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OxLin_老林
596 Posts

OxLin_老林

2013年炒币,尚未自由,充满信心。二级市场项目投研,链上一级市场数据分析,冲金🐶,交易原则:翻倍出本,利润随缘格局。不说废话讲干货,手续费八折邀请码: BNB1688 推特:BigLin666666
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Frequent Trader
8.9 Years
135 Following
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Posts
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Bearish
The rise list has now opened the garbage coin market, and I guess this is the peak of the market. If these rise lists were replaced with older coins, like EOS or NEO, that would be the tail end of the market. Some holders are only fifty points away from breaking even and are preparing to exit; they hope this market will continue for a bit longer.
The rise list has now opened the garbage coin market, and I guess this is the peak of the market. If these rise lists were replaced with older coins, like EOS or NEO, that would be the tail end of the market. Some holders are only fifty points away from breaking even and are preparing to exit; they hope this market will continue for a bit longer.
PINNED
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Bearish
Although it’s the depths of winter ❄️ I made it in time to participate on the last day of first-level construction exam registration. Over the past few days I’ve been buying tutorials, buying books, and watching videos. There are still two months to go for the final sprint, but I guess in practice it’ll be at most one month. Hope I can pass on the first attempt.
Although it’s the depths of winter ❄️
I made it in time to participate on the last day of first-level construction exam registration.
Over the past few days I’ve been buying tutorials, buying books, and watching videos.
There are still two months to go for the final sprint, but I guess in practice it’ll be at most one month.
Hope I can pass on the first attempt.
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Bullish
Ordinary people should not learn this—unless you’ve gotten a high-paying job at ByteDance; if you fail, you can still go to other top-tier companies and get a high salary. This isn’t a hype “chicken soup” for ordinary people—it’s a common people’s bitter “chicken soup.”
Ordinary people should not learn this—unless you’ve gotten a high-paying job at ByteDance; if you fail, you can still go to other top-tier companies and get a high salary. This isn’t a hype “chicken soup” for ordinary people—it’s a common people’s bitter “chicken soup.”
Article
What do you want to do after achieving financial freedom?I know a big shot who sold his own company a few years ago. The day the money hit the account, an eight-figure sum was sitting there. I thought he would go buy a sports car, swap his mansion for a bigger one, and book a ticket for a round-the-world trip. But none of it happened. He drove there alone, to the outskirts of the city, and sat in a stretch of barren land for the whole afternoon. He smoked a few cigarettes, watched the ants carry their burdens, came home in the evening, and cooked his mother a dinner. The next day, he got up at six as usual—went for a run, read books, and then went downstairs to the breakfast place he’d been eating at for more than ten years. The boss’s wife asked him, "Aren’t you working today?" He smiled and said, "You won’t have to work anymore."

What do you want to do after achieving financial freedom?

I know a big shot who sold his own company a few years ago.
The day the money hit the account, an eight-figure sum was sitting there.
I thought he would go buy a sports car, swap his mansion for a bigger one, and book a ticket for a round-the-world trip.
But none of it happened.
He drove there alone, to the outskirts of the city, and sat in a stretch of barren land for the whole afternoon.
He smoked a few cigarettes, watched the ants carry their burdens, came home in the evening, and cooked his mother a dinner.
The next day, he got up at six as usual—went for a run, read books, and then went downstairs to the breakfast place he’d been eating at for more than ten years.
The boss’s wife asked him, "Aren’t you working today?"
He smiled and said, "You won’t have to work anymore."
AI is beginning to change an industry that no one previously paid attention to. — the bond market. In the past, everyone thought that. AI’s biggest beneficiaries were chip companies. But recently, the ones really making money are. Also investment banks that help tech companies raise funds. Because AI companies need more and more money. And the financing methods are becoming more and more complex. Many banks have already started designing: financing supported by data-center leasing. AI infrastructure special-purpose bonds. And even long-term bonds across multiple currencies. AI’s change. Is no longer just in the tech industry. It’s starting to change the financial industry itself.$AAPL.US
AI is beginning to change an industry that no one previously paid attention to.
— the bond market.
In the past, everyone thought that.
AI’s biggest beneficiaries were chip companies.
But recently, the ones really making money are.
Also investment banks that help tech companies raise funds.
Because AI companies need more and more money.
And the financing methods are becoming more and more complex.
Many banks have already started designing:
financing supported by data-center leasing.
AI infrastructure special-purpose bonds.
And even long-term bonds across multiple currencies.
AI’s change.
Is no longer just in the tech industry.
It’s starting to change the financial industry itself.$AAPL.US
AAPLonAlpha
AAPLUS+1.35%
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Bullish
If I had to choose the most worth-watching sectors in the second half of the year. I wouldn’t pick Meme. And I wouldn’t chase newly launched L1s. I’ll continue to watch three directions: ① Stablecoin payments ② RWA (real-world assets on-chain) ③ AI + Crypto The reason is simple. At the end of each cycle. What truly stays. Is infrastructure. Stories can change every year. Infrastructure usually lasts for a decade.$NVDAB {spot}(NVDABUSDT)
If I had to choose the most worth-watching sectors in the second half of the year.
I wouldn’t pick Meme.
And I wouldn’t chase newly launched L1s.
I’ll continue to watch three directions:
① Stablecoin payments
② RWA (real-world assets on-chain)
③ AI + Crypto
The reason is simple.
At the end of each cycle.
What truly stays.
Is infrastructure.
Stories can change every year.
Infrastructure usually lasts for a decade.$NVDAB
Article
Over the next three years, what’s truly valuable isn’t opportunity—it’s the ability to stay aliveIn the past couple of days, I came across an article saying that over the next three years, we need to be especially careful. It contains 16 suggestions. Some of them I don’t fully agree with, but there’s an underlying logic that I think is worth discussing. In the past few years, many people have been thinking about how to make money faster. Over the next few years, it may be even more important to figure out how to lose more slowly. Whether it’s buying a home, starting a business, or investing—what’s truly dangerous isn’t the lack of opportunities, but when your understanding isn’t sufficient and you put all your chips on the table at once. Many people always think that as long as you catch the right wave once, you can turn things around. But in reality, most people don’t lose to the times—they lose to leverage.

