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6 aylık #Ethereum   tasfiye seviyesi, Long'ların çoğunluğunun tasfiye edilmediğini gösteriyor. Bu arada, aylık seviye trader'ların Kısa pozisyonları sürdürme konusunda iyimser olduklarını gösteriyor. Volatilite kapıda
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🚀Market Recovery Update🚀 After a significant decline in cryptocurrency prices, the market has partially recovered, with the Total Crypto Market Cap now reaching $2.2 trillion USD.🌟 Altcoins in the following categories appear to have hit a local bottom and are currently experiencing a positive recovery: 🔹Payment 🔹Proof of Work 🔹Fan Tokens 🔹Cardano Ecosystem 📈Stay tuned for more updates!

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🚨 Interest in Short Positions on Bitfinex for BTC and ETH Hits Historic Lows! Historically, when long positions on Bitfinex increase rapidly, the market tends to decline. For BTC, we observe a strong inverse correlation: an increase in long positions generally leads to a decrease in price. Since March 2024, long positions have risen to 62,570 BTC, compared to only 418.5 BTC in short positions. This represents an impressive difference of 149 times in favor of longs. In the case of ETH, the situation is quite different. Until 2022, there was a closer balance between long and short positions. However, since then, short positions have drastically decreased relative to longs. Interestingly, in 2021, when short positions surpassed long positions, ETH marked the cycle tops. Currently, there are 63,860 ETH in long positions versus 3,334 ETH in short positions, a difference of approximately 19 times. While most exchanges show a higher volume of long positions, the ongoing increase in long positions on Bitfinex could indicate potential price declines and forced liquidations of traders. On the flip side, a price correction could signal a great opportunity for the cryptocurrency market! Stay alert and monitor the changes to seize the best opportunities! Twitter ('X'): @Alphractal $BTC $ETH

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⚠️Probability of a Global Economic Recession and Risks for Cryptocurrencies Assessing the probability of a global recession involves analyzing indicators like GDP, inverted yield curve, unemployment rate, consumer confidence, and inflation. Declines in international trade 🌍 and stock markets are also important signals. However, today we will focus on specific metrics: - Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 🌐: Moderate Risk (upward trend, indicating global uncertainty). - Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the US 🇺🇸: Moderate Risk (high volatility, similar to 2007-2008). - Breakeven Inflation Rate 💵: Moderate Risk (downward trend, similar to early 2020). - U.S. Recession Probability 🇺🇸: Low (slow-moving metric, based on variables like employment and industrial production). - U.S. Smoothed Recession Probability (Forecast) 🔮: High Risk (forecast with good historical accuracy). - Sahm Rule Recession 🚨: Moderate Risk (slow metric, usually reacts only to major market downturns). Currently, about 65% of the 22 metrics indicate moderate to high risk, suggesting potential negative impacts on cryptocurrencies and the global financial context. However, since 2023, Asian liquidity has surpassed Western economies, highlighting the importance of monitoring indicators from China, India, Korea, and others. Generally, these metrics take up to 2 years to materialize a recession, meaning short-term impact may be limited but should not be overlooked. Twitter ('X'): @Alphractal

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Most altcoins are at unprecedented levels of high leverage, as indicated by the elevated Open Interest to Market Cap ratio. However, STORJ presents a different case, with a negative Funding Rate, which may suggest an imminent appreciation due to short liquidations. We recommend trading in derivative markets where the OI/Market Cap ratio is low, as this tends to reduce the risk of forced liquidations during Pumps and Dumps #STORJ $STORJ #Altcoins #Liquidation Twitter (X): @Alphractal

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We are currently in a period where some of Bitcoin's capital is migrating to Altcoins in the short term. In 70% of cases, this has had a negative impact on Bitcoin's price. Over the past 90 days, only 6 out of 61 Altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin, representing just 9% of the total analyzed. In the last 14 days, the variation appears to be even more interesting: every two weeks, Altcoins have shown a higher upward movement than Bitcoin. In the short term, analyzing a 1-hour timeframe with a 90-hour moving window, we observe that when Altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin, it usually signals a potential market downturn. In other words, the Altcoin rally tends to be short-lived and is typically an indicator of risk and price correction for both Bitcoin and Altcoins in general. Twitter (X): @Alphractal

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