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This year, the altcoin market has experienced wild volatility, leaving many investors on edge.
However, with the US election and interest rate cuts imminent, the market could see major changes.
Here are some highlights from the 2024 Altcoin Outlook Report:

1. No altcoin season
Many are disappointed that there has not been an altcoin season in this cycle.
Since November 2022, altcoins have been underperforming, as shown by TOTAL3/BTC.
The ratio of the top 125 cryptocurrencies (excluding BTC/ETH) to BTC has fallen from 1.05 to 0.49.

2. Market breadth is worrying
The market is currently highly concentrated and dominated by a few large-cap coins.
Only 13% of the top assets outperformed BTC.
Singling outperforming altcoins is as difficult as finding a needle in a haystack.

3. Key events that affect the market
The following four key events have affected the performance of altcoins and Bitcoin this year:
The debut of spot Bitcoin ETF
Bitcoin halving
The debut of spot Ethereum ETF
Ripple partially wins the SEC lawsuit
4. The end of the "altcoin season road"
The launch of the US spot Bitcoin ETF is the most critical event.
Although it is good for Bitcoin, this breaks the traditional "altcoin season road".
The short-lived altcoin rebound was followed by a sharp drop.
The "trickle-down effect" of Bitcoin is seriously overestimated.
5. Trump trading
Another important factor is the Trump trading.
It reflects the market's expectations of the possibility of Trump's second presidency, focusing on pro-growth policies.
After Trump's victory in 2016, small-cap stocks rose sharply, outperforming large-cap stocks by nearly 8%.
Trump trading in 2024
Given so many events this year, it is difficult to accurately determine the impact of Trump trading on the market.
However, we can evaluate this by comparing Polymarket forecast odds with market indices.
For example, the TOTAL3/BTC index shows little correlation with Trump's odds.

By the end of the year, if rate cuts stabilize the economy, Bitcoin's market dominance may decline.
However, if recession fears increase, Bitcoin's market dominance may remain high.
In either case, expect increased differentiation between altcoins

$BTC $ETH $SOL #山寨币热点

Yesterday's wave of long and short double eating, not grasping clearly $BTC $ETH

Sol has been selling more since the early morning, this wave is very accurate
Brothers, this time we can eat meat again
You can see the top of the push page

$SOL $BTC $ETH

$BTC Currently, the high and low points of 1 hour and 2 hours have successfully reached 2000 points. You can make a short-term long position near the current price of 60800 to catch him off guard.
The signal is to follow us, and you can also see it in real time
$ETH

A wave of short selling signals before the plunge

All profits are stopped, and the bottom-fishing layout begins in batches

If you want to experience it for free, you can see the pinned one

#BTC #ETH

The U.S. stock market is strong, why can't Bitcoin rise?

This Wednesday, after the U.S. announced that the CPI in May cooled and interest rates remained unchanged, the three major U.S. stock indexes hit new highs, but the cryptocurrency market fell into a slump.

After Bitcoin and Ethereum briefly surged to $70,000 and $3,657 respectively on the 12th, they have now fallen back to $67,000 and $3,500.

Why are the performances of the two capital markets so different? What went wrong?

I think this is because Bitcoin miners are experiencing "capitulation" after the halving, which directly limits price increases.

Bitcoin miners rely mainly on two sources of income: mining rewards and transaction fees, which must exceed mining costs to be profitable, so miners need to consider the following points to avoid exiting the mining industry:

1. Increased fee income

2. Increased Bitcoin prices

3. Reduced mining costs

The fourth Bitcoin halving halved the block reward for miners from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.

Although the Bitcoin Runes protocol once allowed miners to earn lucrative fees, as the protocol quickly cooled down, fee income plummeted, resulting in more unprofitable miners and forced withdrawal and surrender.

This week, the amount of Bitcoin transferred by miners to exchanges reached a two-month high, which also verified this.

#BTC #ETH

Last night, I was crazy about short selling, and the stop profit point was 68000

It fell to 67618 in the morning, and I said what I meant.

I woke up and stopped profit comfortably

#BTC #ETH

Daily Morning Post

#BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #SHIBA🚀

1. Trump-themed Meme coins fell, TRUMP fell nearly 25%
2. Trump was found guilty of 34 felony charges in the "hush money" case
3. Trump denied all charges and said the trial was rigged
4. US lawmakers urged Biden not to veto the bill to repeal SAB 121
5. Former Deutsche Bank executive sentenced to 41 months in prison for cryptocurrency fraud
6. CFTC Commissioner: FIT21 Act may take a long time to implement
7. Viewpoint: Current US regulators cannot effectively regulate cryptocurrencies
8. US SEC requires spot Ethereum ETF issuers to submit the first round of S-1 draft forms by Friday
9. Grayscale submitted a revised S-3 registration statement for spot Ethereum ETF
10. US presidential candidate Kennedy supports cryptocurrency and bought 21 bitcoins

Important economic dynamics:

1. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 98.9%
2. Fed Bostic: Inflation will fall very slowly
3. The three major US stock indexes closed down collectively
4. Fed Williams: I don't know when to cut interest rates, it will depend on data performance

#ETC减半 #ETCUSDT

The copycat strongly recommends three coins, etc, turbo, and chz

Start the layout. It is expected that the two-coin will bottom out with the exchange rate tonight or tomorrow night and then start a violent rebound. Corresponding to the hype of etc halving, there will be a 50% increase in the next month. As the leader of fan tokens, chz will start to rise. It is expected that 0.25 will be seen in the short term. Turbo is an innovative coin and a new meme in the AI ​​world. It is expected to be at least five times in the short term
#chz，
#turbo

Today's CPI data is heavy. The CPI is expected to be 3.4 and the previous value is 3.5.
If it meets expectations, the fluctuation is not very drastic. It may rebound to the 4h pressure level of 63218. If it exceeds 3.4 and reaches 3.5, it is bad news. Inflation is still stubborn. It is estimated that there will be a correction. This correction is expected to reach 60388-60588 at the lowest.
Then at 3 am, Bowman will speak at the Fed. This person is a hawk and will not cut interest rates directly.
It is expected that the market will pull back sharply between 2 am and 4 am, and then repair in the morning. It is expected to reach 58488-58688.

