K线人生飞哥

A self-introduction for my followers

Hello everyone, I am Fei Ge. I entered the crypto space in 2017, and I can be considered an old hand. Along the way, I have stepped into countless pitfalls, but I have also summarized some of my own methodologies. From blindly following trends at the beginning, I have gradually shifted my focus to studying cycles, macro trends, and capital logic, and I have slowly found my own rhythm.

As I journeyed, I found that the crypto world is not just about ups and downs; it is more like a cyclical game: some people FOMO during the highs, while others quietly position themselves during the lows.

Currently, I am a blogger on Binance Square, sharing some of my personal thoughts and observations. I am not a great expert, just an old hand who has experienced several bull and bear markets. I hope to share the pitfalls I have encountered and the lessons I have learned, so that newcomers can avoid unnecessary detours, and I can also gain new insights through exchange.

If you also believe in cycles, logic, and long-term accumulation, then perhaps we can become companions here.

Regarding the viewpoints in my posts, please note the following points:

1: The crypto market is constantly changing, and so will my viewpoints follow the market. This industry changes too quickly; only by continuously keeping up with the industry's progress can one continue to grow. Sticking rigidly to established norms will only lead to being eliminated by the times, so I hope everyone can be more open-minded.

2: The viewpoints I post on the Square are divided into short-term and long-term. For example, even if I am bullish in the long term, there will be pullbacks in between; similarly, even if I am bearish in the long term, there will also be rebounds in between. Please do not let short-term viewpoints affect long-term perspectives. An upward market does not mean it will rise continuously without looking back; more often, it is a trend of ups and downs. Similarly, a downward market does not mean it will crash without any rebounds; more often, it is a trend of falls and rises overall. I hope everyone can understand the differences between short-term and long-term viewpoints.

3: In this market, apart from BTC, which can be followed blindly, other coins have market cycles, especially altcoins. Before buying a coin, you should at least investigate it; some things need to be understood a bit, and you cannot just buy whatever others say. Especially for those with limited funds, you need to consider the actual situation and be more cautious.

Thank you to every friend who follows and supports me; you are the motivation for my continued sharing. May we all reap our own rewards in the cycles. 🌱

As long as the $BTC level is not effectively broken down, the bulls haven't lost yet, and there's still potential for the market to continue rising. The large volume bullish candle at 23:00 last night was essentially a signal that the bulls have started their counterattack, at least indicating that they're no longer being pushed around passively.

Looking at the daily chart, a doji has formed, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The bears failed to push decisively lower, giving the bulls a chance to gradually regain control.

On the 4-hour chart, the KDJ has clearly turned upward, and there have been three consecutive bullish candles. Even if the current candles are small and rising slowly, the structure already shows that the bulls are in control. The overall rhythm leans toward first stabilizing, then attempting to move higher. Short-term indicators support the bulls, who haven't exited the scene, meaning the market isn't in a pessimistic trend. The key going forward will be whether volume can continue to increase on this basis.

In summary, long positions should remain held with proper stop-losses in place.

Over the past three decades, China's per capita disposable income has risen from 1,400 to 39,000, nearly a 28-fold increase; in the U.S., per capita disposable income has increased from around 20,000 USD to 55,000 USD over the past thirty years, less than a threefold rise.

China will certainly not see the same growth rate over the next 30 years as it did in the past 30 years—a common understanding. Assuming we follow this year's GDP growth rate for the next 30 years, that would be 1.052^30 = 4.5 times (about twice the growth of the past 30 years in the U.S.), meaning we would eventually reach 175,500, and averaging this out gives us 107,000. Most people will not earn 10.7×30=3.21 million over the next 30 years.

Therefore, personal life planning should generally not exceed 3.2 million. Those with strong capabilities can aim higher, but at least 70% of people won't achieve this. Additionally, consider a couple together—total future expenses should not exceed 6 million, including child-rearing costs.

Note: This is the most optimistic estimation. In reality, it's highly unlikely we'll achieve a fivefold increase in disposable income over the next 30 years.

