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September 30 Bitcoin Market Analysis
In terms of macroeconomics, the US GDP in the second quarter last week was slightly higher than expected, and PCE was in line with expectations. The attitude of Fed officials is generally expected to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year; this week, focus on the US unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls in September. The previous value of non-farm payrolls was 14.2%, and the predicted value was 14; the previous value of unemployment rate was 4.2%, and the predicted value was 4.2%. The expectation of continued interest rate cuts by the Fed will always exist, and coupled with China's release of large-scale liquidity stimulus, the trend of Bitcoin in the fourth quarter is worth looking forward to.
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
In terms of macroeconomics, the US GDP in the second quarter last week was slightly higher than expected, and PCE was in line with expectations. The attitude of Fed officials is generally expected to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year; this week, focus on the US unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls in September. The previous value of non-farm payrolls was 14.2%, and the predicted value was 14; the previous value of unemployment rate was 4.2%, and the predicted value was 4.2%. The expectation of continued interest rate cuts by the Fed will always exist, and coupled with China's release of large-scale liquidity stimulus, the trend of Bitcoin in the fourth quarter is worth looking forward to.
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
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Currency: NOT
Direction: Multi
Type: Spot
Entry price: 0.0086--0.0084 in batches, average price
0.0085
Take profit price: 0.0093--0.0098--0.011
Stop loss price: No stop loss is set for the time being
Description: NOT had a sharp rise last week, and the price gradually left the bottom area. Referring to the 4H EMA indicator and moving average, there is a relatively strong support below; there is a potential profit of 20--25% in space, so a low-buy strategy is adopted
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
Direction: Multi
Type: Spot
Entry price: 0.0086--0.0084 in batches, average price
0.0085
Take profit price: 0.0093--0.0098--0.011
Stop loss price: No stop loss is set for the time being
Description: NOT had a sharp rise last week, and the price gradually left the bottom area. Referring to the 4H EMA indicator and moving average, there is a relatively strong support below; there is a potential profit of 20--25% in space, so a low-buy strategy is adopted
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
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Is the bull market over? Not yet. Altcoins are still the main theme. Choosing the right coin will get you twice the result with half the effort!
PEPE is the old MEME leader and is still the main theme of the entire MEME narrative. There are at least 50 MEMEs around the PEPE narrative every day, if not 100.
WIF is the MEME leader of the SOL chain. The project has a first-class team in both community operation and market control.
PEPE and WIF have already come out of the main uptrend. There is a high probability that there will be no callback. The liquidity was too dispersed some time ago, and the entire market was blooming everywhere. The National Day period is definitely a time period for some old MEMEs to exert their strength!
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
PEPE is the old MEME leader and is still the main theme of the entire MEME narrative. There are at least 50 MEMEs around the PEPE narrative every day, if not 100.
WIF is the MEME leader of the SOL chain. The project has a first-class team in both community operation and market control.
PEPE and WIF have already come out of the main uptrend. There is a high probability that there will be no callback. The liquidity was too dispersed some time ago, and the entire market was blooming everywhere. The National Day period is definitely a time period for some old MEMEs to exert their strength!
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
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Market review:
1D, it broke the bottom and turned around. Although the starting point is a second buy, it is not a divergence, and it is the center of gravity moving down. The trend has no divergence, so it is a small turn to a big one.
As mentioned before, there are several types of main rising waves, ranked by the difficulty of operation: three buy consolidation evolution trend, strong two buy trend turning confirmation, and one buy bottom pin strong start. But I didn’t mention the fourth type: news triggers a small turn to a big upright pole.
For traders, the three buy main rising wave is the main operation point. The two buys are divided into situations. If you don’t do it well, it is easy to fall into the center. The one buy main rising wave is very difficult to operate. Even if you succeed, you will experience multiple trial positions and stop losses.
When it comes to the small turn to a big main rising wave, it is almost impossible to operate. Unless you are a left-side flying knife, it is difficult to operate at the right point.
So, what I want to say is that for technical traders, this type of market is a trend type that is likely to be abandoned, but it does not mean that they cannot intervene. There will be opportunities for subsequent small-level two or three purchases, and the profit and loss ratio may not be as high as before. If you want to know specific opportunities and specific decisions, pay attention to the public account: Shasha said that the block has good certainty.