Of course, everything is still based on data. What we have to do is to arrange short orders between 63210-62688, the 4h pressure level, regardless of good news or bad news, and stop loss by ourselves, and get it between about 3:30 am and 4 am.

#美国4月CPI通胀数据即将公布
#BTC走势分析
#PEPE潜力
#TRB暴涨
#新币挖矿
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

Is PEPE coming soon?

On-chain data shows that multiple whale addresses have recently increased their holdings of PEPE:

13 hours ago, 0xa4Fd spent 1.09 million USDC to buy 123.6 billion PEPE at $0.00000881.

13 hours ago, 0x895f withdrew 101 billion PEPE (about $885,000) from Binance.

1 hour ago, 0x24E3 spent 661,000 USDC to buy 745 billion PEPE at $0.000008873.

In addition, PEPE has a 100% winning rate in the past three months. The whale transferred 350.2 billion PEPE from Binance again 9 hours ago.

From the current market, PEPE is indeed strong, rising but not falling. Is it PEPE TO THE MOON? ! ! !

The latest manual order - the big cake recommends 61488-61688 short, 62588 to cover the position, and stop loss 63088.
Reference for profit stop: 58388 first profit stop, 57388 second profit stop, 55288 third profit stop, profit stop is taken in batches and then set up the break-even method.
For reference only, profits and losses are at your own risk.

The latest large cycle 12h signal has stopped profit yesterday, and shorting does not stop

#PEPE潜力 #PEPE✈️ #uma #ARKM，回调就是机会

Last night, after 30 minutes of shorting, I took profit on two cakes and shorted them. Although the pending order was not hung, the signal was followed. The signal is as shown in the figure below. In the evening, countless orders were continuously stopped.

Jinghong Quantitative Analyst-Xiao Zhang: The latest manual order-Da Bing recommends 61488-61688 short, 62588 to cover the position, and stop loss 63088.
Reference for stop profit: 58388 first stop profit, 57388 second stop profit, 55288 third stop profit, stop profit is taken in batches and then set to protect the principal loss method.
For reference only, profits and losses are at your own risk.

#BTC走势分析 #PEPE✈️ #uma #etc减产
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

Big pie has changed. Brothers and sisters, please pay attention to risk control.
#ETH #BTC $BTC $ETH $BNB

High and low point pattern/ETH-4 hour line bearish signal
Reminder price: 3077.2
Pressure range: 3092.3-3113.5
Cycle level: medium
Reference time: 1 day 12 hours
Time: 2024-05-07 16:00:15
$BTC $ETH $BNB #BTC走势分析 #BTC #ETH

The 64700 short position mentioned in the morning, plus today's signal of a long-term short position, ether stop profit, my friends, today's long and short positions are both profitable

#香港加密货币ETF #非农数据 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Berachain, the 2024 king-bomb public chain project, is here! Raised over $200 million,

What is Berachain?

Berachain was launched at the end of 2021 and is an EVM-compatible Layer 1 platform focused on DeFi, built on the Cosmos SDK framework, and adopts a Proof of Liquidity (PoL) consensus mechanism. Berachain originated from an idea of ​​the Bonng Bears NFT community and is an EVM-compatible blockchain known for its novel Proof of Liquidity consensus mechanism. This innovative blockchain allows users to stake stablecoin assets and blue-chip DeFi tokens from Layer 1 blockchains with Berachain's validators. Developed on the Cosmos SDK platform and leveraging Cosmos' native consensus engine Tendermint, Berachain's name is derived from the Bong Bear NFT community and was conceived by its development team. Berachain's vision is to improve capital efficiency in the DeFi space, enabling users to conduct familiar everyday transactions while providing additional features and benefits. This goal is facilitated by implementing a unique three-coin system within the blockchain, a distinctive feature that sets Berachain apart from its peers. In addition, Berachain aims to solve key liquidity challenges faced by other blockchains, positioning itself as a solution-driven platform that is expected to revolutionize the DeFi landscape.

Berachain Project Financing

Berachain has made significant progress in financing and development, raising a considerable $42 million from well-known investors such as Polychain Capital and dao5. The recently launched Artio testnet is a major milestone in Berachain's journey, providing users with the opportunity to interact with the platform and potentially qualify for future airdrops. After the FTX crash in November 2022, Berachain started to raise funds. In April 2023, it completed a $42 million financing with a valuation of $420 million. Polychain Capital led the investment, and OKX Ventures, Hack VC, Dao5, Tribe Capital, Shima Capital, Robot Ventures, Goldentree Asset Management, Dragonfly Capital former partner, Celestia founder Mustafa Al-Bassam, Tendermint co-founder Zaki Manian and 20 other DeFi project founders participated in the investment. When the financing news was announced, the Berachain ecosystem had more than 2.500 million USD committed total locked value.

Current valuation: 5 billion+Lock mechanism: lock 3 and release 3 Total amount: 10 billion

The stunning quantification, the move will definitely be stunning
$BTC $ETH

I just found out that Binance has removed two posts