Over the next three years, what’s truly valuable isn’t opportunity—it’s the ability to stay alive

In the past couple of days, I came across an article saying that over the next three years, we need to be especially careful.
It contains 16 suggestions. Some of them I don’t fully agree with, but there’s an underlying logic that I think is worth discussing.
In the past few years, many people have been thinking about how to make money faster.
Over the next few years, it may be even more important to figure out how to lose more slowly.
Whether it’s buying a home, starting a business, or investing—what’s truly dangerous isn’t the lack of opportunities, but when your understanding isn’t sufficient and you put all your chips on the table at once.
Many people always think that as long as you catch the right wave once, you can turn things around.
But in reality, most people don’t lose to the times—they lose to leverage.
The biggest misunderstanding in the market is equating “not going up” with “having no value.” After the dot-com bubble burst in 2000. What truly survived wasn’t the internet. It was Amazon. After the 2022 crypto bear market. What really remained wasn’t memes. It was infrastructure. Recently, when BTC broke below $60,000. Many people started discussing whether the bull market is over. But I’m more concerned about something else. With every major adjustment, short-term capital gets shaken out. And truly long-term capital stays behind. Price determines sentiment. Chips determine the future.$币安人生 {spot}(币安人生USDT)
The biggest misunderstanding in the market is equating “not going up” with “having no value.”
After the dot-com bubble burst in 2000.
What truly survived wasn’t the internet.
It was Amazon.
After the 2022 crypto bear market.
What really remained wasn’t memes.
It was infrastructure.
Recently, when BTC broke below $60,000.
Many people started discussing whether the bull market is over.
But I’m more concerned about something else.
With every major adjustment,
short-term capital gets shaken out.
And truly long-term capital stays behind.
Price determines sentiment.
Chips determine the future.$币安人生
Article
There’s no such thing as an everlasting boom—only cycles that keep repeatingI’m becoming more and more certain of one thing: You’re still young, so you haven’t truly seen the power of the “cycle.” In the past two decades, almost no profession has been able to reliably stay hot for ten years. Industries that are worshipped on a pedestal today might have been “dead-end pits” just five or six years ago. Around the early 2000s, Guomao and foreign languages were the kingly majors. The admission cutoffs for double-non (Tier 2) foreign-language universities could even suppress those of 985 programs; getting into a foreign company was the most dignified way out. Around 2005, the oil industry was crowned the gods. Companies like Shell and Schlumberger, in the eyes of many families, were synonymous with a “stable job for life + high income.” Back then, when kids entered the oil industry system, coming back to the village for the New Year meant they could be toasted with respect.

