There are a few key things to note for long-term altcoin investments:

1. Avoid projects with low market capitalization and listed on only one or two fringe exchanges. Although these projects may have the potential to become the next "Dogecoin" (Shiba Inu), most similar projects ultimately fail to achieve such a high success rate. Therefore, bets should not be placed lightly on such low-probability events.

2. Similarly, projects with large market capitalization should also be avoided. These projects may have experienced a round of highs and have huge market capitalizations, but this also increases the risk of their prosperity and decline. In the next round of market fluctuations, they may be replaced by emerging projects.

3. Avoid projects with outdated concepts and lack of innovation. The capital market tends to promote the hype of new concepts rather than old concepts. Therefore, it is best to choose projects with innovative or novel ideas.

Most importantly, avoid risky behavior when there is no suitable market entry.

Want to know more about the first-hand information and in-depth analysis of the currency circle? Click on the avatar to see my introduction to the industry, and bring you the latest market analysis and high-quality potential currency recommendations every day! ! !

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Strategy analysis on August 10:

Bitcoin has been in a range consolidation recently, with 60,000 as the key support level. It is currently stable and rebounds quickly even if it falls back to around 59,500. Considering the lack of a clear unilateral trend and major news drivers in the market, prices are expected to fluctuate within the range.

Operational suggestions:

Bitcoin:
- Go long if it falls back to the range of 59,500-60,000, with a target of around 61,300.
- Go short if it rebounds to the range of 61,100-61,500, with a target of around 59,800.

Ethereum:
- Go long if it falls back to the range of 2550-2570, with a target of around 2660-2680.
- Go short if it rebounds to the range of 2680-2650, with a target of around 2550-2560.

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When the market is wrongly killed due to bias, it is often the time when a gold pit appears

Current biases include:

1. VC disk is not played

2. Ethereum is dead

3. DeFi is worthless

4. Layer2 is useless

5. Infrastructure is garbage

6. GameFi has been falsified

What else do you know?

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SHIB has not been doing well recently. As the second most popular meme coin, its position in the cryptocurrency world is a bit shaky. SHIB is now the 13th largest cryptocurrency with a market value of $7.86 billion.

SHIB is currently trading at $0.00001417, and it has fallen 4.16% in the past day, which is heartbreaking.

However, some people predict that SHIB's price will rebound, saying that it will rise to $0.00002191 on August 15, which is a direct surge of nearly 60% from the current price! Although it sounds like a dream, SHIB has experienced such a crazy rise before, so it is not completely impossible this time.

So why is this happening? The good news is that SHIB is destroying a large number of tokens, which is like reducing the supply on the market, and the price will naturally go up.

Shibburn data shows that more than 3327% of tokens have been destroyed in the past 24 hours, and a total of more than 100 million tokens have been destroyed. This is a big move!

But then again, the cryptocurrency market is like a roller coaster right now, up and down, very unstable.

So, although SHIB may rise, it may also encounter resistance. It is hard to say what the trend will be in the next few days. Let's wait and see!

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A new friend has joined the circle these days. He makes money on everything he buys. I finally understand why there is a protection period for novices in the cryptocurrency circle

It means that new investors are copying the bottom of old investors. Old investors are trapped in their positions. New investors come in and think, wow, this coin is really cheap, so they buy it, and then they make a profit when it rebounds from oversold prices

New investors: This money is so easy to make

Old investors: MMP, when can I get my money back

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The price of Bitcoin is really quite fierce. I originally expected to buy the bottom after the price fell back in the next two days. Seeing how fierce it is, I guess I have to wait for a while. There will definitely be a big correction later. At present, the highest price of Bitcoin is 62,700. Above 60,000 is a good rebound profit point. After it comes out, you can wait for it to fall back and then enter the market to buy the bottom!  

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The four kings of mainstream currencies: BTC, SOL, ETH, BNB

Features: These four cryptocurrencies are known for their market influence, technological innovation and broad community support, showing strong rebound potential and long-term investment value.

SOL chain selection:
-WIF
- MEW

Introduction: In the Solana (SOL) ecosystem, WIF and MEW have received widespread attention from the market with their unique advantages and good development prospects.

Ethereum chain highlights:
- PEOPLE
- PEPE

Introduction: The PEOPLE and PEPE projects on the Ethereum (ETH) chain have demonstrated strong market potential and rebound capabilities by virtue of their deep integration with the Ethereum ecosystem and innovative business models.

