Finance军师
@tiansnagp
公众号同名：Finance军师.曾经任职头部孵化机构项目经理，做过VC，专业的宏观分析师，金融规划师，深研究币圈体系，擅长:现货，低倍杠杆合约中长期布局。
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Grayscale Research Update Q1 2025 TOP 20 Focus Assets.
Newly added HYPE, ENA, VIRTUAL, JUP, JTO, and GRASS.
Newly added HYPE, ENA, VIRTUAL, JUP, JTO, and GRASS.
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The Vice Dean of the School of Business and Management at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Huang Hao, suggested that Mainland China transfer 190,000 bitcoins to the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government to support Hong Kong in becoming a cryptocurrency hub.
What do you think? It would really help Hong Kong stand up😁
What do you think? It would really help Hong Kong stand up😁
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Advisor Market Analysis: (Issue 161)
Settlement Chart: Last Saturday, the advisor mentioned that the market is oscillating with both bulls and bears suffering losses. Let's take a look at the predictions at that time: today is a day of sideways movement, we see the settlement chart with shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place their bets, and it's highly likely they will both fall.
From Saturday until now, Bitcoin first went to 95600 and cleared a wave of shorts, and this morning it dropped down to 92900 and cleared a wave of long positions. Both bulls and bears are falling together.
Where to go next?
Having just cleared downwards, the shorts are first looking at 94500/96000 limits, and then at 97500.
Bitcoin Candlestick Chart: Based on the current pattern, I firmly see oscillation. The advisor has outlined the oscillation range, with a low of 92900 and a high of 98000.
Within this range of 92900-94000, one can go long when the price is low, and one can go short above 96500, just focusing on short positions without a broader strategy. Protect the high and low points and set stop losses well!
Spot Bitcoin ETF Week 51 Net Flow: -379 million USD
This week, only 2 ETFs had small inflows: $BTC 990,000, $HODL 100,000
Fidelity had an outflow of 183 million USD, and BlackRock had an outflow of 22.7 million USD.
The fourth quarter Bitcoin ETF remains the best-performing quarter this year, with inflows reaching 16.8 billion USD.
Spot Ethereum ETF: This week saw inflows of 349.3 million USD, with no day of net outflow.
Only Grayscale sold a mini position once at 1859, key point: no other ETFs have sold a single Ethereum, the future is promising and requires no further words from me.
Summary: The overall direction remains unchanged, the short-term market is still unclear, those holding spot should just hold tight, and those trading contracts should follow the above strategy for short positions.
Settlement Chart: Last Saturday, the advisor mentioned that the market is oscillating with both bulls and bears suffering losses. Let's take a look at the predictions at that time: today is a day of sideways movement, we see the settlement chart with shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place their bets, and it's highly likely they will both fall.
From Saturday until now, Bitcoin first went to 95600 and cleared a wave of shorts, and this morning it dropped down to 92900 and cleared a wave of long positions. Both bulls and bears are falling together.
Where to go next?
Having just cleared downwards, the shorts are first looking at 94500/96000 limits, and then at 97500.
Bitcoin Candlestick Chart: Based on the current pattern, I firmly see oscillation. The advisor has outlined the oscillation range, with a low of 92900 and a high of 98000.
Within this range of 92900-94000, one can go long when the price is low, and one can go short above 96500, just focusing on short positions without a broader strategy. Protect the high and low points and set stop losses well!
Spot Bitcoin ETF Week 51 Net Flow: -379 million USD
This week, only 2 ETFs had small inflows: $BTC 990,000, $HODL 100,000
Fidelity had an outflow of 183 million USD, and BlackRock had an outflow of 22.7 million USD.
The fourth quarter Bitcoin ETF remains the best-performing quarter this year, with inflows reaching 16.8 billion USD.
Spot Ethereum ETF: This week saw inflows of 349.3 million USD, with no day of net outflow.
Only Grayscale sold a mini position once at 1859, key point: no other ETFs have sold a single Ethereum, the future is promising and requires no further words from me.
Summary: The overall direction remains unchanged, the short-term market is still unclear, those holding spot should just hold tight, and those trading contracts should follow the above strategy for short positions.
Strategist's Market Analysis: (Issue 160)
Liquidation Chart: The strategist is still thinking about breaking through again, aiming to rush to 101000!
In the afternoon, there was a strong surge to 97564, but it directly fell back down, returning to familiar territory, starting to oscillate with long and short positions being squeezed, taking profits in volatile markets, eat and then leave, don’t get caught in the pattern. Don’t fantasize about a one-sided market; at least 1-2 months are needed.
Today was a day of sideways movement; we observe the liquidation chart showing shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place bets, and it is highly likely that both will fall.
Bitcoin Candlestick: The liquidation chart above has already analyzed that the next focus will be on oscillation. With a clear mindset, operations become simple. The oscillation range is 90000-100000, buy on dips and sell on highs, both options are decent. Currently, the support at 92000 seems quite solid; it’s just a matter of time before it breaks. At this position, it is recommended to observe; do not act yet, and wait for the next move from the market makers.