There’s no such thing as an everlasting boom—only cycles that keep repeating

I’m becoming more and more certain of one thing:
You’re still young, so you haven’t truly seen the power of the “cycle.”
In the past two decades, almost no profession has been able to reliably stay hot for ten years.
Industries that are worshipped on a pedestal today might have been “dead-end pits” just five or six years ago.
Around the early 2000s, Guomao and foreign languages were the kingly majors.
The admission cutoffs for double-non (Tier 2) foreign-language universities could even suppress those of 985 programs; getting into a foreign company was the most dignified way out.
Around 2005, the oil industry was crowned the gods.
Companies like Shell and Schlumberger, in the eyes of many families, were synonymous with a “stable job for life + high income.”
Back then, when kids entered the oil industry system, coming back to the village for the New Year meant they could be toasted with respect.
Article
Only after middle age do people realize that 《The Discourses on Salt and Iron》 already wrote the wealth codeI used to see a post on Tianya. The title was very arrogant—called (One year is worth ten years). I thought it was just another success-story cliché. But when I clicked in, I found the author kept repeating a few lines from (The Discourses on Salt and Iron). Things from thousands of years ago—when you look at them today, they’re somehow still not outdated. The first sentence is the most brutal. Wealth lies in understanding numbers and methods, not in hard labor. In plain terms, wealth depends on the means of production, not on physical strength. Ordinary people sell time, while bosses buy time. You only have 24 hours a day—no matter how hard you push, it’s still hard to create a real breakthrough. The second sentence is also very realistic. First eat your fill, then talk about refinement; first settle down, then discuss poetry and distant places.

Only after middle age do people realize that 《The Discourses on Salt and Iron》 already wrote the wealth code

I used to see a post on Tianya. The title was very arrogant—called (One year is worth ten years).
I thought it was just another success-story cliché. But when I clicked in, I found the author kept repeating a few lines from (The Discourses on Salt and Iron).
Things from thousands of years ago—when you look at them today, they’re somehow still not outdated.
The first sentence is the most brutal.
Wealth lies in understanding numbers and methods, not in hard labor.
In plain terms, wealth depends on the means of production, not on physical strength.
Ordinary people sell time, while bosses buy time. You only have 24 hours a day—no matter how hard you push, it’s still hard to create a real breakthrough.
The second sentence is also very realistic.
First eat your fill, then talk about refinement; first settle down, then discuss poetry and distant places.
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Bearish
2026. The most profitable companies in the world. It’s becoming more and more like a rental collection company. Microsoft charges a software tax. Nvidia charges a compute tax. Apple charges an ecosystem tax. And stablecoin issuers. Charge an interest tax. As of June. The total stablecoin market size has already exceeded $260 billion. Most of the assets are bought in U.S. short-term Treasuries. Users feel like they’re holding digital dollars. But what the issuer receives is Treasury yield. Many business models. With a different wrapper. In essence, nothing has changed for decades.$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
2026.

The most profitable companies in the world.

It’s becoming more and more like a rental collection company.

Microsoft charges a software tax.

Nvidia charges a compute tax.

Apple charges an ecosystem tax.

And stablecoin issuers.

Charge an interest tax.

As of June.

The total stablecoin market size has already exceeded $260 billion.

Most of the assets are bought in U.S. short-term Treasuries.

Users feel like they’re holding digital dollars.

But what the issuer receives is Treasury yield.

Many business models.

With a different wrapper.

In essence, nothing has changed for decades.$BTC
Within the 5.8–5.5 region
Within the 5.8–5.5 region
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Bullish
If a person chooses to sink willingly, it’s hard to pull themselves out. Whoever reaches out isn’t acting in vain; they’re either joining in the drowning.$SPCXB {spot}(SPCXBUSDT)
If a person chooses to sink willingly, it’s hard to pull themselves out. Whoever reaches out isn’t acting in vain; they’re either joining in the drowning.$SPCXB
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Bearish
I’m starting to feel more and more that the counterfeit/knockoff season may really be over. 2017. Even if you buy with your eyes closed, you make money. 2021. You make money by buying the blue-chip leaders. 2026. The market starts picking projects. Start looking at revenue. Look at fees. Look at buybacks. Look at cash reserves. Even begin researching how long the teams can last. Crypto markets finally start to resemble capital markets. The story still matters. But profits start to matter more.
I’m starting to feel more and more that the counterfeit/knockoff season may really be over.
2017.
Even if you buy with your eyes closed, you make money.
2021.
You make money by buying the blue-chip leaders.
2026.
The market starts picking projects.
Start looking at revenue.
Look at fees.
Look at buybacks.
Look at cash reserves.
Even begin researching how long the teams can last.
Crypto markets finally start to resemble capital markets.
The story still matters.
But profits start to matter more.
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Bearish
The strongest point of BTC isn't the pump. It's that no one wants to sell. 2021. BTC dipped 20%. The market started to panic. 2022. BTC fell 50%. The market began to despair. 2026. BTC is ranging around sixty grand. The market went silent. An interesting phenomenon. In a bull market, discussions are about yields. In a bear market, it's all about faith. At the cycle's bottom, the talk is about: How many are still in the game. Last week, the US spot ETF saw a net outflow of around 1.26 billion. Institutions are clearly getting cautious. But what's truly worth studying is. Even so, BTC still hasn't seen a sell-off. This indicates that the chip structure. Is completely different from the past.
The strongest point of BTC isn't the pump.
It's that no one wants to sell.
2021.
BTC dipped 20%.
The market started to panic.
2022.
BTC fell 50%.
The market began to despair.
2026.
BTC is ranging around sixty grand.
The market went silent.
An interesting phenomenon.
In a bull market, discussions are about yields.
In a bear market, it's all about faith.
At the cycle's bottom, the talk is about:
How many are still in the game.
Last week, the US spot ETF saw a net outflow of around 1.26 billion.
Institutions are clearly getting cautious.
But what's truly worth studying is.
Even so,
BTC still hasn't seen a sell-off.
This indicates that the chip structure.
Is completely different from the past.
Article
300k in savings might be the toughest barrier for an average person to cross.I’ve noticed a pretty harsh but often true phenomenon. Having 300k in savings feels like an invisible wall of air. Those who break through tend to see their life trajectory shift; those who can’t often find themselves stuck in place. I have a high school buddy who was always top of the class. Landed a job at 25 and saved up his first 300k by 28. Back in the day, he used to think about spending as soon as his paycheck hit, and his savings just grew from pinching pennies. But after hitting that 300k, he suddenly changed. He started diving into asset allocation, keeping an eye on market cycles, and he no longer saw money as something to blow at any moment.

