$PNUT Is the squirrel finally about to take off? The data shows that some air force has surrendered. The position change of 12h level currencies is relatively small, corresponding to a significant increase in their value. If it doesn't rise quickly, there will be no opposing orders left. If you dare to come down, let's take a shot and see how strong the main force is this time #加密市场反弹
In recent days, I studied event contracts. This mechanism actually has no trading signals to speak of. Even if the timeline is extended to 1 day, there is no 100% probability of ensuring that the index price at settlement is below/above the opening price, given the high likelihood of market pullbacks/rallies in the future. The extent of pullbacks/rallies is always limited; they may be completed in 12 hours or even less, followed by a market reversal. In short, the fault tolerance of event contracts is too low, making them less flexible than perpetual contracts. You might as well buy this as a lottery ticket; just make sure not to bet heavily. #事件合约
$TRUMP It seems everyone is very concerned about Trump. Today I'm posting again. Currently, the outflow of short-term contracts is still relatively persistent, and there hasn't been much outflow from the spot market. From the changes in the positions and their values, it can be seen that the main force is not in a hurry to build short positions and continue to sell spot. However, the trading volume is a bit sluggish at the moment, and in the short term, there may still be a downward spike in volume #特朗普就职后行情怎么走?
武帝为此
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$TRUMP currently shows signs of stabilization at the hourly level. As long as there is no significant outflow of contract funds during the consolidation period, combined with the inflow of spot funds, there should be a small rally. It must be said that Trump's actions have drained the market's liquidity, causing many valuable altcoins to remain inactive. Now that liquidity has returned to some altcoins, this is what a bull market should look like: one flower blooming is not as good as a hundred flowers blossoming. #特朗普就职后行情怎么走?
$TRUMP currently shows signs of stabilization at the hourly level. As long as there is no significant outflow of contract funds during the consolidation period, combined with the inflow of spot funds, there should be a small rally. It must be said that Trump's actions have drained the market's liquidity, causing many valuable altcoins to remain inactive. Now that liquidity has returned to some altcoins, this is what a bull market should look like: one flower blooming is not as good as a hundred flowers blossoming. #特朗普就职后行情怎么走?
武帝为此
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$TRUMP This wave of cutting is too severe. From a short-term perspective, it is still not advisable to bottom-fish, as the risk of major players unloading remains. It is better to wait for a sideways trend and for capital to stop flowing out in large amounts before entering to catch a rebound. The previous post also mentioned that many major players' costs are unimaginably low. Based on the changes in the holding amounts of cryptocurrencies combined with the capital flow of the entire network's contracts, it is evident that major players have built a considerable number of short positions at the top. Meme inherently carries leverage properties, so just be mindful of the risks. #TRUMP市值突破
$TRUMP This wave of cutting is too severe. From a short-term perspective, it is still not advisable to bottom-fish, as the risk of major players unloading remains. It is better to wait for a sideways trend and for capital to stop flowing out in large amounts before entering to catch a rebound. The previous post also mentioned that many major players' costs are unimaginably low. Based on the changes in the holding amounts of cryptocurrencies combined with the capital flow of the entire network's contracts, it is evident that major players have built a considerable number of short positions at the top. Meme inherently carries leverage properties, so just be mindful of the risks. #TRUMP市值突破
武帝为此
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$TRUMP From a short-term perspective, it seems that there is a suspicion of spot delivery. Pay attention to the risks. Looking at the short-term data, you can see that the main funds rarely build long positions during the price rise. Now, even if the price plummets by more than 10%, there is not much profit loss for the main funds. When the smart money on the chain focuses on buying, there is no secondary market. But after all, it is a meme sent by Trump. Now the market value has exceeded the 10 billion mark. It seems that he wants to flaunt $DOGE . In short, don't underestimate this kind of coin with celebrity effect. But it does not affect the current risk of chasing it. If it can stabilize the low point support of the previous decline, then there is still room for follow-up#特朗普上任前风向分析
$TRUMP From a short-term perspective, it seems that there is a suspicion of spot delivery. Pay attention to the risks. Looking at the short-term data, you can see that the main funds rarely build long positions during the price rise. Now, even if the price plummets by more than 10%, there is not much profit loss for the main funds. When the smart money on the chain focuses on buying, there is no secondary market. But after all, it is a meme sent by Trump. Now the market value has exceeded the 10 billion mark. It seems that he wants to flaunt $DOGE . In short, don't underestimate this kind of coin with celebrity effect. But it does not affect the current risk of chasing it. If it can stabilize the low point support of the previous decline, then there is still room for follow-up#特朗普上任前风向分析
$USUAL ran away, the main spot orders caused data distortion, this time it was indeed a bit reckless, after all, it was a small position ambush, a small loss to exit is also acceptable. Summarizing the experience, in the future still wait for the K-line pattern to be drawn out and then combine with the data to make judgments
武帝为此
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The volume at position $USUAL has dropped, and from the data, it looks like it is absorbing cash and controlling the market, clearing the last high-leverage contracts. The risk-reward ratio is good, worth a small position to ambush one hand at #特朗普上任前风向分析
The volume at position $USUAL has dropped, and from the data, it looks like it is absorbing cash and controlling the market, clearing the last high-leverage contracts. The risk-reward ratio is good, worth a small position to ambush one hand at #特朗普上任前风向分析
$PNUT has fallen significantly 🐿️, all short positions combined with spot sales have dropped. 50 million USD has flowed out of the 4-hour contract, and the positions of the cryptocurrency have increased by 8%. After such a large drop, just be careful of short positions rebounding #BTC重回10万
武帝为此
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$PNUT Squirrel entered a significant number of long positions last night, but there are short positions above pressing down on the price. Currently, we have entered a stage of a long-short game. The change in the holdings of the cryptocurrency has not significantly differed from its value changes, and there are no obvious signs of net inflow of spot funds looking to accumulate. Overall, Squirrel's trading volume is still present, and compared to other coins that have halved, it does not show signs of volume decline, warranting continued attention #哪些代币逆势上涨?
