Xtrader-S
@Xtrader-S
曾任加拿大Swift Trade公司交易员，CCTV证券资讯频道《外汇市场》栏目特约嘉宾，魔鬼交易系统创始人，2008年进入外汇市场，2012年开始，操作的外汇交易账户实现每年翻倍收益。市场陷阱远多于机会，不追求每次必须盈利，只追求做正确的交易;不追求账户净值暴涨，只求严格控制风险的前提下实现持续稳定盈利。
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$BTC There was no new low yesterday, so will there be a new low today? Wait and see, this kind of trend, no new low is not enough to stop the decline
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$BTC The current trend of the big cake can be compared to the trend in April. It peaked and fell back, but the fall was not smooth. There were burrs below the weekly K-line in April, indicating that it was oscillating downward. Now the big cake, after a week of hearty decline, will also fluctuate downward. Long and short positions are fighting repeatedly. Keep the short-term short-selling idea and rebound operation. Don't chase the short position and don't panic too much.
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The front of Ethereum at $ETH is a double top pattern, with the neckline around 3500. After breaking the neckline, there was a rebound last night. Overall, it is now the process of a rebound after breaking the double top. Since the daily chart has risen above the 5-day line, the rebound may continue for a short while. Since yesterday, Ethereum has been stronger than Bitcoin, mainly because Ethereum's decline from the peak has been more significant than Bitcoin's. Currently, Bitcoin's daily line is still under pressure below the 5-day line. It is expected that Ethereum's short-term rebound strength will not be very strong either, and one can wait to short when the rebound approaches the double top neckline position.
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$ETH Yesterday, was this chart drawn accurately? It is almost identical to what came out later. Yesterday's conclusion: the main tone going forward is to short during the rebound. Currently, the weekly line has broken below the five-week line, and including $BTC , it has confirmed the judgment made on the 16th. The daily level upward trend has ended, and what follows is weekly consolidation, which is at least three movements on the weekly chart, moving up and down. Now the first movement is down. It is expected that the first half of this week will continue to decline, while the second half will rebound.
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The value of this map drawn yesterday by $ETH is still rising, isn't it very accurate?
$ETH went into the blue category last night, which was relatively weak. The daily line continued to fall. It is currently consolidating after the decline. In the future, the main tone will be rebound and short selling.
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$ETH went into the blue category last night, which was relatively weak. The daily line continued to fall. It is currently consolidating after the decline. In the future, the main tone will be rebound and short selling.
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$ETH Red is a four-hour transaction, which is decomposed into blue or yellow 30-minute transactions. If it goes yellow, that is, the rebound strength from now on is strong, and it touches 3500 and then does not break 3344, it is strong and there is a high probability of a new high later. If the rebound strength from now on is not strong and then it goes down to a new low, it is weak. Although it will not directly break yesterday's low, it also indicates that the rise from 3100 yesterday to now is a relay of a daily decline, not a daily reversal.
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On #加密市场回调 $ETH 16, I first proposed that Bitcoin would enter a risky area in the next few days and the daily upward trend would end; on the 18th, I reminded again that it was entering a risky area, and Ethereum was no exception. The chart clearly pointed out that it was rebounding and shorting, and it was at 3860 at the time; on the 19th, I reminded that the rebound was not strong enough, and there would inevitably be a second decline; on the 20th, when the killing was the most fierce last night, I clearly reminded everyone that this was the bottom for short-term trading, and it was time to enter; on the 21st, today, Ethereum reminded again near 3530 that short-term trading could be closed, and then operate according to the rhythm. This round, the rhythm was all right, and it was all live broadcast, but it seems that not many people saw it, no one paid attention, and no one cared about the rhythm. Everyone only cared about the points, but they didn’t know that the points could be deliberately made or deliberately destroyed, but the rhythm or structure could not be subverted.
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$ETH indeed rose sharply and then fell back. This rebound after a significant drop is different from before; previously, it was a pullback within an upward trend on the daily chart, while this time it marks the first drop after the end of the upward trend, establishing a consolidation point. Do not be overly greedy. Keep a good rhythm; rhythm is more important than precision and specific levels.
$ETH is preparing to close the position, because what was done yesterday was a four-hour turning point. From last night until now, a turning point on the four-hour chart has resulted in an internal central area. Now that it has surged, it has entered the divergence phase. Although this four-hour movement has driven the daily bottom pattern formation, the leg last night was too long, and I am skeptical about the momentum of today's inertia rise. I plan to wait for the four-hour chart to drop again before making a move, or if the daily chart directly stands above the five-day line today, confirming the daily turning point, then I will act afterwards.
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$ETH is preparing to close the position, because what was done yesterday was a four-hour turning point. From last night until now, a turning point on the four-hour chart has resulted in an internal central area. Now that it has surged, it has entered the divergence phase. Although this four-hour movement has driven the daily bottom pattern formation, the leg last night was too long, and I am skeptical about the momentum of today's inertia rise. I plan to wait for the four-hour chart to drop again before making a move, or if the daily chart directly stands above the five-day line today, confirming the daily turning point, then I will act afterwards.
