johnson32_investor
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Stronger targets in Japan
US stocks + virtual currency investment, quantitative trading, manual trading records
IG Twitter namesake
johnson32_investor
Stronger targets in Japan
US stocks + virtual currency investment, quantitative trading, manual trading records
IG Twitter namesake
johnson32_investor
1. The U.S. stock market is bullish in the next two weeks
Action: Go long buy call with a two-week expiration
Type: Momentum trade
Tradingview 20 years+ backtesting
60%+ win rate
2+ profit factor
2. Crypto is also similar, but itโs a dead cat bounce
Action: Prepare to close the two-week hedge bp position opened at 1010
See if the dead cat bounce can resurrect
Type: Momentum trade end + a bit of mean reversion
3. Last week's data looks like
In the next 1-2 quarters, the U.S. stock market might see some small black swans?
Action: Start building a position with 3 months or more Vix buy call
Category: Special trade
Momentum trade
4. If after two weeks, spy qqq does not make a new high, itโs quite dangerous
When the bullish window ends and doesnโt rise again, itโs necessary to reverse and buy put to protect long positions
If thereโs a new high, there will probably be a new bullish window at that time
Weโll see
If it drops below in two weeks, also buy put
1. The bc from point 1 will need to be closed
After opening the position, time is two weeks
Type: Momentum trade
#ๅ ๅฏๅธๅบๅ่ฐ $BTC
Action: Go long buy call with a two-week expiration
Type: Momentum trade
Tradingview 20 years+ backtesting
60%+ win rate
2+ profit factor
2. Crypto is also similar, but itโs a dead cat bounce
Action: Prepare to close the two-week hedge bp position opened at 1010
See if the dead cat bounce can resurrect
Type: Momentum trade end + a bit of mean reversion
3. Last week's data looks like
In the next 1-2 quarters, the U.S. stock market might see some small black swans?
Action: Start building a position with 3 months or more Vix buy call
Category: Special trade
Momentum trade
4. If after two weeks, spy qqq does not make a new high, itโs quite dangerous
When the bullish window ends and doesnโt rise again, itโs necessary to reverse and buy put to protect long positions
If thereโs a new high, there will probably be a new bullish window at that time
Weโll see
If it drops below in two weeks, also buy put
1. The bc from point 1 will need to be closed
After opening the position, time is two weeks
Type: Momentum trade
#ๅ ๅฏๅธๅบๅ่ฐ $BTC
1. Binance really compensated for some product decoupling losses
Received
2. Half a day before Friday's crash
Signals written by myself
Started shorting ETH for two weeks
Hedged some risks
Next week, the U.S. stock market will decide whether to open buy put ETH BTC on Friday
#ๅ ๅฏๅธๅบ่งๅฏ $ETH
Received
2. Half a day before Friday's crash
Signals written by myself
Started shorting ETH for two weeks
Hedged some risks
Next week, the U.S. stock market will decide whether to open buy put ETH BTC on Friday
#ๅ ๅฏๅธๅบ่งๅฏ $ETH
$BTC
0727
No daily K-line rise in a few days fvg
There is downside risk
Will close BTC buy call within a few weeks
Sell to close
Otherwise roll
Take profit buy call
Change to open new two-week expiration buy call
#GalaxyDigitalๆๅฎๆฏ็นๅธ
0727
No daily K-line rise in a few days fvg
There is downside risk
Will close BTC buy call within a few weeks
Sell to close
Otherwise roll
Take profit buy call
Change to open new two-week expiration buy call
#GalaxyDigitalๆๅฎๆฏ็นๅธ
0428
Today the closing of the US stock market spy is very important
555+
Bullish advantage
Crypto and US stocks are competing for shorts until the end of April or even 1-2 weeks
555-
Bearish advantage
Weakness for 1-2 weeks
First check if it exceeds 555 at the opening
$BTC
Today the closing of the US stock market spy is very important
555+
Bullish advantage
Crypto and US stocks are competing for shorts until the end of April or even 1-2 weeks
555-
Bearish advantage
Weakness for 1-2 weeks
First check if it exceeds 555 at the opening
$BTC
0321 US stocks are unhealthy
Crypto is not suitable for impulsive actions in the short term
Gradually score over weeks to months for spot DCA
#BNBChainMeme็ญๆฝฎ
$BTC $ETH
Crypto is not suitable for impulsive actions in the short term
Gradually score over weeks to months for spot DCA
#BNBChainMeme็ญๆฝฎ
$BTC $ETH
$AAVE
A Discussion on AAVE's Valuation
The market value of banks
The calculation of the market value of commercial banks is often quite complex, but I found a method that, while not rigorous, is simple and effective:
Commercial banks with total deposits reaching 10 billion yuan can theoretically earn 1 billion yuan in profit each year. A company with a stable annual income of 1 billion yuan can be valued at least at 10 billion yuan. Therefore, the market value of commercial banks is approximately 10% of their customers' total deposits.
