Whether it is spot or contract, there are K-line charts. Remember these most effective trading tips I have summarized:

Rapid rise and slow fall is shipment,

Rapid fall and slow rise is wash-out.

If the volume does not rise, the top is visible,

If the volume does not fall, the bottom is formed.

If the volume rises, it will definitely fall back,

If the volume falls, it will definitely rebound!

#新币挖矿 #sui #SHIB #WIF

Why is the market going short? Current information shows that many are betting on Trump's victory, and major media and consulting websites are actively discussing it, generally optimistic about the market. They believe Trump's chances of winning are high, and the crypto market will rise significantly. However, there is a huge potential risk, which is the policies he may adopt after taking office, especially the risk of war.
Looking back at the past, every time the market is filled with positive news, the results often turn out to be the opposite, and the market experiences a significant downturn. Just like at the beginning of the last bear market, there was hardly any negative news in the market, creating a false sense of prosperity, but the bubble burst at the slightest touch. This phenomenon has been seen many times in history; every market bubble burst has caused significant losses for investors.
Based on the information I have collected so far, including some institutional movements, retail investors hold very few coins, and most have already sold off. Moreover, there are very few retail investors buying or holding in large amounts at this price level. This may be because they have lost confidence in the market or because they can no longer bear the market's volatility.
Meanwhile, bullish sentiment in the futures and options markets is high, and funding rates are abnormal; even at such high levels, the rates remain positive. If the data is accurate, then many will face liquidation. This time, not only the options and futures markets but also a large amount of lending will face liquidation. Does everyone remember the last large-scale liquidation when many large holders had to sell off assets to pay off debts? It was a seismic event in the financial markets, and many investors suffered heavy losses. BTC4390

#11月市场预测 #美国大选后涨或跌？

CZ stated during an interview at the main venue of the Dubai Binance Blockchain Week on October 31, 2024: I cannot predict the future, but I can analyze history; from a historical perspective, Bitcoin has experienced a very clear four-year cycle.
2013 and 2017 were the first and second rounds of the major bull market in the crypto space.
But in reality, 2012 was a 'recovery year,' which many people do not trace back to.
2016 was also a 'recovery year,' and 2017 saw a significant rise.
2020 was similarly a 'recovery year,' and 2021 was the third round of a major bull market.
Therefore, based on the current analysis, 2024 should also be a 'recovery year.' As for whether 2025 will be the fourth wave of the major bull market in the crypto space, that question is left for everyone to imagine.
When a big shot speaks, there is depth; it seems like nothing has been said, yet everything has been said; the key lies in each person's interpretation, as the saying goes: vague correctness is the closest to the essence.
I wonder how everyone views this first public sharing by CZ after his return; what are your thoughts? Feel free to comment.

#BTC市占率新高 #你问我答 #比特币矿工收入飙升

The election market undoubtedly has two scenarios:

1. Trump wins and directly skyrockets to a new high.

2. Trump loses, the market manipulators use the topic to crash the market, retracing 20-50% and then violently rising again.

The corresponding approach is very simple: first, ensure you are in the market, and second, have funds available to average down!

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #比特币矿工收入飙升 #BNB季度销毁

Although the market is pulling back, I am not worried at all.

After all, the market is there, and Bitcoin has already started a new round of upward trend, only experiencing a consolidation adjustment near its previous high.

Is Ethereum weak? If Ethereum were weak, it should be constantly breaking new lows, with lower lows being established,

But has such a situation occurred? No, on the contrary, since Ethereum stopped falling on August 5, each subsequent low during the pullbacks has been higher.

It has pulled back again in recent days, but so what? Each drop's low has been rising, indicating that the bearish forces are becoming weaker, merely the final struggle of the bears.

To put it nicely, it's the bears struggling; to put it bluntly, it's the main force taking advantage of those who do not know how to read the market, deliberately dropping prices to scare the retail investors, wanting to shake them off completely before the final surge begins.