Bitcoin ETF: Difficult to say, just saw a good sign, and the strategist is still cheerful, but today you get a mouthful of criticism. On the 26th, Fidelity bought 254 million, ARKB bought 187 million. On the 27th, they sold 208 million and 113 million. Clearly, the year isn't over yet; let's see the new year’s vibes on New Year’s Day.
Ethereum ETF: Nothing much to say; just compare the two charts and you will see.
Summary: The crazy bull market is still ongoing, the process may not be as smooth as we imagined,
There is a long way to go, making this money is challenging; control leverage and set stop losses, only enter at both ends, don’t go in the middle.
Liquidation Chart: The strategist is still thinking about breaking through again, aiming to rush to 101000!
In the afternoon, there was a strong surge to 97564, but it directly fell back down, returning to familiar territory, starting to oscillate with long and short positions being squeezed, taking profits in volatile markets, eat and then leave, don’t get caught in the pattern. Don’t fantasize about a one-sided market; at least 1-2 months are needed.
Today was a day of sideways movement; we observe the liquidation chart showing shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place bets, and it is highly likely that both will fall.
Bitcoin Candlestick: The liquidation chart above has already analyzed that the next focus will be on oscillation. With a clear mindset, operations become simple. The oscillation range is 90000-100000, buy on dips and sell on highs, both options are decent. Currently, the support at 92000 seems quite solid; it’s just a matter of time before it breaks. At this position, it is recommended to observe; do not act yet, and wait for the next move from the market makers.
Bitcoin ETF: Difficult to say, just saw a good sign, and the strategist is still cheerful, but today you get a mouthful of criticism. On the 26th, Fidelity bought 254 million, ARKB bought 187 million. On the 27th, they sold 208 million and 113 million. Clearly, the year isn't over yet; let's see the new year’s vibes on New Year’s Day.
Ethereum ETF: Nothing much to say; just compare the two charts and you will see.
Summary: The crazy bull market is still ongoing, the process may not be as smooth as we imagined,
There is a long way to go, making this money is challenging; control leverage and set stop losses, only enter at both ends, don’t go in the middle.
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Crypto Weekly Highlights (Important Events)
Headline preview:
(Market in Crypto-Assets (MiCA)) will take effect on December 30;
Optimism (OP) will unlock approximately 31.34 million tokens at 8:00 AM on December 31, 2024 (UTC+8), accounting for 2.32% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $58.6 million;
ai16z will announce a new token economics proposal around January 1;
Sui (SUI) will unlock approximately 64.19 million tokens at 8:00 AM on January 1, 2025 (UTC+8), accounting for 2.19% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $270 million;
ZetaChain (ZETA) will unlock approximately 53.89 million tokens at 8:00 AM on January 1, 2025 (UTC+8), accounting for 9.35% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $32 million;
(Market in Crypto-Assets (MiCA)) will take effect on December 30;
Optimism (OP) will unlock approximately 31.34 million tokens at 8:00 AM on December 31, 2024 (UTC+8), accounting for 2.32% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $58.6 million;
ai16z will announce a new token economics proposal around January 1;
Sui (SUI) will unlock approximately 64.19 million tokens at 8:00 AM on January 1, 2025 (UTC+8), accounting for 2.19% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $270 million;
ZetaChain (ZETA) will unlock approximately 53.89 million tokens at 8:00 AM on January 1, 2025 (UTC+8), accounting for 9.35% of the current circulation, valued at approximately $32 million;
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The Philosophy of Happiness in Crypto Investment: Don't Wait Until Financial Freedom to Start Living Well
"If you haven't used that money to change your life and the lives of those you love, then that money cannot truly change lives."
In the cryptocurrency space, retirement and achieving 'financial freedom' are almost everyone's core goals — after all, this industry has become the best stage for going from nothing to wealth freedom, sometimes even creating generational wealth overnight.
However, behind this rapid wealth accumulation are some concerns that cannot be overlooked:
Long-term obsession with high-risk, gambling-like investment behavior, hard to escape from.
In the cryptocurrency space, retirement and achieving 'financial freedom' are almost everyone's core goals — after all, this industry has become the best stage for going from nothing to wealth freedom, sometimes even creating generational wealth overnight.
However, behind this rapid wealth accumulation are some concerns that cannot be overlooked:
Long-term obsession with high-risk, gambling-like investment behavior, hard to escape from.
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Strategist's Market Analysis: (Issue 160)
Liquidation Chart: The strategist is still thinking about breaking through again, aiming to rush to 101000!
In the afternoon, there was a strong surge to 97564, but it directly fell back down, returning to familiar territory, starting to oscillate with long and short positions being squeezed, taking profits in volatile markets, eat and then leave, don’t get caught in the pattern. Don’t fantasize about a one-sided market; at least 1-2 months are needed.
Today was a day of sideways movement; we observe the liquidation chart showing shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place bets, and it is highly likely that both will fall.
Bitcoin Candlestick: The liquidation chart above has already analyzed that the next focus will be on oscillation. With a clear mindset, operations become simple. The oscillation range is 90000-100000, buy on dips and sell on highs, both options are decent. Currently, the support at 92000 seems quite solid; it’s just a matter of time before it breaks. At this position, it is recommended to observe; do not act yet, and wait for the next move from the market makers.
