Humble $BTC Analysis.
Has bits of Elliott's Wave Theory, SMC, OBs, MHCs, and assumes bearish continuation due to Holidays.

What I'd do: Long BTC both at the support OB and the Breaker Block OB on Spot. I'd feel confident to even Margin x3 on BTC once it's at the breaker block.

If you would like to short (which I don't recommend), do so only if the price gets to 102k, with SL at 104~105k-ish.

If you're day trading BTC, take the exact values in the image below (102k, 86k, etc) with a grain of salt. More often than not, the price won't reach these exact values, but will almost capture them. Leave your trades slightly before these values.

If $USUAL is one of the chosen to pump during Jan 20th; likely 0.7 or so.

USUAL will only break this downtrend if an institution chooses to hold it, or if a market manipulator joins to eat the shorts.

Might fall towards 0.2, which would be a very attractive price.

$BTC USDT, quick analysis with prices.

$BIO USDT as requested by one of my followers.

📜Project
Good enough. DeSci, a way to fund science projects, specifically Biotech projects. Will explode if we get another world pandemic. Should increase its value with time as more people become aware of the project's goals, as they are realistic, have real-world impact and the project's clarity is much more pronounced than in other projects.

💭Market Sentiment
Most people are still longing. The majority of people are always wrong, so it will likely keep dumping especially if BTC undergoes a correction. If BTC rises by like 10k on Jan 20th with Trump's event, then BIO will likely break above 0.6 regardless of the current sentiment.

💥Liquidation Heatmap
Will capture $0.45, thus it should be your TP (or partial TP) if you're longing right now.

‼️Final Analysis
Check the last image.

$BTC USDT

Although it pains me to agree with this, I agree with this.

$LTC is outperforming many alts, and will at least reclaim $250.

Its cap is still too low in comparison to what it could be.

$XRP will once again surpass ETH's market cap and exceed $6.5, reclaiming its position as the #2 cryptocurrency in the world by market cap, similar to its performance in 2018 before being sued by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

For those investing in XRP, its peak market capitalization will likely be around $1 trillion, corresponding to a price of approximately $16.50 (a 5x increase from its current value).

The global GDP is currently estimated at $115 trillion USD. Typically, 3–4% of the world's GDP is allocated to cryptocurrencies, which equates to approximately $3.45 trillion to $4.6 trillion. However, let's project a more optimistic scenario with 5% (around $5.75 trillion).

In such a scenario, we could expect the following market set up at the peak of the bull market:

$BTC at $150,000, with a market cap of $3 trillion (3T out of $5.75T).
XRP at $16.50, with a market cap of $1 trillion (1T out of $2.75T remaining).
$ETH at $6,400, with a market cap of $800 billion (0.8T out of $1.75T remaining).

This would leave approximately $0.95 trillion for memecoins, altcoins (mainly DeFi and AI), and other smaller projects.

For 2025, we can expect an altseason primarily driven by XRP, rather than Ethereum. While ETH will still play a role, the majority of capital flow will likely move from XRP into altcoins.

I do not believe XRP will ever surpass Bitcoin in market cap, for several reasons—mainly because Bitcoin remains the most trusted and widely accepted cryptocurrency globally. Large investors are unlikely to funnel money into a project that has faced legal challenges in the past.

Nevertheless, significant opportunities lie ahead, especially once we navigate through some market corrections.

Let's wait for a bright future.

Nah. If the market is going down, it will probably happen after the retail and uninformed whales buy and pump the price towards 110k.

I could imagine something like:
> Trump steps in Jan 20th
> People buy BTC in masses, pumping its value to above 110k
> Retail shorting goes bankrupt, are liquidated, or buy at big losses
> A strong, or a group of strong institutionals then distribute their BTCs at 110, perhaps 120k.
> Aforementioned institutionals then execute a market order selling like 6,000 BTC in 1 second
> The price drops immediately by 10%
> Retail longing goes bankrupt, are liquidated, or sell at big losses
> Aforementioned institutionals buy from this same retail, now at 90~100k
> Price goes up again

And done! This way, we can explode retail twice, as the market always does :p

Mark my words, the moment the vast majority of people forget about $USUAL , is the exact moment it will pump like x4 and leave everyone questioning their existences 😅

I've seen it before (looking at you $ENA ) and yup, it happens.

That one aged well. $ZEN

Ah- and no, I haven't TP'd everything yet, but I'm TPing some long positions, and starting some short positions.

Overall I'm mostly longing.

Further proof

Sharing with you guys because it's a big deal for me.

Finally, after 6 years into crypto, it happened.

A perfect entry.

Exactly at the very top.

W.

I'm framing this on a wall now

$BNB USDT

I second this. Unless either a super bad news happens, or a rather quick bear trap, everything looks fine in a bullish perspective.

$XRP and $BNB are such strong, resilient coins, right?
Found myself glazing at them while taking a look at many coins' charts.

These resist quite a lot to BTC's dumps; and clearly show preference to increase in value, rather than decreasing.

Both are currently in trading ranges, but for every time these dump, they pump higher than the previous top, unlike many other altcoins.

$VITE market cap at 10 million.

This coin can double at any moment. It's way easier for it to get an extra 10mil market cap than to lose 5mil. The few people that are holding it, will likely keep holding it; and it takes one small whale to liquidate the massive amount of shorts it has.

Also, $BTC spiked exactly at Fib's .618

How curious.

Despite heavily disliking the project, I bought $USUAL in this last dump.

It already fell almost to a third of its top. Liking it or not, that's most definitely an entry point.

Yep, I'm defeated! It's beyond 101k by now, thus the previous Wyckoff distribution is invalidated. There will be no 86k, and I'd encourage buying if it falls a bit again.

No man stands in the front of a train, convinced the train will stop, unless he has several reasons to believe the train will stop.

I have several methodological reasons to believe BTC will make an U-turn and fall. It's not easy to go against the majority and yell that something's wrong, but if my theory and my gut back up the idea of a reversal, I will stand for my reversal, even if I get hit by this train on the face, lol.