#美联储利率决议来袭 #美国大选后涨或跌？

2024 Market Summary: The Road to Bull Market, Holding Steady is the Key!
1. Market Cycle is Clear: The lifespan of a market cycle is about four years, ticking like a clock through highs and lows. Look at 16-17, 20-21, and now the upcoming 24-25, it feels like a market 'four-year cycle' ritual. It’s this regular, hold on for the 'next bull market'!
2. Long-term Holding = The Secret to Big Money: Especially at the beginning of a bull market, when the cycle has just started, it’s the best layout period for long-term players! Don’t think about frequently cutting losses, the bull market has just arrived, the best observation posture is to be as steady as a mountain!
3. Major Bull Coins: Exploding is just a matter of time! Those major bull coins deeply trapped in 'underestimation', no matter how quiet they are right now, as long as you dare to hold on, they will eventually take off! When the market arrives, those 'buried' coins often give you surprises.
4. Don't Randomly Compare Small Coins, Stick with Mainstream Coins: Most small coins end up not outperforming mainstream coins; going back and forth isn’t as good as firmly grabbing a 'big cake'. Small coins can fluctuate in the short term, but sometimes if you’re not careful, you may fall into 'infinite holding' mode.
5. Bull Market Regrets Often Come from Not Holding Rather Than Not Buying! Looking back in a bull market, most people's regrets are not 'not buying', but 'selling too early'. Only by holding out until the end can you enjoy those 'aftershocks' of glory that belong to the bull market!
6. 'The Bull Market Nobody Believes In' is the Real Bull Market: Before a bull market arrives, it’s always silent. When those around you are not optimistic, it’s often a precursor to the onset of a bull market! Don’t be fooled by market appearances, when calm voices dominate the market, it’s time to quietly hold on to your chips.

#美国大选后行情预测 #比特币矿工收入飙升

Shanzhai Aspect

Once Shanzhai coins start to fall, there often seems to be no bottom. Sometimes, we set stop losses to protect ourselves from systemic crashes. Many times, after a period of consolidation, the trend may continue to decline, so we need to prioritize controlling drawdowns and preserving capital.
The current market for Bitcoin is different from before because the forces participating in the game have become more complex and professional. The entry of Wall Street's BlackRock and Fidelity means a more professional 'scythe' has arrived.
It's like being caught with meat in the jaws of a wolf; you need to escape quickly before it strikes.
A stop loss is actually a form of the ability to admit mistakes; recognizing mistakes in a timely manner means bowing to the market. Only if you are willing to bow will your wallet be lifted.

#非农就业人数大幅降温 #美国大选后涨或跌？ #你问我答

October employment data is weak, expectations for interest rate cuts are increasing

The U.S. non-farm payrolls for October released last night showed an increase of 12,000 jobs, far below the market expectation of 113,000, but slightly higher than Bloomberg's pessimistic forecast of 10,000; the U.S. unemployment rate in October was 4.1%, in line with expectations and unchanged from the previous value.
However, upon closer inspection, the 4.1% unemployment rate for both September and October are rounded numbers, with September's actual rate being 4.05% and October's at 4.14%, indicating that the unemployment rate actually increased by 0.09% month-over-month in October.
This suggests that the job market is indeed becoming weaker, although this weakness is partially attributed to one-time factors such as hurricanes and strikes, it will still strengthen the market's expectations for interest rate cuts.
CME interest rate futures show that expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November and a continued rate cut in December have both increased, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in November rising from 91% to 99.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut by December increasing from 69.4% to 82.1%.
Overall, the employment data released yesterday for October has reinforced expectations for interest rate cuts without leading to recession expectations, which is considered a good outcome for the cryptocurrency market.
After the correction in November, there will be a rise; this is the main trading thought, the law of the beginning of each month has started, and now I feel that the extent of the decline is still an unknown, 68000? Hold it? If it doesn't hold, there is a chance to drop to 64k. Our overall strategy only allocates within 30% of chips because we believe that a deeper pullback can lead to a higher rise. According to BTC's inertia, its retracement percentages usually fall within these values, and it should not fall more than 20%, making it likely to be a bottom price [based on the 68500 breakdown, later inferred from the upper points; these are all left-side spot points that can be added. JQLT0192 #美国大选后行情预测 #非农就业人数大幅降温 #BNB季度销毁