Bitcoin ETF: Difficult to say, just saw a good sign, and the strategist is still cheerful, but today you get a mouthful of criticism. On the 26th, Fidelity bought 254 million, ARKB bought 187 million. On the 27th, they sold 208 million and 113 million. Clearly, the year isn't over yet; let's see the new year’s vibes on New Year’s Day.
Ethereum ETF: Nothing much to say; just compare the two charts and you will see.
Summary: The crazy bull market is still ongoing, the process may not be as smooth as we imagined,
There is a long way to go, making this money is challenging; control leverage and set stop losses, only enter at both ends, don’t go in the middle.
Liquidation Chart: The strategist is still thinking about breaking through again, aiming to rush to 101000!
In the afternoon, there was a strong surge to 97564, but it directly fell back down, returning to familiar territory, starting to oscillate with long and short positions being squeezed, taking profits in volatile markets, eat and then leave, don’t get caught in the pattern. Don’t fantasize about a one-sided market; at least 1-2 months are needed.
Today was a day of sideways movement; we observe the liquidation chart showing shorts above 95100 and longs below 93200, both sides have started to place bets, and it is highly likely that both will fall.
Bitcoin Candlestick: The liquidation chart above has already analyzed that the next focus will be on oscillation. With a clear mindset, operations become simple. The oscillation range is 90000-100000, buy on dips and sell on highs, both options are decent. Currently, the support at 92000 seems quite solid; it’s just a matter of time before it breaks. At this position, it is recommended to observe; do not act yet, and wait for the next move from the market makers.
Bitcoin ETF: Difficult to say, just saw a good sign, and the strategist is still cheerful, but today you get a mouthful of criticism. On the 26th, Fidelity bought 254 million, ARKB bought 187 million. On the 27th, they sold 208 million and 113 million. Clearly, the year isn't over yet; let's see the new year’s vibes on New Year’s Day.
Ethereum ETF: Nothing much to say; just compare the two charts and you will see.
Summary: The crazy bull market is still ongoing, the process may not be as smooth as we imagined,
There is a long way to go, making this money is challenging; control leverage and set stop losses, only enter at both ends, don’t go in the middle.
Military Advisor's Market Analysis: (Issue 159)
Liquidation Chart: The market in the past two days is in line with the expectations of the military advisor. The military advisor sees the two positions of 99600/10100 for clearing short orders, which are actually 99950. After clearing the short orders, the price began to fall back again, and the lowest was 95153, which was about 5000 dollars. At present, this position can be attacked or defended, and can go up to 100,000 or fall to 91500. There are still long and short positions gathered above and below.
This time it is a retracement of the upward attack, and the bullish force has not been completely weakened. I will continue to move up to 10100.
Bitcoin K-line: The current pattern is two bottom supports and two top suppressions.
Retrace the middle track and conduct the third organized attack. This time the range of shocks is closing and getting narrower and narrower, which means that the direction must be determined next.
So this time it can break through 100,000 + last chance, the Chinese old saying is no more than three times.
Defend 95000, if it does not break, retrace and take more.
Bitcoin ETF: Net inflow of 475 million US dollars yesterday, ending four consecutive days of net outflow.
This is a good signal. This amount of inflow means that the next year is over! !
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week. With such a good momentum yesterday, today will definitely not be much worse. After a two-day break over the weekend, the buying volume will slowly pick up next week.
Ethereum ETF: Net inflow of 117 million US dollars, the performance is still strong, and no one is selling. This is awesome. Everyone knows that this round of bull market will see 5000/6000/7000 or even 10,000. When buying, I always hesitate to buy before 2800. Control the risk well. No matter how many positions you have, you should increase your positions instead of waiting.
Liquidation Chart: The market in the past two days is in line with the expectations of the military advisor. The military advisor sees the two positions of 99600/10100 for clearing short orders, which are actually 99950. After clearing the short orders, the price began to fall back again, and the lowest was 95153, which was about 5000 dollars. At present, this position can be attacked or defended, and can go up to 100,000 or fall to 91500. There are still long and short positions gathered above and below.
This time it is a retracement of the upward attack, and the bullish force has not been completely weakened. I will continue to move up to 10100.
Bitcoin K-line: The current pattern is two bottom supports and two top suppressions.
Retrace the middle track and conduct the third organized attack. This time the range of shocks is closing and getting narrower and narrower, which means that the direction must be determined next.
So this time it can break through 100,000 + last chance, the Chinese old saying is no more than three times.
Defend 95000, if it does not break, retrace and take more.
Bitcoin ETF: Net inflow of 475 million US dollars yesterday, ending four consecutive days of net outflow.
This is a good signal. This amount of inflow means that the next year is over! !
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week. With such a good momentum yesterday, today will definitely not be much worse. After a two-day break over the weekend, the buying volume will slowly pick up next week.
Ethereum ETF: Net inflow of 117 million US dollars, the performance is still strong, and no one is selling. This is awesome. Everyone knows that this round of bull market will see 5000/6000/7000 or even 10,000. When buying, I always hesitate to buy before 2800. Control the risk well. No matter how many positions you have, you should increase your positions instead of waiting.
