巨鲸领投

Big market moves are likely to happen in mid to late July. A rapid downturn means we're accelerating towards the bottom, so the best time to DCA (dollar-cost average) is just around the corner.

Most people see 30,000 USD, but it actually seems very difficult to reach at the moment. In the short term, a bottom of 42,000-45,000 USD is a particularly good reversal zone for bottom hunting.

Looking back at the Spring Festival market over the years, Bitcoin has almost "always risen during the Spring Festival"📈
From 2015 to 2024, it recorded positive returns for 10 consecutive years, with an increase ranging from 0.8% to 19.5%.
The only exception occurred in 2025: during the Spring Festival, Bitcoin fell from 74,800 to 71,200 USD, a drop of −4.8%, breaking the ten-year rising trend for the first time.
Now entering the 2026 Spring Festival market window, the current Bitcoin price is around 67,000 USD: will this year continue the inertia of "rising during the Spring Festival for ten consecutive years"?

What was mentioned earlier is that ENS rebounded quickly, and if you bought at a 30% increase, you can take profit now.

ens, strong support in the 5.3-5.0 range will rebound, spot can be considered for a bet on the rebound

The current price structure of Bitcoin is almost completely overlapping with the high phases of 2017 and 2021.
From a historical rhythm perspective, the next step is often not a fluctuation, but a rapid decline.
If the logic of this chart holds, $BTC may drop to around $35,000-40,000 in the next 15-20 days. The question is not whether it will happen, but whether you are already prepared strategically. #BTC走势分析

The next wave for BTC is at 60,000.
When it reaches 50,000 to 60,000, there will be a rebound for 1-2 months, then it will enter a mode of oscillation and downward movement, hitting the bottom during the National Day holiday.

History is always remarkably similar.
As long as human behavioral patterns remain unchanged, price behavior patterns will not change either.
That is to say, if a certain pattern is predictable now, it will also be predictable in the next ten years.
This statement perfectly aligns with my previous understanding.
It's about whether to treat stock investing as an important matter.
If it's merely a game where you win ten times and lose nine, why waste time and energy just to give money away?
But behind investment and trading lies human nature. As long as human nature hasn't changed, there are rules to be found.
We must overcome human nature, constantly correct our own mistakes in this market. Through the process of competition, gradually grasp the patterns of price movements, and achieve accurate predictions and earn returns.
This idea has been further validated in this book.

The gold mentioned earlier is about to peak at 4550, the highest point has dropped by 3 points today.

Gold is quickly reaching a daily level top divergence, with the top range between 4500-4550, and the extreme at 4700, verification time is 2 months

From the beginning to now, the crashes that Bitcoin has experienced,
From:
$32 dropped to $0.02
$200 dropped to $50
$1,200 dropped to $200
$20,000 dropped to $3,000
$60,000 dropped to $15,000
$126,000 dropped to $85,000
Is it a god of wealth or an evil harvesting scythe? The ancient sword of extermination has no good or bad; it all depends on the great hand that tightly grips it.
​When the heart is still, the moon is bright and the wind is clear; when the heart stirs, the waves surge.

The potential Christmas rebound of Bitcoin depends on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision!
The year-end rebound is often referred to as the "Christmas rally." In previous years, there have indeed been rebound rises in Christmas month. Currently, due to improved liquidity conditions and the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates reaching 90% in early December, the crypto market may be poised for a rebound.
Despite positive macroeconomic signals, overall market sentiment remains dominated by fear. Institutional and retail investors are still hesitant, failing to deploy capital, and the market is in a stalemate until ETF inflows and other institutional signals confirm stability. Therefore, the upcoming interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve will be crucial. If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates on December 10 and ends quantitative tightening, Bitcoin may experience a short-term rise in the "Christmas rally," provided there are no significant geopolitical shocks.
Additionally, speculation about Hassett being appointed as the next Federal Reserve Chair may introduce a more dovish stance, which could positively impact the cryptocurrency market to some extent.
There is a variable; the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December can already be said to be a done deal, and when the Federal Reserve cuts rates, the impact of the yen's rate hike may further reduce the overall volatility of the cryptocurrency market.

A rule: When gold peaks = Bitcoin bottoms.
After gold peaks, a large amount of liquidity usually flows into Bitcoin and drives its price up. From a macro perspective, there is no reason to be pessimistic about Bitcoin's upside potential.

"Twelve years ago, Bitcoin was like a product of a virtual magical world. Currently, the scale of Bitcoin ETFs has surpassed that of gold ETFs. Within 1-2 years, the total assets of stablecoins will reach 1-2 trillion dollars, and stablecoins will become the infrastructure of the future financial world."

New Forces of Seven Cryptocurrencies:
​1.AVAX (Avalanche)
Market cap top 15, ultra-high-speed chain supporting enterprise-level subnets, exploring collaborations with Amazon and others. Strong technology, ecological revival, expected to rival ETH/SOL, with the risk of bull market enthusiasm not matching Sol.
2.INJ (Injective Protocol)
Medium market cap, strong integration of DeFi native chain and AI, active development, belongs to the top projects in the Cosmos ecosystem, with outstanding community and development strength. Short-term risk of speculative hype followed by a pullback, long-term potential still exists.
3.ARB (Arbitrum)
Market cap top 50, Ethereum's largest Layer 2, leading in TVL, developers, and project numbers. L2 is the mainstream of the future, belongs to “ETH leader's L2 leader,” but lacks value capture mechanisms in the short term.
4.TIA (Celestia)
In the modular blockchain field, innovating the “data availability layer,” adopted by many new public chains, with advanced technical direction. High market cap, with bubble risks, need to be cautious when chasing highs during rapid bull market gains.
5.NEAR (Near Protocol)
Medium to higher market cap, actively promoting AI and blockchain integration, excellent technology, user-friendly UX. After 2024, it may revive its “ETH Lite” role, facing L2 pressure and fluctuations in enthusiasm.
6.RUNE (Thorchain)
In the cross-chain liquidity field, supports native chain cross-chain swaps without bridges, solving cross-chain pain points, prone to explosive growth in bull markets. High technical risks, historically suffered from hacker attacks.
7.SEI (Sei Network)
Ultra-high-speed trading chain, focusing on DEX scenarios, fast throughput, low latency, received strong VC investment, with a solid technical team. In the early stage, hype is greater than actual use.

After 13 years, Bitcoin has increased by 400,000 times. In another 13 years, it is estimated that 6 zeros of Bitcoin will trade for an apple 🍎30.

In the cryptocurrency world, only five coins are worth long-term value investment
​​​​​​​​​Two leading broker coins $BNB and OKB or BGB (constant trading fees, profitability comparable to listed companies)
​​​​​​Three public chains Bitcoin BTC (equivalent to the Shanghai Stock Exchange), Ethereum $ETH (Nasdaq), SOL (Beijing Stock Exchange) (ETH and SOL are similar to Windows and Mac systems; various fraudulent DApps need these two major public chains, forming a capital consensus among the three major public chains)
​​​​​​​The remaining coins are just speculative hype, dancing with bubbles, cashing out at the right time