Real-time record, located in Shangqiu, Henan

Keep bearish, no one believes it yet

The inevitability of market collapse
If a market does not have young people joining, collapse is almost inevitable. The philatelic market is a typical example. In the 1980s, philately was popular due to the expectation of stamp appreciation, but with the development of communication technology and the over-issuance of stamps, stamps quickly depreciated. There were 17 million stamp collectors in 1997, but now it is estimated that there are only a few hundred thousand left. Not only did the stamps in the hands of many stamp collectors not appreciate, but they also had to be sold at a discount, almost becoming waste paper.

Another market on the verge of collapse is Moutai. Moutai was initially popular due to public spending, and after the state rectification, it turned to private consumption. However, young people no longer drink Moutai. Although the ex-factory price of Moutai is 1,499 yuan, the actual purchase price is as high as 2,000-3,000 yuan, and this high premium has become difficult to sustain. Recently, there have even been reports that Moutai official agencies cannot distinguish between genuine and fake wines.

These cases reveal the common laws of the market: the market is hot at the beginning, early players make profits, and a large number of newcomers rush in to push up prices; then the supply and demand are unbalanced, over-issuance and counterfeiting occur, the bubble continues to rise, young people refuse to take over, and the market eventually collapses.

By understanding the changes in market cycles, we can more accurately understand the current era. #MiCA #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

In the four years of cryptocurrency trading, I have learned a truth. Have you ever thought about the accounts of cryptocurrency trading and understood the secrets?
If you have 3 million yuan, it first rises 100% and then falls 50%, the result is still 3 million yuan. Whether it rises 50% first and then falls 50%, or falls 50% first and then rises 50%, the result is 2.15 million yuan. This shows that it is crucial to control the drawdown. Short-term profits may be high, but if the drawdown exceeds 50%, it will return to zero.
A stable annualized rate of return is not inferior to a high volatility rate of return. A stable return of 30% per year is considerable, and the power of compound interest will bring amazing returns. Buffett has maintained a profit of more than 20% for 47 consecutive years because he believes in the power of compound interest.
When trading cryptocurrencies, you must do a good job of position management, choose carefully, and control risks in order to move forward steadily and obtain stable returns. Adhere to a stable investment strategy and pursue long-term and stable wealth growth.

Have you noticed that every time Sun Ge makes a move, there will be blood and the market will turn red.

The end of the contract is zero

Anyone who persuades or guides you to play contracts is trying to drag you down

And those so-called order takers, big Vs, and "eternal profit" are all nonsense
Calm down and keep your bullets.
There will be many projects, and you don't have to take risks by speculating in contracts. The risk is too great!

Why did the price of Bitcoin fall in the past two days? The main reasons are as follows:
1. The German government sells off seized Bitcoin:
The German government has begun selling 50,000 Bitcoins seized from the operator of Movie2k.to, and has sold 3,000 so far. This move has triggered market concerns about a large-scale sell-off, which in turn affects the price of Bitcoin.
2. Bitcoin ETF fund outflow:
Bitcoin spot ETF has seen net outflows of funds in the past 7 days. Some investors may be withdrawing from the Bitcoin market, negatively affecting market sentiment.
3. Geopolitical risks:
The Middle East war between Israel and Arab countries, as well as tensions between Russia and NATO, may have an impact on global financial markets. These geopolitical risk events may trigger investors' risk aversion, leading to capital outflows from risky assets such as Bitcoin.
4. Mt. Gox compensation pressure
Mt. Gox is expected to make its final compensation in October. A large number of Bitcoins may be sold to raise compensation funds, which will put downward pressure on market prices.

Here are some market summaries and trend analysis for everyone#
2017 was the era of ICO (initial coin offering). Public fundraising replaced traditional venture capital (VC) and private equity (PE), triggering the bull market of 17-18. As long as you grab a share, you can make a profit.
In 2021, DeFi (decentralized finance) rose and the market began to diversify. Investing in high-risk projects, as long as you run fast, you can make money. At that time, IEO (initial exchange offering) could negotiate with the project party to set aside some shares for users, and the online pricing was low. "Buy new instead of old" became the norm. However, now IEO is regarded as a legal risk in most countries and can only be priced through airdrops and market. If the circulation volume is large and the opening price is low, the project performance is relatively stable.
The rise in 2024 was initiated by BTC (Bitcoin) ETF, mainly driven by top projects and investment studios, who jointly created a wave of beautiful data. The project party has money and users, there are millions of users on the chain, and the listing platform is irrelevant. There are both CEX (centralized exchanges) and DEX (decentralized exchanges).
Trading platforms no longer have pricing power, so for projects with high valuations, investors should not only look at market value, but also pay attention to circulation. The current market is more professional, and the strategies used by ordinary investors in ICO in 2017, IEO in 2021, or 2023 may no longer be applicable.
Market changes show that the reduction in VC investment and the reduction in project parties do not necessarily mean a healthier market. In each cycle, there are some projects that can cross the bull and bear markets, and there are also countless top projects that fall on the road. Whether it is Web2 or Web3, there are very few successful entrepreneurial projects, and projects that can cross the cycle are even rarer.

Why do I dare to say that the interest rate cut is imminent and the bull market will follow?

