⚠️ Market risk aversion is rising, today's decline is highly likely!

📅 Key events:
1️⃣ Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (tonight)

The focus is not on rate cuts, but on the “dot plot” and Powell's speech.
Market concerns:
The Federal Reserve may only cut rates 2-4 times by 2025; if interest rates remain high, black swan risks increase, and the market will worry about a delay in easing policies. Investors are experiencing heightened risk aversion ahead of important meetings, selling off assets.
2️⃣ Japan's interest rate decision (December 19)

The market is watching whether Japan will adjust its monetary policy; although the probability of a rate hike is low, the market tends to hedge in advance.
📉 Market interpretation:
Investors choose to exit early under dual uncertainties, triggering market sell-offs. The decisions of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan could have a chain reaction on the market, leading to cautious market sentiment.
💡 Operational advice:
Short-term strategy:
Avoid heavy positions to prevent strong liquidations caused by large fluctuations.
Focus on Bitcoin support level at $95,000; if it breaks, it may further decline in the short term.
Medium-term strategy:
Observe Powell's speech and the hints from the dot plot; if interest rates exceed expectations in 2025, the market may continue to face pressure.
Long-term strategy:
Look for long-term potential assets on dips, especially high-quality targets like ETH and XRP, waiting for the market to digest policy uncertainties.
🚨 Conclusion:
The market is in a phase of high uncertainty, and investors are hedging in advance, making today's decline highly likely. Focus on the Federal Reserve's dot plot and Powell's speech, as this will determine future market risk sentiment. Manage risks and patiently await market clarity!

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🚀 Bitcoin breaks new high of 106,000! Next key targets: ETH, XRP, and Trump-themed coins!

Why is this round of the bull market 'calm'?
1️⃣ Led by institutions, primarily pushing BTC:

This round of increase is mainly driven by institutional funds, new capital is concentrated in BTC, ETH has not yet broken new highs, and altcoins are temporarily lagging behind.
2️⃣ Diversification of assets dilutes liquidity:

Emerging assets like NFTs and inscriptions have dispersed liquidity, and retail investors tend to pursue high returns, reducing large positions in Bitcoin.
3️⃣ Change in risk perception:

In the Web2 world, BTC was considered a high-risk asset; but in Web3, BTC has become 'the most stable choice.'
When will the altcoin season arrive?
Once funds overflow from BTC, they will inevitably flow to other targets, with ETH and XRP being the next 'reservoirs.'
In a season of altcoins with dispersed liquidity, returns will be more concentrated in coins with clear themes and funding support.
Next ambush strategy:
1️⃣ First tier: Main targets for Bitcoin fund overflow

$ETH: Has ecological advantages, once BTC's momentum slows, ETH will surely take over.
$XRP: Legal and compliance bring strong expectations and are likely to attract large funds.
2️⃣ Second tier: Trump-themed coins

Focus on DeFi, the American supply chain, and compliance projects:
$LINK (Chainlink): The leader in oracle technology, an indispensable infrastructure.
$AAVE (Aave): The leader in DeFi, attracting institutional attention.
$ENA, $ONDO: Small-cap potential stocks, ambushing and waiting for funds to flow in.
Trump wallet dynamics: Key to monitor its fund flow, which may suggest the next hot spot.
Summary:
Currently, BTC dominates the market, but once liquidity overflows, the altcoin season will arrive as expected.

In the first phase, focus on ETH, XRP, seizing mainstream tracks.
In the second phase, ambush Trump-themed coins, following the trend of funds to explore potential projects.
Opportunities are few; early layout is necessary to secure a winning position in the altcoin season!

🔥The carnival of altcoins has arrived, and the timing of profit-taking is particularly critical!

1️⃣ The altcoins are soaring, and profit-taking is a must!

If a certain altcoin enters the main rising wave, especially with a single-day increase of more than 30%-50%, that is a signal that you need to consider profit-taking.
Making money is the real goal, and unrealized gains are just numbers. Don't let greed steal your profits!

2️⃣ Historical experience shows that the opportunity of altcoins is short-lived

Looking back at the past bull market, behind those astonishing gains, most altcoins quickly pulled back or even returned to zero after the surge.
The "carnival" of altcoins in this halving cycle may also be their curtain call performance. Seize the opportunity, otherwise you may have to wait for the next cycle.