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James Fickel, the biggest whale of ETH/BTC exchange rate bulls, fell today! He sold his ETH/BTC exchange rate long position that he had held for a year in tears.
4 hours ago, he sold 6429 ETH ($21.45M) in exchange for 227 WBTC to pay off all WBTC, with a cumulative loss of $68.84 million (20,632 ETH):
In the first half of the year, he borrowed 2,987 WBTC through Aave at an exchange rate of 0.054 and sold them in exchange for 55,315 ETH to go long on the ETH/BTC exchange rate;
Since August, he has sold ETH to buy back WBTC to repay the loan, spending a total of 75,947 ETH to buy back 2,987 WBTC at an exchange rate of 0.0393 to repay the loan;
This giant is also a heavy follower of ETH, and finally ended his one-year position with a floating loss of 68.84 million US dollars.
Conclusion: Leveraged cryptocurrency trading is not feasible, no matter how big the giants are, they are all finished!!
With the giants gone, is Ethereum about to take off?
The last time when the bottom was bought at 2400, many ancient whales could not hold on and took off!!
4 hours ago, he sold 6429 ETH ($21.45M) in exchange for 227 WBTC to pay off all WBTC, with a cumulative loss of $68.84 million (20,632 ETH):
In the first half of the year, he borrowed 2,987 WBTC through Aave at an exchange rate of 0.054 and sold them in exchange for 55,315 ETH to go long on the ETH/BTC exchange rate;
Since August, he has sold ETH to buy back WBTC to repay the loan, spending a total of 75,947 ETH to buy back 2,987 WBTC at an exchange rate of 0.0393 to repay the loan;
This giant is also a heavy follower of ETH, and finally ended his one-year position with a floating loss of 68.84 million US dollars.
Conclusion: Leveraged cryptocurrency trading is not feasible, no matter how big the giants are, they are all finished!!
With the giants gone, is Ethereum about to take off?
The last time when the bottom was bought at 2400, many ancient whales could not hold on and took off!!
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The three top-tier institutional selection projects that have recently exploded across the internet!
The more concentrated, intersecting, and overlapping they are, the more attention is needed!
Wealth code is given away for free!
The more concentrated, intersecting, and overlapping they are, the more attention is needed!
Wealth code is given away for free!
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A whale address withdrew 15,332 ETH ($51.77M) from Binance 20 minutes ago.
Then he deposited 7,500 ETH into StakeStone and exchanged it for beraSTONE, and then combined it with 7,830 ETH to form liquidity in Uniswap V3.
The big investors are optimistic about the subsequent market, and they use ETH to pledge and earn U flexibly.
Then he deposited 7,500 ETH into StakeStone and exchanged it for beraSTONE, and then combined it with 7,830 ETH to form liquidity in Uniswap V3.
The big investors are optimistic about the subsequent market, and they use ETH to pledge and earn U flexibly.
See original
Military Advisor's Market Analysis: (Issue 159)
Liquidation Chart: The market in the past two days is in line with the expectations of the military advisor. The military advisor sees the two positions of 99600/10100 for clearing short orders, which are actually 99950. After clearing the short orders, the price began to fall back again, and the lowest was 95153, which was about 5000 dollars. At present, this position can be attacked or defended, and can go up to 100,000 or fall to 91500. There are still long and short positions gathered above and below.
This time it is a retracement of the upward attack, and the bullish force has not been completely weakened. I will continue to move up to 10100.
Bitcoin K-line: The current pattern is two bottom supports and two top suppressions.
Retrace the middle track and conduct the third organized attack. This time the range of shocks is closing and getting narrower and narrower, which means that the direction must be determined next.
So this time it can break through 100,000 + last chance, the Chinese old saying is no more than three times.
Defend 95000, if it does not break, retrace and take more.
Bitcoin ETF: Net inflow of 475 million US dollars yesterday, ending four consecutive days of net outflow.
This is a good signal. This amount of inflow means that the next year is over! !
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week. With such a good momentum yesterday, today will definitely not be much worse. After a two-day break over the weekend, the buying volume will slowly pick up next week.
Ethereum ETF: Net inflow of 117 million US dollars, the performance is still strong, and no one is selling. This is awesome. Everyone knows that this round of bull market will see 5000/6000/7000 or even 10,000. When buying, I always hesitate to buy before 2800. Control the risk well. No matter how many positions you have, you should increase your positions instead of waiting.
Liquidation Chart: The market in the past two days is in line with the expectations of the military advisor. The military advisor sees the two positions of 99600/10100 for clearing short orders, which are actually 99950. After clearing the short orders, the price began to fall back again, and the lowest was 95153, which was about 5000 dollars. At present, this position can be attacked or defended, and can go up to 100,000 or fall to 91500. There are still long and short positions gathered above and below.
This time it is a retracement of the upward attack, and the bullish force has not been completely weakened. I will continue to move up to 10100.
Bitcoin K-line: The current pattern is two bottom supports and two top suppressions.