Compared to the previous NFT bull market, this round of "finding angles" is a bit lacking. Stars like Jay Chou, Stephen Chow, and Yi Nengjing are all issuing NFPs. This round's MEME is like Elon Musk's early circle of friends.

In fact, this round is somewhat similar to the capital influx wave for SOL at the beginning of the year, where projects posted by people followed by the BOME founder ended up doing well. As long as the project is reasonably well-made, it's easy to raise several thousand SOL.
This also indicates that this track is heading downhill. I believe that if the next track for SOLANA isn't impressive enough, it might fade away like those AI imitations and artworks—coming quickly and leaving just as fast.
Another point is whether Binance will continue to support MEME. I think it depends on whether any coins emerge. The logic for listing coins is basically about grabbing users and transferring fees, but currently, it seems that the MEME model like this isn't sustainable. Therefore, Mu Mu believes that this period should not see further developments (but if there are different opinions, feel free to leave a comment), unless we get another top narrative like GOAT with a top-tier background.
BTC4390

#美国大选后行情预测 #市场关注美国非农数据

Attention to Non-Farm Payroll Data Release:
Tonight, the non-farm payroll data will be released, and the United States will announce the non-farm employment data for October. The current market median estimate is an addition of 140,000 jobs in October, down from 254,000 in September. Let's take a look at the following possible scenarios!
Above Expectations:
If the non-farm data exceeds the expected addition of 140,000 jobs, it may indicate that the employment market in the U.S. remains strong. This could boost market confidence in the U.S. economy, leading to a rise in the dollar's value, putting pressure on the prices of precious metals such as gold and silver, and potentially increasing market expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
In Line with Expectations:
If the data is roughly in line with the market expectation of an addition of 140,000 jobs, this may be seen as the economy being in a relatively stable state. The market's reaction may be relatively mild, but it will still interpret and react further based on the specific details of the data, such as the unemployment rate, average hourly earnings, and other indicators.
Below Expectations:
If the data falls below expectations, it may suggest a slowdown in the growth of the employment market in the U.S. or indicate some issues. This could raise concerns in the market about the U.S. economic outlook, leading to a weakening of the dollar, while the prices of safe-haven assets such as gold and silver may rise. Additionally, the market may anticipate that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more accommodative monetary policy.

#市场关注美国非农数据 #TIA超大额解锁

First of all, Ethereum and SOL have some differences in their public chains these days. A comparison would be like comparing 100-meter hurdle runners with 100-meter sprinters.

Ethereum is undoubtedly the pioneer of smart contracts, including the great achievements of DeFi and a very mature ecosystem, as well as the innovative attempts of integrating Web2 with NFTs in the last cycle, including a series of new conceptual plays like the Metaverse.

Looking at Solana, it focuses on 'high-performance L1'. Although the previous SBF incident brought significant impact to SOL, after some time, the on-chain data is still performing very well! Whether it's from the activity of on-chain Memes or the development of new narrative concepts like PayFi and Depin, it can be considered a benchmark.

Both chains are excellent when discussed separately, but comparing them together leads to meaningless sophistry. For example: SOL has an active Meme scene continuously attracting players, while Ethereum has a complete DeFi infrastructure, with most having completed the commercial loop. How can we compare MEME?

Another example: Solana might say that Ethereum's layer 2 is performing poorly, leaving VCs, yield farmers, and users in despair about their future. On the other hand, Ethereum can argue that Solana is merely competing with the top layer 2s, not even on the same level as Ethereum. You see, no matter how we compare, it all feels wrong.

