The Green Investor
I review coins to help you. I'm not an overly bull technician, and not an overly bear one. I hope to be realistic, and I side with the higher odds side.
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Humble $BTC Analysis.
Has bits of Elliott's Wave Theory, SMC, OBs, MHCs, and assumes bearish continuation due to Holidays.
What I'd do: Long BTC both at the support OB and the Breaker Block OB on Spot. I'd feel confident to even Margin x3 on BTC once it's at the breaker block.
If you would like to short (which I don't recommend), do so only if the price gets to 102k, with SL at 104~105k-ish.
If you're day trading BTC, take the exact values in the image below (102k, 86k, etc) with a grain of salt. More often than not, the price won't reach these exact values, but will almost capture them. Leave your trades slightly before these values.
Has bits of Elliott's Wave Theory, SMC, OBs, MHCs, and assumes bearish continuation due to Holidays.
What I'd do: Long BTC both at the support OB and the Breaker Block OB on Spot. I'd feel confident to even Margin x3 on BTC once it's at the breaker block.
If you would like to short (which I don't recommend), do so only if the price gets to 102k, with SL at 104~105k-ish.
If you're day trading BTC, take the exact values in the image below (102k, 86k, etc) with a grain of salt. More often than not, the price won't reach these exact values, but will almost capture them. Leave your trades slightly before these values.
No Technical Analysis prepares you for this.
My apologies for everyone who went hard long before this ETH crash.
If you still have money, well, prices are absurdly cheap right now.
My apologies for everyone who went hard long before this ETH crash.
If you still have money, well, prices are absurdly cheap right now.
$ETH is up. Just broke above the trendline that was pushing it down.
This week, economic data has been mixed.
FED has been positive to $BTC as JPowell said something in the lines of "we will not be against innovation" when questioned about Cryptocurrency.
GDP data has been negative to $BTC while Jobless claims has been positive. Overall, GDP is more important than jobless claims so yesterday's data has been overall negative.
Today, PCE data came out as expected.
In this scenario, a rise to 110k followed by a dump to 93k seems the most plausible scenario.
ETH might once again reach $4000.
if ETH reaches that high, all Ethereum-based altcoins will pump.
the market sentiment seems to have been shifted more bullish than bearish rn.
This week, economic data has been mixed.
FED has been positive to $BTC as JPowell said something in the lines of "we will not be against innovation" when questioned about Cryptocurrency.
GDP data has been negative to $BTC while Jobless claims has been positive. Overall, GDP is more important than jobless claims so yesterday's data has been overall negative.
Today, PCE data came out as expected.
In this scenario, a rise to 110k followed by a dump to 93k seems the most plausible scenario.
ETH might once again reach $4000.
if ETH reaches that high, all Ethereum-based altcoins will pump.
the market sentiment seems to have been shifted more bullish than bearish rn.
Most obvious bear trap ever.
Just buy, buy and wait for the 110k.
This is just a liquidity sweep, but bears will yell at you that we're going to 86k, that the "bear market" has started, etc.
No, just buy.
Just buy, buy and wait for the 110k.
This is just a liquidity sweep, but bears will yell at you that we're going to 86k, that the "bear market" has started, etc.
No, just buy.
Should you buy TRUMP?
The math is pretty clear.
Usually low cap altcoins with 1 Billion (1000 million) available tokens range between $0.1~1
$TRUMP 's token has currently 200 Million available tokens and will unlock more only 3 months from here.
Since President Trump's group holds 80% of the available amount; that leaves only 40 Million $TRUMP to be traded here in the outside market.
So, right now, TRUMP behaves like an altcoin with 40 Million tokens.
Since the current Market Cap is 5.35 Billion USD; Trump's 80% share holds 4.28 Billion USD of that, leaving us with a external 1.07 billion USD tradeable by our market.
Trump's altcoin is, essentially, a 1B market cap altcoin with 40 Million available tokens.
Now remember when I mentioned that most low cap altcoins with 1 Billion tokens trade within the range of .1 to 1 USD?
Let's apply this math to $TRUMP to check what's the ideal range it should be trading right now.
