FOMC hawks spread their wings, market expectations of rate cuts suddenly changed

FOMC minutes showed that Fed officials were increasingly concerned about inflation at recent meetings, and members said they lacked confidence in pushing for rate cuts.

Some participants expressed uncertainty about how restrictive the policy needed to be. The minutes pointed out that many officials believed that the Fed's monetary policy was restrictive, but the specific extent of its impact on the economy was unclear.

Some participants said they were ready to tighten policy further if risks to the outlook emerged and action was needed. In addition, participants pointed out that it might take longer than expected to be more confident that inflation can continue to move toward the 2% target.

Nevertheless, members remain confident that inflation will eventually fall to the long-term goal of 2%.

According to CME's Fed Watch tool, the market expects the Fed will not cut interest rates in June or July, and there is a 37% chance of maintaining current policy in September.

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