For instance: Ethereum is a major city with many skyscrapers and has built a lot of satellite cities. Now, the users and traffic in the satellite cities have decreased a bit. Solana has built an externally modernized, highly intelligent city, which is smaller in scale but feels vibrant. Can you say that Ethereum will definitely lose and Solana will definitely win?

BTC4390
#sol板块 #ETH收益

The following key events will determine the direction of the future market:

- On November 1st, the U.S. unemployment rate data (good or bad for recession) \ Apple Inc. earnings report.
- The U.S. presidential election will be held in two weeks, and if Trump wins, it will be a major positive for cryptocurrencies.
- On November 8th, the Federal Reserve's second interest rate cut (currently likely a 25 basis point cut).
- On-chain indicators continue to show bullish signs, with the TVL (Total Value Locked), trading volume, and active address count of Base and Solana all on the rise.
- Stripe has just acquired Bridge, a stablecoin payment platform. In the long term, many underestimate its positive impact on cryptocurrencies.
- AI x Meme is an emerging field that could become the 'NFT' of this cycle, attracting more retail users.
Market sentiment is recovering, and optimism is returning.

#美国大选前行情观察 #战火将如何牵动加密市场？ #加密货币市场持续震荡

GOAT will be listed on OKX Perpetual

I don't know when it will start
Now the outside world has become
a popular method of listing only contracts and not spot currencies?

#GOATs #美国大选前行情观察 #比特币挖矿难度创历史新高 #盘整行情分析

Can Aleo's coin price replicate Filecoin's trend?

In previous analyses, it has been compared to Filecoin, with the same star-studded background, and surprisingly, even the project rhythm is identical. In 2020, after the Filecoin mainnet finally launched in October, miners faced a long 5-month dark period; the large number of staked coins made it difficult for miners, as not buying coins meant their machines would stop, and buying coins was too costly, with no lending solutions offered by the project team. Miners hoped to buy staked coins at low prices while fearing the coin price would indeed drop. This led to increasing resistance in the community, and I even organized a protest group at that time. However, as the project progressed, miners realized that the existence of staked coins actually reduced a significant amount of selling pressure. Due to the low circulation, the coin price rode the wave of a major market trend, reaching $236 in April 2021, with early entrants who persevered making a fortune.

Looking at Aleo, it also launched around a similar timeframe, and recently, due to the continuous decline in coin price, some high-power mining machines are facing shutdowns. Moreover, the project team announced algorithm modifications, completely shattering the mining space for low-end cards, leading to widespread complaints in various mining groups. However, through previous analyses, we found that modifying the algorithm was not a hasty decision; the goal was to lay a solid foundation early in the mainnet. Currently, the project’s advancement and media promotion are all proceeding normally, so as long as liquidity flows into altcoins, Aleo still has the hope of replicating Filecoin's trend. Furthermore, Aleo secured $298 million in financing back in 2022, and after 2 years of waiting for the mainnet launch, the VC big shots not only haven't made money, but the tokens are also locked for 1 year. If they don’t leverage the market to make a profit, how can they recoup their investment? Can the big shots' money be easily lost?
So, how much do you think Aleo's coin price will rise in this bull market? You can let me know in the comments. BTC4390

#Aleo #美国大选前行情观察 #ETHBTC汇率新低 #特斯拉Q3比特币持仓不变 #盘整行情分析

$NEIRO Today, I will analyze this coin for everyone. This coin is controlled by the market maker.

In this case, since the market maker already possesses a large number of chips, they may no longer need to accumulate further in the low price range.

Due to the market maker's significant holdings, this coin may exhibit relatively high price stability, as the market maker will strive to maintain the price within a favorable range for themselves.

However, this does not mean that the price will not fluctuate; the market maker may create price volatility by manipulating the market, in order to sell at high points or accumulate at low points (although in this case, the demand for accumulation at low points may be lower).