$AGLD No way, the market has first started to lose strength. From the data, the spot funds have already flowed out significantly on an hourly basis, and the contracts are mainly flat long positions. In the current environment, the main market is not giving any face, making it difficult for other altcoins to establish a sustained independent trend. #哪些代币逆势上涨?
武帝为此
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$AGLD seems to have support. The net inflow of contract funds in the entire network has basically stabilized, and long orders have begun to increase slowly. From the flow of funds in the spot market, it can be seen that it is not a drop in shipment. There are not many coins that can withstand the decline of the market in the past few days. If the market stabilizes, there should be another good wave of pull-ups #加密市场回调
$PNUT Squirrel entered a significant number of long positions last night, but there are short positions above pressing down on the price. Currently, we have entered a stage of a long-short game. The change in the holdings of the cryptocurrency has not significantly differed from its value changes, and there are no obvious signs of net inflow of spot funds looking to accumulate. Overall, Squirrel's trading volume is still present, and compared to other coins that have halved, it does not show signs of volume decline, warranting continued attention #哪些代币逆势上涨?
武帝为此
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$PNUT From the data, 🐿️ at the 12h level, the net outflow of funds in the entire network contract is approximately 5M, and the holdings of the currency have increased by 2.64%, while its value has decreased by 1.88%. It is evident that speculative funds have increased some short positions, and there are no signs of major funds absorbing spot funds. Even after dropping to this level, the bears are still relentless, it's really a case of 'when the wall falls, everyone pushes', the sentiment for meme coins still relies on maintaining heat #还有山寨季?
$AGLD seems to have support. The net inflow of contract funds in the entire network has basically stabilized, and long orders have begun to increase slowly. From the flow of funds in the spot market, it can be seen that it is not a drop in shipment. There are not many coins that can withstand the decline of the market in the past few days. If the market stabilizes, there should be another good wave of pull-ups #加密市场回调
$PNUT From the data, 🐿️ at the 12h level, the net outflow of funds in the entire network contract is approximately 5M, and the holdings of the currency have increased by 2.64%, while its value has decreased by 1.88%. It is evident that speculative funds have increased some short positions, and there are no signs of major funds absorbing spot funds. Even after dropping to this level, the bears are still relentless, it's really a case of 'when the wall falls, everyone pushes', the sentiment for meme coins still relies on maintaining heat #还有山寨季?