These days, what's been mentioned most on the square is $币安人生 . My opinion has always been the same: the spot listing will first disappoint people, then further disappoint them, then lead them to despair, and finally bring a surprise.

Currently, three major burdens are crushing CZ, making it hard to breathe.
One is $GIGGLE , another is $ASTER , and the third is Binance Life.
Currently, CZ seems to be prioritizing rescuing Binance Life. Even the title of the self-written book is being used to pump the price. The new book's title is tentatively called Binance Life. The launch is still a month away, leaving significant room for hype during this month. Once the book launch event happens and the book spreads widely, the Binance Life IP will likely be solidified. I plan to hold for a month and see if there's a surprise—this one depends on this event.

Big A is awesome, a red start to the month, hoping the crypto market will also work hard and bring a festive rally, making this year's Spring Festival a prosperous one.

There are still many people shorting in this market, and the consensus is that the four-year cycle has ended, leading to a bear market drop to $70,000.
Although I also believe we are currently in a bear market, it won't fall so smoothly; it often rebounds when everyone is short, taking profits from short positions before falling again. Market movements often go against the so-called 'consensus'; otherwise, wouldn't everyone be making money?

Missed it, Dad and Mom can go buy some Dad and Mom
Having only Dad but no you
Having only Mom but no you
Only when both Dad and Mom are present can you exist
So Dad and Mom will surpass Dad and Mom
Watch this, it will happen within 3 days

Just found out that when trading in Binance Wallet, if the amount is insufficient, it shows: 'Mom has insufficient balance, please top up.' So embarrassing. Buy mom some resurrection armor 😅😅😅
With BSC going this way, grandma, grandpa, and even grandson are about to show up.

The large A stock has achieved 15 consecutive daily gains, reaching a 10-year high.
US stocks have recorded 9 consecutive monthly gains, setting a new historical high.
$BTC is still struggling around the 90,000 level, while most altcoins have plummeted by 95% from their peak. If this continues, the cryptocurrency market will truly become a stinking mess that nobody wants to touch.

Many people have previously asked about the entry point for re-entering MEME coins. For several popular MEME coins, $PEPE $BONK $PENGU
USELESS—I use the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement level as a reference range. Some people even said it was impossible to reach this level, but currently, almost all have reached it. However, I guess no one would dare to enter now.

$XRP transactions are dominated by large whales, with little involvement from retail investors
During the short-term rebound at the end of last year, the CVD indicator also showed neutral.
Currently, large XRP traders still dominate spot trading and have been buying on dips.

$我踏马来了 Everyone is complaining, so it keeps rising. It probably won't peak until everyone is convinced and can't resist getting on board.
As for the 'mom coin,' I truly believe it has the potential to reach 1B, mainly because the story is so easy to spread—everyone has a mother, and there's no cultural barrier.

When market fluctuations occur, it's hard to see profits eroded. The ideal entry point is always outside the comfort zone of the majority, because the market makers want those holding to feel uncomfortable enough to exit, yet also want those who haven't entered to feel there's room and value to get in—only then can sufficient turnover be achieved. Right now, $BTC is such a period: a 'three steps forward, two steps back' pattern makes people feel the market has ended, yet it can't fall further, continuously oscillating and wearing down everyone's patience. Then, a rebound will come. I still hold my previous view: BTC has already seen three consecutive monthly closes in the red, but this month's monthly chart will likely close in the green. BTC still has a good chance of rebounding to around 98,000.

The good projects in the entire crypto market
Can be counted on one hand
That is, the long-term positive-sum games in the crypto market are fewer than 10
For example: BTC ETH SOL BNB TRX LINK XRP HYPE XMR UNI. Being stricter, fewer than 5: only BTC ETH SOL BNB LINK.

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Looking at the recent moves between China and the U.S., the world is undergoing profound changes—no one can afford to bury their head in the sand anymore, and no one can remain untouched. 'East Big' governs the Eastern Hemisphere, 'West Big' governs the Western Hemisphere—same formula, same long-arm jurisdiction. The old tactics of acquiring passports from small countries or fleeing overseas are likely no longer effective. There's nothing that can't be managed if someone is willing to do it.