Today is June 22nd. Why do I firmly believe that the interest rate cut is coming and will trigger a bull market? Don't be fooled by those so-called "big Vs". They often use complex concepts to mislead everyone, with the purpose of charging fees to cut leeks. In fact, the logic of the currency circle is very simple: big funds buy, prices rise; big funds sell, prices fall.
To make a profit by investing in cryptocurrencies, you must first look at the macro economy.
Interest rate cuts are commonly known as "flooding". So why does the US dollar interest rate cut lead to the crazy growth of the currency circle?
1. The seesaw effect of commodity and stock prices: when one end rises, the other end will fall.
2. The consequences of the US dollar interest rate cut:
- Commodity prices in flooding countries rise.
- Funds flow into developing countries.
- Stock markets in flooding countries fall.
This is contrary to the analysis of many "big Vs" because they don't actually understand economic principles.
3. The impact of the US dollar interest rate hike: The interest rate hike will lead to a crisis in economies related to the US dollar, the exchange rates of these countries will be unstable, the US dollar will appreciate, and global funds will flow into the United States. The United States distributes these funds to Wall Street giants through Treasury bonds, and they then invest in U.S. stocks. The opposite is true when interest rates are cut.
4. The biggest risk of a dollar interest rate cut: funds may flow out of the United States.
5. The way the United States deals with risks: reduce financial risks by exporting force abroad. Every time the interest rate is cut, the United States often takes military action internationally, as was the case in the past five Middle East wars.
If you understand the above five questions, you will understand why I said at the beginning that interest rate cuts are imminent and a bull market is coming.

Why did the cryptocurrency market suddenly fall?
In the lively cryptocurrency market, the phenomenon of price plunges is often puzzling. An important reason behind this is the influence of large investors - "whales".
1. Large sell orders: When "whales" sell a large amount of cryptocurrencies, the market supply surges and prices fall rapidly.
2. Market sentiment: Because "whales" have more information and professional analysis, their selling behavior triggers other investors to follow suit and form a herd effect.
3. Profit taking: When "whales" lock in profits and sell cryptocurrencies, the market is worried that the price has reached its peak, and they sell them one after another, causing prices to fall further.
4. Liquidity issues: Large transactions affect market liquidity and price fluctuations intensify.
5. Market manipulation: Sometimes, "whales" deliberately suppress prices and buy more assets at low prices.
These factors work together to cause market prices to fluctuate sharply. #热门走势

At present, the overall performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum in the market is still not optimistic, and friends who hold long-term are under great pressure. Most of the altcoins have returned to last year's price level, and some are even locked in. This year's market is indeed difficult to operate. I used to hear that as long as you don't sell, you won't be cut, but now this statement is no longer applicable. Now holding and not selling may not only be deeply trapped, but also miss other opportunities. Therefore, it is really necessary to adjust your thinking now. Regarding this panic plunge in altcoins, I have the following views:
1. At present, the altcoin market is a little too pessimistic, resulting in insufficient liquidity. Once the market stabilizes, many altcoins will rebound quickly. Don't think that altcoins will continue to fall. The market is not short of funds, at least not in the currency circle. What is lacking is confidence and expectations of a loose environment. I don't know where the bottom is. The bottom is bought by retail investors, not guessed.
2. The altcoin season will definitely come, but it will no longer be as comprehensive as the bull market in the past. Good projects may have dozens or even hundreds of times of growth space, while poor projects are likely to not outperform the market. It is very important to choose a good project. If you choose the wrong one, it is more important to dare to change positions and not be dragged down by the silent cost.
3. In the past, in the bull market, as long as you can buy and hold it, it will be fine. In this round of bull market, the funds switch faster. For altcoins, you must know how to sell and ensure profits. It is better to sell at a loss than to make no profit. Don't spit out all the profits in the bear market because of excessive pursuit of pattern. #币安合约锦标赛 #美联储何时降息？ #币安用户数突破2亿 #meme板块关注热点

Sol current price is 178 short, stop loss $SOL 182
This point is just right

Currently operable points

1. The current market is fluctuating in a five-minute range. The top is around 3085 and the bottom is around 3060. You can open an order and follow the trend. You will not lose money no matter what you do. These two points

2. Steady 3020±5, infinitely break the five-minute entity and exit

Use the profit to keep going high and high in the range of 314 to 3160. If it is low, you should reduce your position. If it falls, you can reduce your position

4. Challenger has more injections around 3040. There should be no error of more than six or seven points

5. Short near the right pressure 3125. Unlimited decline before it is broken, and more rise after it is broken

Personal suggestion, for reference only! #eth $ETH

$SOL 174 is empty, now 169 can be used to take profit

BTC long $BTC
Point: around 66700-66400
Take profit: 67200-68000
Stop loss: 65900
Valid before 8pm

Ambush a short position at 67700 for Bitcoin, stop loss 68000
Eth$3150 entry short is effective, stop loss 3163
Sol current price short, stop loss 176
Short position profit reaches its own overdue and can stop profit, no need to be greedy, market opportunities are every day $BTC $ETH $SOL

If you can grasp the contract market well, the profit from one order is equal to the annual income of others. Come on, I wish you all financial freedom as soon as possible #BTC走势分析

WIF 📈 long
Entry: around 2.525-2.485
Profit: 2.65-2.75-3.15
Loss: 2.385

Subsequent aggressive orders

1. Three explorations around 3060±5, long, if there is profit, play the right side strategy for five minutes

2. Steady around 3020, no break, infinite five-minute entity break, exit

3. Around 3118, around 3140, it may fall, look at short first, and then reduce the position after the profit and loss ratio is reasonable

4. The long-short watershed 3085 is up, and down, if you want to open an order or have an order, refer to it

Personal advice, for reference only!