For example:
HSBC's total deposits are approximately $1.63 trillion, with a market value of $162.7 billion, and profits over the past 12 months amount to $16.3 billion. I also found some banks with deposit sizes of $30 billion, and they are basically similar.
The calculation of the market value of commercial banks is often quite complex, but I found a method that, while not rigorous, is simple and effective:
Commercial banks with total deposits reaching 10 billion yuan can theoretically earn 1 billion yuan in profit each year. A company with a stable annual income of 1 billion yuan can be valued at least at 10 billion yuan. Therefore, the market value of commercial banks is approximately 10% of their customers' total deposits.
For example:
HSBC's total deposits are approximately $1.63 trillion, with a market value of $162.7 billion, and profits over the past 12 months amount to $16.3 billion. I also found some banks with deposit sizes of $30 billion, and they are basically similar.
last round
Defi NFT Gamefi has created many myths and bubbles
What do you think this round is?
RWA?
DEPIN?
I think there will be various ETFs running all over the street.
#ๅธๅบๅ่ฐ๏ผ่งๆ่ฟๆฏไธ่ฝฆ๏ผ
$ETH $SOL $BTC
Defi NFT Gamefi has created many myths and bubbles
What do you think this round is?
RWA?
DEPIN?
I think there will be various ETFs running all over the street.
#ๅธๅบๅ่ฐ๏ผ่งๆ่ฟๆฏไธ่ฝฆ๏ผ
$ETH $SOL $BTC
ETH deflation again
There has been no deflation for a long time
Letโs go
This bull market is firmly in place
Itโs also time to plan your exit strategy.
#Solanaๆถจๅฟๅๆ $ETH $SOL $BTC
There has been no deflation for a long time
Letโs go
This bull market is firmly in place
Itโs also time to plan your exit strategy.
#Solanaๆถจๅฟๅๆ $ETH $SOL $BTC
Funds began to leave meme coins and move to public chain Defi and other projects #ๅธๅฎๆณจๅ็จๆท็ช็ ด 2.4 ไบฟ $ETH
โฆ
Binance News
ยท
--
FBI seizes Polymarket CEO's devices, may accuse him of market manipulation
According to Wu, the FBI seized the cellphone and electronic devices of Polymarketโs CEO after the betting platform predicted Trumpโs victory. The government may accuse Polymarket of manipulating the market and rigging the polls to favor Trump.
20241114
Large spot orders continue to move towards BTC
Binance
OKX are all
US stock options
Miner CLSK MARA MSTR continues to issue large orders
IBIT's big order has been shipped a little bit
#BTCๅฒ็ ด9ไธ $BTC
Shanzhai is slightly weaker
Large spot orders continue to move towards BTC
Binance
OKX are all
US stock options
Miner CLSK MARA MSTR continues to issue large orders
IBIT's big order has been shipped a little bit
#BTCๅฒ็ ด9ไธ $BTC
Shanzhai is slightly weaker
Many retail investors are beginning to complain about BNB
There is room for growth
But I havenโt bought the chips yet in the short term.
Wait and see
$BNB
There is room for growth
But I havenโt bought the chips yet in the short term.
Wait and see
$BNB
Yesterday mentioned ADA large orders are selling and small orders are buying
Supplementary explanation
Just sharing chip information
Positive correlation relative strength
Does not mean it will fall
But high probability short-term run is relatively a bit worse
A few hours later
$ADA
Supplementary explanation
Just sharing chip information
Positive correlation relative strength
Does not mean it will fall
But high probability short-term run is relatively a bit worse
A few hours later
$ADA
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