3️⃣ The altcoin market is as volatile as a roller coaster

Recently, the "double overnight" of altcoins has become the norm, but similarly, the market is also ruthless when it pulls back.
Set a profit-taking target and plan an exit strategy in advance to avoid being trapped at a high point.
4️⃣ Give yourself a "vaccination": decisively stop profit

When the altcoins soar, remember to "inject" yourself and calmly think about when to cash in.
Our goal in the cryptocurrency circle is to make money, not to blindly increase positions!
5️⃣ Clear goals, execution is the key

When the goal is achieved, do not hesitate, act decisively, and leave a part of the profit, without pursuing "selling at the highest point".
💡 Summary:
The altcoin market is like a flash in the pan. If you do not stop profit in time after the surge, you may fall into a deep trap. Remember, greed is the biggest enemy. Seize the opportunity and take the money in time to go further in the cryptocurrency circle!

$XRP $BTC $DOGE — Only survivors can laugh to the end! #加密市场狂欢 #BTC☀ #XRP将取代美元加密专家预测Ripple的XRP分类账在日本的主要作用 #doge⚡

📈 Ethereum (ETH) Key Buying Strategy

📍 Key Buying Range:

$3650 - $3500: You can buy in batches within this range and wait for market pullback confirmation before entering.
🟢 Key Signal Interpretation:
1️⃣ First Chart Signal:

As long as ETH maintains the adjustment above this line, it is likely to welcome a new round of upward trend.
2️⃣ Second Chart Signal:

If ETH tests the tunnel without breaking, it will form strong support, and may then break through and rise, seizing the buying opportunity.
🎯 Target Outlook:

Once it breaks through, ETH is expected to challenge the previous high again and welcome a new round of rising market.
⚠️ Precautions:

Build positions in batches, do not blindly overinvest, and control risks.
Observe the reaction of the support line and tunnel support, and confirm it does not break before adding to your position.
Summary: Ethereum is currently in a key adjustment zone, $3650-$3500 is an ideal left-side entry point. After waiting for the market to confirm support, it may welcome a new round of strong rally!

📈 JASMY Spot Buying Strategy

📍 Entry Range:

0.035 - 0.037 USD: Build positions in batches, place buy orders in advance.
🎯 Profit Target:

First Target: 0.045 USD
Final Target: 0.054 USD
⚠️ Notes:

For spot trading only, opening contracts is not recommended to avoid being washed out by large fluctuations.
Build positions in batches, take profits in batches, diversify risk, and ensure profits.
Trading Suggestion:

Place buy orders in advance in the 0.035 - 0.037 range.
Gradually take profits at target levels of 0.045 and 0.054 to secure gains.
Summary: JASMY adopts a batch position building and batch profit-taking strategy, placing buy orders in advance and waiting for the upward trend. #JASMYUSDT #BTC☀ #加密市场反弹

📢 Tonight's CPI is coming in strong, beware of the 'Painting Door Market'!

📅 Key Time: Tonight (Beijing 9:30 PM)
📈 Expected Data:

CPI Year-on-Year: 2.7%
CPI Month-on-Month: 0.3%
Core CPI: 0.3%
Market Interpretation
Higher than Expected: Significant inflation pressure may negatively impact the market, increasing the risk of a correction in the crypto market.
Lower than Expected: Slowing inflation may prompt the Federal Reserve to ease interest rate hikes, benefiting risk assets, with BTC potentially rebounding.
Beware of 'Painting Door Market'
Before and after the data release, the market may experience **'false breakout, real correction'**, leading to losses on both sides and extreme volatility.#市场回调抄底还是观望？ #BTC☀

Microsoft will hold its annual shareholder meeting at 0:30 Beijing time on December 11th to vote on whether to include Bitcoin in its balance sheet. The proposal was put forward by the American conservative think tank National Center for Public Policy Research (NCPPR), suggesting that Microsoft allocate at least 1% of its assets to Bitcoin.

It is worth noting that Microsoft's board has recommended shareholders vote against the proposal, citing that the company's management has thoroughly considered the issue and believes the proposal is 'unnecessary'.

Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating around $97,666. The market is widely focused on the outcome of this vote, believing it could impact the trend of the cryptocurrency market. If the proposal is approved, Microsoft will need to further assess and consider the feasibility and methods of incorporating Bitcoin into its balance sheet.

Additionally, MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor has suggested to Microsoft's board to include Bitcoin in its balance sheet, stating that this move could

The outcome of this vote will reveal whether Microsoft will add Bitcoin to its asset allocation, which may potentially influence the future direction of the cryptocurrency market.

Microsoft shareholders will vote to decide whether to include Bitcoin in the balance sheet #微软比特币投资投票案 #BTC☀

I will only say this once! This is the last chance to get on board!🚀

🎄 The Christmas crash is coming early, the countdown to altcoin explosion has begun!

