Cardano Drops Below $1: Opportunity Zone Revisited After 4 Months
Cardano (ADA) has been on a downward trajectory over the past few days, with its price slipping by 7%. While this decline reflects broader market pressures, it has also created an opportunity for ADA holders.
The cryptocurrency’s current position offers potential for a bullish reversal, sparking optimism among investors.
Cardano Has a Chance
Cardano’s 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio reveals that investors who purchased ADA in the last month are facing average losses of 15%. However, this downturn has pushed the MVRV ratio into the opportunity zone, a range between -13% and -26%. Historically, this range has marked a turning point for recoveries.
This is the first time in four months that ADA’s MVRV ratio has dipped into this critical zone, signaling a potential bottom. Previous instances of the indicator entering this territory have been followed by significant price rebounds. As ADA enters this phase, investors are closely monitoring the altcoin for signs of upward momentum.
Cardano MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment
The realized profits indicator for Cardano currently shows no noticeable spikes, suggesting that investors are holding back from profit-taking. This behavior is crucial as it helps reduce market volatility and eliminates the immediate threat of sharp corrections due to excessive selling activity.
With profit-taking minimized, the market has a chance to stabilize, allowing investors more room to accumulate ADA. This phase of reduced volatility strengthens the foundation for a potential price rally. A continued lack of profit spikes could pave the way for sustained upward momentum in the near term.
Cardano Realized Profits. Source: Santiment ADA Price Prediction: Looking For Recovery
At $0.89, Cardano’s price is hovering above its critical support level of $0.87 after experiencing a sharp decline of 7% over the last 24 hours. The cryptocurrency’s ability to hold above this level is vital for maintaining bullish sentiment in the short term.
If the positive indicators materialize into a rally, ADA could reclaim the $1.00 mark, which it recently fell below. Turning this resistance into support would signal renewed strength for Cardano, enabling further price recovery towards $1.23 and drawing in additional investor interest.
Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
However, failure to hold above $0.87 could lead to a deeper decline. A breach of this level would likely push ADA down to $0.77, invalidating the bullish thesis and potentially triggering a bearish phase.
Some of you asked me what is “Market Pull Back” or “Market Correction”.
I will explain it in my way.
Imagine, you are selling potatoes 🥔. One day, suddenly someone came and started saying there will be an fast food fair and everyone can come with french fries 🍟 and participate in a contest and can become the best french fries chain in the city.
Hearing this people rushed to buy potatoes. Due to increased demand and less supply the price started to increase.
Some dishonest businessmen bought huge amounts of potatoes and stacked them and started selling them in even more higher prices. Let’s call it potato syndicate.
Let’s say the price increases to 60%. However, after checking the government found that there was syndicate manipulating the prices. They announced the total supply of the potatoes. After calculating the market got corrected and the prices declined by 10%.
This is price correction.
Then after a day, other sellers from different cities brought their potatoes to sell in high rate. The priced pulled back by 25% as new sellers are rushing to sell.
This is pull back.
Then government suddenly decides to import more potatoes from China and as soon as the news comes, the market crashed and the price dropped to 50%.
This is market crash.
After all, someone did his proper research and found that the news of first-food fair was a fake news and he announced it to everyone. Suddenly the market fall and the price of potatoes came almost 0.
This is market scam.
So, for the current bearish move, which one could be a legitimate indicator? I guess Market Crash.
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