Therefore, qualified traders should think clearly about which trends they can and cannot do, know where the boundaries of their abilities are, and only do transactions that they can understand.
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
1D, it broke the bottom and turned around. Although the starting point is a second buy, it is not a divergence, and it is the center of gravity moving down. The trend has no divergence, so it is a small turn to a big one.
As mentioned before, there are several types of main rising waves, ranked by the difficulty of operation: three buy consolidation evolution trend, strong two buy trend turning confirmation, and one buy bottom pin strong start. But I didn’t mention the fourth type: news triggers a small turn to a big upright pole.
For traders, the three buy main rising wave is the main operation point. The two buys are divided into situations. If you don’t do it well, it is easy to fall into the center. The one buy main rising wave is very difficult to operate. Even if you succeed, you will experience multiple trial positions and stop losses.
When it comes to the small turn to a big main rising wave, it is almost impossible to operate. Unless you are a left-side flying knife, it is difficult to operate at the right point.
So, what I want to say is that for technical traders, this type of market is a trend type that is likely to be abandoned, but it does not mean that they cannot intervene. There will be opportunities for subsequent small-level two or three purchases, and the profit and loss ratio may not be as high as before. If you want to know specific opportunities and specific decisions, pay attention to the public account: Shasha said that the block has good certainty.
Therefore, qualified traders should think clearly about which trends they can and cannot do, know where the boundaries of their abilities are, and only do transactions that they can understand.
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
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Very good~ This morning's pullback cleared $900 million of BTC futures total open interest from highs in one go. It seems that the bulls are really fat!
The price fell by less than $2,000, and the open interest fell by nearly $1 billion. On average, for every $1 drop, there was a $500,000 futures liquidation. This number was about $400,000 when the price plummeted on August 5;
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
The price fell by less than $2,000, and the open interest fell by nearly $1 billion. On average, for every $1 drop, there was a $500,000 futures liquidation. This number was about $400,000 when the price plummeted on August 5;
#HMSTR开盘 #非农就业数据即将公布 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
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BTC is falling, but most altcoins are not following it, and many of them are still seeing strong inflows!
Is the altcoin bull market really coming?
#非农就业数据即将公布 #HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
Is the altcoin bull market really coming?
#非农就业数据即将公布 #HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高
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CarryTrade is not a question of speculation or not, but a real issue of capital flow. The reason why we think the market is speculating on this issue is mainly because no one can accurately understand how much liquidity from the Japanese yen has been injected into the global market.
Therefore, how to judge whether all carry trades are closed? The easiest way is to look at the exchange rate of the Japanese yen against the US dollar. When the Japanese yen rebounds to the level of 2020-2022, it is almost done...
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
Therefore, how to judge whether all carry trades are closed? The easiest way is to look at the exchange rate of the Japanese yen against the US dollar. When the Japanese yen rebounds to the level of 2020-2022, it is almost done...
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
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btc
Bitcoin is patiently waiting for the surge to come,
Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of the year!
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
Bitcoin is patiently waiting for the surge to come,
Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of the year!
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
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If I were to make the most subjective prediction, it would be that BTC is bullish, but alts will have a dead cat bounce, or in other words, if there is a bull market next, alts will still perform significantly worse than BTC, perhaps more significantly than at the beginning of the year.
However, I thought from the beginning that the alts weekly MACD would not form a golden cross, but next week it should be slapped in the face
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
However, I thought from the beginning that the alts weekly MACD would not form a golden cross, but next week it should be slapped in the face
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
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Cz's first post after Ping An said that the direction of future investment is charity and education. The ambush hook in September was precisely because he predicted that Cz would pay attention to the education direction in the future.
