtrend line that NOT has been under for weeks now before the fake-out will come into effect again. If the Telegram Coin breaches this line, the altcoin can expect a more bullish outcome. $NOT #NOT #NotCoin
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