Is there really anyone who doesn't know that USDT can be used to buy gold? Actually, the corresponding one is XAUT, but if Binance doesn't integrate it, they will lose a lot of current users, as most mainstream exchanges have already integrated it. I don't want to switch exchanges, so could you please have @Yi He integrate it?
Gold will not crash, and the cryptocurrency market cannot expect a reversal. The precious metals market has basically drained global liquidity. If safe-haven assets do not drop, risk assets will not rise.
ADA is done for, just let it go to zero, I'll accept a big surprise. It didn't rise when it should have, and it plummets crazily when it falls. Why should it enter the top ten cryptocurrencies?
Lin Chao on Cryptocurrency: Is the 2026 Bull Market About to Start?
Strategizing from within, winning thousands of miles away. Hello everyone, I am Lin Chao, a global financial market observer, focusing on cryptocurrency market analysis, bringing you the most in-depth trading information analysis and technical teaching. The last Federal Reserve meeting of 2025 ended in the early hours of yesterday, and overall, the market reaction was not significant. From the dot plot, it is actually slightly more accommodative than in September, but there is still a gap from what the market had anticipated. However, it doesn't matter, because next year – that is, 2026, the biggest variable is actually that Powell will be replaced by Haskett (as mentioned in yesterday's article). Once the handover is complete, the dot plot in June will be more important than it is now.
Lin Chao on Cryptocurrency: Is the Bottom Built, a Sign of a Bull Market Starting?
Strategizing within the tent, winning a thousand miles away. Hello everyone, I am Lin Chao, a global financial market observer, focusing on cryptocurrency market analysis, bringing you the most in-depth trading information analysis and technical teaching. I have stopped updating for a while to distance myself from the market. It is not because there is any special trend in this market that forced me to leave. As a mature trader, one must learn to disengage from the market at the right time to avoid becoming numb during long-term trading. Trading itself is a very sensitive and strict matter; if you cannot make yourself comfortable, trading will not go smoothly. Especially in the cryptocurrency market, which operates 24/7 without stopping, if you do not learn to appropriately let go and distance yourself from the market, you will ultimately be consumed by it. During my break, I received many private messages from fans hoping for a simple judgment on the recent market trends, so today I will share my views on the current market.
I don't even know when it started, but Majie has become a symbol in the cryptocurrency circle, and everyone is watching his account. I've seen his operations, and to be honest, they are quite average, easily triggering a gambling mode; it's better for him to focus on singing.
This round of increase does not have actual theoretical support. This week, after the surge, it is likely to go down again. Speculating on interest rate cut expectations cannot determine that the market will turn around. Until it stabilizes, act cautiously.
When Bitcoin couldn't hold the key support level, I realized the trend had changed. Most people are desperately waiting for a rebound. In fact, even if Bitcoin pulls back to 50,000, there is a chance it will rise again and continue to hit new highs, but altcoins will struggle more, trending downwards. Perhaps one day in the future, many altcoins will be severely devalued and delisted... I've seen FIL drop from $237 to $0.5, and LUNA from $25 to $0.03. If I remember correctly, these were all altcoins that were in the top ten by market value back then.
From historical data: From 1995 to 1996, the U.S. government was shut down for 21 days, and the S&P rose about 4.0% in the month after the shutdown. In 2013, the U.S. government was shut down for 17 days, and then rose about 4.5% in the following month. In 2018 to 2019, there was a record 35-day shutdown, and the S&P rose 5% in the month after it ended. Overall, since 1990, after six major shutdowns in the U.S., the S&P has averaged a rise of 1% to 4% in one month and 3% to 7% in three months. The historical perspective may not always be accurate, but I feel this time might not be an exception, so Lin Chao has always judged that the bull has not left, though this is just my personal judgment.
Looking back at the present, the fact is that both the fear and greed index are below 15, indicating extreme fear. Generally speaking, unless it is an irreversible downturn (for example, a project is completely stolen), selling in extreme fear is likely not a good idea; after all, extreme decline must lead to prosperity. At the same time, we are in a rate-cutting cycle, which is a visible easing cycle. However, there are now too many initial bear signals: 10.11, the largest liquidation in history, mid and tail stablecoins collapsing, sky-high ICOs, technical indicators materially breaking MA200, briefly breaking MA 365, Bitcoin losing the 100,000 mark, the 4-year cycle has arrived, etc. From the facts, it is pessimistic and desperate. It can only be said that at this position, there is a significant divergence between bulls and bears, which may be a dividing line.
Including U.S. stocks making lower highs, BTC directly breaking previous lows. The current market is just as Lin Chao mentioned before; it hasn't fully dropped. When will it fully drop? I don't know. I can only mechanically execute the previous plan, holding a light position in spot, and then using the same position to layout contract short positions, relying solely on technical indicators to guide my daily trading. There are reasons to be bullish, and naturally, there are reasons to be bearish, but regardless of being bullish or bearish, I will clearly state my premise; where the market is entangled is also where people's hearts are entangled. The ten-thousand integer mark has always been a key observation area; this morning, with this slippery slide-like movement, it can now be confirmed that the demand for BTC at 100,000 is very low, and it needs to look for support below. Simply put, the decline cannot be stopped.
Stabilizing is the first step, expectations are not high, I just hope to complete the establishment of the platform period within this month, and it won't be an immediate upward pull, that is impossible #美国结束政府停摆
Recently, I have been receiving constant private messages from fans. Is the market entering a bear market? If so, then just cut losses and exit. Lin Chao wants to share a saying with everyone: Never do anything that will result in a permanent loss of your principal. Obviously, cutting losses is such a thing. Regarding hedging, I no longer want to repeat it too much. Do not speculate on the development of trends; just follow the development of trends and take appropriate actions. But what if it is indeed a downtrend that has become a foregone conclusion? Let's first take a look at the current market situation. Taking the SOL market as an example, the current situation is that it has fallen for three consecutive months. Should we run?
Many people believe that the government's opening is beneficial. In fact, the market is the market; unless there is specific positive information, the market's reaction will be intense. In my opinion, such speculative news is unreferenced. Just like the A-shares, only real liquidity injected into the market will elicit a response. Please remember that the market's rise and fall does not require a reason, only an excuse. #美国结束政府停摆
ADA How much lower can it go? Looking at the weekly chart, it has been consistently below the long-term moving average, and the pattern has long since deteriorated. From this perspective, it can basically be considered a long-term support level; it won't drop too much further, but it also won't surge up suddenly. The reason is simple: there is no narrative, and it belongs to a category of coins that slowly bleed out, with little prospect.