Retrace the middle track and conduct the third organized attack. This time the range of shocks is closing and getting narrower and narrower, which means that the direction must be determined next.
So this time it can break through 100,000 + last chance, the Chinese old saying is no more than three times.
Defend 95000, if it does not break, retrace and take more.
Bitcoin ETF: Net inflow of 475 million US dollars yesterday, ending four consecutive days of net outflow.
This is a good signal. This amount of inflow means that the next year is over! !
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week. With such a good momentum yesterday, today will definitely not be much worse. After a two-day break over the weekend, the buying volume will slowly pick up next week.
Ethereum ETF: Net inflow of 117 million US dollars, the performance is still strong, and no one is selling. This is awesome. Everyone knows that this round of bull market will see 5000/6000/7000 or even 10,000. When buying, I always hesitate to buy before 2800. Control the risk well. No matter how many positions you have, you should increase your positions instead of waiting.
Master's Market Analysis: (Issue 158)
Let's take a look at the liquidation chart: last night saw a direct surge in short positions, the master was previously inclined to first liquidate the long positions at 91500 before moving up, and indeed the market has a strong bearish sentiment.
89000/85000/83000 are all possible levels, even down to 79000, but currently, this does not seem likely unless there is a black swan event later.
Our liquidation targets are upward at 99600/101000.
Bitcoin K-line: The significant rise last night with that large bullish candle was indeed unexpected, and the master currently cannot make sense of it without basis. Yesterday, institutions sold a lot of ETF. Besides the futures driving up to liquidate short contracts, I can't think of any reason; if it really wants to rise, it must stabilize above 100,000 and break through 103,000.
The market was very weak yesterday, and the sudden surge at night did not give me much sense of security. Personally, I feel there is a high probability of being misled, and it might return the same way.
Bitcoin ETF: Yesterday, there was a net outflow of 340 million USD, and BlackRock sold 190 million... This part the master has mentioned before, naturally, bonuses need to be distributed during the New Year, both individuals and companies need to celebrate, continuous selling will have to wait until after the New Year. By the end of the month, foreigners will be enjoying their New Year.
Ethereum ETF: Yesterday, there was a net inflow of 54.5 million USD. From the two ETF charts, I believe everyone can see the issue clearly; institutions are optimistic about the future appreciation of Ethereum.
Basically, there is very little selling, just follow the institutions' lead; the more it drops, the more you buy and hold onto it; the next wave of highs can reach 4800 without much problem.
Summary: The recent market has not yet established a trend; the bottom position is confirmed. If the spot price drops, buy it; be cautious with contracts, especially high-leverage contracts, and it's not impossible for altcoins to drop further by tens.
Let's take a look at the liquidation chart: last night saw a direct surge in short positions, the master was previously inclined to first liquidate the long positions at 91500 before moving up, and indeed the market has a strong bearish sentiment.
89000/85000/83000 are all possible levels, even down to 79000, but currently, this does not seem likely unless there is a black swan event later.
Our liquidation targets are upward at 99600/101000.
Bitcoin K-line: The significant rise last night with that large bullish candle was indeed unexpected, and the master currently cannot make sense of it without basis. Yesterday, institutions sold a lot of ETF. Besides the futures driving up to liquidate short contracts, I can't think of any reason; if it really wants to rise, it must stabilize above 100,000 and break through 103,000.
The market was very weak yesterday, and the sudden surge at night did not give me much sense of security. Personally, I feel there is a high probability of being misled, and it might return the same way.
Bitcoin ETF: Yesterday, there was a net outflow of 340 million USD, and BlackRock sold 190 million... This part the master has mentioned before, naturally, bonuses need to be distributed during the New Year, both individuals and companies need to celebrate, continuous selling will have to wait until after the New Year. By the end of the month, foreigners will be enjoying their New Year.
Ethereum ETF: Yesterday, there was a net inflow of 54.5 million USD. From the two ETF charts, I believe everyone can see the issue clearly; institutions are optimistic about the future appreciation of Ethereum.
Basically, there is very little selling, just follow the institutions' lead; the more it drops, the more you buy and hold onto it; the next wave of highs can reach 4800 without much problem.
Summary: The recent market has not yet established a trend; the bottom position is confirmed. If the spot price drops, buy it; be cautious with contracts, especially high-leverage contracts, and it's not impossible for altcoins to drop further by tens.
See original
Forbes' 2025 Crypto Predictions: More Major Powers Embrace Bitcoin Reserves, Total Crypto Market Value Exceeds $8 Trillion
2024 marks a historic turning point for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. This year, the first Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs will launch, marking true institutional adoption. Bitcoin will first break the $100,000 mark, while stablecoins continue to solidify the dollar's dominance globally. To further propel this momentum, the winning presidential candidate in the U.S. will make support for Bitcoin a central pillar of their campaign.
Overall, these milestones solidify 2024 as a year for the crypto industry to prove itself as an unstoppable force on the global stage. As the industry shifts focus to 2025, here are seven predictions for significant events that may occur next year.
Overall, these milestones solidify 2024 as a year for the crypto industry to prove itself as an unstoppable force on the global stage. As the industry shifts focus to 2025, here are seven predictions for significant events that may occur next year.