Whether it is the four kings of mainstream currencies or selected projects in their respective ecological chains, they all have high investment value and rebound potential. However, investment requires caution and investors should make rational decisions based on their own risk tolerance and market conditions.

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Price trend analysis

K line shape:
The daily chart shows that the price is currently in a state of high volatility after experiencing large fluctuations. The plunge on August 5 and the surge on August 8 formed an obvious V-shaped reversal.

On the hourly chart, the price has been hovering around 61,000 in recent hours, testing this level multiple times but failing to effectively break out.

Technical indicators:
- MACD: The hourly MACD indicator shows that the fast and slow lines (DIF and DEA) are both above the zero axis, but there are signs of a dead cross, suggesting that there may be callback pressure in the short term.

- RSI: The hourly RSI is close to the overbought range (64), but has not yet entered the extreme zone. You need to pay attention to whether it will continue to rise or fall back.

- EMA: The current price is higher than EMA7, but far away from EMA30 and EMA120. The short-term trend is still biased towards the long side, but the risk of callback exists.

Volume:
-Daily trading volume: reached a peak on August 8 and then decreased, indicating that market sentiment is gradually stabilizing.

- Hourly trading volume: dropped significantly at 14:00, indicating that the market has a strong wait-and-see sentiment and may lack a directional breakthrough in the short term.

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The crash seemed to have happened yesterday, but it also seemed like a distant memory, or even like a dream that had never happened.

If it weren't for the traces on the candlestick chart and the damage to the altcoins, who could be sure that those things really happened?

The decline was rapid, and the V-shaped rebound was equally rapid. In this extreme deleveraging market, many people's positions and funds have vanished.

Some people still have funds, but their positions no longer exist.

There are many people who fell before dawn, and those who waited for a second bottom found that the market continued to hit highs.

Risk markets forced policies to quickly advance interest rate cuts.

Although the news may not be so important to those who are paying attention now, it means a lot to those who stand high and look to the future.

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Ethereum still performed strongly today, breaking through $2,700 at one point. However, the volume failed to grow synchronously, which became the main problem. Sometimes, in order to achieve the purpose of absorbing funds, whales and institutions will release panic-inducing news. For example, on August 7, the market spread false news that Ethereum transferred $2 billion, and the Grayscale Fund continued to outflow Ethereum, which caused the price of Ethereum to fall to $2,363.8 that day, a drop of 7.5%. The whale succeeded in suppressing the price again, but it is worth noting that when Ethereum plummeted on August 5, "Sun Ge" chose to increase his holdings of Ethereum. Today, a piece of news stimulated the market: Coinbase's chief legal officer revealed that the SEC's investigation into Ethereum 2.0 has ended, and the final ruling on the FOIA lawsuit may be made in 2025. The news prompted the price of Ethereum to rebound to $2,725.12.

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The gap in BTC CME futures has been filled, and it may fall back to around 59,800 next. When it falls back again, seize the opportunity to avoid missing it.

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BTC
The market is accelerating its decline, and oversold phenomena have appeared. The bottom rebounded quickly, and the big V-shaped trend reappeared like a dragon.

After the bull market, many investors will be swayed by fear and greed, facing ever-changing market fluctuations, and finally be worn out before dawn.

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JUP, currently up 33%!
The strong performance of the SOL sector is expected, and the small target of 1.1 above remains unchanged.
This morning is full of good news!!!

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Operation suggestions for the morning of August 9 (Friday):

Market review:
Bitcoin rose from about 57,000 to above 59,000 at midnight, and stabilized in the range of 59,000-59,600, then broke through to around 62,700, and is currently fluctuating around 61,400.

Real trading:
Short-term operations were not involved in the evening, but the medium and long-term positions performed steadily and continued to make profits.

Market analysis:
Yesterday's fluctuations showed that the liquidation operation has been basically completed, and both the first-line and second-line liquidations have ended, as has Ethereum. At present, the bullish sentiment is strong, and the liquidation thickness is concentrated around 58,300-59,000. The support level below is 60,000. The weekly K-line has changed from a negative column to a positive column, and there is pressure around the middle track of 64,000.

Morning operation suggestions:
If Bitcoin retreats to around 61000-60800, you can consider long orders, with the target looking at the 62000-62200 range.

