CryptoCon, a prominent individual within the crypto analysis community, has provided a comprehensive graphic that predicts the approximate value of the next Bitcoin cycle high will be about $130,000. Based on the analysis provided, it is projected that the forthcoming cycle peak is anticipated to occur on November 28, 2025, with a potential margin of error of 21 days. The aforementioned forecast is derived from the Halving Cycles Theory, a framework that correlates the price dynamics of Bitcoin with the occurrence of periodic halving occurrences.
The Theory of Bitcoin Halving Cycles
The provided graphic illustrates the past and expected price movement of Bitcoin during four distinct market phases, as proposed by CryptoCon. These phases are represented by color-coded cycles. The term "Green Year" denotes periods characterized by accumulation, wherein optimal purchasing prices occur within a cycle and thereafter revert to the median value, which is equivalent to half of the preceding all-time high (ATH).
The "Blue Year" is characterized as a preliminary stage in which the price remains close to the median before ascending towards new all-time highs (ATHs) towards the conclusion of the year. The occurrence of the "Red Year" is associated with the emergence of new all-time highs (ATHs), whereas the "Orange Year" indicates a bear market characterized by a decline in prices, leading to undervaluation and reaching its lowest point by the end of the year.
The objective of this study is to analyze the potential price trajectory of Bitcoin during its next halving cycle.
The following analysis presents a Bitcoin price prediction based on information sourced from X, a reputable authority in the cryptocurrency industry, specifically @CryptoCon_.
The idea proposed by CryptoCon is based on the analysis of historical trends seen during Bitcoin's halving occurrences, including the first one that occurred on November 28, 2012, and the second one on July 9, 2016. The analyst claims that every forecast made by this model has consistently aligned with the expected outcomes from its inception in January of the current year.
Despite receiving complaints regarding the precise time of previous cycle peaks, CryptoCon remains steadfast in its trust in the model. It asserts that the primary argument leveled against this model is the contention that the technical peak occurred in April 2021 rather than November. However, it is undeniable that the numerical data supports the notion that the price was indeed greater.
The next BTC cycle: Preliminary Analysis of the Top, Top, and Bottom
The technique employed by the analyst encompasses a combination of diverse price tests and the utilization of a Trend Pattern Price model, resulting in the establishment of a consensus objective of $130,000. The provided graphic also indicates that Bitcoin is on the verge of entering a period referred to as a "Blue Year." Based on the analysis provided by CryptoCon, it is projected that Bitcoin will experience its next significant peak in value during a period of around 21 days centered around July 9th, 2024. The estimated price range for this anticipated peak is likely to fall between $42,000 and $48,000.
The study of the chart proceeds to predict the forthcoming peak of the cycle, which is anticipated to occur within a comparable margin of 21 days around November 28, 2025. The anticipated price range for this peak has a significant bullish trend, with a goal range of $90,000 to $130,000.
CryptoCon's tweet emphasizes the aforementioned forecast, affirming that there have been no alterations to the projected timeframe or anticipated price for the upcoming Bitcoin cycle peak. The estimated timeframe for the event is from November 28th, 2025, with a margin of error of plus or minus 21 days, falling between the range of 90 to 130 thousand days.
Interestingly, Cryptocon is also offering valuable information regarding the potential occurrence of the next cycle bottom. According to his prediction, there is an estimated lower limit for the price at around $27,000, falling during a time frame of 21 days starting from November 28th, 2026. This is consistent with the model's "Orange Year," which is commonly described as a time of bear market conditions when the price is anticipated to reach its lowest point by the conclusion of the year.
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