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$ETH Do you dare to buy when it is falling the most? I guess you didn’t see my last post.
$ETH $ETH If you don't insert a pin, you won't see the bottom. The decline is beyond expectations, but the short-term bottom is around here. It's time to enter
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$ETH $ETH If you don't insert a pin, you won't see the bottom. The decline is beyond expectations, but the short-term bottom is around here. It's time to enter
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$ETH The daily upward trend of Bitcoin has ended. The future is a weekly consolidation. Generally speaking, there are at least 9 daily trends in the weekly consolidation, and it is currently the first daily trend.
The overall rebound of Ethereum is not strong, and it is expected to hit a new low during the day. If it hits a new low during the day, you can bet on the bottom pattern of the 4-hour cycle. It is expected to be in the 3280-3240 area, and you can grab a rebound. Generally, it is treated as consolidation.
The overall rebound of Ethereum is not strong, and it is expected to hit a new low during the day. If it hits a new low during the day, you can bet on the bottom pattern of the 4-hour cycle. It is expected to be in the 3280-3240 area, and you can grab a rebound. Generally, it is treated as consolidation.
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Sure enough, it has dropped; Ethereum's second decline has already broken a new low. Next, pay attention to 3430$ETH .
$ETH I let the rebound go short yesterday. Today, the rebound strength after the decline is average. There will definitely be a second decline later. When the needle is inserted quickly again, you can consider bottom-fishing. Generally, treat it as a wide range of fluctuations.
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$ETH I let the rebound go short yesterday. Today, the rebound strength after the decline is average. There will definitely be a second decline later. When the needle is inserted quickly again, you can consider bottom-fishing. Generally, treat it as a wide range of fluctuations.
$ETH I have already reminded you of the risk zone the day before yesterday, and Ethereum is no exception. See the picture for details.
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$ETH I have already reminded you of the risk zone the day before yesterday, and Ethereum is no exception. See the picture for details.
$BTC Warning: Bitcoin will enter the risk zone in the next three to five days
The daily level upward trend of Bitcoin has begun to go into the divergence stage. The divergence stage has already formed a center in 4H, and then it will rise again. The 4H level upward trend is not divergent at present, and a new 4H center must be built later. If the trend of two blue boxes on the chart is formed, the end of the daily level upward trend is basically absolute, and it will inevitably fall back below 100,000. There is also a strong classification, which is currently rising rapidly, and then fluctuating downward, without forming a second blue box, but the downward trend does not break 99588, forming the standard three buying points at the daily level, digesting the pressure of this top divergence, and then expanding the daily center on it later, and it will be difficult to see 100,000 again in the short term.
The daily level upward trend of Bitcoin has begun to go into the divergence stage. The divergence stage has already formed a center in 4H, and then it will rise again. The 4H level upward trend is not divergent at present, and a new 4H center must be built later. If the trend of two blue boxes on the chart is formed, the end of the daily level upward trend is basically absolute, and it will inevitably fall back below 100,000. There is also a strong classification, which is currently rising rapidly, and then fluctuating downward, without forming a second blue box, but the downward trend does not break 99588, forming the standard three buying points at the daily level, digesting the pressure of this top divergence, and then expanding the daily center on it later, and it will be difficult to see 100,000 again in the short term.
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$BTC Warning: Bitcoin will enter the risk zone in the next three to five days
The daily level upward trend of Bitcoin has begun to go into the divergence stage. The divergence stage has already formed a center in 4H, and then it will rise again. The 4H level upward trend is not divergent at present, and a new 4H center must be built later. If the trend of two blue boxes on the chart is formed, the end of the daily level upward trend is basically absolute, and it will inevitably fall back below 100,000. There is also a strong classification, which is currently rising rapidly, and then fluctuating downward, without forming a second blue box, but the downward trend does not break 99588, forming the standard three buying points at the daily level, digesting the pressure of this top divergence, and then expanding the daily center on it later, and it will be difficult to see 100,000 again in the short term.
The daily level upward trend of Bitcoin has begun to go into the divergence stage. The divergence stage has already formed a center in 4H, and then it will rise again. The 4H level upward trend is not divergent at present, and a new 4H center must be built later. If the trend of two blue boxes on the chart is formed, the end of the daily level upward trend is basically absolute, and it will inevitably fall back below 100,000. There is also a strong classification, which is currently rising rapidly, and then fluctuating downward, without forming a second blue box, but the downward trend does not break 99588, forming the standard three buying points at the daily level, digesting the pressure of this top divergence, and then expanding the daily center on it later, and it will be difficult to see 100,000 again in the short term.
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$WLD WLD, WIF and some other varieties have now appeared in the 4H-30M short double two positions, and are expected to continue to go down in the short term. At present, Bitcoin and Ethereum are still relatively strong, so you can wait for this wave of decline to engage in strong varieties of Ethereum.
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$OP When I released the BTC strategy yesterday, I entered the market and went long OP according to the second position of the Devil's Trading System and the third buying point of the Chaos Theory. The rise has just accelerated. Once it accelerates, it is expected to enter a large-scale shock in the later period, so I am ready to close the position.