If Ethereum retreats to around 2640-2660, you can consider long orders, with the target looking at the 2700-2720 range. After breaking through, you can continue to look at around 2750.

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The current cryptocurrency market is showing a sideways period after a period of rise. Especially for altcoins, the price fluctuates greatly, and there are often rapid rises and falls, which are elusive. This situation often occurs at the end of the bull market.

Regarding the Federal Reserve, the market currently expects that the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in August is 94.5%, but in September it is 0%. This means that the market generally believes that interest rate cuts from September are a foregone conclusion. Although the final stimulus may not have arrived yet, the market is actively preparing for the momentum of the next wave of rising prices.

At present, the market needs to create a wealth effect to maintain its heat and attract more investors to participate. Otherwise, investors holding main funds will face chip liquidity problems.

The layout of the market main force is nearing its end. The next step will be the market momentum stage, attracting off-site funds to enter, and looking for opportunities to take profits at appropriate high levels.

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Grayscale recently launched two new investment trusts, focusing on investing in

Bittensor protocol native token TAO and Sui network native token SUI.

For TAO, the downside potential is huge, and once it rises, it will be controlled.

And SUI is also facing a similar situation. Despite a round of ups and downs, it further highlights its superficial glamour and inadequacy.

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Prepare for a big bear market

The market continued to fall, triggering deep uncertainty about the market outlook. Large institutions such as Jump and Wintermute have encountered problems one after another, further exacerbating market volatility. Well-known projects such as SBF, Luna and Sanjian of FTX are also facing difficulties, indicating that the market adjustment may be more severe. The increased pressure on the stock market and real estate industry may have an impact on the broader economic situation.

Some people believe that the problems in the Chinese market reflect institutional negative factors, but this may only be the result of the interaction between market cycles and external factors. In the Hong Kong stock market, some companies with operating difficulties have also emerged.

Decentralization does not always protect retail investors, and sometimes becomes a safe haven for large institutions. Big dealers are more vulnerable to manipulation and influence. Although hedge funds have provided liquidity and boosted the bull market in US stocks, they are now facing the challenge of a liquidity crisis. If the economy declines sharply, leveraged funds may face the problem of difficulty in exiting in time, exacerbating market turmoil.
At the political level, the economic crisis may affect the support rate of the Democratic Party, and internal interest groups will also be impacted. The benefits of IT policies have gradually faded, and policy hype has raised questions. Some high-level repurchase behaviors may raise concerns about fairness.

Some believe that political forces may respond to the current economic difficulties through specific means, such as targeting intensive industries or institutions such as real estate, but this strategy is highly risky and complex.

As market conditions change, timely adjustments and strategic flexibility are particularly important.

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TON spot will be launched at 6 pm. Let's look forward to its performance after launch.

The current price is around 6.38. The positive stimulus has now increased the small level by 14%. Don't rush in directly after the launch. There is a risk of callback.

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XRP has won a comprehensive victory in its lawsuit against the SEC, with the court confirming that it is not considered a security.

XRP has tried to break through strong resistance several times, but has failed and has fallen back. This time the market is optimistic about its breakthrough and coupled with positive news stimulus, it may break through and reach the $0.87 level.

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Many people are currently asking whether the current bull market will be the last big bull market in the cryptocurrency circle. I think this wave is very likely to be the last "big bull market" for investors to turn over. The environment of the cryptocurrency circle will become more and more complicated in the future.

However, if you find the right people and projects, there are opportunities to make money in any market. Therefore, this bull market can only lead some people to profit, and there are more than 30 places to be filled. As the market matures further and the participation of institutions increases, there will be fewer and fewer profit opportunities for ordinary retail investors.

This may be the last big bull market in the cryptocurrency circle that allows investors to turn over after its wild growth. The cryptocurrency circle will still exist in the future, but a bull market of this scale may no longer appear. Overall, the cryptocurrency market will still have potential in the next ten years, as the importance of digital currency in the financial field continues to increase and become a necessity for countless people.

However, I expect that a bear market may enter in the second half of 2025. The market has its own cycles, and this cold winter may destroy most investors. A new round of market fluctuations will follow, but the fluctuations and gains may gradually decrease, and the profit margins will also narrow accordingly.

I want to say to my friends in the cryptocurrency circle that you should cherish the opportunities in front of you and now. Although there are not many good days, standing on the shoulders of the giants of the times, this wave of wealth will be unforgettable for a lifetime.

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