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Master's Market Analysis: (Issue 158)
Let's take a look at the liquidation chart: last night saw a direct surge in short positions, the master was previously inclined to first liquidate the long positions at 91500 before moving up, and indeed the market has a strong bearish sentiment.
89000/85000/83000 are all possible levels, even down to 79000, but currently, this does not seem likely unless there is a black swan event later.
Our liquidation targets are upward at 99600/101000.
Bitcoin K-line: The significant rise last night with that large bullish candle was indeed unexpected, and the master currently cannot make sense of it without basis. Yesterday, institutions sold a lot of ETF. Besides the futures driving up to liquidate short contracts, I can't think of any reason; if it really wants to rise, it must stabilize above 100,000 and break through 103,000.
The market was very weak yesterday, and the sudden surge at night did not give me much sense of security. Personally, I feel there is a high probability of being misled, and it might return the same way.
Bitcoin ETF: Yesterday, there was a net outflow of 340 million USD, and BlackRock sold 190 million... This part the master has mentioned before, naturally, bonuses need to be distributed during the New Year, both individuals and companies need to celebrate, continuous selling will have to wait until after the New Year. By the end of the month, foreigners will be enjoying their New Year.
Ethereum ETF: Yesterday, there was a net inflow of 54.5 million USD. From the two ETF charts, I believe everyone can see the issue clearly; institutions are optimistic about the future appreciation of Ethereum.
Basically, there is very little selling, just follow the institutions' lead; the more it drops, the more you buy and hold onto it; the next wave of highs can reach 4800 without much problem.
Summary: The recent market has not yet established a trend; the bottom position is confirmed. If the spot price drops, buy it; be cautious with contracts, especially high-leverage contracts, and it's not impossible for altcoins to drop further by tens.
Let's take a look at the liquidation chart: last night saw a direct surge in short positions, the master was previously inclined to first liquidate the long positions at 91500 before moving up, and indeed the market has a strong bearish sentiment.
89000/85000/83000 are all possible levels, even down to 79000, but currently, this does not seem likely unless there is a black swan event later.
Our liquidation targets are upward at 99600/101000.
Bitcoin K-line: The significant rise last night with that large bullish candle was indeed unexpected, and the master currently cannot make sense of it without basis. Yesterday, institutions sold a lot of ETF. Besides the futures driving up to liquidate short contracts, I can't think of any reason; if it really wants to rise, it must stabilize above 100,000 and break through 103,000.
The market was very weak yesterday, and the sudden surge at night did not give me much sense of security. Personally, I feel there is a high probability of being misled, and it might return the same way.
Bitcoin ETF: Yesterday, there was a net outflow of 340 million USD, and BlackRock sold 190 million... This part the master has mentioned before, naturally, bonuses need to be distributed during the New Year, both individuals and companies need to celebrate, continuous selling will have to wait until after the New Year. By the end of the month, foreigners will be enjoying their New Year.
Ethereum ETF: Yesterday, there was a net inflow of 54.5 million USD. From the two ETF charts, I believe everyone can see the issue clearly; institutions are optimistic about the future appreciation of Ethereum.
Basically, there is very little selling, just follow the institutions' lead; the more it drops, the more you buy and hold onto it; the next wave of highs can reach 4800 without much problem.
Summary: The recent market has not yet established a trend; the bottom position is confirmed. If the spot price drops, buy it; be cautious with contracts, especially high-leverage contracts, and it's not impossible for altcoins to drop further by tens.
Strategist's Market Analysis: (Issue 157)
Review of Issue 156: From the chart, the bullish liquidity at the bottom is 92,200, which is the extreme position for a pullback. This time the bulls have been almost liquidated due to the drop. I sent a funding rate chart this morning. The short-selling sentiment is very strong now; the worst-case scenario is another dip to previous lows before moving up, but there’s also a significant chance of a direct rise. The bulls are at the zero point and are preparing to liquidate the shorts.
As expected, last night the Bitcoin price dropped to 92,460 without breaking below 92,000.
From the liquidation chart, it shows that around 92,000/91,500 yesterday there was no breach, and the bulls have started to increase their positions again.
From the current strength of Bitcoin, this position still needs to go down to liquidate.
Bitcoin Candlestick: From the candlestick chart, Bitcoin is currently the weakest among all mainstream coins. The rumored altcoin season is subtly gaining momentum, with ETH and SOL starting to strengthen.
Before the new year of 2025 arrives, institutions are mainly on break; Bitcoin will not have significant trading volume, and the price will continue to drop, with market share continuing to decrease.
Bitcoin ETF: Yesterday was Monday, and the foreigners clearly have not finished buying their New Year goods.
As soon as they got back to work, they started dumping, and on the 23rd, only BlackRock bought in 33 million USD.
There was a net outflow of 227 million USD; the Christmas market is still ongoing, and a new market change will have to wait until after the holidays.
Ethereum ETF: The performance here is very good, with a net inflow of 129 million USD.
The strategist has been consistently urging to buy ETH; those who bought at the 3,200 position can take advantage of several waves.