December 16: Altcoins will enter the explosion period on time, and the market will welcome a violent surge!
Only 6 days left until the explosion!
🚨 Hurry up and set up your position in advance; if you miss this, you may never get on board again! #市场回调抄底还是观望？ #加密市场回调 #BTC☀ #meme板块关注热点

📉 The crypto market plummets, market capitalization falls below $3.7 trillion, down 5.7% in the last 24 hours!

1. Market Overview:
Total market capitalization of the crypto market: fell below $3.7 trillion, currently at $3.657 trillion, down 5.7% in the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin market capitalization share: BTC.D share rebounds to 56.95%, indicating capital flow back into BTC.

2. Major market events in the last 24 hours:
Liquidation wave:
In the past 24 hours, 572,395 people were liquidated, far exceeding the “312 event” on March 12, 2020, setting a historical record.
Bitcoin key support:
Support level: $95,000, if broken, caution is needed; resistance level: $100,000, a breakout would be a strong buy signal.

3. MicroStrategy increases BTC holdings
On December 8, MicroStrategy increased its holdings by $2.1 billion, acquiring 21,550 BTC at an average price of $98,783 per coin.
Currently holding 423,650 BTC, accounting for 2.017% of Bitcoin's total supply.
MicroStrategy also issued $6.2 billion in convertible bonds this year, providing ample funding support to the market.
Coinshares data:
Last week, net inflows into digital asset investment products reached $3.85 billion, setting a new historical record.
Among them, Bitcoin saw an inflow of $2.5 billion, Ethereum saw an inflow of $1.2 billion, and Solana had a net outflow of $14 million.

4. South Korean market trading volume plummets
South Korean trading volume fell from a peak of $25 billion to $6.6 billion, indicating a sharp decline in market trading enthusiasm.
The MVRV ratio shows that the market is at a mid-term peak.
The current MVRV ratio for Bitcoin is 2.7 times (above the cost base), in the “mid-term peak” zone, historically this phase is often accompanied by profit-taking and consolidation periods.

5. Citigroup expects a 25 basis point rate cut in December, with a market rate cut probability of 78.1%, which will have a direct impact on market liquidity.
Bitcoin support and resistance:
Support level: $95,000, once broken, the market may see a larger correction.
Resistance level: $100,000, once broken, the market is expected to welcome strong buying sentiment, potentially pushing BTC into a new upward trend.
🔥 Investor advice:

The crypto market is experiencing severe volatility, with Bitcoin's support level at $95,000 and resistance level at $100,000 becoming key points. MicroStrategy increased its BTC holdings by $2.1 billion, and Coinshares data shows that institutional funds are still flowing in. Pay attention to the Fed's rate cut decision, as it may become another key catalyst driving the market.

The big Bitcoin market is coming, and the dog dealer's "harvest game" is coming!

Key points:
Short-term liquidation: Rising to $110,000, 1.9 billion short orders can be liquidated.
Long-term liquidation: Falling to $89,000, 2.3 billion long orders can be liquidated.

Expected Fed rate cut:
Time: Mid-December (December 18)
Market expectations: 25 basis points rate cut, probability 78.1%.

Possible operations of the dog dealer:
1️⃣ Fall first and then pull up: First drop to 89,000, liquidate longs, then pull to 110,000, liquidate shorts, double kill and harvest.
2️⃣ Pull first and then drop: First pull to 110,000 to lure more, then drop back to 89,000, liquidate high longs.
3️⃣ Unilateral breakthrough: Directly break through 110,000, but the probability is low.

Operation suggestions:
Do not chase high or buy low, control the position.
Pay attention to the key points of 89,000 and 110,000, and wait for the market direction to be clear before entering the market.

Conclusion: The big market is coming, and the dog dealer may "double kill long and short", operate steadily to prevent being harvested! #山寨季将持续多久？ #粉丝代币板块普涨 #BTC☀

🎉 Celebrate the arrival of altcoin season, with a big giveaway of 500 USDT! 🎉

Following our last event, we continue to reward the enthusiasm of our community! Participate in the lottery for a chance to share 500 USDT!

💰 Event Details:

Rewards: 50 lucky users will be selected, each receiving 10 USDT.

Participation Conditions:
Follow Shui Shui's X account and share this post
Invite 10 people to join the TG group ➕ Be active in the group to accumulate 100 points to qualify for the lottery activity👇
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⏰ Event Duration: From now until December 15

🔥 Hurry to participate and easily win rewards! Don't forget to invite your friends to share the prize money together! #BTC能站稳10W吗？ #Meme齐涨

Yes, it's time to lower interest rates.