1000 Million (1B) Tokens Altcoin â $0.1~ $1
40 Million Tokens TRUMP â $x ~ $10x
x = $2.5, and 10x = $25.
Thus, $TRUMP 's coin should trade within a $2.5~$25 USD range.
So, considering that TRUMP's team won't sell their 80% (they already didn't even during the $73 dollar craziness), anything above $25 is STILL overbought, and anything below $2.5 is oversold.
Price can definitely still fall, so be aware!
The math is pretty clear.
Usually low cap altcoins with 1 Billion (1000 million) available tokens range between $0.1~1
$TRUMP 's token has currently 200 Million available tokens and will unlock more only 3 months from here.
Since President Trump's group holds 80% of the available amount; that leaves only 40 Million $TRUMP to be traded here in the outside market.
So, right now, TRUMP behaves like an altcoin with 40 Million tokens.
Since the current Market Cap is 5.35 Billion USD; Trump's 80% share holds 4.28 Billion USD of that, leaving us with a external 1.07 billion USD tradeable by our market.
Trump's altcoin is, essentially, a 1B market cap altcoin with 40 Million available tokens.
Now remember when I mentioned that most low cap altcoins with 1 Billion tokens trade within the range of .1 to 1 USD?
Let's apply this math to $TRUMP to check what's the ideal range it should be trading right now.
1000 Million (1B) Tokens Altcoin â $0.1~ $1
40 Million Tokens TRUMP â $x ~ $10x
x = $2.5, and 10x = $25.
Thus, $TRUMP 's coin should trade within a $2.5~$25 USD range.
So, considering that TRUMP's team won't sell their 80% (they already didn't even during the $73 dollar craziness), anything above $25 is STILL overbought, and anything below $2.5 is oversold.
Price can definitely still fall, so be aware!
Do not buy $ANIME . It got delayed only on Binance, it's already tradeable in other exchanges.
Here's what will happen if you buy it here: everyone who bought on other exchanges will sell on your face :p
Here's what will happen if you buy it here: everyone who bought on other exchanges will sell on your face :p
Anyone else having problems while trading margin?
My thoughts on $TRUMP are: It won't get rugpulled, yet.
The 80% that are in control of Trump's own team, these 80% are locked for at least 3 months.
Thus, only the remaining 10% available for us to trade (the other 10% are allocated in Liquidity Pools), can be effectively used to rugpull.
Mr. Trump and his team are using a US presidency to pump $TRUMP , so it will pump, it might even get to $1000 because the cap is still 14.5 Billion, and could get to 145 Billion easily if millionaires, billionares just join the bandwagon, which some will likely do.
My advice here? Wait for corrections, and slap the buy button.
Don't you dare shorting this because TOMORROW is Trump's day.
The 80% that are in control of Trump's own team, these 80% are locked for at least 3 months.
Thus, only the remaining 10% available for us to trade (the other 10% are allocated in Liquidity Pools), can be effectively used to rugpull.
Mr. Trump and his team are using a US presidency to pump $TRUMP , so it will pump, it might even get to $1000 because the cap is still 14.5 Billion, and could get to 145 Billion easily if millionaires, billionares just join the bandwagon, which some will likely do.
My advice here? Wait for corrections, and slap the buy button.
Don't you dare shorting this because TOMORROW is Trump's day.
So, here's what's happening...
$TRUMP and the entirety of the upper solana ecosystem are sucking up money from all other cryptos...
That means, if you are positioned in a low cap coin, or a minor altcoin, you're probably getting a -60% meanwhile TRUMP goes +200%.
*Sighs.
$TRUMP and the entirety of the upper solana ecosystem are sucking up money from all other cryptos...
That means, if you are positioned in a low cap coin, or a minor altcoin, you're probably getting a -60% meanwhile TRUMP goes +200%.
*Sighs.
If $USUAL is one of the chosen to pump during Jan 20th; likely 0.7 or so.
USUAL will only break this downtrend if an institution chooses to hold it, or if a market manipulator joins to eat the shorts.
Might fall towards 0.2, which would be a very attractive price.