The hook of Binance's education sector is worth considering in terms of potential and cost-effectiveness. The wind has come, and the next step is to wait patiently for the market to explode.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
The hook of Binance's education sector is worth considering in terms of potential and cost-effectiveness. The wind has come, and the next step is to wait patiently for the market to explode.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
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短线（和悦）交易纪律：
1、现价开仓不超过5%；
2、回调时严格按补仓点位分批低吸5%，下跌动能确认减弱以及在某个时段获取支撑后，再实时补仓一次5-10%，点位不到不可随意补仓；
3、总仓位超过20%后，必须第一时间设止盈，按照第一、第二止盈目标严格执行，平仓后不可快速反复进场，等待下一次交易机会；
4、实时关注强平点位，强化风控意识，犹豫不决时多问多听取建议，杜绝盲目下决策
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
1、现价开仓不超过5%；
2、回调时严格按补仓点位分批低吸5%，下跌动能确认减弱以及在某个时段获取支撑后，再实时补仓一次5-10%，点位不到不可随意补仓；
3、总仓位超过20%后，必须第一时间设止盈，按照第一、第二止盈目标严格执行，平仓后不可快速反复进场，等待下一次交易机会；
4、实时关注强平点位，强化风控意识，犹豫不决时多问多听取建议，杜绝盲目下决策
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
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1. The definition of price fluctuations is different in different time windows. The daily or weekly retracement is a one-sided decline in the time-sharing window. (This also explains why some people think it is a "waterfall" market when the price only drops by 2-3 points.)
2. The general principle is: look at the big and do the small. A 4-hour retracement usually means a short arrangement in the time-sharing window. At this time, you need to look for oversold signals, divergence + structural support in the filter.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
2. The general principle is: look at the big and do the small. A 4-hour retracement usually means a short arrangement in the time-sharing window. At this time, you need to look for oversold signals, divergence + structural support in the filter.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美联储11月降息预期升温
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BTC, if it is confirmed on the weekly chart that it is golden cross on the water, and it also maintains a good bullish trend on the monthly chart, if this wave of bullish trend goes smoothly, 80k should be a reasonable estimate, and 80k or more is a bonus for everyone, if there is, you must grasp it well.
If the big bull returns, guessing the top may not make much sense.
80k, 120k, 200k? Why not, anyway, my strategy is to confirm the end of the bull market and then clear the position, the top may not be guessed if it is not important.
When the bull market ends, you have to leave, just like what you did in April this year, just escape the top again.
If you hold for a long time, you will know from the experience of the past six months that there will be no eternal bull market.
I don’t plan to sell at the most. If you want to know the specific opportunities and specific decisions, pay attention to the public: Shasha said the block high point, buy at the lowest point.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期
If the big bull returns, guessing the top may not make much sense.
80k, 120k, 200k? Why not, anyway, my strategy is to confirm the end of the bull market and then clear the position, the top may not be guessed if it is not important.
When the bull market ends, you have to leave, just like what you did in April this year, just escape the top again.
If you hold for a long time, you will know from the experience of the past six months that there will be no eternal bull market.
I don’t plan to sell at the most. If you want to know the specific opportunities and specific decisions, pay attention to the public: Shasha said the block high point, buy at the lowest point.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期
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September and October are seen as important opportunities in the cryptocurrency market, because historical bull markets are usually accompanied by a rebound in altcoins, and the starting point of the current round of altcoin bull markets is these two months. Today, many altcoins have fallen by 90%, and the trends of many altcoins have begun to become independent, showing the potential for a rebound. This means that seizing this opportunity may bring rich returns for investments in the next two years.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期
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In recent weeks, the REEF project has performed impressively, with weekly levels rising for five consecutive weeks. The following is a simple analysis of the project by Sasha:
Long-term view
- Bearish: The REEF project has performed poorly in terms of on-chain interaction and user retention, and basically has no real value. The current increase is more like the manipulation of the capital plate and has nothing to do with the value of the project itself. Therefore, in the long run, REEF is considered a bubble project that may eventually collapse.
Short-term view
- Short selling is not recommended: Although bearish in the long term, short selling is not recommended in the short term. Since August 26, the price of REEF has risen for four consecutive weeks, with an increase of more than 10 times. On-chain data shows that the number of addresses holding the top 100 coins has not decreased for several months, indicating that the main funds are still present and there is no sign of shipment.
Technical analysis
- Shrinking rise: REEF has been rising in shrinking volume, the selling pressure is not strong, and the possibility of a callback is not great.