🚀 Super Invincible Bull and Bear Prophecy, Key Dates Revealed!

2024 Altcoin Explosion Day: 📅 2024/12/16
Only 8 days left, the altcoin season may officially begin, and the market will welcome a fierce wave of wealth!

2025 Bull Market Peak Day: 📅 2025/10/06
This date may mark the peak of the current bull market, and the market will reach its most frenzied state. Investors need to formulate profit-taking strategies in advance.

2026 Bear Market Bottom Day: 📅 2026/10/05
This will be the bottom opportunity for the next bear market, as well as a golden time for bargain hunting and positioning. Prepare in advance to seize future opportunities!

⏰ Countdown Reminder:

There are still: 8 days until the 2024 Altcoin Explosion Day!
Seize this early ambush opportunity during the altcoin season; the future wave of wealth will not be missed!

🔥 Reminder:
The wealth password of the bull market has already emerged. If you miss this time, you may have to wait another four years! Now, prepare your spot layout; those who stand until the end are the biggest winners in this bull-bear game! #山寨季怎么布局？ #BTC能站稳10W吗？

Dogecoin's Deflationary Big Reveal: The Path to Freedom for Holders?

Dogecoin co-founder Billy Markus recently revealed a bombshell on the X platform about how to achieve DOGE's deflation! This proposal adds more imagination to the future of Dogecoin.

Current Status of Dogecoin:
Total Supply: Currently, there are 146.78 billion DOGE in the market.
Annual Increase: An annual fixed increase of 5 billion DOGE, but as the total supply increases, the inflation rate decreases year by year.
Comparison with Bitcoin:
The protocols of DOGE and BTC are similar, only differing in inflation rates.
If miners and the community agree, Bitcoin can also change its supply limit.
Ways to Achieve DOGE Deflation:
Billy stated that it only takes three steps:

Submit a proposal (pull request) on GitHub.
Convince the community and miners to support the new code version.
Once the new version is adopted, the DOGE deflation mechanism will be realized.
Elon Musk's View:
Musk believes that DOGE's **“smooth inflation” is a feature, not a flaw**.
He pointed out that the inflation rate of DOGE decreases year by year, and its monetary performance even surpasses that of the US dollar.
It is worth mentioning that Musk was recently appointed as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), a name that is clearly a clever tribute to Dogecoin.
Market Prospects:
Potential Observation: If the DOGE community promotes deflation, it will significantly impact its value, benefiting long-term holders immensely.
Musk Concepts: Focus on projects related to Musk on the Ethereum chain, such as puppies, which could become the next hot topic.
Conclusion:
The Dogecoin deflation plan will give it a stronger value storage potential, and Musk's continued support undoubtedly brings more attention to it. If deflation is realized, the financial freedom of Dogecoin holders may no longer be far away! #doge⚡

Telling everyone that Bitcoin will surpass 100,000 and altcoins will enter a new phase of breakthrough👍🏻👍🏻

Powell speaks: Bitcoin's competitor is gold, not the dollar! Bitcoin only needs one sentence to break 100,000!

1. The independence of the Federal Reserve cannot be challenged

Powell emphasized that the independence of the Federal Reserve has broad support from the U.S. Congress, which allows the Fed to make the best decisions.
He mentioned that the Fed's operating funds are self-sufficient, so there is no concern about its independence being undermined.
2. Bitcoin vs. Gold

Powell stated that Bitcoin's competitor is gold, not the dollar:
Characteristics: Like gold, Bitcoin is also a store of value asset, but its volatility is too large to be used as a payment tool.
Conclusion: Bitcoin does not threaten the dollar's status as the global reserve currency but competes with gold for market share.
3. Trump appoints cryptocurrency supporter as SEC Chairman

U.S. President-elect Trump announced the nomination of Paul Atkins as SEC Chairman.
Trump stated that Paul Atkins recognizes the importance of digital assets to the United States.
Market reaction: After the news broke, Bitcoin surged from $95,000 to $99,000.
4. December interest rate cut expectations heat up

After Powell's remarks, several analysts expect a 25 basis points cut in December, while January may see rates remain unchanged.
Market expectations:
Probability of a 25 basis points cut in December: 78.1%;
Probability of holding rates unchanged: 21.9%.
Summary:
Powell's comments further reinforce Bitcoin's positioning as "digital gold," while Trump's nomination may bring more positive news to the cryptocurrency market. As expectations for a rate cut in December heat up, market sentiment is high, making the next wave of Bitcoin's market worth watching!#BTC新高10W #历史见证者打卡