According to mysticism, 2026 is the Year of the Red Horse and the Red Sheep, symbolizing 'the old collapsing, the new beginning.' Just as the year starts, reality begins to align: Venezuela experiences a regime change, Iran faces unrest, and the U.S. abruptly withdraws from dozens of international organizations. The pace at which the old order is unraveling is faster than many imagined.

How many more such changes we’ll see in the coming year remains to be seen.

Our industry is no different. The old game was clear: CEXs sat at the top of the food chain, collaborating with market makers and VCs to organize, mint coins, pump prices, and dump—this model has largely run its course. What remains active now are mostly marginal strategies; mainstream players have long lost interest.

Meanwhile, a new order is gradually taking shape. Regulated institutions are entering the space, and projects backed by real assets and cash flow are gaining attention. In the future, the 'crypto circle' and the 'crypto finance circle' may increasingly diverge. There won’t be a need for so many blockchains, and empty stories will become harder to sell—but high-quality assets will grow, such as stablecoins, tokenized equities, and compliant financial products.

The power and capital center in the crypto world is indeed shifting. Compliance and high-quality assets will be more valued, stablecoins and asset-backed tokens will become more popular, and the era of CEX-dominated manipulations may truly be coming to an end.

If you’re unclear about these changes, there’s actually a simple solution—don’t overcomplicate things. Just hold onto $BTC . Often, making fewer choices is the most stable choice.

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Binance has launched futures contracts for gold $XAU and silver $XAG . It's estimated that crude oil futures contracts will be listed next, which indicates that the market is indeed extremely bearish. Back in the days when 796 was nearly unable to operate during a bear market, they chose to launch futures contracts for crude oil, gold, and silver to increase exchange liquidity and trading fees. Will history repeat itself this time???

PS: Are there any old-timer investors who remember 796???

During the Bitcoin bear market in 2026

Currently, the only thing that can surpass Bitcoin is Bitcoin itself. I don't deny that there are many potential projects (such as ETH, SOL) that may achieve significantly higher returns in the future compared to Bitcoin's current scale, but when it comes to the balance among stability, certainty, and return rate, buying Bitcoin on dips remains the optimal choice.

Here's a price range: start dollar-cost averaging when Bitcoin has retraced 60% from the peak of each bull market cycle, or even consider a large one-time purchase if you're confident. As of now (October 15, 2025, 19:39:45), Bitcoin's all-time high price is 126170, and a 60% retracement would bring it down to $50,000. Considering ETF institutional funds and psychological factors, you could start buying around a 50% retracement, i.e., approximately $60,000. This specific buying range will adjust as Bitcoin's all-time high increases; if Bitcoin continues to set new records, please recalculate accordingly.

Time frame: Mid-2026 ~ Mid-2027

Investment plan—feel free to take it, no need to thank me

When CZ retweeted an analysis explaining why Binance has listed $币安人生 , he mentioned that his autobiography in Chinese might be titled 'Binance Life,' with proceeds donated to charity institutions $GIGGLE .
CZ publishes 'Binance Life,' a top post by the first lady $客服小何 , and meme is the best marketing tool on BSC.

I still believe that 'Binance Life' is a narrative understandable even by absolute beginners on their first day in the circle, and the Chinese-first coin also holds value absolutely no weaker than PEPE. The phrase 'Binance Life' truly reflects the current state of the crypto community.

I always believe that although BSC is currently in a winter phase, this is not bad—it's building momentum for the next bull run. There is no bull run without correction, and no coin will fly too high without adjustment.

At this point, we can only cheer for Binance Life.

#币安上线币安人生

Confucius of the Crypto World $币安人生
Binance Life first educated the high-chasing gamblers yesterday
Then educated the bottom-picking heroes this morning
Now tonight it's educating the short-chasing韭菜
Tailored teaching, nobody escapes 😅