Thursday (November 7): Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision. Despite recent weak economic data, it is unlikely to change the Fed's pace of starting regular rate cuts. Powell is expected to continue his previous hawkish stance, stating that the non-farm data is a temporary weakness, while being cautious about inflation data that exceeds expectations. The market anticipates two more 25bps rate cuts from the Fed within the year. Additionally, regarding unemployment claims, both initial and continuing claims have begun to decline and are below expectations this week. With the effects of the hurricane passing and Boeing workers returning to their jobs, next week's data is expected to become more optimistic, suggesting a temporary weakness in October non-farm data. Friday (November 8): Release of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index, inflation expectations, and other data. The consumer confidence index has slightly rebounded, while inflation expectations remain stable. With the announcement of the presidential election results, it is expected that businesses and consumers will begin another wave of spending.
Brothers, there has been significant volatility this week, so be mentally prepared. I am still using the needle-catching strategy for the SOL strategy, setting buy points at 161, 156 (setting a stop-loss, continuing to buy at the next point), 145, 138, etc., with light positions and slow additions, waiting for the election. Personally, I predict that on election day, BTC may break to a new high around 73,000. If the Republican Party controls Congress, BTC prices are expected to reach around 100,000 by the end of the year. #美国大选后涨或跌?
Brothers, big events are coming in the United States this week, so be prepared for the Super Week
Monday (November 4): Overall calm. ISM's manufacturing PMI shows that the decline in new orders has narrowed, but the data for September has fallen sharply.
Tuesday (November 5): The US presidential election vote count is open, and Trump and Harris are inseparable. The market's trading logic for the two candidates is repeated, and both sides are betting. The final result is not expected to have a particularly large impact on the market, and will not cause an unexpected shock like in 2016.
The September trade account was announced, and the US GDP in the third quarter showed that trade continued to drag down GDP, and the deficit in September was expected to remain high.
The US ISM's non-manufacturing PMI and S&P Global Services PMI for October were announced. The S&P Global Services PMI was higher than expected, and the ISM Services PMI was also higher than expected for a consecutive period. This time it is expected to show signs of cooling. 10Y US Treasury auction results. After-hours AMD financial report, AMD was previously suspected of financial fraud and its annual report was repeatedly postponed. This week, its stock price plummeted 45%, wiping out last year's gains. The market believes that it may be delisted again or acquired.
Wednesday (November 6): The results of the US election will be announced (if it goes smoothly). The US Treasury's refinancing plan is not expected to have too many surprises, and will continue the basic pace of issuing more treasury bonds. After-hours Qualcomm and ARM financial reports. Semiconductor stocks performed weakly this week. Qualcomm benefited from the shipment of Snapdragon 8 Extreme Edition, and this quarter's financial report may be expected; while ARM's previous financial report fell sharply, and it was considered overvalued. It also had a war of words with Qualcomm, saying that it would cancel Qualcomm's authorization. #美国大选后涨或跌?
2015 #BTC Bear Market Lowest Point 1067 Days to #BTC #BTC ($19666)
2018 #BTC Bear Market Lowest Point #BTC 0 Days to #BTC Bull Market Highest Point ($69#BTC Current Distance from 2022 #BTC Bear Market Lowest Point is 706 Days $
Strictly speaking,#BTChas broken through the 217-day downward trend line! The next position ATH is 74,000 US dollars! The copycat will bring a 5-10 times increase like in October 23, so wait and see! 😎
#BTC要挑战7W大关了吗? #链游打金 #Gamefi#Web3#Meme#打新#撸毛#0渒#interactio#game#Memecoin#BTC#ETH#SOL#SUI#TON#AI#DEPINReal money speaks, investment institutions have never been inclined towards chain games Stop, at present, the investment intensity of chain games is even higher than that of DeFi, but in essence, chain games are just different forms of CX.
Overall, the market performance from July to October in the US election year tends to experience a process of first rising and then falling back. Especially when the election is approaching, market volatility tends to intensify due to increased uncertainty. Historical data shows that factors such as market expectations of candidates' policies, economic fundamentals, and external environment will have a significant impact on the market trend during this period. #特朗普拜登
At present, the total market value of the entire memecoin market is 58 billion US dollars, and the total market value of the entire crypto market is currently 2.4 trillion US dollars, accounting for 2.5%. According to Murad's super cycle theory, as well as the market trend and retail investor preferences of this round of cycles, I think that when this round of bull market reaches its peak (the big cake breaks the previous high and hits 100,000 dollars), the share of the meme market will reach 5%-10%, which means there is at least one time and up to three times the room for growth. Embrace meme, and the future is promising#meme板块关注热点
#美国大选比特币价格预测 In the past decade, the average increase of Bitcoin in the month before the US presidential election was 17.16%. From the data, the market sentiment before each presidential election has had a certain positive impact on the price of Bitcoin, especially in 2020, the increase was significantly higher than the previous two elections. This may be related to the market's response to political uncertainty and the gradual maturity of the cryptocurrency market.
#灰度基金 On October 11, according to official news, the crypto asset management company Grayscale disclosed a list of assets that will be considered for inclusion in future Grayscale investment products. Grayscale will update this list within 15 days after the end of each quarter. As the crypto ecosystem expands, the Grayscale team will review or re-evaluate other assets.