- Contract funding rate: Most of the time it is negative, indicating that retail investors are in high mood for short selling. The main force may continue to push up prices and harvest shorts.
Summary
- Short-term strategy: follow the trend and be bullish, patiently wait for the main force to ship or the signal of price surge. Then consider long-term short selling. At present, it is recommended to continue to observe market dynamics and be cautious in dealing with the risk of capital plate explosion.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期
Long-term view
- Bearish: The REEF project has performed poorly in terms of on-chain interaction and user retention, and basically has no real value. The current increase is more like the manipulation of the capital plate and has nothing to do with the value of the project itself. Therefore, in the long run, REEF is considered a bubble project that may eventually collapse.
Short-term view
- Short selling is not recommended: Although bearish in the long term, short selling is not recommended in the short term. Since August 26, the price of REEF has risen for four consecutive weeks, with an increase of more than 10 times. On-chain data shows that the number of addresses holding the top 100 coins has not decreased for several months, indicating that the main funds are still present and there is no sign of shipment.
Technical analysis
- Shrinking rise: REEF has been rising in shrinking volume, the selling pressure is not strong, and the possibility of a callback is not great.
- Contract funding rate: Most of the time it is negative, indicating that retail investors are in high mood for short selling. The main force may continue to push up prices and harvest shorts.
Summary
- Short-term strategy: follow the trend and be bullish, patiently wait for the main force to ship or the signal of price surge. Then consider long-term short selling. At present, it is recommended to continue to observe market dynamics and be cautious in dealing with the risk of capital plate explosion.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国8月核心PCE创4月以来新高 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期
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Why after making a lot of money, I like to go to the mountains to calm down and empty my position!
Generally, after making a lot of money in a market, I like to go to the mountains to calm down, or find a temple to meditate, or go on a trip to relax for a while, reorganize my thoughts, review my transactions and investments, and start again.
Today I will briefly talk about the reasons here. In fact, a reasonable explanation can be drawn from the laws of market changes. After the market has undergone a large spatial change, its momentum will often be exhausted, and it will either stop falling or stagnate in rising.
At this time, the law of change will change from trend to shock or trend reversal. Traders are often not easy to withdraw at this time, commonly known as "egoism". Trading thinking is still in the inertial thinking, thinking that the market can continue to rise or fall, and start to isolate or ignore the corresponding bad news and good news with selective bias, and ignore the data advice of peers. Then, according to the inherent trading thinking, open a position, and then there will be continuous losses.
Today I will briefly talk about the reasons here. In fact, a reasonable explanation can be drawn from the laws of market changes. After the market has undergone a large spatial change, its momentum will often be exhausted, and it will either stop falling or stagnate in rising.
At this time, the law of change will change from trend to shock or trend reversal. Traders are often not easy to withdraw at this time, commonly known as "egoism". Trading thinking is still in the inertial thinking, thinking that the market can continue to rise or fall, and start to isolate or ignore the corresponding bad news and good news with selective bias, and ignore the data advice of peers. Then, according to the inherent trading thinking, open a position, and then there will be continuous losses.
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Not only did ORDI soar, but the ORDI/BTC exchange rate also soared.
Not only did the inscription track soar, but the increase far exceeded BTC.
#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #HMSTR开盘 #美联储11月降息预期升温
Not only did the inscription track soar, but the increase far exceeded BTC.
#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #HMSTR开盘 #美联储11月降息预期升温
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Floki has always emphasized that once the oscillation range is broken, the rise will accelerate. At present, a 20cm big positive line is directly arranged. The spot I bought before has been trapped for two months and is about to be released. I am so happy!
#HMSTR开盘 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #你有多少HMSTR？
#HMSTR开盘 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #你有多少HMSTR？
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When the spring river water warms up, the ducks eat first. Bitcoin ETFs are basically flowing in. The big ones are coming!
#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #HMSTR开盘 #你有多少HMSTR？
#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #HMSTR开盘 #你有多少HMSTR？
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I copied it. Before ETH really gets stronger, it is the best strategy for e-chain to be a band dog.
#HMSTR开盘 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #你有多少HMSTR？
#HMSTR开盘 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #你有多少HMSTR？