USUAL will only break this downtrend if an institution chooses to hold it, or if a market manipulator joins to eat the shorts.
Might fall towards 0.2, which would be a very attractive price.
How many dollars can $USUAL reach after the 20th?
$BIO USDT as requested by one of my followers.
đProject
Good enough. DeSci, a way to fund science projects, specifically Biotech projects. Will explode if we get another world pandemic. Should increase its value with time as more people become aware of the project's goals, as they are realistic, have real-world impact and the project's clarity is much more pronounced than in other projects.
đMarket Sentiment
Most people are still longing. The majority of people are always wrong, so it will likely keep dumping especially if BTC undergoes a correction. If BTC rises by like 10k on Jan 20th with Trump's event, then BIO will likely break above 0.6 regardless of the current sentiment.
đĽLiquidation Heatmap
Will capture $0.45, thus it should be your TP (or partial TP) if you're longing right now.
âźď¸Final Analysis
Check the last image.
đProject
Good enough. DeSci, a way to fund science projects, specifically Biotech projects. Will explode if we get another world pandemic. Should increase its value with time as more people become aware of the project's goals, as they are realistic, have real-world impact and the project's clarity is much more pronounced than in other projects.
đMarket Sentiment
Most people are still longing. The majority of people are always wrong, so it will likely keep dumping especially if BTC undergoes a correction. If BTC rises by like 10k on Jan 20th with Trump's event, then BIO will likely break above 0.6 regardless of the current sentiment.
đĽLiquidation Heatmap
Will capture $0.45, thus it should be your TP (or partial TP) if you're longing right now.
âźď¸Final Analysis
Check the last image.
Although it pains me to agree with this, I agree with this.
$LTC is outperforming many alts, and will at least reclaim $250.
Its cap is still too low in comparison to what it could be.
$LTC is outperforming many alts, and will at least reclaim $250.
Its cap is still too low in comparison to what it could be.
LTC will soon obtain the same standard as XRP
$XRP will once again surpass ETH's market cap and exceed $6.5, reclaiming its position as the #2 cryptocurrency in the world by market cap, similar to its performance in 2018 before being sued by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
For those investing in XRP, its peak market capitalization will likely be around $1 trillion, corresponding to a price of approximately $16.50 (a 5x increase from its current value).
The global GDP is currently estimated at $115 trillion USD. Typically, 3â4% of the world's GDP is allocated to cryptocurrencies, which equates to approximately $3.45 trillion to $4.6 trillion. However, let's project a more optimistic scenario with 5% (around $5.75 trillion).
In such a scenario, we could expect the following market set up at the peak of the bull market:
$BTC at $150,000, with a market cap of $3 trillion (3T out of $5.75T).
XRP at $16.50, with a market cap of $1 trillion (1T out of $2.75T remaining).
$ETH at $6,400, with a market cap of $800 billion (0.8T out of $1.75T remaining).
This would leave approximately $0.95 trillion for memecoins, altcoins (mainly DeFi and AI), and other smaller projects.
For 2025, we can expect an altseason primarily driven by XRP, rather than Ethereum. While ETH will still play a role, the majority of capital flow will likely move from XRP into altcoins.
I do not believe XRP will ever surpass Bitcoin in market cap, for several reasonsâmainly because Bitcoin remains the most trusted and widely accepted cryptocurrency globally. Large investors are unlikely to funnel money into a project that has faced legal challenges in the past.
Nevertheless, significant opportunities lie ahead, especially once we navigate through some market corrections.
Let's wait for a bright future.
For those investing in XRP, its peak market capitalization will likely be around $1 trillion, corresponding to a price of approximately $16.50 (a 5x increase from its current value).
The global GDP is currently estimated at $115 trillion USD. Typically, 3â4% of the world's GDP is allocated to cryptocurrencies, which equates to approximately $3.45 trillion to $4.6 trillion. However, let's project a more optimistic scenario with 5% (around $5.75 trillion).
In such a scenario, we could expect the following market set up at the peak of the bull market:
$BTC at $150,000, with a market cap of $3 trillion (3T out of $5.75T).