Review of Issue 156: From the chart, the bullish liquidity at the bottom is 92,200, which is the extreme position for a pullback. This time the bulls have been almost liquidated due to the drop. I sent a funding rate chart this morning. The short-selling sentiment is very strong now; the worst-case scenario is another dip to previous lows before moving up, but there’s also a significant chance of a direct rise. The bulls are at the zero point and are preparing to liquidate the shorts.
As expected, last night the Bitcoin price dropped to 92,460 without breaking below 92,000.
From the liquidation chart, it shows that around 92,000/91,500 yesterday there was no breach, and the bulls have started to increase their positions again.
From the current strength of Bitcoin, this position still needs to go down to liquidate.
Bitcoin Candlestick: From the candlestick chart, Bitcoin is currently the weakest among all mainstream coins. The rumored altcoin season is subtly gaining momentum, with ETH and SOL starting to strengthen.
Before the new year of 2025 arrives, institutions are mainly on break; Bitcoin will not have significant trading volume, and the price will continue to drop, with market share continuing to decrease.
Bitcoin ETF: Yesterday was Monday, and the foreigners clearly have not finished buying their New Year goods.
As soon as they got back to work, they started dumping, and on the 23rd, only BlackRock bought in 33 million USD.
There was a net outflow of 227 million USD; the Christmas market is still ongoing, and a new market change will have to wait until after the holidays.
Ethereum ETF: The performance here is very good, with a net inflow of 129 million USD.
The strategist has been consistently urging to buy ETH; those who bought at the 3,200 position can take advantage of several waves.
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Military Advisor's Late Night Analysis: (Issue 51)
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
Today is Christmas Eve and I will work half a day. Tomorrow is Christmas Day and the liquidity is relatively poor.
There is basically no trading. The market will most likely start at the end of the month or the beginning of the month.
BTC is currently the weakest. Foreigners, companies and institutions have to recover funds during the Chinese New Year. There has been a net outflow for three consecutive trading days, and 11,950 bitcoins have been sold.
For the current market situation, the price has been sideways below, and there must be a lot of longs buying the bottom.
Trading ideas: Wait for an opportunity around 90,000-91,000. There should be a needle drop to break up the chips before the official launch.
Ethereum: It is very hard at the moment. Military Advisor previously arranged a bottom-hunting position of 3,200.
You can eat two waves in the past few days, 3200-3500 3220-3450.
Trading ideas: Don't force it if you haven't entered the market yet, and continue to wait for opportunities below 3,300.
SOL: The 180 bottom-fishing arranged by the military advisor before is also the standard two waves of 180-200/180-193. Those who bravely fished for the bottom have made money, and the same is true for those who did not get on the train. Wait for the opportunity.
Operational ideas: Wait for the opportunity to get on the train below 180. If it is sideways here, you can't control it and rush in directly. It is not ruled out that it will continue to bottom out.
DOGE: The bottom-fishing is 0.29, the lowest is 0.26, a little worse. At present, according to the K-line
0.29 is also an excellent opportunity, rebounding to 0.35.
Operational ideas: It is recommended to wait for opportunities below 0.3.
Summary: The price has been sideways here. It is unrealistic to wait for everyone to get on the train. Don't be excited if you don't get on the train at a low level. The military advisor believes that there will be a standard bottom-fishing before the rise comes to sweep away the bottom-fishing before it goes up.
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
Today is Christmas Eve and I will work half a day. Tomorrow is Christmas Day and the liquidity is relatively poor.
There is basically no trading. The market will most likely start at the end of the month or the beginning of the month.
BTC is currently the weakest. Foreigners, companies and institutions have to recover funds during the Chinese New Year. There has been a net outflow for three consecutive trading days, and 11,950 bitcoins have been sold.
For the current market situation, the price has been sideways below, and there must be a lot of longs buying the bottom.
Trading ideas: Wait for an opportunity around 90,000-91,000. There should be a needle drop to break up the chips before the official launch.
Ethereum: It is very hard at the moment. Military Advisor previously arranged a bottom-hunting position of 3,200.
You can eat two waves in the past few days, 3200-3500 3220-3450.
Trading ideas: Don't force it if you haven't entered the market yet, and continue to wait for opportunities below 3,300.
SOL: The 180 bottom-fishing arranged by the military advisor before is also the standard two waves of 180-200/180-193. Those who bravely fished for the bottom have made money, and the same is true for those who did not get on the train. Wait for the opportunity.
Operational ideas: Wait for the opportunity to get on the train below 180. If it is sideways here, you can't control it and rush in directly. It is not ruled out that it will continue to bottom out.
DOGE: The bottom-fishing is 0.29, the lowest is 0.26, a little worse. At present, according to the K-line
0.29 is also an excellent opportunity, rebounding to 0.35.
Operational ideas: It is recommended to wait for opportunities below 0.3.
Summary: The price has been sideways here. It is unrealistic to wait for everyone to get on the train. Don't be excited if you don't get on the train at a low level. The military advisor believes that there will be a standard bottom-fishing before the rise comes to sweep away the bottom-fishing before it goes up.