The collaboration with DWF may be a strategy for market promotion or project development, aimed at enhancing the visibility and value of this coin.

Such collaboration may attract more investors and trading volume, thereby providing the market maker with better selling opportunities.

Now just follow the market maker's intentions and wait for the explosive price increase to sell!

#Neiro上币安了 #特斯拉Q3比特币持仓不变 #美SEC主席祝贺比特币白皮书16周年 #比特币挖矿难度创历史新高

The big pullback is here, which cryptocurrencies are worth buying the dip?

1. Meme Coin Series
Pepe: Unique image, strong community support, worth paying attention to during pullbacks. Bonk: Humorous marketing tactics, market value may be underestimated, but potential is unlimited. Floki: Celebrity effect, many fans, long-term holding may bring value back.
2. Ethereum Ecosystem Coins
Uni: Leader of decentralized exchanges, stable position, market fluctuations do not affect long-term potential. Ldo: Unique liquidity mining, low market cap but strong liquidity, worth paying attention to. Ssv, Pendle, etc.: Each has its own characteristics in the Ethereum ecosystem, touching on finance and mining.
3. Solana Ecosystem Coins
Ray: Decentralized stablecoin protocol, strong competitiveness, great growth potential after the pullback. Jup, Jto: Rising stars in the Solana ecosystem, capable in both finance and gaming.
4. AI Sector Coins
Fet: Leader in decentralized AI data market, strong capabilities, great growth potential. Arkm: Provides intelligent investment solutions for the crypto market using AI technology, professional and reliable.
BTC4390

#币安上线SCR现货 #SEC批准多支比特币ETF期权 #牛市赛道是那条？ #YGG、ADA、ENA解锁

The Ten Iron Rules for Newbies in the Crypto World, Remember This!
1. In a bull market, popular coins that have been heavily speculated tend to drop the fastest. Especially those with severe market control, their bubbles burst quickly; the more people chase them, the more dangerous it becomes. Like blowing up a balloon, if you blow it too big, it will eventually pop.
2. The tricks of altcoins are generally similar: first, they are heavily dumped, then slowly pushed up, only to be harvested again in a different way. This is how altcoins operate, so be mentally prepared.
3. The long-term trend of the market is upward. If you look at the long-term timeline, the curve of the crypto world is actually relatively stable. Short-term fluctuations are normal; in the long run, it generally rises slowly.
4. Potential coins are often not speculated on. Truly promising coins usually remain low-key and unnoticed at the bottom, while those discreet coins quietly rise, like C98 and LEVER.
5. Be cautious with newly listed coins on exchanges. Avoid coins that skyrocket and plummet; these are usually traps set by market makers, and entering will lead to losses.
6. Price fluctuations are common. If you buy, the price drops; if you sell, the price rises. This is very normal in the crypto world. If you can't handle this level of volatility, you really need to practice more.
7. The strongest rebounds do not necessarily indicate potential. The coins that rebound the hardest are often not the ones with potential, but those that are speculated upon. Don’t be misled by appearances; truly potential coins have relatively stable fluctuations.
8. Be careful of being cut when there's a sudden pullback. If you buy a coin and it rises, then suddenly pulls back, the market makers may be starting to sell; be careful not to get cut.
9. Coins that perform poorly in the first half may explode in the second half. In a bull market, coins that have shown mediocre performance early on may multiply in the latter half; they are like marathon runners, exerting effort in the later stages.
10. Coins that have been stagnant for months may burst. In a bull market, some coins can experience multiple times the rise and still remain stagnant for months; they are likely waiting for the next wave of explosion, so you need to keep a close eye on these coins. If your operations are not going well and you feel confused, remember two things:
First, you must act decisively;
Second, stay online and respond quickly when news comes in!

#YGG、ADA、ENA解锁 #APE暴涨 #币安上线SCR现货 #比特币全网算力创新高