穿越牛熊的老王

The long-term monthly line of the pancake is under pressure, its effectiveness is confirmed, and this round has already been verified once. Long-term holders who have held for over a year are beginning to sell off on a large scale. You can find specific data from on-chain statistics yourself.

The daily chart shows a bullish flag, and it is very likely to test the previous high. It is unreasonable to short now; wait for the test to see the subsequent trend. Those who previously dollar-cost averaged into the pancake will sell a large portion at this high point, and then begin to establish long-term short positions.

March 24th Review

1-hour long position, stop loss

Review: Pay attention to changes in volume; the pattern is great, but insufficient volume is pointless. There were excellent short opportunities, but the long position was not taken.

Before opening a position, make sure to wait until it's easy to pick up money; don't make things difficult for yourself.

March 23rd Review

Did not open any trades, only one stop-loss on a 4-hour short position from last week, neither profit nor loss.

With no market movement, I wait for my trading system's signals, controlling my hands, not bad.

Review on March 20 and March 22

First 2 trades in 15 minutes

First trade stop loss

Second trade aimed for a 4x risk-reward ratio, ended up at a 3x rebound, breaking even

Third trade entered on a 1-hour cycle, took profit on a 4-hour cycle, 3x risk-reward ratio

Follow the system, no more than 3x risk-reward ratio in the future, normally aim for 2x, and take 3x for very good opportunities.

3.19 Daily Review

3 trades in 15-minute cycles

The first trade was a short, stop loss

The second trade took profit at a 2:1 risk-reward ratio

The third trade aimed for a 4:1 risk-reward ratio, but exited at a 2:1 risk-reward ratio

All done according to the system, very satisfied with today's operations. The highlight was the trade right after the US stock market opened in the evening, which had a very good signal to enter. However, the 1-hour candlestick had already made 28 bars without touching the moving average, so the probability of a pullback was too high, and I resisted the urge to trade. It was a self-breakthrough.

March 18, 2026 Daily Trading Review
1) 1-hour period, double bottom with 2 bullish candles, go long at 10:00, expecting a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, felt like a triangle convergence by noon, can either trade or observe with a break-even. Since the 4-hour period is still in a bullish trend, chose to hold on, moved the stop loss up, and by the afternoon had to stop out with a small loss.
2) 15-minute period, moving averages overlap, 2 bearish candles, go short at 13:30, after the first pullback continued downward, near the bottom of the range, be cautious of the 3-push wedge, lowered the stop loss above the small bullish candle at 15:00, later stopped out, break-even.
3) 15-minute period, moving averages overlap, 2 bearish candles, go short at 19:30, successfully achieved a 2:1 risk-reward ratio.
4)
Review: The approach followed the system; during the afternoon shorting on the small timeframe, I felt very conflicted because the larger timeframe indicated long positions. Later, the market mirrored my inner conflict as it was a triangle convergence, but I still adhered to the system.
Optimization: All operations were executed according to the system, but the long position on the 1-hour could indeed be reconsidered, as it is the top of the 4-hour 3-push wedge, the win rate for going long isn't that high, although in some situations, the system could still yield a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, the win rate has decreased, overall profitability will still be low. Next time encountering such a situation, unless the pullback on the left 1-hour candles is very weak and the daily chart hasn't formed a strong bearish candle, then consider making a long position.

Medium to long-term short positions can begin now

Verified, but the market is unpredictable. Reducing positions near previous highs is definitely the optimal solution for speculation. Whether the bulls can continue depends on the situation. If the weekly chart cannot increase in volume and the top divergence is confirmed, then I should clear my positions and add short positions. If the weekly bulls continue, I will only take some short-term long positions and observe the subsequent market.

This position on the monthly line does not look strong yet, but the monthly channel line also has resistance. Long-term, some risk avoidance can be taken, while we will wait and see for others. Currently, no continuation of bears has been observed.

Long time no see everyone. I made some operations a while ago and lost the tens of thousands of USDT I earned. I haven't made any moves this month. Currently, I am starting to dollar-cost average in my spot positions, with 70% in Bitcoin and 30% in mainstream altcoins. I will invest once a week for 8 months. I will honestly work hard to earn capital, and we will meet at the peak in six months.

If Bitcoin breaks through, the strongest resistance of the weekly and daily lines will be around 13w. The copycat will take profit based on the situation at that time. I hope there will be a small unilateral market.

If Bitcoin can break through and stabilize its previous high, then now is the best time to add positions in the altcoin. Currently, it is on the left side, so you can keep some positions and wait for the decline before adding positions.

If Bitcoin goes down, the altcoin, especially Ethereum, will be miserable. The strange thing is that the market is now scolding Ethereum, and Trump is buying it. I think the cost-effectiveness of my pepe should be OK.

Clearance waiting for oversold entry, recently changed strategy, strictly controlling stop loss now.

Capital has flowed into Ethereum, fully invested in Pepe, waiting for the wind to come, meeting at the peak in a few weeks.

Waiting for a healthy daily pullback of the big pancake, entering the altcoin market with a large position, the wealth effect is starting to show, signs of takeoff, seize the opportunity, brothers.

1 hour divergence, pay attention to risks, cannot chase long positions without volume support

At this position, you should first reduce your position significantly to avoid risks, and then buy it when it falls back. There are many opportunities, but the losses are terrible.

Sold another part of the position, keeping some cash for opportunities, this rebound is strong, the short-term risk is increasing at this position, it is advisable to take some profits, no need to move for the long term.

Increased positions when rising, reduced positions when falling, this time take some profit and recover a bit, keep some bullets on hand, and the rest is to bet on breaking through the previous high.

The large pancake had a 4-hour divergence last night, combined with the weekly interval bottom, an increase is highly probable. It just depends on whether the bulls can maintain it this time.

The altcoins have weakened, but the daily chart also has crucial support levels that have been tested and closed above. The weekly level still looks bullish, and I hope the bulls can continue to push up.

Currently, the concern is that yesterday's drop broke through the interval bottom. Although the rebound is strong, breaking through the lowest point of the interval still requires caution. It is unlikely to have a strong unidirectional weekly trend like in 2021. At most, it will be similar to the unidirectional daily trend of the past two months, which might be the best-case scenario. I hope it develops in the best direction.