You can see pullback area at : - Fibonacci Retracement 0.236 - Fibonacci Retracement 0.386 - Fibonacci Retracement 0.5
Be cautious with your decisions, especially for 2025, as the Dec 2024 Summary of Economic Projections release has impacted the market. Macro economic conditions are solid, but the Fed's decision left the market disappointed.
After release Summary of Economic Projections Dec 18 FOMC, market was disappointed since The Fed's forecast cut rates only 2x or maybe just 1x (3.9) instead of 4x as SEP projected in September (3.4) $BTC
How to Navigate Investments in a High-Rate Environment
In a world where interest rates are expected to remain high, playing it safe is the smart move. Focus on bonds, dividend-paying stocks, and defensive sectors. While crypto and tech stocks still hold potential, investors must be more selective and stick to assets with strong fundamentals.
The Fed and the Dollar: A Deadly Combo for Bitcoin
Hawkish Fed policies are strengthening the US Dollar, making it more attractive to global investors. With 2025 PCE inflation still projected at 2.5%, the Dollar's upward trajectory continues. For Bitcoin, a strong Dollar is bad news. As a globally traded asset, Bitcoin’s value is dropping as the Dollar gains strength.
Crypto or Bonds? Where Should Investors Park Their Money?
Bonds are emerging as the clear winner as The Fed maintains a 3.9% interest rate projection for 2025. With reliable yields and lower risk, they’re outshining volatile assets like crypto. Is this the end of the "crypto as an inflation hedge" narrative? Only time will tell.
S&P 500 and Crypto Falls Hard: Is This the End of the 2024 Rally?
The Fed’s latest projection keeps the unemployment rate stable at 4.3% in 2025, indicating a strong labor market. However, with inflation not declining fast enough, interest rates are projected to stay higher. This is bad news for companies reliant on cheap credit. Rising borrowing costs and weakening consumer demand are hitting valuations, especially in tech stocks, leading to a significant market correction.
Altcoins Crash: Is This the Start of Another Crypto Winter?
Altcoins, which are even more speculative, are taking a bigger hit than Bitcoin. The Fed's GDP growth forecast for 2025 stands at 2.1%, signaling slower economic momentum. This cautious outlook is scaring off investors, leading to significant sell-offs in $ETH , Solana, and other altcoins. With drying liquidity, the market seems to be heading toward another "crypto winter".
The Fed’s cautious tone has crypto investors worried. Slower GDP growth (2.1%) and inflation above target mean fewer rate cuts, reducing market liquidity. This could lead to a prolonged downturn in the crypto market, especially for speculative tokens.
How Economic Projections Are Shaping the Future of Stocks and Crypto
The Summary of Economic Projections highlights the tension between sticky inflation and slowing GDP growth. With inflation at 2.5% and GDP growth at 2.1% in 2025, The Fed is cautious about loosening its policies. Investors must now rethink their strategies, focusing on diversification and cutting back on risky bets like crypto.
Bitcoin and Altcoins Crash: How The Fed’s Hawkish Policies Are Strangling the Crypto Market
Bitcoin, often touted as an "inflation hedge," is struggling after The Fed's latest projection confirms high interest rates for longer. With PCE inflation for 2025 projected at 2.5%, The Fed isn’t ready to loosen its policies aggressively. As a result, liquidity in the crypto market is evaporating. Investors are fleeing Bitcoin for more stable returns in bonds, causing Bitcoin's price to tumble by over 10% in just a few days.
The Fed’s Surprise Move: Why Crypto and Stocks Are in Danger
The latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) reveals that The Fed expects the interest rate in 2025 to be 3.9%, up from the previous projection of 3.4%. Initially, investors anticipated three rate cuts next year, but the latest data suggests there may only be one or two. This has triggered a massive sell-off in crypto and stock markets, especially since borrowing costs remain high, making it difficult for businesses and speculative assets like Bitcoin and altcoins to thrive.
FLOKI finish to visit Target Area at Eliott Wave 3 *Update from previous analysis 🔥🔥🔥
NOW : FLOKI Finish drop to firat target area of Wave 3 🔥🔥🔥
What's the next move ?
📌FLOKI needs a pullback/retest first after its drop to Wave 3 for,and on going to visit next target of Wave 4, hitting the marked target area.
📌Then, it’s likely to continue its decline to complete Wave 5 in the Elliott Wave Expanded Flat Correction.
📌Be cautious about the FOMC data release on December 19. The Fed revised its rate cut projection in the Summary of Economic Projections from 3.4 to 3.9. This will significantly impact the market in 2025, as the Fed might only cut rates 2x or even just 1x next year (This could disappoint the market, which has been overly euphoric). Please follow the trend of Bitcoin and Economic Projection 2025.
Be Careful : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹BTC is now in the final Impulse Wave (Wave 5). When Wave 5 finishes, a deeper correction might happen
DISCLAIMER : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹 Fibo Extend 1.618 is hard to visit, it'll take a while & need some corrections. 🔹Consider trailing TakeProfit in $108K-$134K (In case BTC successfully breakout from $100K) 🔹Be careful of unexpected bad news. 🔹Watch US inflation rates during The FED's rate cuts, as higher liquidity will boost purchasing power and impact inflation. 🔹ETF's Inflow have entered too much, one day hedge funds will taking profit, be careful !. 🔹Donald Trump's company tax cut policy will impact to inflation. If it happens, The FED might have to stop rate cuts, or even raise interest rates.
This is one of my Altcoins Watchlist The current SAND position is still quite ideal for monitoring & accumulation. SAND has great potential to strengthen if it enters the Altcoins seasons era
I refer to Technical Analysis (Eliott Wave Theory) Currently SAND is in the phase towards Impulse Wave 3, after the Wave 2 correction which is at the 0.5% Fibonacci Retracement
If we look for areas that have the potential to visit SAND for strengthening, you can look for it by using the Fibonacci Extension drawn from Lower to Swing High Wave 1, then drag it down to Lower Wave 2. Then you will get the Fibonacci Extension level: 🚀1,272 = in Price Range $1.3 🚀1,618 = in Price Range $1.7
Apart from that, you can also look for potential strengthening simply by using the Fibonacci Retracement drawn from the ATH - to the Lower Correction, then you will get a potential key Resistance level by visiting SAND, namely at: 🚀Fibo Retrace 0.382 = in Price Range $1 🚀Fibo Retrace 0.5 = in Price Range $1.4 🚀Fibo Retrace 0.618 = in Price Range $2.1
For Now, we focus on the highest and closest probability first which is possible to visit SAND, namely at Fibonacci Retracement 0.382 (Price Range $1).
If you are able to break out from $1, then the next strengthening will be at the Strong Resistance Price Range $1.3 - $1.7. Where in this area there is Confluence Resistance between Fibonacci Extension and Fibonacci Retracement.
Apart from that, according to Eliott Wave Theory, strengthening in Wave 3 could range up to 1,618 with the highest probability.
So, compared to the risk, SAND is good enough to be considered on your Altcoins Watchlist. Plus the fundamentals are quite supportive too.