XRP at $16.50, with a market cap of $1 trillion (1T out of $2.75T remaining).
$ETH at $6,400, with a market cap of $800 billion (0.8T out of $1.75T remaining).
This would leave approximately $0.95 trillion for memecoins, altcoins (mainly DeFi and AI), and other smaller projects.
For 2025, we can expect an altseason primarily driven by XRP, rather than Ethereum. While ETH will still play a role, the majority of capital flow will likely move from XRP into altcoins.
I do not believe XRP will ever surpass Bitcoin in market cap, for several reasonsâmainly because Bitcoin remains the most trusted and widely accepted cryptocurrency globally. Large investors are unlikely to funnel money into a project that has faced legal challenges in the past.
Nevertheless, significant opportunities lie ahead, especially once we navigate through some market corrections.
Let's wait for a bright future.
Nah. If the market is going down, it will probably happen after the retail and uninformed whales buy and pump the price towards 110k.
I could imagine something like:
> Trump steps in Jan 20th
> People buy BTC in masses, pumping its value to above 110k
> Retail shorting goes bankrupt, are liquidated, or buy at big losses
> A strong, or a group of strong institutionals then distribute their BTCs at 110, perhaps 120k.
> Aforementioned institutionals then execute a market order selling like 6,000 BTC in 1 second
> The price drops immediately by 10%
> Retail longing goes bankrupt, are liquidated, or sell at big losses
> Aforementioned institutionals buy from this same retail, now at 90~100k
> Price goes up again
And done! This way, we can explode retail twice, as the market always does :p
I could imagine something like:
> Trump steps in Jan 20th
> People buy BTC in masses, pumping its value to above 110k
> Retail shorting goes bankrupt, are liquidated, or buy at big losses
> A strong, or a group of strong institutionals then distribute their BTCs at 110, perhaps 120k.
> Aforementioned institutionals then execute a market order selling like 6,000 BTC in 1 second
> The price drops immediately by 10%
> Retail longing goes bankrupt, are liquidated, or sell at big losses
> Aforementioned institutionals buy from this same retail, now at 90~100k
> Price goes up again
And done! This way, we can explode retail twice, as the market always does :p
Quoted content has been removed
Mark my words, the moment the vast majority of people forget about $USUAL , is the exact moment it will pump like x4 and leave everyone questioning their existences đ
I've seen it before (looking at you $ENA ) and yup, it happens.
I've seen it before (looking at you $ENA ) and yup, it happens.
$USUAL look at the difference đđťI entered this asset and have already recovered 30% of the loss in the USUAL
That one aged well. $ZEN
$ZEN and $DEXE are complicated cases. Both pumped out of nowhere but neither fit in the characteristics of manipulated coins.
It's not Pump & Dump, but both have such a low liquidity compared to others that they could just keep going and recover their ATHs. It's a matter of market interest.
Zen, I'd consider $21 as a good price to buy, since it's below Fib's 50% and over a reversion Order Block. As for now, people are shorting it way more than longing.
Dexe would have its turn at $8, though I'd rather holding ZEN much more than DEXE.
Below is my analysis on Horizen.
It's not Pump & Dump, but both have such a low liquidity compared to others that they could just keep going and recover their ATHs. It's a matter of market interest.
Zen, I'd consider $21 as a good price to buy, since it's below Fib's 50% and over a reversion Order Block. As for now, people are shorting it way more than longing.
Dexe would have its turn at $8, though I'd rather holding ZEN much more than DEXE.
Below is my analysis on Horizen.
Ah- and no, I haven't TP'd everything yet, but I'm TPing some long positions, and starting some short positions.
Overall I'm mostly longing.
Overall I'm mostly longing.
Further proof
Further proof
Sharing with you guys because it's a big deal for me.
Finally, after 6 years into crypto, it happened.
A perfect entry.
Exactly at the very top.
W.
I'm framing this on a wall now
$BNB USDT
Finally, after 6 years into crypto, it happened.
A perfect entry.
Exactly at the very top.
W.
I'm framing this on a wall now
$BNB USDT
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