武帝为此
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$PNUT 🐿️12h level has partially closed short positions, the K-line price has stabilized, but it can only be regarded as a rebound. Regardless of any altcoin, the risk of going long is very high before there is a significant large long position entering the market. Don't blindly go long just because the K-line has stabilized; from the data, the price falling below 0.55 still shows that there is no main force willing to enter long positions to support the price. The best scenario is to continue moving in a range-bound manner, but it seems that the risk of being dragged down by the market is still quite large. #加密市场回调
On $BTC 8, I posted a reminder that the altcoins should pay attention to risks in the past few days. The data of most altcoins is indeed not good, which is an indisputable fact. Many coins seem to have fallen to the bottom on the K-line. Unexpectedly, this wave of the market was not only brought down by the US stock market, but also many altcoin main funds fled. The only few who increased their holdings were the newly listed BN contracts. It really fits the saying: the crypto market is a game of who can run faster. #加密市场回调 #比特币价格走势分析
武帝为此
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$BTC This wave of market decline has brought down many altcoins. I just scanned the data and found that most altcoins are not optimistic. The funds added at a short level for some currencies will flow out in a shorter time period. However, it has fallen now, and it is still risky to chase the short position. Let's see if there is a continuous return of funds before entering the market. After all, there is a potential positive effect of Trump in the first quarter. #市场调整策略
$PNUT 🐿️12h level has partially closed short positions, the K-line price has stabilized, but it can only be regarded as a rebound. Regardless of any altcoin, the risk of going long is very high before there is a significant large long position entering the market. Don't blindly go long just because the K-line has stabilized; from the data, the price falling below 0.55 still shows that there is no main force willing to enter long positions to support the price. The best scenario is to continue moving in a range-bound manner, but it seems that the risk of being dragged down by the market is still quite large. #加密市场回调
武帝为此
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$PNUT Last night I noticed that the squirrel was not dropping with the market. Despite the market decline, there was still a small inflow of funds, keeping it steady above 0.7. I was scared and quickly closed my short position before sleeping, only to wake up and find that an M-top had formed; now it's going through a correction. The entire network's contracts ran 22 million at the 12h level, and short-term contracts were mainly opened short. This wave should be a continuous rise in the bottom during the oscillation. For specific reasons, refer to the post I shared earlier. In this range, the bottom has changed hands sufficiently, and the correction is in place. It is more prudent to enter again with significant capital inflows. #比特币走势观察
$GAS I was right about you, returns > risks #市场调整策略
武帝为此
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The currency $GAS is currently in a range-bound movement. Once the consolidation ends, it is very likely to see another upward wave. Firstly, after the cost settlement at 12 o'clock this morning, the net outflow of contract funds across the network was about 3M, but the subsequent inflow of funds also kept pace, and the price surged to 6 before the rate settlement at 4 o'clock. Secondly, although the price is in a range-bound phase, the holding amount of this currency has remained high, and there has been a 10% increase at the 4-hour level. Considering the change in the total value of its positions, there are no signs of large funds building short positions. In summary, it is possible to enter the market for short-term speculation at low levels (maintaining high holdings + no short-term outflow of contract funds exceeding 3M). The risk is: the spot market has been running a bit too much, as if the contract price is raised to appear in the spot #市场调整策略
The currency $GAS is currently in a range-bound movement. Once the consolidation ends, it is very likely to see another upward wave. Firstly, after the cost settlement at 12 o'clock this morning, the net outflow of contract funds across the network was about 3M, but the subsequent inflow of funds also kept pace, and the price surged to 6 before the rate settlement at 4 o'clock. Secondly, although the price is in a range-bound phase, the holding amount of this currency has remained high, and there has been a 10% increase at the 4-hour level. Considering the change in the total value of its positions, there are no signs of large funds building short positions. In summary, it is possible to enter the market for short-term speculation at low levels (maintaining high holdings + no short-term outflow of contract funds exceeding 3M). The risk is: the spot market has been running a bit too much, as if the contract price is raised to appear in the spot #市场调整策略
$BTC This wave of market decline has brought down many altcoins. I just scanned the data and found that most altcoins are not optimistic. The funds added at a short level for some currencies will flow out in a shorter time period. However, it has fallen now, and it is still risky to chase the short position. Let's see if there is a continuous return of funds before entering the market. After all, there is a potential positive effect of Trump in the first quarter. #市场调整策略
$PENGU From the data, Penguin is still as strong as ever. Every time there is a callback, I check the data and find that the total network currency holdings are reduced by no more than 5%, and the capital outflow does not exceed 10M within 12 hours. In addition, its subsequent capital return and position increase are also very timely. I have posted a post before that the main force is still in the short term. At present, at least the main force has not completely run away, and the risk of short selling is still very high.
$PENGU From the data, Penguin is still as strong as ever. Every time there is a callback, I check the data and find that the total network currency holdings are reduced by no more than 5%, and the capital outflow does not exceed 10M within 12 hours. In addition, its subsequent capital return and position increase are also very timely. I have posted a post before that the main force is still in the short term. At present, at least the main force has not completely run away, and the risk of short selling is still very high.
武帝为此
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$PENGU Last night, when Penguin was pulling the market against the trend, I was watching Squirrel's data. At that time, I also paid attention to Penguin's data (Figure 1), but I didn't post a reminder in time. I didn't get this wave of pulling the market against the trend, which is indeed a bit regrettable. At present, from the data (Figure 2), the contracts are mainly closed long, and the short-term level is also caused by the outflow of closed long. There is no large fund shorting. It can be basically judged that the main force has not planned to leave the market. I plan to wait for the callback to end and combine the data analysis to see if there will be any miracles in the future#比特币走势观察