Military Advisor's Late Night Analysis (Issue 50)
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
BTC Review Strategy: 103000 is a defensive support for buying on dips, and if it falls below, look at 99000/98000. If you want to buy, you have to keep buying. If the price can stand above 105500, you can continue to rush up to the previous high.
Last night, the price started to fall from 105340, and did not break through and stand firm at 105500. The lowest price fell to 98744, which was basically consistent with my expectation of 99000/98000 yesterday.
At present, the shape of Bitcoin is still in the channel of oscillating upward, and it has not broken this upward structure, so it is still a strategy of buying on dips.
Tonight's idea: If the price of Bitcoin breaks through and stabilizes above 103,500, then look at the 105,500 position. If it fails to break through 103,500, it will go down to test the 98,500 position. 98,500 is an important support in the upward range of shocks. If it does not break, buy on dips. If it falls below, stop buying.
The next support is 94,000/95,000.
Review of ETH strategy: 3,800 is now an important defense. If it does not break, buy on dips. If it breaks, look at 3,720. Continue to hold long orders on the car. If it can stand firm at 3,950, continue to look at the previous high.
Ethereum fell below 3,800 last night without stopping, and fell directly to 3,540.
Tonight's rate measurement: Ethereum's bottom is now focusing on the 3,500 position. If this position is not broken, you can buy on dips. If it falls to around 3,200, it is a full-handed position. .
Review of SOL strategy: Defend the 212 position and buy on dips. If it falls below, look at the 200 support level.
The price can stand above 222 and continue to attack the upward area.
The lowest price last night was 199.23, which is not far from my expectation.
Tonight's strategy: defend 200 and take more if it is not broken. If it is broken, the lower limit of 180 is the position for heavy position bottom-fishing.
Review DOGE strategy: Dogecoin pays attention to the position of 0.365. If it does not break, take more. If it breaks, wait and see. A strong rise must break through and stand firm at the position of 0.425.
Last night, it directly broke through 0.365 to 0.34.
Tonight's strategy: defend the position of 0.34 and take more.
If the DOGE limit is broken, go to 0.29 to take it.
BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE
BTC Review Strategy: 103000 is a defensive support for buying on dips, and if it falls below, look at 99000/98000. If you want to buy, you have to keep buying. If the price can stand above 105500, you can continue to rush up to the previous high.
Last night, the price started to fall from 105340, and did not break through and stand firm at 105500. The lowest price fell to 98744, which was basically consistent with my expectation of 99000/98000 yesterday.
At present, the shape of Bitcoin is still in the channel of oscillating upward, and it has not broken this upward structure, so it is still a strategy of buying on dips.
Tonight's idea: If the price of Bitcoin breaks through and stabilizes above 103,500, then look at the 105,500 position. If it fails to break through 103,500, it will go down to test the 98,500 position. 98,500 is an important support in the upward range of shocks. If it does not break, buy on dips. If it falls below, stop buying.
The next support is 94,000/95,000.
Review of ETH strategy: 3,800 is now an important defense. If it does not break, buy on dips. If it breaks, look at 3,720. Continue to hold long orders on the car. If it can stand firm at 3,950, continue to look at the previous high.
Ethereum fell below 3,800 last night without stopping, and fell directly to 3,540.
Tonight's rate measurement: Ethereum's bottom is now focusing on the 3,500 position. If this position is not broken, you can buy on dips. If it falls to around 3,200, it is a full-handed position. .
Review of SOL strategy: Defend the 212 position and buy on dips. If it falls below, look at the 200 support level.
The price can stand above 222 and continue to attack the upward area.
The lowest price last night was 199.23, which is not far from my expectation.
Tonight's strategy: defend 200 and take more if it is not broken. If it is broken, the lower limit of 180 is the position for heavy position bottom-fishing.
Review DOGE strategy: Dogecoin pays attention to the position of 0.365. If it does not break, take more. If it breaks, wait and see. A strong rise must break through and stand firm at the position of 0.425.
Last night, it directly broke through 0.365 to 0.34.
Tonight's strategy: defend the position of 0.34 and take more.
If the DOGE limit is broken, go to 0.29 to take it.
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The first wave of ENA short positions also gained more than 15%.
The second wave of short positions is underway!
The second wave of short positions is underway!
The second wave of the runaway trap pattern!! The shortest and longest washout period is 1 month!!
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SUI has already taken a wave of short orders of more than 10 points.
The second wave of short orders is in progress.
The second wave of short orders is in progress.
This coin is almost going to wash people out. Today's strong rebound is clearly enticing you to go down for a good buy. Don't touch it for at least a month!
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ZEN really can't stop 14.5 recommended!
It has risen to 39 in 5 days, an increase of 170%!
It has risen to 39 in 5 days, an increase of 170%!
All lines are down, accurately grasping counter-trend positions.
USUAL recommends entry at 0.83 / 0.77 / 0.70, with a gain of 90%.
ZEN recommends entry at 14.5 with a gain of 16%.
USUAL recommends entry at 0.83 / 0.77 / 0.70, with a gain of 90%.
ZEN recommends entry at 14.5 with a gain of 16%.