300k in savings might be the toughest barrier for an average person to cross.

I’ve noticed a pretty harsh but often true phenomenon.
Having 300k in savings feels like an invisible wall of air.
Those who break through tend to see their life trajectory shift; those who can’t often find themselves stuck in place.
I have a high school buddy who was always top of the class. Landed a job at 25 and saved up his first 300k by 28.
Back in the day, he used to think about spending as soon as his paycheck hit, and his savings just grew from pinching pennies.
But after hitting that 300k, he suddenly changed.
He started diving into asset allocation, keeping an eye on market cycles, and he no longer saw money as something to blow at any moment.
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Bearish
The most expensive thing for humanity isn't gold. It's the dollar. Over the past month. A lot of folks have been talking about wars. Talking about the World Cup. Talking about AI. But what really shifts global asset pricing. Is the dollar. The dollar index hit a 13-month high. The yen dropped to around 161. Gold fell below $4000. Brent crude dipped to about $73. Few realize. That a rising dollar. Means everyone is getting poorer globally. Including the U.S. itself. Because the dollar's rise is so rapid. It forces all risk assets to get revalued.
The most expensive thing for humanity isn't gold.

It's the dollar.
Over the past month.
A lot of folks have been talking about wars.
Talking about the World Cup.
Talking about AI.
But what really shifts global asset pricing.
Is the dollar.
The dollar index hit a 13-month high.
The yen dropped to around 161.
Gold fell below $4000.
Brent crude dipped to about $73.
Few realize.
That a rising dollar.
Means everyone is getting poorer globally.
Including the U.S. itself.
Because the dollar's rise is so rapid.
It forces all risk assets to get revalued.
XAU+1.34%
BZUS+2.90%
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Bearish
Not long ago, I cut my losses on $ADA coins. I just came out with less than 30 RMB, and many old players know that I was hyping it up in the community. I didn't expect this nearly nine-year-old project to have so many issues. Charles is also a co-founder of Ethereum, known for his tech-savvy beard 🧔. After all, it's just a altcoin, and no matter how strong the background, it could still go to zero $ADA {future}(ADAUSDT)
Not long ago, I cut my losses on $ADA coins. I just came out with less than 30 RMB, and many old players know that I was hyping it up in the community. I didn't expect this nearly nine-year-old project to have so many issues. Charles is also a co-founder of Ethereum, known for his tech-savvy beard 🧔. After all, it's just a altcoin, and no matter how strong the background, it could still go to zero $ADA
Binance's latest update has a bug with the ID. I've been using the HK marketplace ID for updates, but this time it jumped to a different ID and won't update. I'm pretty sure the downloaded ID and the update ID are the same, and the common ones haven't changed. Do I really need to uninstall and reinstall? Has anyone else experienced this issue? 🙋 @heyi @CZ
Binance's latest update has a bug with the ID.
I've been using the HK marketplace ID for updates, but this time it jumped to a different ID and won't update. I'm pretty sure the downloaded ID and the update ID are the same, and the common ones haven't changed. Do I really need to uninstall and reinstall? Has anyone else experienced this issue? 🙋
@Yi He @CZ
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